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信用债发行量环比增长,各行业信用利差整体上行:信用债周度观察(20250922-20250926)-20250927
EBSCN· 2025-09-27 06:36
Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided in the content Core Viewpoints - From September 22 to September 26, 2025, the issuance volume of credit bonds increased month - on - month, and the overall credit spreads of various industries rose [1] - The total trading volume of credit bonds increased month - on - month, with commercial bank bonds, corporate bonds, and medium - term notes ranking among the top three in trading volume [4] Summary by Directory 1. Primary Market 1.1 Issuance Statistics - 501 credit bonds were issued, with a total issuance scale of 584.503 billion yuan, a month - on - month increase of 0.79% [1][11] - Industrial bonds: 200 were issued, with an issuance scale of 264.684 billion yuan, a month - on - month increase of 30.71%, accounting for 45.28% of the total issuance scale of credit bonds this week [1][11] - Urban investment bonds: 253 were issued, with an issuance scale of 159.939 billion yuan, a month - on - month increase of 13.21%, accounting for 27.36% of the total issuance scale of credit bonds this week [1][11] - Financial bonds: 48 were issued, with an issuance scale of 159.880 billion yuan, a month - on - month decrease of 32.29%, accounting for 27.35% of the total issuance scale of credit bonds this week [1][11] - The average issuance term of credit bonds was 2.71 years, with industrial bonds at 2.22 years, urban investment bonds at 3.31 years, and financial bonds at 1.88 years [1][14] - The average issuance coupon rate of credit bonds was 2.33%, with industrial bonds at 2.19%, urban investment bonds at 2.53%, and financial bonds at 1.91% [2][19] 1.2 Cancellation of Issuance Statistics - 13 credit bonds cancelled their issuance this week [22] 2. Secondary Market 2.1 Credit Spread Tracking - The overall industry credit spreads rose this week. Among Shenwan primary industries, the largest increase in AAA - rated industry credit spreads was in machinery and equipment (9BP), and the largest decrease was in media (3.1BP); the largest increase in AA + - rated industry credit spreads was in steel (44.2BP), and the largest decrease was in chemicals (1BP); the largest increase in AA - rated industry credit spreads was in electronics (7.9BP), and the largest decrease was in machinery and equipment (3.2BP) [3][24] - The credit spreads of coal and steel both increased. The credit spreads of AAA - and AA + - rated coal increased by 6.2BP and 6.3BP respectively; the credit spreads of AAA - and AA + - rated steel increased by 4.9BP and 44.2BP respectively [24] - The credit spreads of urban investment and non - urban investment at all levels increased. The credit spreads of three - level urban investment bonds increased by 7.2BP, 6.7BP, and 7.5BP respectively; the credit spreads of three - level non - urban investment bonds increased by 6.4BP, 6.1BP, and 5.9BP respectively [24] - The credit spreads of state - owned enterprises and private enterprises both increased. The credit spreads of three - level central state - owned enterprises increased by 5.6BP, 4.4BP, and 7.1BP respectively; the credit spreads of three - level local state - owned enterprises increased by 6BP, 6.1BP, and 6.5BP respectively; the credit spreads of three - level private enterprises increased by 5.3BP, 5.7BP, and 3.8BP respectively [26] - The credit spreads of regional urban investment bonds showed mixed trends. The regions with the highest AAA - rated credit spreads were Shaanxi, Liaoning, and Jilin; the regions with the highest AA + - rated credit spreads were Qinghai, Shaanxi, and Gansu; the regions with the highest AA - rated credit spreads were Shaanxi, Yunnan, and Sichuan. In terms of month - on - month changes, the largest increase in AAA - rated credit spreads was in Jilin (15.6BP); the largest increase in AA + - rated credit spreads was in Hebei (10.2BP), and the largest decrease was in Ningxia (2.6BP); the largest increase in AA - rated credit spreads was in Sichuan (11.8BP), and the largest decrease was in Shaanxi (0.1BP) [27] 2.2 Trading Volume Statistics - The total trading volume of credit bonds was 1.617515 trillion yuan, a month - on - month increase of 10.61%. The