Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for the machinery equipment industry as of March 16, 2025 [1]. Core Insights - The robotics industry is witnessing continuous product launches, particularly focusing on advancements from leading companies [1]. - The overall market capitalization of the industry is approximately 393.2 billion yuan, with a circulating market value of about 382.98 billion yuan [2]. - The industry’s price-to-earnings ratio (TTM) stands at 35.9, significantly higher than the 12.8 ratio of the CSI 300 index [2]. Summary by Sections Market Review - From March 10 to March 16, the robotics index underperformed the broader market, declining by 2.5%, which is 3.9 percentage points lower than the Shanghai Composite Index and 4.1 percentage points lower than the CSI 300 Index [6][12]. - The report highlights several new product launches, including: - The launch of the Dobot Atom humanoid robot by Yujian Robotics, featuring advanced dexterity and walking capabilities [17][18]. - The introduction of the DH series dexterous hand solutions by Rease, designed for various applications [21]. - The unveiling of the Tian Gong Xing Zhe humanoid robot by UBTECH, priced at 299,000 yuan, aimed at the research and education sector [24][25]. Industry Dynamics - The report discusses the release of the GO-1 model by Zhiyuan, which utilizes a novel Vision-Language-Latent-Action (ViLLA) architecture to enhance robotic capabilities [14][15]. - The advancements in humanoid robots are emphasized, particularly the integration of high-performance components and intelligent systems that allow for improved operational efficiency and adaptability [18][24]. Financing Dynamics - Yiyou Technology has completed a 50 million yuan Series A financing round, which will be used for core technology development and production capacity expansion [28]. - The company specializes in high-performance integrated micro servo joints, with a projected output of 180,000 units by 2025 [28].

投资要点 西南证券研究院 [Table_Author] 分析师：邰桂龙 执业证号：S1250521050002 电话：021-58351893 邮箱：tgl@swsc.com.cn 联系人：叶明辉 电话：13909990246 邮箱：ymh@swsc.com.cn 联系人：杨云杰 电话：021-58351893 邮箱：yyjie@swsc.com.cn [Table_IndustryInfo] 2025 年 03 月 16 日 强于大市(维持) 证券研究报告•行业研究•机械设备 [Table_QuotePic] 行业相对指数表现 -19% -9% 0% 10% 20% 30% 24/3 24/5 24/7 24/9 24/11 25/1 25/3 机械设备 沪深300 低空经济行业双周报（0303-0316） 顶层指导明确，低空板块进入爆发前夜 九洲集团与顺丰速运签署合作协议，共同打造低空物流应用示范项目。3 月 7 日，九洲空管与丰翼科技签署合作协议，根据协议，双方将围绕低空经济场景 创新、低空基础设施建设、企业供应链数字化、企业物流服务、投融资等领域 加强合作。 零重力飞机工业与祥源通航达成战略合作，携手 ...

