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思客琦:AI与协同,破解“真假产能”困局
高工锂电· 2025-12-15 10:30
Core Viewpoint - The competition in the new energy equipment industry has entered a "deep water zone," where only long-term commitment, focus on technological innovation, and deep collaborative cooperation can ensure continued leadership [1][21]. Industry Overview - The market has shifted from a binary competition of "existence" to a competition of "quality," with product iteration cycles compressing from years to months, leading to a focus on comprehensive solutions and full-cycle innovation capabilities [2][4]. - The basic fundamentals of the industry are increasingly solid, with China's manufacturing share reaching 32%, placing new energy equipment alongside high-speed rail and automotive sectors as global leaders [5]. Market Dynamics - The lithium battery shipment volume is expected to steadily increase, driven by the ongoing penetration of the new energy vehicle and energy storage markets, opening up vast market space for the equipment industry [6]. Key Characteristics of the New Cycle - The new cycle is characterized by changes and differentiation, including: - Continuous capacity expansion of mature products, with 2.2-meter large energy storage modules becoming mainstream and cell capacities increasing from hundreds of Ah to thousands of Ah, raising production line demands [7]. - Accelerated iteration of new product processes, with battery manufacturing technology upgrading every 2-3 years, compelling equipment companies to innovate simultaneously [7]. - Accelerated competition concentrating on leading companies, where only those with rapid response, stable delivery, and process adaptability can maintain their foothold [7]. Technological Innovation - Technological innovation is the fundamental guarantee for equipment companies to navigate through cycles, with AI deeply integrated into production lines to enhance efficiency and quality [8][10]. - AI applications in key production processes have led to revolutionary changes, such as: - Laser welding with AI algorithms improving welding yield by 5%-10% and efficiency by 80% [10]. - Predictive maintenance frameworks that can forecast equipment failures 7-10 days in advance [10]. - High-precision online detection technologies achieving ultra-high standards in accuracy and consistency [10][11]. Collaborative Ecosystem - The importance of collaboration across the entire industry chain is emphasized, with internal standardization and modularization leading to significant breakthroughs in delivery efficiency [12][13]. - The establishment of deep partnerships with leading battery and automotive companies facilitates joint R&D and technology promotion, creating a virtuous cycle of demand, development, application, and feedback [14][15]. Long-term Strategy - The company adheres to a long-term philosophy, investing in core capacity advantages even during industry adjustments, such as the ongoing construction of a new production base [18][19]. - The new base, covering 260,000 square meters, is designed for green zero-carbon production and supports large-scale module and energy storage equipment manufacturing [19]. - The diversification of product offerings not only meets varied customer needs but also mitigates operational risks associated with cyclical fluctuations [20]. Global Integration - The company is actively integrating into global markets, with products successfully sold in Europe, North America, and Southeast Asia, supported by localized service networks [20]. - The focus is on enhancing global competitiveness by providing cost-effective and tailored solutions to international clients [20]. Conclusion - The new energy equipment industry is poised for continued leadership in the global market, contributing significantly to energy transition and carbon neutrality goals through ongoing technological advancements and ecosystem development [23].
大众下调PowerCo预算、福特-SK On分拆、韩企频获储能大单:如何理解?
高工锂电· 2025-12-14 06:04
Core Insights - The article highlights a shift in battery demand from Europe to the U.S., indicating that the focus is moving from production capacity to deliverable capacity and contract locking [4][10]. Group 1: European Battery Market - Volkswagen Group has significantly reduced its budget for its battery subsidiary PowerCo, with funding plans dropping from an initial €15 billion to potentially single-digit billions, citing slower-than-expected market growth [5][6]. - The delay in battery localization in Europe is attributed to financial constraints and the lengthy process of securing grid access, which can take 2 to 10 years [8][9]. - The European Union is pushing for legislation to expedite grid project approvals, acknowledging that without faster grid investments, the electrification and AI expansion will struggle to translate into industrial demand [9]. Group 2: U.S. Battery Market - In contrast to Europe, U.S. battery demand is shifting towards energy storage systems (ESS), with Korean battery giants reallocating resources from electric vehicle (EV) production to ESS contracts [10][12]. - Samsung SDI announced a contract worth over 2 trillion KRW (approximately $1.36 billion) for LFP storage batteries, set to begin in 2027, indicating a strategic pivot towards ESS [10]. - SK On is refocusing its operations to prioritize energy storage, ending its joint venture with Ford and taking full control of its Tennessee plant [12]. Group 3: Implications for Supply Chains - The contrasting developments in Europe and the U.S. suggest different strategies for localization, with Europe leaning towards mergers and financing collaborations, while the U.S. is rapidly solidifying demand through ESS contracts and policy constraints [15].