top three in trading volume were commercial bank bonds, corporate bonds, and medium - term notes. Specifically, the trading volume of commercial bank bonds was 487.807 billion yuan, a month - on - month increase of 1.68%, accounting for 30.16% of the total trading volume of credit bonds this week; the trading volume of corporate bonds was 496.120 billion yuan, a month - on - month increase of 14.83%, accounting for 30.67% of the total trading volume of credit bonds this week; the trading volume of medium - term notes was 32.3965 billion yuan, a month - on - month increase of 4.08%, accounting for 20.03% of the total trading volume of credit bonds this week [4][28] 2.3 This Week's Actively Traded Bonds - The top 20 urban investment bonds, industrial bonds, and financial bonds in terms of trading volume this week are provided for investors' reference [30]
广义基金减持存单信用,交易盘情绪改善但配置力量不足
Xinda Securities· 2025-09-25 07:25
Group 1: Report Summary - The total bond custody scale in August increased by 150.6 billion yuan month-on-month, with a slower growth compared to July. The custody increments of treasury bonds and policy financial bonds rose, while the net financing scale of local bonds and credit bonds declined, and commercial bank bonds turned into net repayment. The custody scale of interbank certificates of deposit continued to decline significantly [4][7]. - In early August, the bond market oscillated and recovered, but after mid - August, sentiment weakened due to the continuous new highs of A - shares. Long - term interest rates were under pressure, while short - term rates were relatively resilient. From the perspective of institutional behavior, broad - based funds may have been affected by liability - side disturbances and reduced their bond holdings for the first time since February. Dealers also increased their holdings of interest - rate bonds. However, the承接 power of allocation - oriented investors was insufficient, which might have prevented interest rates from stabilizing in August. Notably, foreign institutions significantly narrowed their reduction of domestic bond holdings, possibly indicating an increase in their overall allocation of Chinese assets [4][9]. - Affected by the decline in the balance of repurchase agreements, the bond market leverage ratio slightly decreased by 0.1 percentage points to 107.5% in August, remaining at a relatively low level in recent years. Among different institutions, commercial banks' leverage ratio increased by 0.2 percentage points to 103.8%, while non - bank institutions' leverage ratio decreased by 0.5 percentage points to 116.9% [4][39]. Group 2: August Bond Custody Increment Analysis - Interest - rate bonds: The issuance scale of treasury bonds increased while the maturity scale decreased in August, with the custody increment rising by 38.42 billion yuan to 82.61 billion yuan. For policy financial bonds, the decline in the issuance scale was smaller than that in the maturity scale, and the custody increment increased by 22.23 billion yuan to 46.16 billion yuan. The issuance scale of local bonds decreased significantly while the maturity scale increased, and the custody increment decreased by 31.51 billion yuan to 51.72 billion yuan [7]. - Credit bonds: The issuance scale of medium - term notes and enterprise bonds decreased while the maturity scale increased. The custody increment of medium - term notes decreased by 11.05 billion yuan to 10.44 billion yuan, and the custody scale of enterprise bonds decreased by 3.53 billion yuan. The issuance scale of short - term commercial paper decreased, and the custody volume changed from an increase of 1.06 billion yuan in the previous month to a decrease of 4.61 billion yuan. The custody scale of PPN continued to decline by 1.53 billion yuan, with a narrower decline compared to the previous month [7]. - Other bonds: The issuance and maturity scales of interbank certificates of deposit both increased slightly, and the custody scale continued to decline by 35.56 billion yuan, with a narrower decline compared to the previous month. Commercial bank bonds turned into net repayment, with the custody volume changing from an increase of 36.9 billion yuan in the previous month to a decrease of 1.64 billion yuan. The custody increment