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17日投资提示:财通转债,瑞达转债提议下修
集思录· 2025-06-16 14:24
Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the upcoming subscription for Guangxin Technology and the speculative nature of its potential stock performance, highlighting differing opinions on expected returns and market behavior [1]. Group 1: Guangxin Technology Subscription - Guangxin Technology is set to be subscribed, with discussions around the expected performance of its stock post-listing [1]. - Some market participants believe that the stock price needs to exceed 50 yuan for investors to break even, indicating a 400% increase from the issue price of 10 yuan [1]. Group 2: Market Reactions and Speculations - There are reports of intermediaries offering 0.19% returns for acquiring subscription accounts, suggesting a high level of speculation in the market [1]. - The optimistic projection that 200 shares of Guangxin Technology could yield over 8000 yuan raises questions about the realism of such expectations [1]. Group 3: Related Corporate Actions - Financial instruments such as Caotong Convertible Bonds and Ruida Convertible Bonds are proposed for down adjustment by their boards [1]. - Aggregation Shun has received a warning from the Zhejiang Securities Regulatory Commission for misusing raised funds for financial management [1]. - Dongfang Shenghong's controlling shareholder plans to increase its stake in the company by 500 million to 1 billion yuan [1].
16日投资提示:宏辉果蔬拟变更控股股东,股票及可转债复牌
集思录· 2025-06-15 14:11
金丹转债:强赎 宏辉果蔬:控股股东拟变更为申泽瑞泰,公司股票及可转债复牌 ST声迅:拟2805万元收购中辰应急51%股权 回天新材:公司控股股东之一致行动人所持2.5%股份将被司法拍卖 安克转债,电化转债:【申购】 隆22转债:不下修 集思录(www.jisilu.cn)是一个以数据为本的投资理财社区,专注于新股、可转债、债券、封闭 基金等数据服务。我们的理念是在保证本金安全的前提下,使资产获得稳健增长。 快捷查询: 搜索公众号"jisilu8"添加我们 锡振转债:6月18日申购 关注集思录微信 特别提示 本文不构成任何投资建议,仅为信息分享。任何因本文导致的投资行为发生的亏损,本公众号 及作者概不承担任何责任。 ...
禁酒令,白酒何时止跌?
集思录· 2025-06-15 14:11
Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the impact of a recent alcohol ban in Anhui province on the liquor industry, particularly high-end brands like Moutai, and highlights the misconception that buying stocks supports the company rather than the previous shareholders [2][3][4]. Group 1: Alcohol Ban and Its Implications - The alcohol ban is seen as a response to fiscal constraints, with 40% of national fiscal spending allocated to public sector salaries and benefits [5]. - The ban has exacerbated existing challenges in the liquor industry, particularly for high-end brands, with Moutai's price dropping from a peak of 3,800 yuan to below 2,000 yuan [5][6]. - The demand for alcohol is declining, especially among younger generations who are less inclined to socialize and drink [9]. Group 2: Economic Context - The economic downturn and the real estate sector's struggles are fundamental issues affecting the liquor market [5]. - The article suggests that the alcohol ban is not the sole problem, as societal trends indicate a long-term decrease in alcohol consumption [8][9]. - The tax revenue from Moutai constitutes 57.8% of Guizhou's income, indicating the significant economic role of liquor companies [11]. Group 3: Investment Considerations - Some analysts suggest that the current market conditions may present a short-term buying opportunity for leading liquor brands, anticipating a rebound [16]. - The article emphasizes that the liquor industry may face prolonged challenges until weaker brands exit the market [16].
本周热点:暮然回首,牛市已在灯火阑珊处
集思录· 2025-06-13 11:36
牛市已经来了,很多人却浑然不知,甚至空仓。 今天和几个老哥在探讨股市,老哥A不相信会有牛市;老哥B说牛市快结束了,924那一波就 完事了;老哥C已清仓观望;而我坚定的说牛市在进行中。。。 牛市已经来了,很多人却浑然不知 https://www.jisilu.cn/question/510331 大家是如何度过工作压力最大的阶段的? https://www.jisilu.cn/question/510288 禁酒令,白酒何时止跌 https://www.jisilu.cn/question/510380 什么才是交易的最高境界? https://www.jisilu.cn/question/510280 关注集思录微信 特别提示 本文不构成任何投资建议,仅为信息分享。任何因本文导致的投资行为发生的亏损,本公众号 及作者概不承担任何责任。 集思录(www.jisilu.cn)是一个以数据为本的投资理财社区,专注于新股、可转债、债券、封闭 基金等数据服务。我们的理念是在保证本金安全的前提下,使资产获得稳健增长。 快捷查询: 搜索公众号"jisilu8"添加我们 ...
