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万联证券:万联晨会-20250308
Wanlian Securities· 2025-03-07 18:11
市 场 研 究 研报精选 [Table_Title] 万联晨会 [Table_MeetReportDate] 2025 年 03 月 07 日 星期五 [Table_Summary] 概览 核心观点 【市场回顾】 周四,A 股三大指数全线上涨,上证指数收涨 1.17%,报 3381.1 点, 深证成指涨 1.77%,创业板指涨 2.02%。两市 A 股成交额约 1.91 万亿 元人民币,超 4200 股上涨。申万行业方面,计算机、传媒行业领涨; 概念板块方面,ERP、智谱 AI、AI 智能体概念涨幅居前。港股方面, 恒生指数收涨 3.29%,报 24369.71 点,恒生科技指数涨 5.4%。美国 三大股指全线收跌,道指跌 0.99%,标普 500 指数跌 1.78%,纳指跌 2.61%。欧洲及亚太股市多数上涨。 【重要新闻】 【十四届全国人大三次会议经济主题记者会召开】十四届全国人大三 次会议于 2025 年 3 月 6 日(星期四)下午 3 时,在梅地亚中心新闻 发布厅举行记者会,邀请国家发展和改革委员会主任郑栅洁、财政部 部长蓝佛安、商务部部长王文涛、中国人民银行行长潘功胜、中国证 券监督管理委员会主席 ...
传媒行业月报:2月四款重点新游上线,《龙之谷世界》IP市场价值凸显
Wanlian Securities· 2025-03-07 07:54
[Table_ReportType] ——传媒行业月报[Table_ReportDate] [投资要点: Table_Summary] ⚫ 新游情况:2025 年 2 月份共 4 款新重点手游上线。4 款上线的重 点新游分别是恺英网络发行的《彩虹橙》(2 月 14 日上线)、中手 游发行的《仙剑世界》(2 月 19 日上线)、盛趣游戏发行的《龙之 谷世界》(2 月 20 日上线)及儒意景秀发行的《荒野国度》(2 月 27 日上线)。 证券研究报告|传媒 [Table_Title] 2 月四款重点新游上线,《龙之谷世界》IP 市场价值凸显 [Table_IndustryRank] 游戏运营情况:《龙之谷世界》成功移植手游,IP 市场价值凸显。 《龙之谷》作为国内动作端游的标杆级 IP,凭借无锁定战斗系统、 流畅打击感以及独特副本机制,在端游市场积累了大量忠实用户, 为后续端游转手游奠定了坚实的用户基础。《龙之谷世界》在移动 端的复刻策略精准聚焦核心玩家需求,通过高度还原端游体验,强 化 IP 情怀共鸣,成功吸引端游存量用户下载,并拉动弃坑玩家回流, 并借助手游平台扩大用户渗透,表现较为突出,IP 价值凸显,2 ...
低空经济快评报告:政府工作报告再次提及低空经济,低空经济有望加速落地
Wanlian Securities· 2025-03-07 02:05
证券研究报告|交通运输 [Table_Title] 政府工作报告再次提及低空经济,低空经济 有望加速落地 [Table_ReportType] ——低空经济快评报告[Table_ReportDate] [行业核心观点: Table_Summary] 低空经济涉及产业链较长,产业综合带动能力较强,低空经 济是具有较强发展潜力的新兴产业。其产业链涉及高端制造 业、通信等多个行业,应用端广泛涵盖智慧城市、文旅观 光、科技农业等新业态,低空经济是典型的资金、技术与高 端人才密集型产业,产业规模空间广阔。从航空器制造、低 空运营服务到低空基础设施建设,蕴藏着较大的市场潜力待 激发。2024 年及 2025 年两次政府工作报告提及低空经济, 体现了政策端的大力扶持,但预计短期内较难在收入端体 现,建议关注相关事件驱动带来的板块机会,短期建议关注 低空基础设施建设领域相关标的。 事件:2025 年 3 月 5 日,政府工作报告中提到"培育壮大新兴 产业、未来产业。深入推进战略性新兴产业融合集群发展。开展 新技术新产品新场景大规模应用示范行动,推动商业航天、低空 经济等新兴产业安全健康发展。建立未来产业投入增长机制,培 育生 ...