of non - bank bonds increased by 2.04 billion yuan to 5.12 billion yuan, and the decline in the custody scale of credit - asset - backed securities narrowed by 0.58 billion yuan to 0.54 billion yuan [7]. Group 3: Institutional Behavior Analysis 3.1 Broad - based Funds - The bond custody scale of broad - based funds decreased by 19.17 billion yuan in August, mainly due to significant reductions in credit bonds and certificates of deposit, while slightly increasing holdings of interest - rate bonds. The reduction in holdings of interbank certificates of deposit, commercial bank bonds, and enterprise bonds increased, while the increase in holdings of medium - term notes and financial bonds on the Clearstream decreased. They turned to reduce holdings of short - term commercial paper and increase holdings of policy financial bonds [12]. 3.2 Securities Companies - The bond custody volume of securities companies increased by 190 million yuan in August, mainly due to a significant decrease in the reduction of treasury bonds, a slight decrease in the reduction of medium - term notes, an increase in the increase of policy financial bonds, and a turn to slightly increase holdings of financial bonds on the Clearstream. The reduction of bond holdings weakened significantly [18]. 3.3 Insurance Companies - The bond custody increment of insurance companies decreased by 5.76 billion yuan to 3.96 billion yuan in August, mainly due to a decrease in the increase of local bonds and treasury bonds, a turn to reduce holdings of policy financial bonds and medium - term notes, and an increase in the reduction of commercial bank bonds. They turned to reduce bond holdings [20]. 3.4 Foreign Institutions - The decline in the bond custody volume of foreign institutions significantly narrowed by 20.41 billion yuan to 9.97 billion yuan in August, with a significant decrease in the reduction of interbank certificates of deposit, treasury bonds, and policy financial bonds. They generally continued to reduce bond holdings, but the reduction intensity weakened [25]. 3.5 Other Institutions - The bond custody increment of other institutions, including the central bank, increased by 9.58 billion yuan to 33.52 billion yuan in August, mainly due to the increase in the net investment of outright reverse repurchase. They significantly increased holdings of local bonds, turned to reduce holdings of policy financial bonds, and slightly increased the reduction of treasury bonds. The increase in holdings of interbank certificates of deposit reached a new high since December 2022, while the increase in holdings of medium - term notes declined from a historical high [28]. 3.6 Commercial Banks - The bond custody increment of commercial banks decreased by 52.2 billion yuan to 120.01 billion yuan in August. They turned to reduce holdings of local bonds, possibly affected by the increase in the net investment of outright reverse repurchase and the concentration on local bonds. The increase in holdings of treasury bonds and policy financial bonds increased significantly, while the increase in holdings of financial bonds on the Clearstream decreased significantly [31]. 3.7 Credit Unions - The bond custody increment of credit unions decreased by 5.92 billion yuan to 1.04 billion yuan in August, mainly due to a decrease in the increase of policy financial bonds and treasury bonds and a turn to reduce holdings of interbank certificates of deposit. They turned to reduce bond holdings [37]. Group 4: Bond Market Leverage Ratio Analysis - The bond market leverage ratio decreased by 0.1 percentage points to 107.5% in August, remaining at a relatively low level in recent years. Commercial banks' leverage ratio increased by 0.2 percentage points to 103.8%, still significantly lower than the level before April 2024. Non - bank institutions' leverage ratio decreased by 0.5 percentage points to 116.9%, remaining at a relatively low level since 2022. Among non - bank institutions, securities companies' leverage ratio decreased by 12.8 percentage points to 215.1%, still at a relatively high level in the past three years. The leverage ratio of insurance and non - legal person products decreased by 0.4 percentage points to 113.8%, remaining at a relatively low level since 2022 [39].
