业绩经营情况 近期美股企业盈利预期改善，标普500指数成分股中材料、能源、工业等板块轮动上涨。黑岩全球成长 基金重仓的科技龙头公司(如英伟达、微软等)在AI商业化落地进程中持续释放业绩，部分公司四季度财 报超预期，叠加估值处于合理区间，形成基本面支撑。此外，美联储暂停降息后经济韧性增强，为企业 盈利提供宏观环境支持。 经济观察网黑岩全球成长基金(BlackRock Global Growth Fund)在2026年2月11日创下历史新高的驱动因 素主要来自以下几方面： 股票近期走势 全球股票ETF资金流向出现结构性分化，宽基指数产品净流出显著，而科技、AI算力等主题ETF持续吸 引资金流入。黑岩旗下iShares系列ETF作为全球规模领先的被动投资工具，其科技主题产品(如半导 体、人工智能相关ETF)受益于硬件需求周期与算力升级趋势，年内涨幅突出。例如，通信设备主题ETF 在2025年全年上涨超120%，2026年初延续强势，间接推动以科技股为核心持仓的成长型基金净值攀 升。 尽管地缘政治事件(如美欧贸易摩擦)引发短期波动，但市场对科技产业链长期增长逻辑认可度提升。 2026年初，罗素2000指数等小型股表现 ...

Company Performance - The company reported strong performance for Q3 of fiscal year 2025, with revenue of $9.079 billion, representing a year-over-year increase of 9.29%, and a net profit of $1.094 billion, showing significant growth [1] - Forecasts indicate that earnings per share for Q3 are expected to grow by 205.88% year-over-year, with net profit projections also reflecting a similar increase of 205.89%, indicating improved fundamentals that support the stock price [1] Industry Policy and Environment - In early February 2026, the US manufacturing PMI rose to 52.6, returning to the expansion zone, which enhances the outlook for the traditional manufacturing sector [2] - As a major producer of phosphate and potash fertilizers, the company benefits from a rebound in agricultural demand and increased expectations for capital expenditures in manufacturing [2] - The Dow Jones Industrial Average surpassed 50,000 points, leading to a rotation of funds from overvalued tech stocks to traditional sectors, further strengthening the agricultural products sector [2] Institutional Perspectives - Morgan Stanley raised its target price from $33 to $35 in January 2026, maintaining a "Hold" rating [3] - The average target price from 17 institutions is $31.78, indicating potential upside compared to the closing price on February 10 [3] - Trading volume significantly increased in the week from February 5 to 10, with a total transaction amount of $4.146 billion, reflecting active participation from investors [3]

Core Insights - The core message of the article emphasizes that AI has become the primary driver of cloud computing development, transforming cloud infrastructure from merely supporting IT to being essential for the deployment and scalability of AI applications [1] Group 1: Cloud Infrastructure Modernization - By 2027, over 85% of organizations in China will transition traditional cloud environments to new platforms that accommodate AI workloads, indicating that traditional IaaS/PaaS models are insufficient for scaling AI applications [2] - The modernization of cloud infrastructure is a prerequisite for enterprises to develop intelligent business operations [2] Group 2: AI-Driven Cloud Operations - By 2027, 80% of China's top 500 enterprises will deploy agent-based AI platforms to automate IT cloud operations, providing large-scale, continuous monitoring, analysis, and fault recovery capabilities with minimal human intervention [3][4] Group 3: AI Cloud Service Providers - By 2029, at least 30% of high-grade GPU resources will be provided by AI cloud service providers that offer cloud characteristics, flexible billing, APIs, and software services, distinguishing them from traditional GPU resource providers [5][6] Group 4: Edge AI and Private Cloud Platforms - By 2028, embodied intelligence will experience explosive growth, with cloud service providers deploying AI infrastructure and agents at the enterprise edge to support 60% of business scenarios [7] - To meet data privacy needs and reduce risks associated with public large language models, 60% of organizations in China will adopt private cloud platforms that offer greater control over data governance by 2028 [8][9] Group 5: AI Cost Governance and Heterogeneous Cloud Infrastructure - By 2028, companies that do not integrate AI investments into their cost governance will face a 30% increase in costs and lower overall returns on AI-related projects [10] - Over 80% of organizations in China will adopt heterogeneous cloud infrastructure by 2028 to balance mixed CPU, GPU, and storage technologies, optimizing the cost-effectiveness of AI workloads [11] Group 6: Cloud Risk Management and AI Workload Automation - By 2029, 50% of organizations implementing digital autonomy in China will migrate sensitive workloads to new cloud platforms to mitigate risks and enhance autonomy due to geopolitical uncertainties [12] - By 2029, 60% of organizations will use cloud-based AI integration tools to assess cost and performance metrics, deploying AI agents to automate workload collaboration and optimize workload substitution [13] Group 7: Intelligent SaaS Platforms - By 2029, 50% of Chinese enterprises will adopt SaaS platforms for real-time workflows, integrating predefined app functions with AI agents to create modular and interactive solutions [14] - The SaaS model is evolving towards a combination of "applications + agents," reflecting a shift in the cloud computing market from a growth phase to a capability reconstruction phase [15]

