证券研究报告 小米SU7 Ultra定价超预期，汽车电子景气度有 望持续上扬 ——电子元器件周报（0217-0302） 长城证券产业金融研究院 电子首席分析师：邹兰兰 执业证书编号： S1070518060001 时间：2025年3月2日 评级：强于大市（维持） 重点推荐公司盈利预测 | 股票名称 | | EPS（元/股） | PE | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | 24E | 25E | 24E | 25E | | 华勤技术 | 2.83 | 3.75 | 31 | 24 | | 昀冢科技 | -0.75 | 0.40 | - | 40 | | 南芯科技 | 0.94 | 1.31 | 40 | 28 | | 京东方 | 0.14 | 0.24 | 31 | 18 | | 普冉股份 | 2.55 | 3.23 | 47 | 37 | | 鼎龙股份 | 0.48 | 0.61 | 60 | 47 | | 华虹公司 | 0.51 | 1.20 | 103 | 44 | | 晶丰明源 | -0.33 | 1.49 | - | 60 | | 新洁能 | 1.10 | 1 ...

证券研究报告 | 公司动态点评 2025 年 02 月 28 日 顺络电子（002138.SZ） 汽车&数据中心业务高速成长，24 年业绩实现稳步提升 | 财务指标 | 2023A | 2024A | 2025E | 2026E | 2027E | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 营业收入（百万元） | 5,040 | 5,897 | 7,059 | 8,194 | 9,331 | | 增长率 yoy（%） | 18.9 | 17.0 | 19.7 | 16.1 | 13.9 | | 归母净利润（百万元） | 641 | 832 | 1,048 | 1,309 | 1,538 | | 增长率 yoy（%） | 48.0 | 29.9 | 25.9 | 24.9 | 17.5 | | ROE（%） | 11.3 | 13.7 | 15.7 | 17.1 | 17.0 | | EPS 最新摊薄（元） | 0.79 | 1.03 | 1.30 | 1.62 | 1.91 | | P/E（倍） | 40.2 | 31.0 | 24.6 | 19.7 | 16.7 | | ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [7] Core Views - The company is deeply engaged in the storage field, focusing on semiconductor memory research, design, packaging, testing, production, and sales, with a comprehensive product line including embedded storage, PC storage, automotive-grade storage, enterprise storage, and mobile storage [1][12] - The company has established an integrated R&D and packaging testing business model, enhancing its core competitiveness in the semiconductor storage industry [1][12] - The company is expected to see significant growth in revenue and profit due to the recovery of the storage industry and the expansion of domestic and international customer bases [7][30] Summary by Sections 1. Company Overview - The company was founded in September 2010 and successfully listed on the Shanghai Stock Exchange in December 2022, focusing on semiconductor memory products and advanced packaging testing services [12][13] - The company has developed a "5+2+X" strategic framework to drive stable growth, focusing on five major application markets and two key growth areas: chip design and advanced packaging [15][12] 2. Demand Side - Storage prices have stabilized and are beginning to rise, driven by increased demand for storage devices due to the rapid development of artificial intelligence technologies [2][3] - The market for embedded products is experiencing supply tightness due to the discontinuation of low-capacity NAND resources by original manufacturers [2] 3. Supply Side - The domestic chip replacement is accelerating, with Chinese companies like Yangtze Memory Technologies and Changxin Memory Technologies rapidly increasing their market share [3][6] - The report highlights that China's DRAM production capacity has surpassed 11% of global capacity, with expectations for further growth [3] 4. Financial Performance - The company achieved a revenue of 50.25 billion yuan in the first three quarters of 2024, a year-on-year increase of 136.76%, driven by the recovery of the storage industry and significant growth in product sales [30][31] - The forecasted net profits for 2024-2026 are 176 million yuan, 598 million yuan, and 764 million yuan respectively, with corresponding EPS of 0.41 yuan, 1.39 yuan, and 1.77 yuan [7][30] 5. Competitive Advantages - The company possesses strong technical capabilities in embedded storage and has established a comprehensive product matrix covering various storage types, enhancing its competitive edge in the market [7][18] - The company is actively expanding its advanced packaging capabilities, which are expected to be operational by 2025, providing a full suite of storage and advanced packaging testing solutions [7][21]