信用债周度观察(20250915-20250919):信用债发行量环比增长,各行业信用利差涨跌互现-20250920
EBSCN· 2025-09-20 12:22
Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. Core Viewpoints of the Report - From September 15th to September 19th, 2025, the issuance volume of credit bonds increased month - on - month, and the credit spreads of various industries showed mixed trends[1]. - The total trading volume of credit bonds increased, and the trading volumes of commercial bank bonds, corporate bonds, and medium - term notes ranked top three[4]. Summary by Directory 1. Primary Market 1.1 Issuance Statistics - During September 15 - 19, 2025, 455 credit bonds were issued, with a total issuance scale of 579.911 billion yuan, a month - on - month increase of 55.61%. Among them, 182 industrial bonds were issued, amounting to 202.499 billion yuan (up 63.71% month - on - month, accounting for 34.92% of the total); 217 urban investment bonds were issued, totaling 141.282 billion yuan (up 52.61% month - on - month, accounting for 24.36%); and 56 financial bonds were issued, reaching 236.13 billion yuan (up 50.98% month - on - month, accounting for 40.72%)[1][11]. - The average issuance term of credit bonds was 2.94 years. The average issuance terms of industrial bonds, urban investment bonds, and financial bonds were 2.42 years, 3.52 years, and 2.31 years respectively[1][13]. - The average issuance coupon rate of credit bonds was 2.28%. The average issuance coupon rates of industrial bonds, urban investment bonds, and financial bonds were 2.13%, 2.48%, and 1.97% respectively[2][18]. 1.2 Cancellation of Issuance Statistics - Four credit bonds were cancelled for issuance during the week, including "25 Xianggaosu CP003", "25 Datong D1", "25 Suzhou Energy MTN002", and "25 Tongzhouwan PPN003"[3][23]. 2. Secondary Market 2.1 Credit Spread Tracking - By industry, among Shenwan primary industries, for AAA - rated industries, the largest increase in credit spread was in the electronics industry (up 6.7BP), and the largest decrease was in the textile and apparel industry (down 6.8BP); for AA + - rated industries, the largest increase was in the electronics industry (up 1.2BP), and the largest decrease was in the mining industry (down 7BP); for AA - rated industries, the largest increase was in the real estate industry (up 14.3BP), and the largest decrease was in the agriculture, forestry, animal husbandry, and fishery industry (down 4.3BP)[3][25]. - By region for urban investment bonds, for AAA - rated bonds, the largest increase in credit spread was in Shanghai (up 3.3BP), and the largest decrease was in Shaanxi (down 10.2BP); for AA + - rated bonds, the largest increase was in Yunnan (up 4.7BP), and the largest decrease was in Hubei (down 5.9BP); for AA - rated bonds, the largest increase was in Fujian (up 6.5BP), and the largest decrease was in Jiangxi (down 5.8BP)[3][27]. - The credit spreads of coal and steel both showed mixed trends. The credit spreads of AAA and AA + - rated coal decreased by 1.2BP and 5.3BP respectively, and the credit spreads of AAA and AA + - rated steel decreased by 3.3BP and increased by 0.5BP respectively[25]. - The credit spreads of urban investment and non - urban investment bonds at all levels decreased. The credit spreads of three - level urban investment bonds decreased by 0.5BP, 3.1BP, and 1.8BP respectively, and the credit spreads of three - level non - urban investment bonds decreased by 1.5BP, 2.3BP, and 0.4BP respectively[25]. - The credit spreads of state - owned enterprises and private enterprises both showed mixed trends. The credit spreads of three - level central state - owned enterprises decreased by 1BP, 5.6BP, and increased by 0.2BP respectively; the credit spreads of three - level local state - owned enterprises decreased by 1.4BP, 1.8BP, and 2.1BP respectively; the credit spreads of three - level private enterprises decreased by 2BP, 2.3BP, and increased by 1BP respectively[26]. 2.2 Trading Volume Statistics - The total trading volume of credit bonds was 1.462306 trillion yuan, a month - on - month increase of 21.90%. The top three in terms of trading volume were commercial bank bonds, corporate bonds, and medium - term notes. The trading volume of commercial bank bonds was 479.739 billion yuan (up 26.26% month - on - month, accounting for 32.81% of the total trading volume); the trading volume of corporate bonds was 432.035 billion yuan (up 29.94% month - on - month, accounting for 29.54%); the trading volume of medium - term notes was 311.265 billion yuan (up 14.08% month - on - month, accounting for 21.29%)[4][28]. 2.3 Actively Traded Bonds This Week - According to DM client data, the top 20 urban investment bonds, industrial bonds, and financial bonds in terms of trading volume during the week are provided for investors' reference, including details such as bond codes, names, trading volumes, yields, and issuers[30][31][33].
