Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, expecting a relative stock price return of over 20% within the next six months [10]. Core Insights - The company reported strong Q1 FY25 results with revenue of $1.5 billion, a year-on-year increase of 26%, and adjusted net income of $150 million, up 196% year-on-year [1]. - The company has raised its full-year guidance for FY25, projecting revenue growth of 15-17% and adjusted EPS of $0.67-$0.72 [3][4]. - The outdoor performance segment showed significant improvement, with the Greater China region leading growth at 43% year-on-year [2]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - Q1 FY25 revenue reached $1.5 billion, with an adjusted gross margin of 58% and an adjusted operating profit margin (OPM) of 16% [1]. - Adjusted net income for Q1 was $150 million, translating to a diluted EPS of $0.27 [1]. Segment Performance - By category, technical apparel revenue was $700 million (+32% YoY), outdoor revenue was $500 million (+29% YoY), and racquet sports revenue was $300 million (+13% YoY) [2]. - By region, Greater China revenue grew by 43%, while the Americas and EMEA regions saw a 12% increase [2]. Store Expansion and Direct-to-Consumer (DTC) Growth - The company opened 220 technical apparel stores (+30 YoY) and 243 outdoor stores (+104 YoY), contributing to a DTC revenue increase of 39% [2]. - Same-store sales growth was 19% for technical apparel, 28% for outdoor, and 12% for racquet sports [2]. Revised Guidance - The company has adjusted its FY25 guidance upwards, now expecting revenue growth of 15-17% and an adjusted OPM of 11.5-12% [3]. - For Q2 FY25, the guidance includes revenue growth of 16-18% and an adjusted EPS of $0-$0.02 [3]. Earnings Forecast - The company forecasts revenues of $6 billion, $6.9 billion, and $7.9 billion for FY24, FY25, and FY26 respectively, with adjusted net income estimates of $380 million, $510 million, and $630 million [4]. - Corresponding EPS estimates are $0.69, $0.92, and $1.14 for FY24, FY25, and FY26 respectively [4].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, expecting a relative stock price return of over 20% within the next six months [10]. Core Insights - The company reported strong Q1 FY25 results with revenue of $1.5 billion, a year-on-year increase of 26% (at constant currency), and adjusted net income of $150 million, up 196% year-on-year [1]. - The company has raised its full-year guidance for FY25, projecting revenue growth of 15-17% year-on-year and adjusted EPS of $0.67-$0.72 [3][4]. - The outdoor performance segment showed significant improvement, with the Greater China region leading growth at 43% year-on-year [2]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - Q1 FY25 revenue reached $1.5 billion, with an adjusted gross margin of 58% (up 3 percentage points year-on-year) and adjusted operating profit margin (OPM) of 16% (up 5 percentage points year-on-year) [1]. - Adjusted net income for Q1 was $150 million, translating to a diluted EPS of $0.27 [1]. Segment Performance - By category, technical apparel revenue was $700 million (up 32% year-on-year), outdoor revenue was $500 million (up 29% year-on-year), and racquet sports revenue was $300 million (up 13% year-on-year) [2]. - By region, revenue in the Americas grew by 12%, Greater China by 43%, EMEA by 12%, and Asia-Pacific by 49% [2]. Guidance and Projections - The company has adjusted its FY24-26 revenue forecasts to $6 billion, $6.9 billion, and $7.9 billion respectively, up from previous estimates of $5.2 billion, $6 billion, and $6.9 billion [4]. - Adjusted net income projections for FY24-26 are now $380 million, $510 million, and $630 million, respectively [4].