证券研究报告 | 公司动态点评 2025 年 02 月 26 日 阿里巴巴-W（09988.HK） AI 战略持续推进，阿里云视觉生成基座模型万相 2.1 宣布开源 | 财务指标 | FY2023A | FY 2024A | FY 2025E | FY 2026E | FY 2027E | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 营业收入（百万元） | 868,687 | 941,168 | 999,615 | 1,112,571 | 1,197,349 | | 增长率 yoy（%） | 1.83 | 8.34 | 6.21 | 11.30 | 7.62 | | 归母净利润（百万元） | 72,509 | 79,741 | 125,071 | 159,183 | 186,010 | | 增长率 yoy（%） | 17.03 | 9.97 | 56.32 | 27.27 | 16.85 | | ROE（%） | 7.35 | 8.11 | 12.54 | 14.81 | 15.59 | | EPS 最新摊薄（元） | 3.83 | 4.21 | 6.58 | 8.37 | ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, expecting the stock price to outperform the industry index by more than 15% in the next six months [5][20]. Core Views - The company is expected to benefit from favorable policies and the integration of AI technology, which enhances its development prospects [1][9]. - The company reported significant revenue growth in 2024, with total revenue reaching 4.187 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 17.47% [1]. - The net profit for 2024 was 1.823 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 30% [1]. Financial Performance Summary - **Revenue Forecast**: The company's revenue is projected to grow from 3.564 billion yuan in 2023 to 6.819 billion yuan by 2027, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 16.31% [1][12]. - **Net Profit Forecast**: The net profit is expected to increase from 1.402 billion yuan in 2023 to 3.137 billion yuan in 2027, with a CAGR of about 11.46% [1][12]. - **Earnings Per Share (EPS)**: The diluted EPS is forecasted to rise from 2.61 yuan in 2023 to 5.83 yuan in 2027 [1][12]. - **Return on Equity (ROE)**: The ROE is projected to remain strong, starting at 20.33% in 2023 and stabilizing around 19.84% by 2027 [1][12]. Business Segment Analysis - **Advertising and Internet Services**: This segment is expected to see significant growth, with a projected revenue increase of 49% in 2024 due to improved market conditions and enhanced product competitiveness [2][12]. - **Software Sales and Maintenance**: Revenue in this segment is forecasted to decline by 18.61% in 2024, primarily due to reduced demand following the completion of upgrades by brokerage firms [2][12]. - **Other Business Segments**: Fund sales and other transaction fees are expected to decrease by 20.50% in 2024, reflecting a decline in customer demand due to changing market conditions [2][12]. Strategic Developments - The company has integrated its large model technology with financial information services, enhancing its product offerings and customer engagement [4][9]. - The launch of an internet-based intelligent wealth management service platform aims to provide a comprehensive range of financial products and services, catering to diverse investor needs [9].

证券研究报告 | 行业周报 2025 年 02 月 23 日 医药 本周医药板块上涨 1.88%，AI 医疗热度延续 | 股票 | 股票 | 投资 | EPS （元） | | PE | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 代码 | 名称 | 评级 | 2024E | 2025E | 2024E | 2025E | | 002755.SZ | 奥赛康 | 买入 | 0.13 | 0.2 | 101.62 | 66.05 | | 01952.HK | 云顶新耀-B | 买入 | -2.93 | -0.12 | - | - | | 02105.HK | 来凯医药-B | 买入 | -0.9 | -1 | - | - | | 600079.SH | 人福医药 | 增持 | 1.33 | 1.59 | 15.02 | 12.56 | | 688192.SH | 迪哲医药 | 增持 | -2.01 | -1.33 | -22.96 | -34.7 | | 688315.SH | 诺禾致源 | 买入 | 0.47 | 0.53 | 41.0 | 36.36 | | ...

产能释放驱动 24Q4 收入修复，受益 AI 带动半导体需求回升 证券研究报告 | 公司动态点评 2025 年 02 月 21 日 华虹半导体（01347.HK） | 财务指标 | 2023A | 2024A | 2025E | 2026E | 2027E | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 营业收入（百万美元） | 2286 | 2004 | 2257 | 2610 | 3125 | | 增长率 yoy（%） | -7.7 | -12.3 | 12.6 | 15.6 | 19.7 | | 归母净利润（百万元） | 280 | 58 | 108 | 247 | 307 | | 增长率 yoy（%） | -37.8 | -79.2 | 85.2 | 129.5 | 24.4 | | ROE（%） | 4.4 | 0.9 | 1.7 | 3.8 | 4.5 | | EPS 最新摊薄（元） | 0.16 | 0.03 | 0.06 | 0.14 | 0.18 | | P/E（倍） | 31.8 | 153.3 | 82.8 | 36.1 | 29.0 | | P/B（ ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a rating of "Accumulate" for the company [4]. Core Views - The strategic transformation of the company is showing significant results, with the AI+ healthcare model expected to reshape the valuation system [2][3]. - The company has focused on high-margin medical-grade remote health monitoring devices and services, leading to improved operational efficiency and profitability [2]. - The company is well-positioned to benefit from the expansion of the chronic disease management market and the emerging AI+ healthcare sector [8]. Financial Summary - Revenue projections for 2024-2026 are estimated at 1.013 billion, 1.266 billion, and 1.585 billion yuan, respectively, with year-over-year growth rates of 14.5%, 25.0%, and 25.2% [1][8]. - The net profit attributable to the parent company is expected to reach 64 million, 105 million, and 145 million yuan for the same period, reflecting year-over-year growth rates of 85.5%, 64.6%, and 38.2% [1][8]. - The company's return on equity (ROE) is projected to improve from 5.5% in 2024 to 10.9% in 2026 [1]. Business Segments - The health equipment segment is focusing on new product launches, including blood glucose meters and hearing aids, which are expected to gain market traction [2]. - The RPM (Remote Patient Monitoring) segment has established deep collaborations with leading clients in Europe and the US, creating a closed-loop business model [2]. - The cardiovascular digital chronic disease service segment is integrating remote health monitoring devices with AI software and medical services, with initial validation in various healthcare settings [2]. Market Position and Future Outlook - The company has accumulated a substantial amount of multi-dimensional physiological data from over ten million users, laying a solid foundation for developing a vertical AI model in the cardiovascular field [3]. - The report anticipates that the company will achieve a revenue of 1.013 billion yuan in 2024, with a corresponding net profit of 0.64 billion yuan, indicating a strong growth trajectory [8].