调研速递|青岛银行接受西部证券等3家机构调研 透露投资策略与资产质量要点
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-09-18 11:34
在投资者关系活动主要内容介绍环节,机构关注的问题及青岛银行方面的回应如下: 1.青岛银行下半年 金融市场业务投资策略:上半年,青岛银行加强金融投资规模与收益监控,有效应对债市波动,实现金 融市场非息收入同比增长。2025年上半年,投资收益和公允价值变动损益合计15.10亿元,同比增加2.12 亿元,同比增长16.37%。下一步,该行将持续优化投资交易策略,加强市场研判,精确择时,灵活调 仓,提升资产投资效益,同时保证负债端和资产端相匹配,实现规模和效益同步增长。一方面,重点防 范市场风险,以固定收益类的标准化债券配置为主要投资方向,强化久期管理;另一方面,着重发挥金 融投资板块"轻资本"优势,加大商业银行债、资产支持证券、同业存单等低资本消耗资产品种的投资力 度,保障债券投资利息收入稳步增长。 2.青岛银行信贷资产质量情况:在规模稳步增长的同时,青岛银 行信贷资产质量较年初提升11.48个百分点,资产质量指标延续良好态势。2025年,该行将持续加强对 信贷资产质量的管控,稳固授信审批基础,推进授信资产结构转型,适时调整风险应对策略,深入推进 产品创新,提升授信支持业务发展力度;持续加强授信后管理,升级信用风险 ...
中金固收2025年债市宝典-信用策略分析框架:低利差环境下的信用债投资策略
中金· 2025-09-06 07:23
Investment Rating - The report does not explicitly state an investment rating for the credit bond industry Core Insights - The report discusses the challenges of achieving excess returns in credit bond investments due to a low interest rate and low credit spread environment, emphasizing the need for effective investment strategies [5] - It outlines a framework for analyzing credit bonds, including market segmentation, historical performance during "asset scarcity" phases, and a five-factor model for credit spreads [5][7] - The report highlights the rapid expansion of the Chinese credit bond market, with total outstanding credit bonds reaching CNY 46.99 trillion by July 2025, of which non-financial credit bonds account for CNY 31.96 trillion [13][14] Summary by Sections 1. Overview of the Chinese Credit Bond Market - The credit bond market in China has expanded significantly since 2009, with a notable increase in the variety of products available [11][13] - As of July 2025, the total balance of credit bonds is CNY 46.99 trillion, with non-financial credit bonds making up 68% of this total [13][14] 2. Analysis Framework for Credit Bond "Asset Scarcity" - The report analyzes four phases of "asset scarcity" since 2015, identifying key characteristics and predictive indicators for investors [5][7] 3. Historical Review of Credit Spreads - A historical review of credit spreads since 2008 reveals significant fluctuations, with a focus on the factors influencing these changes [5][7] 4. Research Framework for Credit Spreads - The report presents a five-factor model for analyzing credit spreads, noting that while the factors remain the same, the focus has shifted in the current market context [5][7] 5. Common Investment Strategies in the Credit Bond Market - The report discusses various investment strategies, including duration management, credit selection, leverage operations, and tactical trading, which are crucial for navigating the current low spread environment [5][7]
高波动的策略要点
SINOLINK SECURITIES· 2025-08-29 09:25
Quantitative Credit Strategy - The short-end perpetual bond strategy has shown defensive attributes, with excess returns of 13.3bp for city investment short-end, 7.2bp for commercial bank bullet-type bonds, and 6.6bp for bank perpetual bonds over the past four weeks [2][11] - City investment strategies have underperformed compared to perpetual bond strategies, with cumulative returns deviating from the benchmark by -10bp and -30bp for duration and barbell strategies respectively, while perpetual bond bullet-type and sinking strategies achieved around 5bp of excess returns [2][11] Duration Tracking of Bond Types - As of August 24, the weighted average durations for city investment bonds and industrial bonds are 2.01 years and 2.60 years respectively, while the durations for secondary capital bonds, bank perpetual bonds, and general commercial bank bonds are 4.30 years, 3.77 years, and 2.75 years respectively [3][15] - Bank perpetual bonds are at a historically low level, and other financial bonds have shown slight increases in duration, with securities company bonds and subordinated bonds at low historical percentiles [3][15] Yield Heatmap of Bond Types - As of August 25, the valuation yields and spreads of private enterprise industrial bonds and real estate bonds are higher than other types [4][18] - Non-financial and non-real estate industrial bond yields have generally increased, particularly for medium to long-term bonds, with a 4.8bp rise in 3-5 year state-owned enterprise private non-perpetual bonds [4][18] Long-term Credit Bond Tracking - The trading sentiment for long-term credit bonds remains low, with a decline in transaction volumes for 7-10 year industrial bonds and 10-year-plus