全职投资 VS 回职场兼职投资
集思录· 2025-06-13 11:36
Core Viewpoint - The individual is contemplating whether to continue full-time investing or accept a job offer from a state-owned enterprise, weighing the benefits of financial stability against the desire for personal freedom and investment opportunities [1][3]. Group 1: Investment Performance - The individual has been investing full-time for nearly a year, achieving an annualized return of approximately 11% in overseas accounts, while A-share investments yield around 5-10% [1]. - Despite having more time to research investment tools, the individual feels that full-time investing has only marginally improved annual investment performance by 2-4% [1]. Group 2: Employment Considerations - The job offer from the state-owned enterprise is valued at an annual salary of 700,000, which is about 65% of the previous foreign enterprise salary [1][2]. - The individual is hesitant to accept the job due to the significant salary reduction and the perception of a lack of job security in the current market, especially for older workers [2][3]. Group 3: Personal and Family Dynamics - The individual's spouse works in a state-owned enterprise and has expressed concerns about the stability of income from full-time investing compared to a regular job [2]. - The family has two children and owns two properties with a total value of approximately 10 million, which includes a 900,000 mortgage [2]. Group 4: Social and Psychological Factors - The individual experiences occasional boredom and isolation from full-time investing, highlighting the importance of social interaction and a structured work environment [2][3]. - There is a recognition that working in a corporate environment could provide social benefits and a sense of normalcy for the children, as well as alleviate family concerns about the individual's career choices [8].
学历贬值如何应对?
集思录· 2025-06-12 14:08
Group 1 - The consensus on the devaluation of academic qualifications is strengthening, with a growing belief that current education heavily relies on innate talent rather than just effort [1] - The proportion of individuals with undergraduate and graduate degrees is increasing, leading to a relative decline in demand for highly educated individuals, resulting in an oversupply [1][2] - The material conditions in China have improved significantly, making it difficult for individuals to starve, as industrial capacity is excessive and agricultural modernization is ongoing [1] Group 2 - In early education, it is important for children to explore various interests and develop mathematical thinking, without the pressure of excelling in every subject [1][2] - During middle school, it is crucial to assess a child's exam-taking abilities and character development, as these experiences are valuable for future challenges [2] - In high school, the focus should be on understanding social realities and engaging in various social activities, regardless of the type of high school attended [2][3] Group 3 - The future of ordinary civil service jobs may not be stable, and the nursing profession is noted for its demanding shift work [4][5] - The funeral industry is identified as a growing sector, while the field of cultural relic restoration remains less understood [6][7] Group 4 - The current education system is viewed as a zero-sum game, where success in exams is dependent on outperforming peers, contributing to the phenomenon of educational competition [8] - The perception that past generations had easier access to higher education is challenged, as historical data shows lower enrollment rates and higher competition [8][9] - High-density talent environments in companies lead to more efficient communication and problem-solving compared to low-density environments [8] Group 5 - The importance of attending the right educational institution is emphasized, as mismatched environments can hinder a child's development [9] - The concept of "high school migration" is discussed, where students may move to different provinces for better educational opportunities, particularly in western provinces [9][10] - The knowledge taught in schools is often outdated, but the ability to learn and think critically remains essential for personal and professional growth [10][11]
