[Table_Page] 跟踪研究|IT 服务Ⅱ 证券研究报告 [Table_Title] 网宿科技（300017.SZ） 公司有望受益于 CDN 等云服务涨价趋势 [Table_Summary] 核心观点： 1 / 6 972918116公共联系人2026-01-30 01:08:14 | 盈利预测： | | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [Table_ 单位 Finance] :人民币百万元 | 2023A | 2024A | 2025E | 2026E | 2027E | | 营业收入 | 4,705 | 4,932 | 5,176 | 5,403 | 5,629 | | 增长率（ % ） | -7.4% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 4.2% | | EBITDA | 759 | 687 | 799 | 865 | 922 | | 归母净利润 | 613 | 675 | 826 | 758 | 821 | | 增长率（ % ） | 221.7% | 10.0% | 22.5% | -8.2% | 8.2% | | EPS ...

[Table_Page] 投资策略|点评报告 2026 年 1 月 30 日 证券研究报告 [Table_Title] 晨会精选 ——观点全追踪（1 月第 7 期） [Table_Summary] 报告摘要： | [分析师： Table_Author]许可 | | | --- | --- | | | SAC 执证号：S0260523120004 | | SFC CE No. BUY008 | | | 0755-88285832 | | | xuke@gf.com.cn | | | 分析师： | 符蓉 | | | SAC 执证号：S0260523120002 | | SFC CE No. BWC944 | | | 021-38003552 | | | furong@gf.com.cn | | [联系人： Table_Contacts] 毕露露 bilulu@gf.com.cn 972918116公共联系人2026-01-30 00:22:10 1 / 3 识别风险，发现价值 请务必阅读末页的免责声明 ⚫ 交通运输：美伊冲突对油运的潜在影响：供给扰动主导，运价具备上行 弹性。未来的发展存在三种可能性：1.极限施压 ...

[Table_Page] 深度分析|汽车 证券研究报告 [Table_Title] 汽车行业 25 年四季度末公募基金超配汽车行业 0.62pct [Table_Summary] 核心观点： [Table_Grade] 行业评级 买入 前次评级 买入 报告日期 2026-01-29 [分析师： Table_Author]张力月 SAC 执证号：S0260524040004 021-38003727 zhangliyue@gf.com.cn 分析师： 闫俊刚 SAC 执证号：S0260516010001 021-38003682 yanjungang@gf.com.cn 分析师： 陈飞彤 SAC 执证号：S0260524040002 SFC CE No. BWZ819 021-38003726 gfchenfeitong@gf.com.cn 分析师： 周伟 SAC 执证号：S0260522090001 021-38003684 gfzhwei@gf.com.cn 分析师： 罗英 SAC 执证号：S0260525110001 0755-82557403 shluoying@gf.com.cn -10% -2% 6 ...

[Table_Page] 公告点评|公用事业Ⅱ 证券研究报告 [Table_Title] 【广发 环 保 & 海 外 】 粤 海 投 资 （00270.HK） 预告 25 年归母净利润同比增长 43%，股息价值突出 [Table_Summary] 核心观点： 备注：除非特别说明，否则报告货币为港元 | 盈利预测： | | --- | | [Table_ 单位Finance] :港元百万元 | 2023A | 2024A | 2025E | 2026E | 2027E | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 主营收入 | 20,322 | 18,505 | 18,528 | 18,667 | 18,769 | | 增长率（ % ） | -12.4% | -8.9% | 0.1% | 0.8% | 0.5% | | EBITDA | 9,920 | 9,909 | 10,272 | 10,309 | 10,326 | | 归母净利润 | 4,370 | 4,297 | 4,493 | 4,638 | 4,770 | | 增长率（ % ） | -8.3% | -1.7% ...