Group 1: Shipping Freight Index - The shipping index includes SCFI comprehensive index, SCFIS European route, and container index (European route) futures, which reflect the pricing of freight futures and the impact of tariffs [1][9][10] - The SCFI comprehensive index has shown a rebound since May 9, increasing by 9% compared to the end of March, influenced by export rush and transshipment [10][13] - The China Container Freight Index (CCFI) has fluctuated this year, hitting a low on April 3 and then rebounding, with the CCFI comprehensive index increasing by 0.2% from its low as of May 16 [13][15] Group 2: Port Cargo Throughput - Domestic port cargo throughput has shown resilience, with container throughput reaching a record high on April 27, 2023, despite a brief decline earlier in the month [2][20][23] - The Port of Los Angeles, the busiest port in the U.S., saw its import container throughput drop to the lowest level since June 2024 by May 10, indicating negative impacts from tariffs on U.S. imports and exports [2][22][24] Group 3: Domestic Production Activity - The high-frequency economic activity index from the First Financial Research Institute has been declining since the end of March but remains above 1, indicating stronger economic activity compared to the previous year [3][27][29] - The manufacturing PMI new export orders index fell from 49% to 44.7%, while the EPMI production index dropped from 67.7% in March to 51.6% [29][30] Group 4: Trade Outlook - South Korea's Export Situation - South Korea's export data showed stronger-than-seasonal growth in early April, with fluctuations in mid-April likely related to trade negotiations with the U.S. [4][30][32] - By May, South Korea's exports were weaker than seasonal expectations, indicating ongoing volatility ahead of the conclusion of U.S.-Korea trade talks [4][32][34]

Investment Rating - The industry rating is "Outperform the Market" (maintained rating) [4] Core Viewpoints - The high-speed camera market is experiencing rapid growth, with domestic substitution demand further increasing. The market size of China's high-speed machine vision industry was approximately 10 billion in 2022, with an expected average annual growth rate of about 22% from 2023 to 2028, potentially exceeding 33 billion by 2028 [1][30] - The report highlights that Zhongke Shijie is one of the few domestic companies capable of producing commercial high-speed cameras independently, with a market share that increased from 8.6% in 2019 to 22.2% in 2022. The company is expected to achieve rapid growth under the backdrop of domestic substitution and self-control [2][38] - Fuhuang Steel Structure plans to acquire Zhongke Shijie to transform into the high-speed vision field, opening a second growth curve for the company [2][39] Summary by Sections 1. Zhongke Shijie: Layout in High-Speed Vision New Track - Zhongke Shijie is a leading domestic manufacturer of high-speed cameras, having launched the first domestic 10,000-frame high-speed camera in 2017. The company has developed a range of products, including ultra-high-speed cameras and scientific-grade cameras, and has achieved significant technological advancements [10][16] 2. Demand Side: Broad Downstream Application Scenarios - The downstream applications of high-speed vision technology are extensive, covering industrial automation, intelligent transportation, aerospace, medical imaging, and security monitoring. The company has built a rich customer base, including major universities and large industrial enterprises [27][32] 3. Supply Side: Steady Increase in Domestic Market Share - Zhongke Shijie's market share has steadily increased, positioning it among the top brands in the high-speed vision field. The company has achieved a 58% share of the global high-speed camera bidding situation as of December 2024, reflecting a 14% increase compared to the same period in 2023 [38] 4. Fuhuang Steel Structure: Traditional Main Business and Active Layout for Industrial Upgrade - Fuhuang Steel Structure has a strong foundation in steel structure manufacturing and is actively pursuing industrial upgrades. The company has established three intelligent manufacturing bases and is expanding its production capacity through strategic partnerships [39][45] 5. Financial Performance - From 2020 to November 2024, Zhongke Shijie's revenue has shown a growth trajectory, with figures of 0.41 billion, 0.77 billion, 1.52 billion, 1.91 billion, and 1.79 billion respectively. However, the net profit has fluctuated, indicating challenges in maintaining profitability [21][22]