credit bonds at yearly lows [4][22] - The yield adjustments for bonds over 7 years have exceeded 10bp, with the yield spread between 7-year city investment bonds and 20-30 year government bonds nearing 50bp [4][22] Local Government Bond Supply and Trading Tracking - A total of 369.2 billion yuan in local government bonds were issued in the week of August 18-22, including 239.3 billion yuan in new special bonds and 73.5 billion yuan in refinancing special bonds [5][25] - The main investment areas for special bond funds are "special new special bonds" and "ordinary/project income," with 550 billion yuan of special refinancing bonds issued in August, accounting for 5.6% of the month's local bond issuance [5][25]
尚未全面降久期
SINOLINK SECURITIES· 2025-08-17 11:06
1. Report Industry Investment Rating - No information provided. 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - As of August 17, the weighted average trading terms of urban investment bonds and industrial bonds were 2.13 years and 2.63 years respectively. Among commercial bank bonds, the weighted average trading terms of secondary capital bonds, bank perpetual bonds, and general commercial financial bonds were 4.59 years, 3.72 years, and 4.05 years respectively, with bank perpetual bonds at a relatively low historical level. Among other financial bonds, the durations of securities company bonds, securities subordinated bonds, insurance company bonds, and leasing company bonds were 1.53 years, 2.13 years, 3.22 years, and 1.20 years respectively, with securities company bonds and securities subordinated bonds at relatively low historical percentiles [2][9]. - The coupon duration congestion index slightly declined. After reaching its peak in March 2024, the index has been falling. This week, it decreased slightly compared to last week and is currently at the 12.20% level since March 2021 [11]. 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs 3.1 All - Variety Term Overview - Urban investment bonds: The weighted average trading term hovered around 2.13 years. The duration of Sichuan provincial urban investment bonds extended to 5.36 years, while the trading duration of Guangdong district - county - level urban investment bonds shortened to around 1.50 years. The historical percentiles of the durations of urban investment bonds in regions such as Sichuan provincial, Jiangsu district - county - level, Chongqing district - county - level, and Fujian district - county - level have exceeded 90%, and the duration of Henan prefecture - level city urban investment bonds is approaching the highest level since 2021 [3][15]. - Industrial bonds: The weighted average trading term has slightly extended compared to last week, generally around 2.63 years. The trading duration of the pharmaceutical and biological industry shortened to 1.05 years, while that of the building materials industry extended to 2.49 years. The trading duration of the food materials industry is at a relatively low historical percentile, and industries such as public utilities and building materials are at historical percentiles above 90% [3][20]. - Commercial bank bonds: The duration of general commercial financial bonds extended to 4.05 years, at the 99.5% historical percentile, higher than the level of the same period last year. The duration of secondary capital bonds extended to 4.59 years, at the 99.1% historical percentile, lower than the level of the same period last year. The duration of bank perpetual bonds extended to 3.72 years, at the 66.3% historical percentile, higher than the level of the same period last year [3][22]. - Other financial bonds: In terms of the weighted average trading term, insurance company bonds > securities subordinated bonds > securities company bonds > leasing company bonds, at historical percentiles of 65.3%, 48%, 31%, and 67.6% respectively. The duration of insurance company bonds has slightly extended compared to last week, while the durations of the others have slightly shortened [3][25]. 3.2 Variety Microscope - Information in this part is mainly included in the "All - Variety Term Overview" above, with detailed data and analysis of different types of bonds such as urban investment bonds, industrial bonds, commercial bank bonds, and other financial bonds. For example, specific data on the durations and historical percentiles of bonds in different regions and industries are provided [3][15][20].