业绩表现超预期，定价首饰占比提升强化盈利韧性 [Table_Title] 【广发批零社服&海外】周大福 （01929.HK） [Table_Summary] 核心观点： 盈利预测： | [Table_ 单位Finance] :港元百万元 | | 2024A | 2025A | 2026E | 2027E | 2028E | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 主营收入 | | 108,713 | 89,656 | 94,150 | 101,463 | 108,211 | | 增长率（ ） | % | 14.8% | -17.5% | 5.0% | 7.8% | 6.7% | | EBITDA | | 11,535 | 10,499 | 13,212 | 15,441 | 16,688 | | 归母净利润 | | 6,499 | 5,916 | 8,161 | 9,803 | 10,716 | | 增长率（ ） | % | 20.7% | -9.0% | 38.0% | 20.1% | 9.3% | | EPS（元/股） | | 0.65 | 0.59 | ...

Investment Rating - The report assigns an "Accumulate-A/Accumulate-H" rating to the company, with a current price of 6.26 CNY and a reasonable value of 6.43 CNY for A shares, and 5.38 HKD with a reasonable value of 5.75 HKD for H shares [4]. Core Views - The company is the only highway platform under Shudao Group, focusing on both expansion and optimization of existing assets. It is backed by the Sichuan Provincial State-owned Assets Supervision and Administration Commission [9]. - The company has a strong cash flow and has increased its dividend payout ratio to 60%, highlighting its asset dividend characteristics [9]. - The strategic location of the company's assets supports steady growth in toll revenue, with an expected toll income of 4.777 billion CNY in 2024, showing a strong CAGR over the past three years [9]. - The company is positioned to benefit from the Sichuan Province's transportation planning, which is among the fastest in the country, and the integration of the Chengdu-Chongqing economic circle [9]. - The company aims to optimize existing assets while expanding its portfolio through upgrades, asset integration, and acquisitions, which are expected to enhance performance and shareholder returns in the medium to long term [9]. Financial Forecast - The company’s revenue is projected to decline from 11.652 billion CNY in 2023 to 9.812 billion CNY by 2027, with a significant drop in 2024 due to the end of construction-related income [2]. - EBITDA is expected to increase from 3.577 billion CNY in 2023 to 4.475 billion CNY in 2027, indicating a positive trend in operational efficiency [2]. - Net profit attributable to shareholders is forecasted to grow from 1.187 billion CNY in 2023 to 1.784 billion CNY in 2027, reflecting a strong growth trajectory [2]. - The company’s earnings per share (EPS) is expected to rise from 0.39 CNY in 2023 to 0.58 CNY in 2027, with a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio projected to remain stable around 10.7 to 11.9 [2]. Company Overview - The company operates a total of approximately 900 kilometers of highways, with 858 kilometers being toll roads, and has a competitive average remaining toll collection period of 12.38 years [22][27]. - The company’s core assets include major highways such as Chengyu, Chengya, Chengle, and Chengren, which are critical for connecting economically developed and tourist areas in Sichuan [9][23]. - The company has shown a robust performance in toll revenue, with a CAGR of 11.01% from 2021 to 2024, reaching a peak of 4.777 billion CNY in 2024 [29].

[Table_Page] 公告点评|游戏Ⅱ [公司评级 Table_Invest] 买入 当前价格 446.00 元 合理价值 541.76 元 前次评级 买入 报告日期 2026-01-29 证券研究报告 [Table_Title] 吉比特（603444.SH） 新品推动业绩表现出色，关注产品储备 [Table_Summary] 核心观点： | 盈利预测： | | --- | | [Table_ 单位:Finance] 人民币百万元 | 2023A | 2024A | 2025E | 2026E | 2027E | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 营业收入 | 4,185 | 3,696 | 6,589 | 8,269 | 9,481 | | 增长率（ % ） | -19.0% | -11.7% | 78.3% | 25.5% | 14.6% | | EBITDA | 1,718 | 1,303 | 2,694 | 2,921 | 3,268 | | 归母净利润 | 1,125 | 945 | 1,776 | 1,951 | 2,159 | | 增长率（ % ...