AI时代下的“高溢价电池”,将由谁主导?
高工锂电· 2025-12-14 06:04
摘要 AIDC储能与Robotaxi:下一轮高溢价电池市场,轮得到谁来做主? 如果把 "AI 时代的新基建 " 拆开来看,最硬的那几块其实很朴素:电力、能源、芯片、冷却系统 等等一切围绕算力运转的基础设施。 短期内,以 所谓 "MAG7"为代表的 美国 AI 企业,无论在资本、技术还是场景主导权上,都握着 难以撼动的优势。 围绕这些企业展开的电力与储能投资,也将代替传统的能源转型叙事,在深水区重塑全球电池产业 的增量格局。 最近,两条看似普通的业务新闻,在这个背景下显得意味深长: LG 能源解决方案将全球储能电池产能目标从 30GWh 上调至 50GWh ,其中约八成都计划在北 美生产和销售; BNEF 最新的储能展望则把 2026 年新增装机规模上调至约 123GW 、 360GWh ,对应的是在 2024 、 2025 基础上的持续两年 30% 以上增速。 中国和美国被明确写为到 2035 年前全球最大的两个储能市场。 从电力系统视角看,高盛的能源团队在 10 月更新的报告中预估,到 2030 年数据中心用电可能 比 2023 年增长约 175% ,其中 AI 负载是主要推手,迫使电力系统在七到十年的建设 ...
钠电冲向5–10GWh:锂钠结合下的闭环与多场景渗透
高工锂电· 2025-12-13 09:54
头部企业主打汽车及储能,中小企业多场景开花。 储能市场依旧是钠电长坡厚雪的赛道 , 发改委进一步明确相关目标,到2025 年,实现新型储能从商业化初期向规模化发展转变。行业、 政府逐步开 始重视钠离子技术,并将其作为储能领域的重要研究示范,将推动钠离子电池全面商业化。 商业化破冰 产业化攻坚 生态化拓圈 2025年钠电池产业化的不断成熟,钠电应用正在打破市场疑虑 ,各细分场景对钠电池的技术验证与商业验证已来到全新阶段。 启停市场已成为其钠电商业化突破的首站 ,2025年已在技术、供应链与经济性上形成闭环,具备批量应用条件,尤其在后装市场实现了多方盈利。 电动重卡、数据中心AIDC、两轮车换电、无人物流车等新兴市场 有望成为钠电应用未来的重要增量。展望明年,钠电出货有望实现100%的增长,达 到5-10GWh的规模。到2030年达到百GWh放量,同时带动材料实现30-50倍的增长。 12 月12 日,2025 高工钠电年会在深圳机场凯悦酒店圆满举办,年会主题为"商业化破冰 产业化攻坚 生态化拓圈"。 整场大会 共设两大专场, 众钠能源冠名的开幕式专场"钠电商业化应用破冰"、 容百科技冠名的市场应用与供应链 专场 ...
吉利7100万放大验证,奇瑞安瓦获商用车1GWh:固态电池再迎实质进展
高工锂电· 2025-12-13 09:54
摘要 固态电池亟需场景跑通——没有真实工况与大容量验证,制造窗口、寿命与一致性都无法收敛。 在固态电池赛道沉寂一段时间后,吉利近期用一项"工程化动作"把话题重新拉回现实: 旗下浙江绿色智行科创有限公司启动2026—2027年度固态电池电芯研发物料招标。 反过来,只有把电池放进足够苛刻且足够真实的使用场景,让大容量样件在稳定性、阻抗与寿命上 形成可复现的数据闭环,成本才有机会从"不可控的试制成本"变成"可优化的制造成本"。 上周,另一条来自奇瑞体系的消息把固态电池推向"场景绑定":北美商用车企业Horizon Motors 披露与奇瑞汽车达成固态电池合作,将获得1GWh固态电池产能,用于Class 3–8零排放专用卡车 的量产部署,电池由奇瑞旗下安瓦新能源提供。 Horizon所描述的落地场景包括箱式货车、清扫车、冷藏车与市政车辆等高频运营车型,并强调该 类车队对续航与可靠性要求更高。 安瓦此前已对外披露其"新型固态"产线进展: 报道显示,安瓦在芜湖的GWh级产线首批工程样件于2025年7月下线,设计产能1.25GWh,并提 及样件通过GB38031-2025相关测试口径。 该公司产线集成涂布、复合、热封等工序 ...