Investment Rating - The report does not explicitly provide an investment rating for the industry Core Insights - The report highlights significant developments in domestic policies aimed at stabilizing the real estate market and promoting economic growth through various initiatives, including the introduction of child-rearing subsidies and the resumption of special bonds for land reserves [1][9][14] Summary by Sections Domestic Developments - The National People's Congress emphasized urban renewal and real estate stability, focusing on the renovation of old residential areas and the construction of complete communities [7] - The resumption of special bonds for land reserves aims to alleviate liquidity pressures on local governments and real estate companies, facilitating a recovery in the real estate market [9][10] - The introduction of child-rearing subsidies in Hohhot, providing up to 100,000 yuan for children born after March 1, 2025, is expected to ease economic burdens on families and enhance birth rates [14][15] International Developments - The report notes escalating trade tensions between the US and Europe, with the EU responding to US tariffs on steel and aluminum by imposing tariffs on 26 billion euros worth of US goods [2][16] - Japan's economic growth in Q4 2024 was lower than expected, raising concerns about the sustainability of its recovery amid potential tariff challenges [18][19] High-Frequency Data - Upstream: Brent crude oil prices decreased by 0.13% week-on-week, while copper prices increased by 1.34% [24][32] - Midstream: The price index for thermal coal rose by 0.58%, while rebar prices fell by 1.35% [32] - Downstream: Real estate sales increased by 14.93% week-on-week, and the average daily retail sales of passenger cars grew by 14% year-on-year [37]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, with a target price of —— yuan over the next six months [1]. Core Insights - The company has shown impressive performance due to the benefits from centralized procurement, leading to increased sales volume. The successful launch of the Bailin capsule is also a significant milestone [1]. - For the year 2024, the company achieved total revenue of 2.58 billion yuan, representing a year-on-year growth of 32.8%. The net profit attributable to shareholders was 505 million yuan, up 31.8% year-on-year [7]. - The core product, Wuling capsule, has maintained a strong market position, with revenue growth driven by expansion into new provinces and increased sales volume [7]. Financial Performance Summary - **Revenue Forecast**: - 2023A: 1,942.44 million yuan - 2024E: 2,579.75 million yuan (growth rate: 32.81%) - 2025E: 3,431.07 million yuan (growth rate: 33.00%) - 2026E: 4,597.63 million yuan (growth rate: 34.00%) [2]. - **Net Profit Forecast**: - 2023A: 382.94 million yuan - 2024E: 504.68 million yuan (growth rate: 31.79%) - 2025E: 668.98 million yuan (growth rate: 32.56%) - 2026E: 901.32 million yuan (growth rate: 34.73%) [2]. - **Earnings Per Share (EPS)**: - 2023A: 0.55 yuan - 2024E: 0.72 yuan - 2025E: 0.95 yuan - 2026E: 1.29 yuan [2]. - **Return on Equity (ROE)**: - 2023A: 14.09% - 2024E: 16.68% - 2025E: 19.13% - 2026E: 21.74% [2]. - **Price-to-Earnings (PE) Ratio**: - 2023A: 28 - 2024E: 21 - 2025E: 16 - 2026E: 12 [2]. Product Performance - **Wuling Capsule**: - Revenue for the Wuling series in 2024 reached 1.44 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 17.1%. The sales volume and revenue of Wuling capsules increased by 22.6% and 15.96% respectively [7]. - **Bailin Products**: - The Bailin tablet generated sales revenue of 190 million yuan in 2024, a decrease of 7.2% year-on-year, primarily due to price impacts from centralized procurement [7]. Cost Management - The company has effectively managed its expenses, with a cost ratio of 39.4% in the first three quarters of 2024, a decrease of 0.9 percentage points compared to the mid-year report [7].