智通财经APP获悉，东方证券发布研报称，自2025年年底以来，PVC相关个股都有明显上涨，同时PVC 商品价格虽有一定上涨，但更多被解读成为应对26年4月后出口增值税不退税政策的抢出口行情。PVC 作为典型的高能耗产品，与电解铝存在较大的相似性，而过去几年两者的景气度可谓"云泥之别"。但展 望未来，压制PVC景气度的因素已经发生转变，未来PVC资产价值有望迎来重估。 投资建议 东方证券认为，PVC行业相关标的主要包括中泰化学(002092.SZ)、新疆天业(600075.SH)、北元集团 (601568.SH)、鄂尔多斯(600295.SH)、天原股份(002386.SZ)、嘉化能源(600273.SH)、氯碱化工 (600618.SH)、万华化学(600309.SH)。这些企业大都属于PVC行业中竞争力较强的公司。但受到行业景 气度影响，目前这些公司PVC业务的盈利能力都较差，如新疆天业预告2025年全年盈利还处于小幅亏损 状态。如果PVC盈利水平能够达到上文预期，则这些企业的盈利都将得到明显提升。 东方证券主要观点如下： 需求结构是重估驱动力 PVC与电解铝都是典型高能耗产品，电力是最重要的生产要素。在2 ...

（原标题：世界政府峰会发布报告：创意经济成为增长驱动力） 阿通社2月4日消息，FTI咨询公司与世界政府峰会联合发布报告指出，文化和创意产业已从边缘领 域转变为推动可持续增长和国家软实力的重要引擎。报告显示，2020年全球创意经济规模约2.25万亿美 元，占全球GDP的3.1%，提供约6.2%的就业岗位。研究表明，每投入1美元至创意产业，可带动约2.5美 元的综合经济产出，对旅游、制造和城市服务业具有显著溢出效应。 ...

Core Insights - The increasing integration of renewable energy into the grid is driving the demand for energy storage systems, which are evolving from auxiliary equipment to fundamental capabilities of the power system [1][7] - Energy storage system integrators are becoming key players in the new power system, with their design, engineering, and long-term operational capabilities being critical for project reliability and performance [1][2] Group 1: Core Value of Energy Storage System Integrators - The core value of energy storage system integrators lies in three main areas: reliability assurance, large-scale delivery, and system platform collaboration [2] - Reliability assurance is crucial as integrators are responsible for the stability and long-term availability of storage systems, directly impacting project success [2] - Large-scale delivery capabilities are essential as projects grow in size, requiring integrators with engineering expertise and cross-regional delivery experience [2] - System platform collaboration enhances the design of storage systems, allowing for better integration with grid operations and load demands [2] Group 2: Oriental Risen's System Integration Strength - Oriental Risen has developed a comprehensive system-level capability in energy storage, covering battery systems, PCS, BMS, EMS, and SMS, achieving a high level of integration and optimization [3] - The company has a manufacturing capacity exceeding 15 GWh and has successfully delivered over 820 projects across more than 50 countries, demonstrating its ability to support large-scale deployments [3][4] - Oriental Risen's asset management capabilities include a self-developed energy management platform that manages over 1 billion yuan in assets and connects more than 250,000 edge devices, enhancing operational efficiency and long-term availability [4] Group 3: Industry Collaboration Guidelines - When selecting an energy storage system integrator, it is important to consider their system-level technical capabilities, including the ability to design and control battery systems and other components [5] - The integrator's experience with large-scale projects and their ability to deliver across regions are critical for ensuring ongoing performance as project sizes increase [6] - A mature engineering implementation system and standardized quality control mechanisms are necessary to ensure long-term reliability and consistency of the systems [6] Group 4: Future Outlook - The competition in the energy storage sector is shifting from individual device performance to system-level metrics such as safety, reliability, and long-term operational capabilities [6] - Integrators with strong system design, engineering delivery, and operational support capabilities will dominate the industry and play a vital role in the stable operation of new power systems [6][7] - Oriental Risen aims to leverage its established system integration capabilities to support the ongoing development of energy storage in the context of new power system construction [7]