Industry Rating - The industry investment rating is maintained at "Outperform" [1] Core Viewpoints - Short-term focus on the new order cycle and accelerated delivery leading to improved capacity utilization and reduced variable costs, indicating a potential turnaround for companies in the sector [2] - Long-term attention on the reform dividends from equipment procurement and supply system changes, emphasizing the strategic importance of the types of equipment produced and the innovative leadership in processes, materials, and components [2] Summary by Sections 2024A & 2025Q1 Financial Analysis - The defense and military industry reported total revenue of 680.77 billion yuan in 2024, a year-over-year decline of 2.09%, with a net profit of 24.22 billion yuan, down 38.69% year-over-year [5][9] - The first quarter of 2025 showed total revenue of 130.11 billion yuan, a decline of 2.84% year-over-year, with a net profit of 6.22 billion yuan, down 18.37% year-over-year [5][9] - The industry is expected to enter a new procurement cycle in 2025, following the resolution of negative factors affecting performance [5][9] Structural Differentiation - The recovery of the sector is accompanied by increasing structural differentiation among various sub-sectors and companies, with significant growth in missile-related operations and fixed assets maintaining over 10% growth [5][9] - The industry is characterized by a co-existence of downward cycles in performance and upward cycles in supply-side capabilities, indicating a solid long-term fundamental outlook [5][9] Key Companies to Watch - Companies to focus on include: - Aviation mainframe manufacturers: AVIC Shenyang Aircraft, AVIC Harbin Aircraft, AVIC Engine, and AVIC Xi'an Aircraft [16][17] - New materials: Fushun Special Steel, Steel Research Institute, and others [19][20] - Military electronics: Huazhong University of Science and Technology, and others [21][22] - Missile manufacturers: North Navigation, and others [30][31] Financial Metrics - The overall gross margin for the defense and military sector was 19.77% in 2024, with a net profit margin of 3.56% [9][10] - The sector's fixed assets and construction in progress grew by 6.86% in 2024, indicating ongoing investment despite short-term challenges [14][26] Market Trends - The industry is witnessing a shift towards informationization and smart technologies, with new models expected to drive demand in the coming years [23] - The focus on military-civilian integration is expected to enhance the growth of new materials, with increasing penetration of military applications in civilian products [20]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Hold" [7] Core Views - The company achieved impressive performance in 2024 with total revenue of 1.345 billion, a year-on-year increase of 40.22%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 311 million, up 96.17% year-on-year [1] - The company has a strong order backlog, with new orders amounting to 1.528 billion by the end of 2024, representing a year-on-year growth of 38.31% [3] - The company is expanding its overseas market presence, with significant growth in overseas contract revenue, particularly in the US and Europe [4] Financial Performance - In 2024, the company reported revenue of 1.345 billion, with a gross margin of 43.62% and a net margin of 23.10% [1] - The breakdown of revenue by business segments in 2024 includes: - Substation composite insulators: 879 million, up 34.71% year-on-year, with a gross margin of 46.98% - Rubber seals: 223 million, up 14.10% year-on-year, with a gross margin of 46.86% - Power transmission and distribution line composite insulators: 209 million, up 126.57% year-on-year, with a gross margin of 25.95% [2] - The company’s net profit forecast for 2025-2027 is adjusted to 420 million, 552 million, and 701 million respectively, with corresponding P/E ratios of 27, 20, and 16 [5] Order Backlog - As of the end of 2024, the company had a robust order backlog with new orders of 1.528 billion, including 786 million from domestic markets and 742 million from overseas [3] Overseas Expansion - The company has made significant progress in its overseas market strategy, with overseas contract revenue exceeding 100 million, a growth of over 200% [4] - The construction of a factory in the US is progressing well, with an expected production start in 2027 [4]

行业报告 | 行业专题研究 建筑装饰 证券研究报告 国产替代系列：富煌钢构拟收购中科视界布局第二曲 线，看好高速视觉领域需求成长及国产替代加速 高速摄像机市场高速增长，国产替代需求进一步提升 中科视界是国内少数能够自主生产商品化高速摄像仪的企业，2017 年公司 发布了国产首台万帧级高速相机。高速视觉是一种基于图像处理和计算机视 觉技术的视觉感知技术，公司下游主要为科研客户、工业客户以及军工客户。 2022 年中国高速机器视觉行业市场规模约 100 亿元，其中高速摄像机整机 约占 32 亿元，约占 32%，在新兴技术发展、下游市场增长、国产化替代进 程加快等因素的驱动下，预计 2023-2028 年年均复合增速约为 22%，到 2028 年中国高速机器视觉行业市场规模或将突破 330 亿元。 高速视觉领域技术壁垒较高，中科视界市场份额快速提升 高速机器视觉行业具有较高的技术壁垒，头部主要为 Phantom、Photron 等 国际高速摄像机龙头，在美国对高速摄像仪进行出口管制背景下，公司产品 市占率由 2019 年 8.6%提升至 2022 年的 22.2%，公司已基本拥有和第一梯队 企业竞争的实力产品，我们 ...