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [1] Core Views - The company has received approval for the first Trop2 ADC lung cancer indication globally, which aligns with previous expectations [7] - The expansion of indications is favorable for commercialization in China, with the company expected to participate in the 2025 national medical insurance negotiations [7] - The potential of the product is gradually being realized, with ongoing global phase III studies for additional lung cancer indications [7] - 2025 is projected to be a pivotal year for the company's product commercialization, with several products expected to be approved [7] Financial Summary - Revenue projections for the company are as follows: - 2023A: 1,540.5 million RMB - 2024E: 1,746.8 million RMB (growth rate: 13.4%) - 2025E: 1,836.7 million RMB (growth rate: 5.2%) - 2026E: 2,877.2 million RMB (growth rate: 56.7%) [2] - The net profit attributable to the parent company is projected to be negative, with figures as follows: - 2023A: -574.1 million RMB - 2024E: -350.1 million RMB - 2025E: -434.6 million RMB - 2026E: -286.1 million RMB [2] - Earnings per share (EPS) is expected to improve from -2.53 in 2023A to -1.26 in 2026E [2] - The company anticipates significant revenue from the product Lukanosatuzumab, with projected sales of 47 million RMB in 2024, 960 million RMB in 2025, and 1,886 million RMB in 2026 [9]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for Zhaoli Pharmaceutical (300181) with a target price of —— yuan over the next six months [1]. Core Insights - Zhaoli Pharmaceutical's performance is significantly benefiting from the collective procurement strategy, which has led to impressive results. The successful launch of the Bailin capsule is also a key highlight [1][7]. - The company achieved a total revenue of 2.58 billion yuan in 2024, representing a year-on-year growth of 32.8%. The net profit attributable to shareholders was 505 million yuan, up 31.8% year-on-year [7]. - The first quarter of 2025 is projected to see a net profit of 180 to 190 million yuan, indicating a growth of 25.0% to 32.7% year-on-year [7]. Financial Summary - **Revenue Forecast**: - 2023A: 1,942.44 million yuan - 2024E: 2,579.75 million yuan (growth rate: 32.81%) - 2025E: 3,431.07 million yuan (growth rate: 33.00%) - 2026E: 4,597.63 million yuan (growth rate: 34.00%) [2][8] - **Net Profit Forecast**: - 2023A: 382.94 million yuan - 2024E: 504.68 million yuan (growth rate: 31.79%) - 2025E: 668.98 million yuan (growth rate: 32.56%) - 2026E: 901.32 million yuan (growth rate: 34.73%) [2][8] - **Earnings Per Share (EPS)**: - 2023A: 0.55 yuan - 2024E: 0.72 yuan - 2025E: 0.95 yuan - 2026E: 1.29 yuan [2][8] - **Return on Equity (ROE)**: - 2023A: 14.09% - 2024E: 16.68% - 2025E: 19.13% - 2026E: 21.74% [2][8] - **Price-to-Earnings (PE) Ratio**: - 2023A: 28 - 2024E: 21 - 2025E: 16 - 2026E: 12 [2][8] Product Performance - **Wuling Capsule**: - The core product, Wuling Capsule, has seen a revenue of 1.44 billion yuan in 2024, with a year-on-year growth of 17.1%. Sales volume and revenue increased by 22.6% and 15.96% respectively [7]. - **Bailin Products**: - The Bailin tablet generated 190 million yuan in sales, a decrease of 7.2% year-on-year, but the sales volume increased by 15.25%. The Bailin capsule was successfully launched in December 2024, with expectations for market expansion [7]. Cost Management - The company has shown continuous improvement in its expense ratio, which was 39.4% for the first three quarters of 2024, a decrease of 0.9 percentage points from the mid-year report [7].