信用债周度观察(20250811-20250815):信用债发行环比减少,总成交量环比下降-20250816
EBSCN· 2025-08-16 14:03
Report Investment Rating - The document does not mention the industry investment rating. Core Viewpoints - In the week from August 11 to August 15, 2025, the issuance of credit bonds decreased month - on - month, and the total trading volume also declined month - on - month. The credit spreads showed different trends in various industries, regions, and enterprise types [1][4]. Summary by Directory 1. Primary Market 1.1 Issuance Statistics - A total of 409 credit bonds were issued, with a total issuance scale of 335.034 billion yuan, a month - on - month decrease of 23.50%. Among them, 185 industrial bonds were issued, with a scale of 167.545 billion yuan (down 4.78% month - on - month, accounting for 50.01%); 188 urban investment bonds were issued, with a scale of 107.989 billion yuan (down 9.87% month - on - month, accounting for 32.23%); 36 financial bonds were issued, with a scale of 59.5 billion yuan (down 58.16% month - on - month, accounting for 17.76%) [1][11]. - The average issuance term of credit bonds was 2.92 years. The average issuance term of industrial bonds was 2.55 years, urban investment bonds was 3.36 years, and financial bonds was 2.31 years [1][14]. - The average issuance coupon rate of credit bonds was 2.13%. The average issuance coupon rate of industrial bonds was 2.08%, urban investment bonds was 2.24%, and financial bonds was 1.88% [2][20]. 1.2 Cancellation of Issuance Statistics - Nine credit bonds cancelled their issuance this week [3][24]. 2. Secondary Market 2.1 Credit Spread Tracking - The overall industry credit spreads increased this week. Different industries, enterprise types, and regions showed different trends in credit spread changes. For example, among the Shenwan primary industries, the largest increase in AAA - rated industry credit spreads was in the public utilities sector (up 4.8BP), and the largest decrease was in the non - ferrous metals sector (down 0.9BP) [3][26]. 2.2 Trading Volume Statistics - The total trading volume of credit bonds was 110.8575 billion yuan, a month - on - month decrease of 12.25%. The top three in terms of trading volume were commercial bank bonds, corporate bonds, and medium - term notes [4][29]. 2.3 Actively Traded Bonds This Week - The report lists the top 20 actively traded urban investment bonds, industrial bonds, and financial bonds in terms of trading volume this week, including information such as security codes, security names, trading volumes, yields, and issuers [33][36].
