1 行业评级： 上次评级： 强于大市 强于大市 维持 （ 评级） 请务必阅读正文之后的信息披露和免责申明 公用事业 证券研究报告 2025年09月08日 行业报告： 行业深度研究 AI带动数据中心景气向上，电力需求有多少？ 作者： 分析师 郭丽丽 SAC执业证书编号：S1110520030001 分析师 裴振华 SAC执业证书编号：S1110524050003 摘要 数据经济时代，算力成为数据中心核心需求 中国数据中心历经网络中心、IT中心、云中心阶段，2020年后随着数字经济时代到来，数据、算力成为新的生产资料和生产力，智 算需求成为驱动数据中心增长的核心发展引擎，预计2024年中国内地数据中心行业市场规模预计将达到3048亿元、标准机架规模 将突破1000万架，双双同比实现超过20%的高速增长。中国数据中心在全国范围布局"八大枢纽十大集群"，且签约情况呈现显 著的"东热西冷"的分布特征。 借鉴海外经验，Deepseek或将带动中国数据中心景气度上扬 2022年ChatGPT横空出世，大模型的参数规模与对算力的消耗成正比，参数规模越大，对算力的需求越大，2023年底全球多数成 熟市场的数据中心空置率已跌破1 ...

Core Viewpoint - The company reported a decline in revenue and net profit for the first half of 2025, but operational service revenue has increased, indicating a shift in business structure towards more stable income sources [1][2]. Group 1: Financial Performance - In H1 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 14.304 billion HKD, a year-on-year decrease of 8% [1]. - The net profit attributable to shareholders for H1 2025 was 2.207 billion HKD, down 10% year-on-year [1]. - The gross profit margin improved to 44.26%, an increase of 5.53 percentage points year-on-year, while the net profit margin rose to 19.44%, up 0.84 percentage points [3]. Group 2: Revenue Composition - Operational service revenue reached 9.943 billion HKD in H1 2025, a year-on-year increase of 5%, accounting for 70% of total revenue [1]. - Construction service revenue fell by 49% to 1.844 billion HKD due to a decrease in ongoing projects, representing 13% of total revenue [1]. - Financial income accounted for 17% of total revenue [1]. Group 3: Operational Efficiency - The company has a designed daily processing capacity for municipal solid waste of 162,900 tons, with 196 waste-to-energy projects in operation as of June 30, 2025 [2]. - In H1 2025, the company processed 28.572 million tons of municipal solid waste, with an average power generation of approximately 460 kWh per ton of waste [2]. - The company’s dividend per share for the mid-year was 0.15 HKD, an increase from 0.14 HKD in the same period of 2024, with a payout ratio of 42%, up from 35% year-on-year [2]. Group 4: Future Projections - Revenue forecasts for 2025-2027 are 28.671 billion HKD, 27.640 billion HKD, and 27.591 billion HKD, respectively [3]. - Expected net profits for the same period are 3.666 billion HKD, 3.924 billion HKD, and 4.265 billion HKD, with corresponding price-to-earnings ratios of 7.46, 6.97, and 6.41 [3].

美银证券对光大环境(00257)亦予"买入"评级，其上半年税前利润同比升23%，好过预期，自由现金流翻 倍，资本开支指引清晰;目标价5.3港元。另外，该行予龙源电力（001289）(00916)"跑输大市"评级，目 标价6港元，认为其上半年盈利下跌符合预期，会继续留意补贴征收情况和即将进行的省级电力招标。 该行提及，燃煤及可再生能源收入下降打击华润电力(00836)，评级"中性"，目标价由20.2港元降至19.8 港元。该行并降华电国际（600027）电力股份(01071)评级由"买入"下调至"中性"，H股目标价由4.9港元 降至4.6港元，因忧虑电价下滑，行业进入季节性弱势，并或在供需关系转弱及风/光电价走低下加剧。 不过，煤价趋稳及反内卷或带来一些支持。 美银证券发布研报称，中资电力股上半年业绩大致符合该行预期，其中热能发电、风电供应链及环境业 务的盈利与自由现金流表现强劲;不过，燃气、风电和太阳能独立发电商及太阳能供应链表现相对平 淡。 该行对热能发电转持中性看法，因市场担忧电价下调压力将于9至12月浮现;现予华能国际（600011）电 力股份(00902)"买入"评级，基于其自由现金流收益率达8%;H ...