[Table_Page] 公告点评|城商行Ⅱ 证券研究报告 -10% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 02/25 04/25 06/25 08/25 09/25 11/25 01/26 青岛银行 沪深300 | [分析师： Table_Author]倪军 | | --- | | SAC 执证号：S0260518020004 | | 021-38003646 | | nijun@gf.com.cn | | 分析师： 林虎 | | SAC 执证号：S0260525040004 | | SFC CE No. BWK411 | | 021-38003643 | | gflinhu@gf.com.cn | | 请注意，倪军并非香港证券及期货事务监察委员会的注册 | | 持牌人，不可在香港从事受监管活动。 | | DocReport] [Table_ 相关研究： | | | --- | --- | | 青岛银行 | 2025-10-29 | | (002948.SZ/03866.HK):业绩 | | | 高增持续，中收单季回正 | | | 青岛银行 | 2025-08-29 | | (002948.SZ/03866 ...

[Table_Page] 宏观经济研究报告 2026 年 1 月 29 日 证券研究报告 | 分析师： [Tabl | 郭磊 | 分析师： | 陈嘉荔 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | e_Author] | SAC 执证号：S0260516070002 | | SAC 执证号：S0260523120005 | | | SFC CE.no: BNY419 | | | | | 021-38003572 | | 021-38003674 | | | guolei@gf.com.cn | | gfchenjiali@gf.com.cn | | | 请注意，陈嘉荔并非香港证券及期货事务监察委员会的注册持牌人，不可在香港从事受监管活动。 | | | [Table_Summary] 报告摘要： ⚫ 美联储 2026 年 1 月 27-28 日举行议息会议1，FOMC 官员投票保持联邦基金利率在 3.5%-3.75%，这是自 2025 年 9 月重启降息后的第一次暂停。理事沃勒和米兰投反对票，倾向于在此次会议上降息 25 个基点。本次议息 会议决议在市场预期之内，相对更为重要的信息是：（1）美联储 ...

Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating for the company, with a target price of 44.31 CNY per share based on a 31x PS valuation for 2026 [7]. Core Insights - The company, Gaolun Electronics, focuses on device modeling and circuit simulation, leveraging the DTCO methodology to drive its operations. It has established a competitive product system in key EDA tool areas and aims to build a regional EDA platform through ecosystem development [7][13]. - The EDA industry is expected to grow faster than the economic cycle, driven by increasing chip complexity, advancements in process technology, and the expansion of the ASIC market. Domestic EDA companies are currently in a phase of consolidation and integration, enhancing their growth potential [7][63]. - The company has a robust project pipeline and is actively pursuing mergers and acquisitions to strengthen its product offerings and market position. Recent acquisitions include companies like Boda Micro and Entasys, which are expected to enhance its semiconductor IP capabilities [7][13]. Summary by Sections Company Overview - Gaolun Electronics, established in 2010, is the first listed EDA company in China, providing manufacturing and design EDA tools, semiconductor device testing systems, and technical development solutions. The company has formed long-term partnerships with leading global IC design and manufacturing firms [13][14]. Main Business - The company’s EDA tools cover both manufacturing and design phases, with a focus on device modeling and circuit simulation. Its revenue is primarily generated from EDA tool licensing, semiconductor testing systems, and one-stop technical development solutions, with respective revenue shares of 61.38%, 28.02%, and 10.14% in 2024 [14][17]. Financial Analysis - Revenue has steadily increased from 137 million CNY in 2020 to 419 million CNY in 2024, with a CAGR of 32.13%. The company is expected to turn profitable in 2025 after experiencing losses in 2023 and 2024. The gross margin has remained above 80%, indicating strong pricing power and technical barriers [51][58]. - The company’s R&D expenses have peaked but are expected to decline as revenue scales up, improving overall profitability [59]. EDA Industry - The global EDA market is projected to grow from under 10 billion USD in 2018 to over 15 billion USD currently, while the domestic market is expected to expand from approximately 5 billion CNY in 2016 to nearly 20 billion CNY by 2025, reflecting a double-digit growth rate [63]. - The demand for EDA tools is driven by the increasing complexity of chips, advancements in process technology, and the rapid expansion of the ASIC market, which collectively enhance the usage intensity and budget allocation for EDA tools [66][75].