万联证券:万联晨会-20250307
Wanlian Securities· 2025-03-06 18:25
市 场 研 究 [Table_Title] 万联晨会 [Table_MeetReportDate] 2025 年 03 月 06 日 星期四 [Table_Summary] 概览 核心观点 【市场回顾】 周三,A 股三大指数震荡走高,上证指数收涨 0.53%,报 3341.96 点, 深证成指涨 0.28%,创业板指涨 0.01%。两市 A 股成交额约 1.49 万亿 元人民币,超 2100 股上涨。申万行业方面,通信行业领涨,房地产 行业跌幅居前;概念板块方面,6G、F5G、人形机器人概念涨幅居前。 港股方面,香港恒生指数收涨 2.84%,恒生科技指数涨 4.02%。美国 三大股指全线收涨,道指涨 1.14%,标普 500 指数涨 1.12%,纳指涨 1.46%。欧洲及亚太股市多数上涨。 【重要新闻】 【十四届全国人大三次会议在京开幕,李强作政府工作报告】第十四 届全国人民代表大会第三次会议 5 日上午在北京人民大会堂开幕。根 据会议议程,国务院总理李强代表国务院向大会作政府工作报告。报 告共分三个部分:一、2024 年工作回顾;二、2025 年经济社会发展 总体要求和政策取向;三、2025 年政府工作任务 ...
杰克股份:首次覆盖:工业缝纫机械龙头,积极布局智能成套探索第二成长曲线-20250307
Wanlian Securities· 2025-03-06 18:20
证券研究报告|机械设备 [Table_Title] 工业缝纫机械龙头,积极布局智能成套探索 第二成长曲线 [Table_StockName] ——杰克股份(603337)首次覆盖 [Table_ReportDate] [Table_Summary] 报告关键要素: 工业缝纫机行业历经周期性调整后,当前行业正处于向上周期,杰克股 份作为工业缝纫机龙头从中受益,2024 年营收拐点已现,盈利能力持 续提升。公司传统业务优势稳固,接续推出高毛利爆品,精准把握客户 的核心需求和痛点,工业缝纫机产品的国内市场份额呈上升趋势。此外, 公司针对下游纺织服装行业智能化发展趋势,积极推出成套智联解决方 案,打造公司第二成长曲线。 投资要点: ⚫ 工业缝纫机行业历经周期性调整后,行情持续回温。我国工业缝纫机行 业发展历史悠久,目前已成为全球最大的生产国。工业缝纫机为典型的 周期性赛道,一般 3-4 年经历一轮周期,2013/2017/2021 年工业缝纫 机产量同比增速均为小峰值,2021 年行业处于周期性高点,2022-2023 年,在全球经济增长放缓、地缘冲突加剧、通胀保持粘性、货币持续收 紧的背景下,全球制造业景气度较为低 ...
电力设备行业快评报告:两会提出推进全国统一大市场建设,加快新能源基地发展
Wanlian Securities· 2025-03-06 10:23
(2)积极稳妥推进碳达峰碳中和,加快新能源基地建设及统筹消 证券研究报告|电力设备 [Table_Title] 两会提出推进全国统一大市场建设,加快新 能源基地发展 [Table_ReportType] ——电力设备行业快评报告[Table_ReportDate] [Table_Summary] ⚫ 事件:2025 年 3 月 5 日,十四届全国人大三次会议开幕,李强总理 作政府工作报告。 投资要点: 新能源行业高速发展,2024 年产业成果显著。《政府工作报告》提及 产业升级有新进展,2024 年全国可再生能源新增装机 3.7 亿千瓦。同 时,全国绿色低碳发展水平持续提升,非化石能源发电量占总发电量 的比重接近 40%。 2025 年工作任务方面: (1)纵深推进全国统一大市场建设,相关政策有望持续落实。《政 府工作报告》强调加快建立健全基础制度规则,破除地方保护和市 场分割,打通市场准入退出、要素配置等方面制约经济循环的卡点 堵点,综合整治"内卷式"竞争。制定重点领域公平竞争合规指 引,改革完善招标投标体制机制。近年以来,我国电力市场改革持 续加速,多项重点政策相继发布。2024 年 12 月,国家发改委 ...