【固收】信用债发行环比增加,各行业信用利差整体上行——信用债周度观察(20250721-20250725)(张旭/秦方好)
光大证券研究· 2025-07-28 01:28
Group 1: Primary Market - In the week from July 21 to July 25, 2025, a total of 414 credit bonds were issued, with a total issuance scale of 592.83 billion, representing a week-on-week increase of 47.80% [3] - Among the issued bonds, industrial bonds accounted for 202 issues with a scale of 219.28 billion, a week-on-week increase of 24.66%, making up 36.99% of the total issuance [3] - City investment bonds totaled 166 issues with a scale of 109.63 billion, a week-on-week increase of 2.90%, representing 18.49% of the total [3] - Financial bonds had 46 issues with a scale of 263.92 billion, a week-on-week increase of 122.44%, accounting for 44.52% of the total [3] - The average issuance term for credit bonds was 3.35 years, with industrial bonds at 3.38 years, city investment bonds at 3.75 years, and financial bonds at 1.66 years [3] - The overall average coupon rate for credit bonds was 2.08%, with industrial bonds at 2.01%, city investment bonds at 2.25%, and financial bonds at 1.83% [3] - A total of 23 credit bonds were canceled during the week [3] Group 2: Secondary Market - Credit spreads increased across industries, with the largest increase in AAA-rated industries being in pharmaceuticals, which rose by 7.6 basis points, while electronics saw a decrease of 1.5 basis points [4] - For AA+ rated industries, real estate experienced the largest increase in credit spreads by 8.9 basis points, while building materials decreased by 15.3 basis points [4] - In the AA-rated category, electronics had the largest increase in credit spreads by 7.5 basis points, while building materials decreased by 0.5 basis points [4] - In terms of city investment bonds, the largest increase in AAA-rated credit spreads was in Shaanxi, which rose by 5.3 basis points, while Yunnan saw a decrease of 1.2 basis points [4] - For AA+ rated credit spreads, Fujian had the largest increase of 6.4 basis points, while Qinghai decreased by 1.2 basis points [4] - The largest increase in AA-rated credit spreads was in Hubei, which rose by 6.5 basis points, while Sichuan decreased by 2 basis points [4] Group 3: Trading Volume - The top three credit bonds by trading volume were commercial bank bonds, corporate bonds, and medium-term notes [5] - Commercial bank bonds had a trading volume of 573.26 billion, a week-on-week increase of 35.93%, accounting for 37.04% of the total trading volume [5] - Corporate bonds had a trading volume of 368.42 billion, a week-on-week increase of 1.83%, representing 23.81% of the total [5] - Medium-term notes had a trading volume of 327.90 billion, a week-on-week decrease of 4.54%, making up 21.19% of the total [5]
【固收】信用债发行环比减少,各行业信用利差涨跌互现——信用债周度观察(20250714-20250718)(张旭/秦方好)
光大证券研究· 2025-07-20 14:03
Group 1: Primary Market - In the week from July 14 to July 18, 2025, a total of 386 credit bonds were issued, with a total issuance scale of 401.095 billion yuan, a decrease of 14.72% week-on-week [2] - Among the issued bonds, industrial bonds accounted for 173 issues with a scale of 175.91 billion yuan, down 2.02%, representing 43.86% of the total issuance [2] - City investment bonds had 178 issues with a scale of 106.535 billion yuan, an increase of 16.25%, making up 26.56% of the total [2] - Financial bonds totaled 35 issues with a scale of 118.65 billion yuan, down 40.42%, accounting for 29.58% of the total [2] - The average issuance term for credit bonds was 3.17 years, with industrial bonds averaging 2.39 years, city investment bonds 4.07 years, and financial bonds 2.21 years [2] - The overall average coupon rate for credit bonds was 2.07%, with industrial bonds at 1.93%, city investment bonds at 2.25%, and financial bonds at 1.83% [2] Group 2: Secondary Market - Credit spreads varied by industry, with the largest increase in AAA-rated spreads in the pharmaceutical and biological sector, up 6.1 basis points, while the largest decrease was in the electronics sector, down 2.8 basis points [4] - For AA+ rated spreads, the steel industry saw the largest increase of 8 basis points, while the pharmaceutical and biological sector had the largest decrease of 5 basis points [5] - In the city investment bond sector, the largest increase in AAA-rated spreads was in Jilin, up 1.8 basis points, while Shanxi saw the largest decrease, down 3.4 basis points [5] - The trading volume for credit bonds ranked as follows: commercial bank bonds at 433.848 billion yuan (up 2.87%), company bonds at 356.402 billion yuan (down 1.49%), and medium-term notes at 324.001 billion yuan (down 5.68%) [5]