Group 1: SF Express (顺丰同城) / Logistics - The company achieved revenue of 10.236 billion yuan in H1 2025, a year-on-year increase of 48.81%, and a net profit of 137 million yuan, up 120.43% year-on-year [3][4] - The ToB delivery and last-mile business saw significant growth, with a 50%+ increase in same-city delivery orders, driving revenue to 5.779 billion yuan, a 43.11% increase year-on-year [4] - The company’s gross margin was 6.65%, slightly down by 0.23 percentage points, while the net profit margin improved by 0.44 percentage points to 1.34% [5][6] Group 2: China Everbright Environment (光大环境) / Environmental Governance - The company reported a revenue of 14.304 billion HKD in H1 2025, a decrease of 8% year-on-year, and a net profit of 2.207 billion HKD, down 10% year-on-year [8][9] - Operating service revenue increased by 5% to 9.943 billion HKD, accounting for 70% of total revenue, while construction service revenue fell by 49% [9][10] - The company’s gross margin improved significantly to 44.26%, up 5.53 percentage points year-on-year, and the net margin increased to 19.44%, up 0.84 percentage points [10] Group 3: Fenbi (粉笔) / Education - The company reported a revenue of 1.492 billion yuan in H1 2025, a decrease of 8.5% year-on-year, and a net profit of 227 million yuan, down 18.39% year-on-year [11][12] - The AI question-answering system is expected to become a new growth engine, with significant potential for revenue increase [13][14] - The company forecasts revenues of 2.525 billion yuan, 2.618 billion yuan, and 2.793 billion yuan for 2025-2027, with a "buy" rating [14] Group 4: HuiLiang Technology (汇量科技) / Advertising Marketing - The company achieved total revenue of 938 million USD in H1 2025, a year-on-year increase of 47%, and a net profit of 32.28 million USD, up 340% year-on-year [15][17] - The average daily advertising requests increased from over 200 billion in H1 2024 to over 300 billion in H1 2025, indicating strong client engagement [18] - The company forecasts revenues of 2.211 billion USD, 2.747 billion USD, and 3.301 billion USD for 2025-2027, with a "buy" rating [18] Group 5: Focus Media (分众传媒) / Advertising Marketing - The company reported total revenue of 6.112 billion yuan in H1 2025, a year-on-year increase of 2.43%, and a net profit of 2.665 billion yuan, up 6.87% year-on-year [20][21] - The gross margin improved to 68.3%, up 3.2 percentage points year-on-year, while the net margin reached 43.4%, up 2.3 percentage points [21][22] - The company plans to distribute a cash dividend of 1 yuan per 10 shares, with a cash dividend ratio of 25.5% [20] Group 6: Tungsten Industry / Industry Research - The report highlights a tightening supply of tungsten due to regulatory constraints and declining ore grades, with limited new projects expected [27][28] - The demand for tungsten is projected to grow, driven by applications in hard alloys and the semiconductor industry, with significant projects like the Yarlung Tsangpo River hydropower project expected to boost demand [28][29] - The strategic importance of tungsten is increasing due to export controls and tariffs, leading to a potential revaluation of tungsten resources [29] Group 7: Great Wall Motors (长城汽车) / Passenger Vehicles - The company reported total revenue of 92.33 billion yuan in H1 2025, a year-on-year increase of 1%, and a net profit of 6.34 billion yuan, down 10.2% year-on-year [31][32] - The company’s Q2 2025 revenue reached 52.32 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 7.7%, with a significant increase in net profit [32][33] - The company forecasts revenues of 225.3 billion yuan, 278.5 billion yuan, and 312.5 billion yuan for 2025-2027, with a "buy" rating [34] Group 8: Dongfang Tower (东方铁塔) / Agricultural Chemical Products - The company achieved revenue of 2.148 billion yuan in H1 2025, a year-on-year increase of 8.51%, and a net profit of 493 million yuan, up 79.18% year-on-year [35][36] - The company’s Q2 revenue was 1.193 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 10.20%, with a significant increase in net profit [37][38] - The company forecasts revenues of 4.926 billion yuan, 5.145 billion yuan, and 5.372 billion yuan for 2025-2027, with a "buy" rating [39] Group 9: Yipule (易普力) / Chemical Products - The company reported revenue of 4.713 billion yuan in H1 2025, a year-on-year increase of 20.4%, and a net profit of 409 million yuan, up 16.4% year-on-year [42][43] - The company’s Q2 revenue was 2.703 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 26.4%, with a significant increase in net profit [43][44] - The company’s performance is driven by high-quality development and market investment [44]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [1][10]. Core Views - The company's operational service revenue has increased, optimizing its business structure. In H1 2025, operational service revenue reached 99.43 billion HKD, a year-on-year increase of 5%, accounting for 70% of total revenue [7]. - The company has achieved a significant scale in waste treatment, with a design capacity for municipal waste treatment exceeding 162,900 tons per day, and operational efficiency steadily improving [7]. - The dividend payout ratio has increased year-on-year, with an interim dividend of 0.15 HKD per share in H1 2025, up from 0.14 HKD in the same period of 2024, resulting in a payout ratio of 42% [7]. - The gross profit margin has significantly improved, reaching 44.26% in H1 2025, an increase of 5.53 percentage points year-on-year, while the net profit margin slightly increased to 19.44% [7]. Financial Performance - In H1 2025, the company reported a revenue of 143.04 billion HKD, a decrease of 8% year-on-year, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 22.07 billion HKD, down 10% year-on-year [6]. - The company expects revenues for 2025-2027 to be 286.71 billion HKD, 276.40 billion HKD, and 275.91 billion HKD respectively, with net profits of 36.66 billion HKD, 39.24 billion HKD, and 42.65 billion HKD [9]. - The projected P/E ratios for 2025-2027 are 7.46, 6.97, and 6.41 respectively, indicating a favorable valuation [9]. Market Performance - The company's stock has outperformed the Hang Seng Index over various time frames, with a 1-month performance of 7.0%, 3-month performance of 18.4%, and a 12-month performance of 31.3% [4].