专题：聚焦美股2025年第四季度财报 在财报电话会议前的预先准备发言中，首席执行官达拉・科斯罗萨西表示，去年外卖业务的增长在优步 欧洲、中东和非洲（EMEA）地区表现最为突出。 优步发布此份财报之际，正值网约车行业处于转型期 —— 自动驾驶汽车正日益普及，尤其在城市市 场。 科斯罗萨西重申了一年前的观点，称他愈发坚信自动驾驶汽车（AV）将开启一个数万亿美元级别的市 场机遇，并补充道："自动驾驶技术从根本上放大了我们现有平台的优势。" 核心要点 优步周三发布的第四季度财报显示，公司营收超出预期。财报发布后，其股价在盘前交易中下跌。 根据伦敦证券交易所集团（LSEG）对截至 12 月 31 日当季的一致预期，优步业绩表现如下： 优步在财报中披露，营收较去年同期的 120 亿美元实现增长。其中，核心网约车出行板块营收达82 亿 美元，同比增长 19%；外卖业务营收则大幅攀升 30%，至49 亿美元。 据 StreetAccount 数据，分析师此前预期出行板块营收为 83 亿美元，外卖业务营收为 47.2 亿美元。 本季度公司净利润为 2.96 亿美元，其中包含16 亿美元的股权投资重估带来的税前净逆风因素。去年同 ...

热点栏目 自选股 数据中心 行情中心 资金流向 模拟交易 客户端 文章来源：金十数据 高盛集团表示，其对于2026年12月金价达到每盎司5400美元的预测，目前仍面临显著的上行风险。 该行分析指出，一月份的金银价格剧烈波动主要由西方资本流动而非亚洲投机驱动，且白银因伦敦市场 流动性持续紧张而出现了比黄金更大幅度的修正。 高盛表示，就白银而言，伦敦市场持续的流动性紧张，在黄金市场中同样由看涨期权结构驱动的波动性 之上，又增加了一层极端价格行为。 高盛指出，黄金在2025年强劲上涨并在2026年初取得强势开局，反映的是深层的结构性力量，而非投机 过度，其中央行储备多元化已成为驱动价格走势的主导因素。 该行认为，全球央行从美元转向贵金属的配置转变，已实质性改变了黄金的需求结构。与股票或固定收 益市场不同，黄金市场规模相对较小，这意味着官方部门需求即便出现适度变化，也能对价格产生巨大 影响。高盛指出，这一动态有助于解释近期金价上涨的速度和规模。 根据该公司的分析，金融投机者在黄金市场的参与度仍然有限。全球黄金库存中仅有一小部分由金融投 机者持有，这表明本轮涨势并非由通常与市场狂热相关的杠杆头寸所推动。相反，价格反应是 ...

在经历了周一的下跌以及上周五近10%的跌幅（这是数十年来最惨重的单日跌幅）后，现货黄金价格开 始收复失地。白银的表现同样引人注目，在上周五狂跌约30%（创下1980年以来最差单日表现）后，周 二也实现了小幅回升。 周二盘中，现货黄金一度上涨4%，最终交易价格稳定在每盎司4771.76美元上方，涨幅超过2%。纽约黄 金期货收涨3%，报每盎司4791美元左右。现货白银最高飙升7.8%，周二最终上涨2.6%，报每盎司81.3 美元；纽约白银期货则上涨7%至每盎司82.67美元。 此次回升正值投资者重新评估：这场崩盘究竟是结构性的转折点，还是对短期诱发因素的过度反应。 德意志银行的策略师表示，历史经验表明，这更倾向于短期催化剂所致，尽管抛售规模之大引发了市场 对仓位布局的新疑问。该行指出，虽然几个月来投机活动升温的迹象一直在积聚，但仅凭这一点不足以 解释上周波动烈度的合理性。 德意志银行认为："贵金属价格的调整幅度超出了其表面催化剂的重要性。此外，官方、机构及个人投 资者的投资意愿很可能并未恶化。" 热点栏目 自选股 数据中心 行情中心 资金流向 模拟交易 客户端 文章来源：金十数据 周二，金价与银价在经历了一场历史 ...

证券日报网讯2月2日，欣旺达（300207）在互动平台回答投资者提问时表示，公司始终将技术创新与研 发投入视为长期发展的核心驱动力，公司研发投入围绕主营业务与前沿技术布局，旨在构建长期、可持 续的技术和产品竞争力。研发费用方面，各项研发费用的支出均严格按照公司规章制度和内部控制流程 执行，并经过外部审计机构的严格审计。 ...