复合集流体走向产业端,助推固态电池量产“落地”
高工锂电· 2025-12-12 10:35
Core Viewpoint - The article emphasizes that composite current collectors have transitioned from laboratory research to industrial application, with Yinglian's technology in solid-state batteries providing sustainable momentum for high-quality industry development, becoming a key force in the transition from concept to large-scale application of solid-state batteries [1][10]. Group 1: Structural Reconstruction - The implementation of new national standards for power batteries and the popularization of fast-charging technology have intensified safety performance requirements, highlighting structural defects in traditional current collectors [4]. - Traditional aluminum foil is prone to aluminum-thermal reactions during thermal runaway, leading to significant temperature increases, which are major causes of battery fires and explosions [4]. - The composite current collector's "polymer substrate + metal coating" sandwich structure offers a revolutionary solution to these issues, enhancing safety by preventing electrical arcing and reducing aluminum-thermal reactions [5]. - The polymer substrate's density is only 1/7 to 1/10 that of copper, significantly reducing weight while maintaining conductivity, thus improving energy density [5]. - The metal usage in composite current collectors is only 1/3 to 1/5 of traditional current collectors, allowing for a cost reduction of over 65% compared to traditional materials [5]. Group 2: Precision Control - Despite the advantages of composite current collectors, challenges in high process difficulty and yield control have hindered mass production [7]. - Yinglian has established a comprehensive process system that integrates raw materials, processing, testing, and data systems to overcome mass production bottlenecks [7]. - The company has achieved a production width of 1140mm for composite copper foil with a thickness uniformity control of ≤2%, entering a stable mass production phase [7]. - This breakthrough significantly enhances efficiency and reduces unit costs, ensuring performance consistency for downstream applications [7]. Group 3: Forward-looking Layout - Yinglian is proactively preparing for the next generation of solid-state battery materials while consolidating its advantages in the liquid battery market [8]. - The company is focusing on two core areas: bipolar current collectors and lithium deposition technology, aiming to meet the higher requirements for solid-state battery applications [9]. - The optimization of vacuum deposition and magnetron sputtering technologies is expected to enhance the bonding strength and density of coatings, with a target for mass production capabilities by 2025-2027 [9]. - The lithium deposition technology offers significant advantages, with cycle life improvements exceeding three times that of traditional rolling methods, and a volume change rate of less than 3% [9]. Group 4: Industrial Value - The widespread application of composite current collectors is anticipated to drive a positive cycle of "safety upgrades, energy density improvements, and cost optimization" within the lithium battery industry [13]. - Yinglian has completed a comprehensive layout from technology research and development to mass production, with a total investment of 3.089 billion yuan in a demonstration factory in Jiangsu [10]. - The factory is expected to achieve a production capacity of 500 million square meters of composite copper foil and 200 million square meters of composite aluminum foil by 2025, providing solid support for large-scale supply [10]. - Collaboration with upstream raw material and equipment manufacturers has formed a synergistic industrial ecosystem, enhancing technological precision to a nanometer-level accuracy [12].
16家锂电产业链企业赴港上市
高工锂电· 2025-12-12 10:35
12月11日,锂电材料企业新宙邦发布公告,宣布其第六届董事会第二十六次会议已审议通过H股 上市相关议案,公司 拟发行境外上市外资股并申请在香港联交所主板挂牌交易 。 新宙邦表示,此次赴港上市的目标在于推进全球化战略落地,实现资源本地化供应,进而提升国际 品牌影响力与全球市场竞争力。 企业通过港股募集的资金,可直接用于海外建厂、资源收购等全球化布局,有效规避欧美绿色贸易 壁垒与各类贸易限制。 如中伟股份借港股融资强化对印尼镍资源的掌控,宁德时代、亿纬锂能则将募资投向欧洲、东南亚 生产基地,精准适配海外市场旺盛的锂电产品需求,加速全球化产能落地。 据高工锂电不完全统计, 2025年以来,以行业龙头 宁德时代 为开端, 截至目前已有超16家锂 电相关企业扎堆赴港上市,覆盖电池、材料、设备等全产业链核心环节,形成规模化上市热潮。 其中,电池板块集结了宁德时代、亿纬锂能、欣旺达、南都电源、海辰储能、正力新能、双登集团 等企业;材料领域有星源材质、天赐材料、中伟股份、盛新锂能、格林美、金晟新能源及新宙邦等 企业;设备端则包括先导智能、中鼎智能等企业, 全产业链赴港上市态势显著 。 从上市模式来看,此次热潮呈现出 多元化 ...
电池涨价15%、宁德百亿发债、卫蓝冲刺固态首单IPO:如何同时理解这三件事?