杰克股份:首次覆盖:工业缝纫机械龙头,积极布局智能成套探索第二成长曲线-20250306
Wanlian Securities· 2025-03-06 10:23
Investment Rating - The report gives a "Buy" rating for Jack Co., Ltd. (杰克股份) with a target price of 38.41 CNY per share, corresponding to a 2024 PE of 23X [4][12]. Core Views - The industrial sewing machine industry is currently in an upward cycle after experiencing periodic adjustments, with Jack Co., Ltd. benefiting as a leading player in the sector. The revenue inflection point is expected in 2024, with continuous improvement in profitability [2][12]. - The company maintains a strong advantage in traditional business while actively launching high-margin products to meet core customer needs. The domestic market share for industrial sewing machines is on the rise [3][11]. - Jack Co., Ltd. is also exploring smart integrated solutions in response to the intelligent development trend in the downstream textile and apparel industry, aiming to create a second growth curve [2][11]. Summary by Sections Industry Overview - The industrial sewing machine industry has undergone cyclical adjustments and is now experiencing a recovery. China has become the world's largest producer of industrial sewing machines, with a typical cycle of 3-4 years. The industry faced a downturn in 2022-2023 due to global economic slowdowns and geopolitical tensions, with production dropping over 40% from the 2021 peak [2][19]. - In 2024, the domestic textile and apparel market is showing signs of improvement, which is expected to drive demand for sewing machines significantly in the second half of the year [2][19][20]. Company Profile - Jack Co., Ltd. is a leading player in the domestic industrial sewing machine market, with over 85% of its revenue coming from this core business. The company has diversified its product line through strategic acquisitions and has expanded its international presence [3][39]. - The company’s revenue is projected to recover, with a forecasted increase in net profit from 538.43 million CNY in 2023 to 1.20 billion CNY by 2026, reflecting a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 7.45% from 2021 to 2023 [3][12]. Financial Performance - The company’s revenue for 2024 is expected to reach approximately 6.09 billion CNY, with a growth rate of 15.13% compared to 2023. The net profit is projected to grow by 50.03% to 807.81 million CNY in 2024 [3][12]. - The company has maintained a stable expense ratio while improving its gross margin, primarily driven by the profitability of its overseas business [10][12]. Product Strategy - Jack Co., Ltd. has a comprehensive product range that includes pre-sewing, sewing, and post-sewing equipment, with a focus on high-margin products. The company has launched flagship products like the "Fast Response King" flat sewing machine and the "Overlock King" overlock machine to capture market demand [11][40]. - The company is also investing in smart integrated solutions, including intelligent cutting and logistics systems, to enhance its competitive edge in the digital transformation of the industry [11][12].
