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新股发行及今日交易提示-20250522
HWABAO SECURITIES· 2025-05-22 09:45
New Stock Offerings - ST New潮 (600777) has a tender offer period from April 23, 2025, to May 22, 2025[1] - ST 立方 (300344) announced on May 14, 2025[1] - 利君股份 (002651) reported severe abnormal fluctuations on May 19, 2025[1] Trading Alerts - ST尔雅 (600107) announced on May 22, 2025[1] - *ST岩石 (600696) announced on May 22, 2025[1] - 乐山电力 (600644) announced on May 22, 2025[1] Abnormal Fluctuations - 依依股份 (001206) reported abnormal fluctuations on May 22, 2025[1] - *ST智胜 (002253) reported abnormal fluctuations on May 22, 2025[1] - *ST赛隆 (002898) reported abnormal fluctuations on May 22, 2025[1]
市场环境因子跟踪周报(2025.05.16):赚钱效应偏弱,小盘或将面临调整-20250521
HWABAO SECURITIES· 2025-05-21 08:42
- The report tracks various market environment factors for the week of May 12, 2025, to May 16, 2025[2][10] - The report includes a detailed analysis of stock market factors, commodity market factors, options market factors, and convertible bond market factors[7][11][28][36][38] - The stock market factors include market style, market structure, and market activity, with specific metrics such as size and value-growth style volatility, industry index excess return dispersion, and turnover rate[11][12][13] - The commodity market factors include trend strength, basis momentum, volatility, and liquidity, with specific metrics such as the trend strength of energy and black metal sectors, and the volatility of precious metals, non-ferrous metals, and agricultural products[28][30] - The options market factors include implied volatility levels and skewness of call and put options for the SSE 50 and CSI 1000 indices, indicating potential adjustment risks for small-cap stocks[36][37] - The convertible bond market factors include pure bond premium rate, conversion premium rate, and trading volume, with specific metrics such as the stability of the pure bond premium rate and the increase in the proportion of low conversion premium rate bonds[38][39][41] Quantitative Models and Construction Methods 1. **Stock Market Factors** - **Factor Name**: Market Style - **Construction Idea**: Track the performance and volatility of different market styles such as size and value-growth - **Construction Process**: - Measure the performance of large-cap vs. small-cap stocks - Measure the performance of value vs. growth stocks - Calculate the volatility of these styles over the week - **Evaluation**: The market style showed a preference for small-cap and growth stocks, with increased volatility from low levels[11][13] 2. **Commodity Market Factors** - **Factor Name**: Trend Strength - **Construction Idea**: Assess the strength of trends in various commodity sectors - **Construction Process**: - Analyze the price trends in energy, black metals, non-ferrous metals, agricultural products, and precious metals - Calculate the trend strength for each sector - **Evaluation**: Energy and black metal sectors continued to show strong trends, while other sectors had weaker trends[28][30] 3. **Options Market Factors** - **Factor Name**: Implied Volatility and Skewness - **Construction Idea**: Track the implied volatility and skewness of call and put options to gauge market sentiment - **Construction Process**: - Measure the implied volatility levels of SSE 50 and CSI 1000 indices - Calculate the skewness of call and put options for these indices - **Evaluation**: The implied volatility and skewness indicated potential adjustment risks for small-cap stocks[36][37] 4. **Convertible Bond Market Factors** - **Factor Name**: Conversion Premium Rate - **Construction Idea**: Monitor the premium rates and trading volume of convertible bonds - **Construction Process**: - Track the pure bond premium rate and conversion premium rate - Measure the trading volume of convertible bonds - **Evaluation**: The market showed stability in pure bond premium rates and an increase in low conversion premium rate bonds[38][39][41] Backtesting Results of Factors 1. **Stock Market Factors** - **Size Style Volatility**: Increased from low levels[11][13] - **Value-Growth Style Volatility**: Increased from low levels[11][13] - **Industry Index Excess Return Dispersion**: Decreased[11][13] - **Turnover Rate**: Decreased[12][13] 2. **Commodity Market Factors** - **Trend Strength**: Strong in energy and black metal sectors[28][30] - **Volatility**: Low in precious metals, non-ferrous metals, and agricultural products; high in energy and black metal sectors[28][30] - **Liquidity**: Best in the energy sector[28][30] 3. **Options Market Factors** - **Implied Volatility**: Stabilized after a mid-week jump[36][37] - **Skewness**: Increased for both call and put options in SSE 50; increased for put options in CSI 1000[36][37] 4. **Convertible Bond Market Factors** - **Pure Bond Premium Rate**: Stable[38][39][41] - **Conversion Premium Rate**: Stable[38][39][41] - **Trading Volume**: Reached the median level of the past year[38][39][41]
新股发行及今日交易提示-20250521
HWABAO SECURITIES· 2025-05-21 05:58
| 新股发行及今日交易提示 | 2025/5/21 | 星期三 | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2025/5/21 | 内地市场权益提示 | 类别 | 证券代码 | 证券简称 | 权益日期 | 最新公告链接 | | https://www.cninfo.com.cn/new/disclosure/detail?stockCode=600777&announcementId=122356 | 要约收购 | 600777 | ST新潮 | 要约申报期:2025年4月23日至2025年5月22日 | 9349&orgId=gssh0600777&announcementTime=2025 | -05-17 | | https://www.cninfo.com.cn/new/disclosure/detail?stockCode=300630&announcementId=122360 | 300630 | 普利退 | 最后交易日:2025年5月21日 | 7168&orgId=9900031463&announcementTime=20 ...
ETF及指数产品网格策略周报-20250520
HWABAO SECURITIES· 2025-05-20 08:13
Group 1 - The report outlines a grid trading strategy that capitalizes on price fluctuations rather than predicting market trends, making it suitable for volatile markets [3][14] - Characteristics of suitable grid trading targets include being exchange-traded, having stable long-term trends, low transaction costs, good liquidity, and high volatility, with equity ETFs being particularly appropriate [3][14] Group 2 - The report highlights the pharmaceutical ETF (512010.SH), which benefits from the aging global population and increasing medical demand, alongside policy shifts towards innovation in drug development [5][15] - The report discusses the semiconductor ETF (588290.SH), which is expected to benefit from high industry demand, domestic substitution, and favorable policies, particularly in the context of AI and 5G technologies [6][19] - The robotics ETF (562500.SH) is noted for its transition from experimental to commercial applications, with significant growth projected in the industry supported by national policies [7][21] - The Hang Seng Technology ETF (513260.SH) is highlighted for its coverage of quality tech companies and favorable market conditions, with a current PE-TTM of 21.06, indicating investment potential [8][24] Group 3 - The report suggests that investors can enhance returns by diversifying their grid trading strategies across different ETFs with low correlation, such as combining broad-based and sector-specific ETFs [28] - A table of additional ETFs suitable for grid trading is provided, including various sectors and investment focuses, indicating a broad range of options for investors [29][31]
新股发行及今日交易提示-20250520
HWABAO SECURITIES· 2025-05-20 07:26
New Stock Offerings - ST新潮 (600777) is undergoing a tender offer period from April 23, 2025, to May 22, 2025[1] - 普利退 (300630) and 普利转退 (123099) have 1 trading day remaining until the last trading day[1] - ST立方 (300344) and 利君股份 (002651) have recent announcements but no specific actions noted[1] Market Alerts - 成飞集成 (002190) reported severe abnormal fluctuations[1] - *ST凌云B (900957) and 恒而达 (300946) have recent announcements with no specific actions noted[1] - 华阳新材 (600281) and 江天化学 (300927) have recent announcements with no specific actions noted[1] Other Notable Stocks - *ST恒久 (002808) and 豪恩汽电 (301488) have recent announcements with no specific actions noted[1] - 安纳达 (002136) and 吉华集团 (603980) have recent announcements with no specific actions noted[1] - *ST双成 (002693) and 天汽模 (002510) have recent announcements with no specific actions noted[1]