Shipping Price Index - The SCFI composite index has shown a rebound of 9% from the end of March to mid-May, influenced by export rush and tariff impacts[10] - The CCFI index, the second largest shipping price index globally, fell to its annual low on April 3, down 27% from the end of 2024, but has since rebounded slightly[13] - The BDI index has been on a downward trend since late March, hitting a low on April 16 before a slight rebound, and then declining again from May 7[17] Port Cargo Throughput - Chinese port cargo throughput has shown resilience, with container throughput reaching a record high on April 27, surpassing 6 million TEUs[20] - The Port of Los Angeles, the busiest in the U.S., saw its import container throughput drop to the lowest level since June 2024 by May 10, indicating negative impacts from tariffs[22] Domestic Production Activity - The high-frequency economic activity index from the First Financial Research Institute has been declining since late March but remains above 1, indicating stronger activity compared to the previous year[29] - The manufacturing PMI new export orders index fell from 49% to 44.7%, while the EPMI production index dropped from 67.7% to 51.6%[29] Trade Outlook - South Korea's exports showed stronger-than-seasonal growth in early and late April, but weakened in mid-April, reflecting the impact of tariff negotiations with the U.S.[30] - The volatility in South Korean exports is expected to continue until the conclusion of U.S.-Korea trade negotiations[30] Risk Factors - Potential risks include unexpected geopolitical conflicts, domestic policy implementation falling short of expectations, and tighter overseas liquidity conditions[36]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Hold" rating for the company [7] Core Views - The company achieved impressive performance in 2024, with total revenue of 1.345 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 40.22%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 311 million yuan, up 96.17% year-on-year [1] - The company has a strong order backlog, with new orders amounting to 1.528 billion yuan by the end of 2024, representing a year-on-year increase of 38.31% [3] - The company is expanding its overseas market presence, with significant growth in overseas contract revenue, particularly in the U.S. and Europe [4] Financial Performance Summary - In 2024, the company reported revenue of 1.345 billion yuan, with a gross margin of 43.62% and a net margin of 23.10% [1] - The breakdown of revenue by business segment in 2024 includes: - Substation composite insulators: 879 million yuan, up 34.71% year-on-year, with a gross margin of 46.98% - Rubber seals: 223 million yuan, up 14.10% year-on-year, with a gross margin of 46.86% - Power transmission and distribution composite insulators: 209 million yuan, up 126.57% year-on-year, with a gross margin of 25.95% [2] - The company’s revenue forecast for 2025-2027 has been adjusted to 1.87 billion, 2.62 billion, and 3.53 billion yuan, respectively [5] Order Backlog and Market Expansion - As of the end of 2024, the company had a robust order backlog, with new orders of 1.528 billion yuan, including 786 million yuan from domestic markets and 742 million yuan from overseas markets [3] - The company is making significant progress in building a factory in the U.S., expected to be operational by 2027, which will further enhance its overseas market capabilities [4]

Core Insights - The report maintains a positive outlook on the defense and military industry, indicating a potential recovery in performance as the new procurement cycle begins in 2025, following a challenging 2024 [1][5][9] - Short-term focus should be on the acceleration of delivery and improved capacity utilization, while long-term attention should be on the reform benefits from equipment procurement and supply chain changes [2] 2024 Financial Performance - The defense and military sector reported total revenue of 680.77 billion yuan in 2024, a year-over-year decline of 2.09%, with a net profit of 24.22 billion yuan, down 38.69% [5][9][12] - The overall gross margin stabilized at 19.77%, despite a decrease in net margin to 3.56% [9][10] 2025 Q1 Performance - In Q1 2025, the sector generated revenue of 130.11 billion yuan, a decrease of 2.84% year-over-year, with a net profit of 6.22 billion yuan, down 18.37% [5][9] - Positive signals from upstream inventory replenishment were noted, particularly in military electronics, which saw a revenue increase of 12.03% [5][9] Structural Differentiation - The report highlights increasing structural differentiation among various segments within the defense sector, with missile and related transactions expected to see significant growth in 2025 [5][9][14] - The report emphasizes the importance of strategic direction in equipment models and the innovation of processes, materials, and components [2][5] Key Segments to Watch - Notable companies to focus on include: - **Aerospace and Engine Manufacturing**: Companies like Runbei Aerospace, Aero Engine Corporation, and Longda Co. are highlighted for their potential in domestic production [5][9] - **Military Electronics**: Companies such as Zhonghang Guangdian and Aerospace Electronics are recommended for their roles in the evolving military electronics landscape [5][22] - **New Materials**: Companies like Fushun Special Steel and Steel Research High-Tech are noted for their growth driven by military-civilian integration [5][20] Future Outlook - The report anticipates a gradual recovery in profitability and performance as the sector transitions from destocking to restocking phases, particularly in 2025 [5][9][23] - The ongoing reforms in the military procurement and supply chain are expected to create new growth opportunities for companies that can adapt to the changing landscape [2][5][26]