13日投资提示:益丰药房控股股东拟减持不超2%股份
集思录· 2025-06-12 14:08
Group 1 - Yifeng Pharmacy's controlling shareholder and concerted parties plan to reduce their holdings by no more than 2% of the company's shares [1] - Hengbang Co., Ltd. received a corrective measure decision from the Shandong Securities Regulatory Bureau for failing to timely disclose that the deputy general manager was subjected to criminal coercive measures [1] - Enjie Co., Ltd. shareholders plan to collectively reduce their holdings by no more than 1.19% of the company's shares [1] Group 2 - The convertible bonds of Wentai, Meijin, and Lezhi will not be adjusted [1] - CICC China Green Development Commercial REIT (180606) is open for subscription [1] - Hengshuai convertible bonds will be listed on June 17 [1]
12日投资提示:风语筑股东拟合计减持不超3%股份
集思录· 2025-06-11 13:13
Group 1 - The shareholder of Fengyuzhu plans to reduce its holdings by no more than 3% of the company's shares [1] - Tianqi Materials intends to invest approximately $280 million in building an electrolyte and raw materials base in Morocco [1] - Xingsen Technology plans to participate in the purchase of a 24% stake in its subsidiary Xinke Semiconductor [1] Group 2 - Dongshi Convertible Bonds will be suspended from trading on the Shanghai Stock Exchange starting June 20 due to the company's inability to complete rectification before the deadline [1] - The controlling shareholder, Dongfang Fashion Investment Co., Ltd., and its affiliates have returned 0 yuan of occupied funds [1] - The suspension period for the company's stock and Dongshi Convertible Bonds will not exceed 2 months [1]
胖东来为什么那么成功?
集思录· 2025-06-11 13:13
永辉能不能胖改成功的问题,我想不如直接搞清楚为什么胖东来那么成功?请教大家。 丘丘人炖史莱姆 1、做事厚道 2、打明牌 别看上面区区简单两条,中国95%企业你去看好了,都做不到这两点。 这也是为什么sam受人信任的同样原因: 也是这两条。 1、做事厚道 2、打明牌 可惜在这片土地,不知道为啥,总是有人觉得,做人或者做企业如果做到这两点,好像自己就亏 大发了。 不弄点套路,不弄点"技巧",不吃点"绝户",给你让点利, 浑身难受。 这真是一个好问题啊! 最近一年,我也在思考这个问题,我去了北京的山姆、新乡的胖东来、上海的开市客和奥乐齐, 中国最牛逼的线下零售,就这些了吧。 胖东来成为典型,与之对应的是商超的全行业亏损,电商对线下零售的冲击,经过了后疫情的时 代的严重通货紧缩,把大多数商超逼到了生死线。原来好超市和坏超市的差别在于你的利润率是 10%,我的利润率是5%,后来变成了你的利润率还是10%,销量增加20%,我的利润率 是-10%,销量减少20%。 商超在经济快速发展时期,活得非常滋润,因为:1.人口不断涌入大城市,不缺流量;2.流通渠 道单一,流通成本高,商超掌握了很大的话语权;3.优质供给稀缺,消费者对 ...
炒股这么容易,为什么还这么多亏钱的
集思录· 2025-06-10 14:03
Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the challenges and misconceptions surrounding stock trading, emphasizing that while it may seem easy during certain market conditions, the inherent uncertainty and risks can lead to significant losses for investors. Group 1: Market Behavior - Investors who engaged in systematic investment during market highs (e.g., index at 6000 points) generally made profits, while those who did so during lows (e.g., index at 2600 points) often faced losses, highlighting the cyclical nature of market performance [2]. - The perception of ease in stock trading often correlates with the effectiveness of a strategy during a specific period, but market conditions can change, rendering previously successful strategies ineffective [2][4]. Group 2: Investment Strategies - The article mentions the importance of discipline and the ability to adapt strategies to changing market conditions, suggesting that successful investors find a suitable niche for themselves [3]. - A long-term investment approach, such as dollar-cost averaging in blue-chip stocks, is discussed, but it is noted that many investors have faced prolonged periods of stagnation with these investments [4][6]. - The experience of an investor who transitioned from individual stock picking to convertible bonds illustrates the complexity and evolving nature of investment strategies, emphasizing the need for continuous learning and adaptation [7]. Group 3: Investor Psychology - Many new investors, initially successful, may become overconfident and fail to recognize the market's unpredictability, leading to significant losses [2][9]. - The analogy of stock trading to a battlefield underscores the necessity for investors to possess survival skills and adaptability in a competitive environment [10].