公募基金量化遴选类策略指数跟踪周报(2025.05.18):海内外权益市场近短期前高,分歧阻力或带来逢低布局机会-20250520
HWABAO SECURITIES· 2025-05-20 07:15
Group 1: Investment Rating - No investment rating information is provided in the report. Group 2: Core Views - After the Sino - US economic and trade talks, the A - share market is close to the previous high with increased divergence and resistance, but there are good layout opportunities after short - term adjustments. Overseas, the US stock market has shown a relatively strong performance, and there are opportunities for overseas investment, but short - term risks need to be noted [3][4][5]. - The quantitative strategy configuration view is: stock fund enhancement strategy > evergreen low - volatility strategy > overseas equity strategy. In the A - share market, the evergreen low - volatility strategy can be used as a base configuration, and part of the low - volatility strategy can be switched to the enhancement strategy. For overseas investment, investors with low overseas positions can appropriately buy on dips, while those with high positions can take profits [4]. - In the long - term, the US stock market is still expected to reverse and rise, and its long - term allocation value remains unchanged [5]. Group 3: Summary of Relevant Sections 3.1 Tool - based Fund Portfolio Performance Tracking - **Evergreen Low - Volatility Fund Portfolio**: Since the strategy started on July 31, 2023, it has maintained low - volatility characteristics, with significant excess returns. It has low drawdowns in volatile markets and good gains in rebound markets, combining defense and offense [15]. - **Stock Fund Enhancement Fund Portfolio**: The strategy has been running for a short time. Its performance is close to the CSI Active Stock Fund Index. It is expected to show stronger elasticity after the market environment improves and can maintain a similar trend to the benchmark in a weak market [17]. - **Cash - Enhancing Fund Portfolio**: After double - screening, it continuously outperforms the benchmark. Since the strategy started at the end of July 2023, the excess return has been continuously accumulated, exceeding 0.39%, providing a reference for cash management [18]. - **Overseas Equity Allocation Fund Portfolio**: Since July 31, 2023, in the context of the Fed's interest - rate cut cycle and the boost of artificial intelligence, it has accumulated high - level excess returns, and global allocation can increase the returns of equity portfolios [21]. 3.2 Tool - based Fund Portfolio Construction Ideas - **Evergreen Low - Volatility Fund Portfolio**: It is constructed by combining fund position - dimension factors and net - value dimension factors to meet the defensive needs of investors in high - risk markets and the needs of investors with moderate risk preferences [22]. - **Stock Fund Enhancement Fund Portfolio**: It aims to find funds with higher Alpha returns, combining restrictions on industry balance and position style exposure, providing a more offensive choice for investors with high - risk preferences [22]. - **Cash - Enhancing Fund Portfolio**: Based on multi - dimensional characteristic factors of money funds, a money - fund screening system is constructed to help investors optimize short - term idle funds [23]. - **Overseas Equity Allocation Fund Portfolio**: Based on overseas equity market indices, it selects QDII equity funds according to long - and short - term technical indicators, providing an auxiliary tool for global investment [25].
ETF策略指数跟踪周报-20250519
HWABAO SECURITIES· 2025-05-19 05:42
hjn 2025 年 05 月 19 日 证券研究报告 | 公募基金周报 ETF 策略指数跟踪周报 2025/5/19 分析师:卫以诺 分析师登记编码:S0890518120001 电话:021-20321014 邮箱:weiyinuo@cnhbstock.com 分析师登记编码:S0890522110001 电话:021-20321297 邮箱:chengbingzhe@cnhbstock.com 021-20515355 1、《经贸会谈缓解关税紧张局势,持续关 注逢低布局机会 —公募基金量化遴选类 策 略 指 数 跟 踪 周 报 ( 2025.05.11)》 2025-05-13 2、《ETF策略指数跟踪周报—2025/5/12》 2025-05-12 3、《ETF 策略指数跟踪周报—2025/5/7》 2025-05-07 4、《关税态度放缓助海外反弹,关注底部 区域布局机会 —公募基金量化遴选类策 略 指 数 跟 踪 周 报 ( 2025.04.27 )》 2025-04-29 2025-04-28 投资要点 分析师:程秉哲 华宝研究大小盘轮动 ETF 策略指数:华宝研究大小盘轮动 ETF 策略指数利 ...