高工锂电· 2025-12-11 11:10
摘要 共同指向"下一轮需求曲线的信心程度"。 12 月 进入第二周 ,锂电产业链 的节奏再次出现加速切换 。 12 月 9 日,苏州德加能源通过公告通知客户,自 12 月 16 日起,其电池系列产品售价将在现行目录价基础上统一上调 15% , 12 月 15 日前确 认的订单仍按原价执行。 公司将调价原因直接归因于 " 锂电池原材料价格大幅上涨导致生产成本提高 " ,并表示会根据市场供需和成本变化动态优化价格体系。 同一天,软包电池企业孚能科技在互动平台回应投资者提问时表示,公司已建立价格联动机制, " 因部分原材料价格上涨,且市场需求持续扩大, 锂电池价格上涨是行业趋势,部分产品已实现涨价 " ,同时正在与客户积极沟通其他产品的提价。 同时, 行业媒体和机构在过去两个月的调研中已多次提到 " 储能电芯悄然涨价 " : 在国内外需求叠加、 " 一芯难求 " 的背景下,主流厂商储能电芯价格环比上涨 0.02–0.03 元 /Wh ,部分企业甚至暂停接单,优先保障既有长 单。 电池端开始 " 敢涨价 " , 而 产业龙头在资本层面加了一道杠杆。 12 月 10 日晚,宁德时代公告称,为满足生产经营和业务发展需求、 ...
11月多家新能源汽车销量大增,零跑、小鹏、小米完成全年目标
高工锂电· 2025-12-11 11:10
Core Insights - The article highlights the surge in the electric vehicle (EV) market driven by the impending end of the new energy vehicle purchase tax exemption policy, leading to a year-end consumption peak [2][3] - The battery supply chain is experiencing a rare high production rhythm in December, with material prices rising across the board, prompting several battery companies to announce or plan price increases [2][8] Group 1: Market Performance - In November, the production and sales of new energy vehicles reached 1.88 million and 1.823 million units respectively, both showing a year-on-year increase of 20%, with a penetration rate exceeding 53% [2] - From January to November, cumulative production and sales of new energy vehicles reached 14.907 million and 14.78 million units, respectively, with year-on-year growth exceeding 31% and a penetration rate of 47.5% [2] - Several major automakers, including Li Auto and NIO, have achieved or exceeded their annual sales targets ahead of schedule due to consumer demand driven by the tax policy change [3][4] Group 2: Sales Growth and Market Concentration - Notable sales growth in November includes Leap Motor with a 75.1% year-on-year increase, and Xiaomi Auto with a 99.7% increase [4] - The top fifteen new energy vehicle manufacturers collectively sold 14.072 million units from January to November, representing a year-on-year growth of 32.6% and accounting for 95.2% of total sales [5] - The top three manufacturers (BYD, Geely, SAIC) hold a combined market share of 50.5%, indicating a strengthening head effect in the market [5] Group 3: Battery Production and Pricing - The battery production in December is expected to remain stable at around 220 GWh, marking the first time since late 2022 that production has not decreased in December [6] - The demand from non-power sectors is contributing significantly to the overall production stability, supporting high operational levels in the supply chain [7] - Battery companies are initiating price increases due to rising raw material costs, with Dejia Energy announcing a 15% price hike effective December 16 [9][10]
公辅设备反内卷:EK的“高效+零碳+算力”解法
高工锂电· 2025-12-11 11:10
摘要 当数智化技术与零碳理念深度融合,公辅设备将不再是产业发展瓶颈,而是推动锂电产业绿色转型、效率升级的重要引擎。 "工业空调转型势在必行,粗放式生产已成过去。数字化是时代要求,'哑巴'设备必须开口,才能跳出内卷。" 在 2025高工锂电年会上, EK中国区市场营销总监兼工业环境控制事业部总监王健 在演讲中明确指出工业空调行业的转型必然性。 他表示,欧科工业空调已将 "高效、零碳、算力" 三大关键词串联成完整数智化解决方案,为长期制约锂电产业降本减碳的公辅设备困局,提供了破局 之道。 01重新定义公辅设备的核心价值 长期以来,锂电产业高速发展,行业焦点多集中在电芯材料、生产工艺等核心环节,公辅设备始终扮演 "幕后支撑者"角色,被简化为"满足基本需 求"的配套工具。 王健在演讲中直指行业核心痛点: "零碳愿景下,工业场景仍存在顽固的高能耗问题。" 这些问题通过工业冷热源、环境控制与控制系统叠加,形成系 统冗余、余热废弃、除湿能耗高、控制失灵、协同困难等"隐性碳排"困境。 随着 "双碳"目标推进与国际碳规则收紧,传统模式已难以为继。欧盟《新电池法》将碳足迹纳入强制性标准,国内头部企业加码零碳工厂建设,公辅 设备的 ...