传媒行业快评报告:深化部署文化惠民工程,文化与科技融合助力发展新兴文化业态
Wanlian Securities· 2025-03-06 10:23
Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Outperform the Market" with an expectation of over 10% relative increase in the industry index compared to the market in the next six months [4][8]. Core Insights - The 2025 Government Work Report emphasizes the deepening of national reading and cultural benefit projects, marking a significant advancement in the public cultural service system, which is expected to enhance the publishing industry as a strategic support for cultural confidence [1][2]. - The report highlights the integration of culture and technology as a core driver for the development of new cultural formats, with advancements in AI, AR/VR, blockchain, and cloud computing reshaping content production and dissemination [2]. - The report suggests focusing on companies with quality IP reserves or strong capabilities in vertical fields within the publishing industry, as well as those involved in AI and AR/VR applications, and leading companies in the gaming and film industries with rich IP reserves [2]. Summary by Sections Industry Overview - The report discusses the ongoing initiatives to enhance public cultural services and the promotion of reading, which are expected to drive demand in the publishing sector [1]. - The integration of technology in cultural industries is seen as a pathway to high-quality development, with notable successes in content production exemplified by popular cultural products [2]. Investment Recommendations - The report recommends attention to companies with strong IP reserves, those leveraging AI and AR/VR technologies, and leading firms in gaming and film with robust operational capabilities [2].
人形机器人行业快评报告:政府工作报告首提“具身智能”与“智能机器人”,政策支持力度持续升级
Wanlian Securities· 2025-03-06 10:23
证券研究报告|机械设备 [Table_Title] 政府工作报告首提"具身智能"与"智能机 器人" ,政策支持力度持续升级 [Table_ReportType] ——人形机器人行业快评报告[Table_ReportDate] [行业Table_Summary] 事件: 2025 年 3 月 5 日,十四届全国人大三次会议在人民大会堂开幕,国务 院总理李强作政府工作报告,首次提及培育具身智能产业、大力发展智 能机器人。 投资要点: 政府工作报告首次提及培育具身智能产业、大力发展智能机器人。《政 府工作报告》指出,要因地制宜发展新质生产力,加快建设现代化产业 体系,建立未来产业投入增长机制,培育生物制造、量子科技、具身智 能、6G 等未来产业。还提出要持续推进"人工智能+"行动,将数字技 术与制造优势、市场优势更好结合起来,支持大模型广泛应用,大力发 展智能网联新能源汽车、人工智能手机和电脑、智能机器人等新一代智 能终端以及智能制造装备。我们认为这一举措不仅是对全球科技竞争格 局的积极应对,也是我国在人口红利逐渐消退背景下,推动经济高质量 发展的重要战略部署。在全球人工智能、机器人技术等前沿科技领域竞 争日益激烈 ...
医药生物行业快评报告:两会围绕“促创新、保民生”促进三医协同发展和治理
Wanlian Securities· 2025-03-06 08:23
Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Outperform the Market" with an expected relative increase of over 10% in the industry index compared to the broader market within the next six months [5][9]. Core Insights - The report emphasizes the dual focus on "promoting innovation and ensuring public welfare" within the biopharmaceutical sector, highlighting the need for coordinated development and governance across medical services, insurance, and pharmaceuticals [1][2]. Summary by Sections Innovation Promotion - The report advocates for a robust drug pricing mechanism and the establishment of an innovative drug catalog to support the development of innovative medicines. It also calls for the enhancement of traditional Chinese medicine (TCM) and the cultivation of emerging industries such as biomanufacturing and quantum technology [2][8]. - There is a significant demand for innovative drugs in areas like oncology, autoimmune diseases, and rare diseases, with a notable shift from "Me-too" drugs to "First-in-class/Best-in-class" innovations among Chinese pharmaceutical companies. The report suggests focusing on companies leading in areas such as IO dual antibodies, ADCs, and central nervous system drugs [8]. Public Welfare Assurance - The report discusses reforms in public hospitals aimed at enhancing service quality and accessibility, including dynamic adjustments to staffing and a focus on a service-oriented fee structure. It also highlights the expansion of essential medical insurance and the improvement of reimbursement mechanisms [2]. - The per capita financial subsidy for resident medical insurance and basic public health services is set to increase by 30 yuan and 5 yuan, respectively. Additionally, the report mentions the establishment of a drug and consumable traceability mechanism and the optimization of drug procurement policies [2][8].