策略周报:关税超预期调降,资金为何转向防御?-20250518
HWABAO SECURITIES· 2025-05-18 11:13
2025 年 05 月 18 日 证券研究报告 | 策略周报 关税超预期调降,资金为何转向防御? 策略周报 分析师:刘芳 分析师登记编码:S0890524100002 电话:021-20321091 邮箱:liufang@cnhbstock.com 相关研究报告 1、《关税窗口期应如何博弈?—策略周 报》2025-05-11 2、《政治局会议临近,应如何布局?— 策略周报》2025-04-20 3、《关税对 A 股哪些行业影响较大?— 策略周报》2025-04-13 4、《关税迷雾叠加美股震荡,资产应如 何配置?—策略周报》2025-03-30 5、《科技主线重燃,二次上行可期 —策 略周报》2025-03-09 投资要点 分析师:郝一凡 【债市方面】短期长端债券面临波动。中美经贸高层会谈达成重要共识,并取 得实质性进展,在一定程度上提振了市场情绪。出口预期修复和风险偏好提振 下,债市长端或面临波动调整压力。不过长期来看,4 月制造业 PMI 回落至荣 枯线下方,出口增速下滑压力尚未完全显现,但关税调整对基本面的影响或逐 步释放,支撑债市避险需求。 销售服务电话: 【股市方面】短期维持震荡,行业轮动加剧。当前 ...
策略指数跟踪月报(2025年5月期):关税风波引发权益市场下跌,量化策略超额表现优异-20250516
HWABAO SECURITIES· 2025-05-16 10:46
2025 年 05 月 16 日 证券研究报告 | 金融工程月报 关税风波引发权益市场下跌,量化策 略超额表现优异 策略指数跟踪月报(2025 年 5 月期) 分析师:程秉哲 分析师登记编码:S0890522110001 电话:021-20321297 邮箱:chengbingzhe@cnhbstock.com 分析师登记编码:S0890524100001 电话:021-20321081 邮箱:baiyifan@cnhbstock.com 销售服务电话: 021-20515355 益还能保持吗?—策略环境跟踪月报 (2025 年 4 月期)》2025-04-16 2、《小盘风格强势,为何公募指增超额较 少?—策略环境跟踪月报(2025 年 3 月 期)》2025-03-12 3、《当前是否是中性策略止盈的好时 机?—策略环境跟踪月报(2025 年 2 月 期)》2025-02-13 —策略环境跟踪月报(2025 年 1 月期)》 2025-01-15 5、《市场成交活跃,Alpha 策略收益修复 —策略环境跟踪月报》2024-12-10 投资要点 本月报统计时间为 2025.04.01 至 2025.04.3 ...
新股发行及今日交易提示-20250516
HWABAO SECURITIES· 2025-05-16 07:37
| 新股发行及今日交易提示 | 2025/5/16 | 星期五 | | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2025/5/16 | 新股上市 | 证券代码 | 证券简称 | 发行价格 | | | | | 301636 | 泽润新能 | 33.06 | 688755 | 汉邦科技 | 22.77 | | | | 2025/5/16 | 内地市场权益提示 | 类别 | 证券代码 | 证券简称 | 权益日期 | 最新公告链接 | | | https://www.cninfo.com.cn/new/disclosure/detail?stockCode=600777&announcementId=122353 | 要约收购 | 600777 | ST新潮 | 要约申报期:2025年4月23日至2025年5月22日 | 6545&orgId=gssh0600777&announcementTime=2025 | -05-14 | | | http://www.cninfo.com.cn/new/disclosure/detail?sto ...