业绩快报[Table_StockInfo] 2025 年 03 月 14 日 证券研究报告•2024年业绩快报&2025Q1 业绩预告点评 佐力药业（300181）医药生物 目标价：——元（6 个月） 买入 （维持） 当前价：15.41 元 受益于集采以价换量业绩表现亮眼，百令胶囊成功上市 [Table_Summary 事件：公司发布] 2025Q1 业绩预告和 2024年业绩快报，2024 年全年公司实现 营业总收入 25.8亿元，同比增长 32.8%；归属于上市公司股东的净利润 5.05 亿 元，同比增长 31.8%，其中股权激励费用 569.8万元。2025 年第一季度归属于 上市公司股东的净利润为 1.8亿- 1.9亿元，同比增长 25.0%-32.7%，若剔除股 份支付费用影响（约 700万元），归母净利润增速将提升至 29.9%-37.6%，公司 核心业务增长动力强劲。 乌灵胶囊:受益于集采以价放量+小包装换大包装+省份拓展，收入稳健增长。乌 灵胶囊为公司核心产品，近年来该产品在城市公立医院和县级公立医院市场份额 排名均为第一。2024年乌灵系列实现营业收入 14.4亿元，同比增长 17.1%，其 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [1] Core Views - The company has received approval for the first global Trop2 ADC lung cancer indication, which aligns with previous expectations [7] - The expansion of indications is favorable for commercialization in China, with the company expected to participate in the 2025 national medical insurance negotiations [7] - The potential of the product is gradually being realized, with ongoing global phase III studies for additional lung cancer indications [7] - 2025 is projected to be a pivotal year for the company's product commercialization, with several products expected to be approved [7] Financial Summary - Revenue projections for the company are as follows: - 2023A: 1,540.5 million RMB - 2024E: 1,746.8 million RMB (growth rate: 13.4%) - 2025E: 1,836.7 million RMB (growth rate: 5.2%) - 2026E: 2,877.2 million RMB (growth rate: 56.7%) [2] - The net profit attributable to the parent company is projected to be negative, with figures as follows: - 2023A: -574.1 million RMB - 2024E: -350.1 million RMB - 2025E: -434.6 million RMB - 2026E: -286.1 million RMB [2] - Earnings per share (EPS) is expected to improve from -2.53 in 2023A to -1.26 in 2026E [2] - The company anticipates significant revenue from the product Lukanosatuzumab, with projected sales of 47 million RMB in 2024, 960 million RMB in 2025, and 1,886 million RMB in 2026 [9] Key Assumptions - The company is expected to receive collaboration payments from Merck, totaling approximately 1.7 billion RMB from 2024 to 2026 [8] - The approval of Lukanosatuzumab in November 2024 is anticipated to generate substantial revenue in the following years [8]

Domestic Developments - The National People's Congress emphasized urban renewal, focusing on the renovation of old residential areas, urban village transformations, and the construction of complete communities, aiming to stabilize the real estate market[7] - The Ministry of Natural Resources and the Ministry of Finance announced the resumption of special bonds for land reserves to alleviate liquidity pressure on local governments and real estate companies, supporting market stabilization[9] - Hohhot introduced a childcare subsidy policy providing up to 100,000 yuan for children born after March 1, 2025, aimed at easing childcare costs and boosting birth rates[14] International Developments - The U.S. CPI for February increased by 2.8% year-on-year, lower than the expected 2.9% and the previous 3%, indicating a slowdown in inflation[22] - Germany's industrial output rose by 2.0% month-on-month in January, exceeding expectations, but exports fell significantly, highlighting economic uncertainties[16] - The EU announced countermeasures against U.S. tariffs on steel and aluminum, targeting goods worth 26 billion euros (approximately 28.3 billion USD)[16] Market Trends - Brent crude oil prices decreased by 0.13% week-on-week, while copper prices increased by 1.34%[24] - Real estate sales in 30 major cities rose by 14.93% week-on-week, with first-tier cities seeing a 34.53% increase[37] - The average daily retail sales of passenger cars in March increased by 14% year-on-year, reflecting a recovery in consumer demand[37]

2025 年 03 月 11 日 证券研究报告•金融工程专题报告 量化可转债系列 可转债 K 线技术分析与 K 线形态因子 ——量化方法在债券研究中的应用三 在 2K 分析中，在价格震荡中，阳线 B5形态加上第二天跳空高开 B3形态是启 动上涨的信号。在上涨趋势中，前一天出现小阴线 A1 形态，紧接着第二天跳空低 开 B5 形态，虽然第二天收盘大阳线，但警惕缺口缺乏支撑，短期调整概率较大， 未来 5 日超额收益率表现较差。 最后，我们构建可转债 K 线形态因子。在样本期（2020/01-2024/02）内，可 转债形态因子在 2020-2021 年两年表现较差，2022 年至今因子表现较好。因子的 IC 均值分别为 0.11，IC胜率为 66.31%，ICIR 为 0.43，说明了两个因子的有效性和 稳定性。分组检验方向与 IC符号方向保持一致，形态因子得分高的可转债具有正超 额收益。多头组合组 1 的年化收益率为 6.34%，相对中证转债指数的年化超额收益 率为 6.27%，超额收益率胜率为 70.08%。 综合 IC 序号和分组检验来看，2022 年以来形态因子是可转债因子中表现较好 的因子，与隐含波动率 ...