证券研究报告 | 行业动态点评 2025 年 02 月 20 日 通信 Figure 发布 Helix，端到端 AI 助力机器人持续拓展 Figure 发布 Helix，持续助力机器人长期发展。2025 年 2 月 20 日，Figure 正式宣布推出 Helix，Helix 是一个通用视觉-语言-动作（VLA）模型，它统一 了感知、语言理解和学习控制，以克服机器人领域的多个长期挑战。据 Figure 官网介绍，Helix 具备以下几大优势： 全上身控制：Helix 是第一个可以实现输出整个人形机器人上半身的高速连续 控制，包括手腕、躯干、头部和单根手指的 VLA 模型。 多机器人协作：Helix 是第一个可以在两个机器人上同时运行的 VLA 模型，使 它们能够解决共享的、长期的操作任务，处理它们以前从未见过的物品。 拿起任何东西：配备 Helix 的 Figure 机器人现在可以拿起几乎任何小型家用 物品，包括它们以前从未遇到过的数千种物品，只需遵循自然语言提示即可。 作者 分析师 侯 宾 执业证书编号：S1070522080001 邮箱：houbin@cgws.com 单个神经网络：与以前的方法不同，He ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a rating of "Outperform" for the non-bank financial sector, indicating a positive outlook for investment opportunities in this industry [5]. Core Insights - The Japanese securities industry has experienced increasing concentration, with the top five comprehensive securities firms dominating the market, accounting for over 40% of industry revenue and 45% of net profit as of 2023 [1][11]. - The number of foreign securities firms in Japan has significantly decreased from 52 in 2000 to just 9 by 2022, with their market share in revenue dropping from over 30% to approximately 1% [1][11]. - The industry has seen a stabilization in commission income, although the proportion of brokerage business has declined from 70.8% in 1990 to 24.6% in 2023 [3][34]. - The market has matured with a rise in institutional investors, whose share of the market increased from 4.7% in 1990 to 31.8% in 2023, while the share of individual investors decreased from 23.9% to 16.9% [3][41]. Summary by Sections 1. Japanese Securities Industry Transformation - The industry has a high concentration level, with major firms like Nomura and Daiwa leading the market [1][11]. - Total assets in the industry have shown an upward trend despite economic crises, with net assets surpassing 8.29 trillion yen in March 2024 [2][12]. - Net profit has stabilized post-2012, with ROE figures of 4.57% and 8.29% for the fiscal years 2022 and 2023 respectively [20][21]. 2. Cost Structure and Employee Dynamics - The industry's cost structure remains high, with a cost-to-income ratio of 83.6% in 2023, and management fees constituting a significant portion of total costs [28][30]. - The number of employees in the securities industry has halved since the peak in 1990, stabilizing around 85,000 by 2023 [31][32]. 3. Revenue Streams and Market Dynamics - Commission income has stabilized, with total commission income exceeding 2.7 trillion yen in 2023, but brokerage commissions have decreased significantly [34][35]. - Trading income has fluctuated but has stabilized, while financial income surged to 1.81 trillion yen in 2023, marking a 79.86% increase year-on-year [40][41]. 4. Case Studies of Differentiated Development - Daiwa Securities focuses on both domestic and international markets, enhancing its service offerings through technological innovation and strategic acquisitions [46][47]. - Rakuten Securities has leveraged its technological advancements to expand its market share, achieving a total account number exceeding 10.2 million in 2023 [64][65].