| 截至月份: | 2025年8月31日 | 狀態: 新提交 | | --- | --- | --- | | 致：香港交易及結算所有限公司 | | | | 公司名稱: | 中國光大環境(集團)有限公司 (於香港註冊成立之有限公司) | | | 呈交日期: | 2025年9月1日 | | | I. 法定/註冊股本變動 不適用 | | | FF301 第 1 頁 共 10 頁 v 1.1.1 FF301 股份發行人及根據《上市規則》第十九B章上市的香港預託證券發行人的證券變動月報表 II. 已發行股份及/或庫存股份變動 | 1. 股份分類 | 普通股 | 股份類別 | 不適用 | | 於香港聯交所上市 (註1) | 是 | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 證券代號 (如上市) | 00257 | 說明 | | | | | | | | | 已發行股份（不包括庫存股份）數目 | | 庫存股份數目 | | 已發行股份總數 | | | 上月底結存 | | | 6,142,975,292 | | 0 | | 6,142,975,292 | | 增加 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Positive" investment rating for the environmental protection industry [11]. Core Insights - The environmental protection sector showed a slight increase in net profit, with a year-on-year growth of 1.32% in the first half of 2025, despite a slight decline in revenue [6][22]. - The performance of waste incineration and water services remains stable, while the overall growth of the sector is hindered by declines in air quality and recycling resources [6][22]. - The industry is transitioning towards a ToB model, which is expected to accelerate valuation recovery [9]. Summary by Sections Performance Overview - In H1 2025, the environmental protection sector achieved revenue of 142.1 billion yuan, a decrease of 0.20% year-on-year, and a net profit of 13.7 billion yuan, an increase of 1.32% [6][22]. - The gross profit margin improved to 28.7%, up by 0.30 percentage points year-on-year [6][22]. Income Statement - The sector's net profit growth is primarily driven by stable performance in waste incineration and water operations, while the recycling and air quality segments experienced declines [22][24]. - Waste incineration saw revenue growth of 1.81% and net profit growth of 9.31% in H1 2025 [23]. - Water operations reported a slight revenue decline of 1.38% but a net profit increase of 1.79% [30]. Balance Sheet - The environmental protection sector's debt ratio was 57.7%, showing a slight increase of 0.27 percentage points year-on-year [7]. - Accounts receivable and related assets continue to rise, indicating potential cash flow challenges [7]. Cash Flow Statement - The cash collection ratio improved to 93.5%, up by 3.9 percentage points year-on-year, with net cash flow from operating activities reaching 10.44 billion yuan, an increase of 13.8% [8]. - Investment activities showed a net expenditure of 27.4 billion yuan, primarily directed towards waste incineration and water operations [8]. Investment Strategy - The report recommends continued investment in waste incineration and water services, highlighting that the sector can support a price-to-earnings ratio of 14x-16x, while many quality stocks are currently trading at 10x-12x [9]. - The report suggests potential growth opportunities in various segments, including testing services and energy conservation [9].

Core Viewpoint - The company reported a decline in revenue and net profit for the first half of 2025, but operational services showed stable growth, indicating a shift in revenue structure towards more stable income sources [1][2]. Group 1: Financial Performance - In the first half of 2025, the company achieved a revenue of HKD 14.304 billion, a decrease of 8% year-on-year, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of HKD 2.207 billion, down 10% year-on-year [1]. - The interim dividend was set at HKD 0.15 per share, an increase from HKD 0.14 per share in the same period of 2024, with a payout ratio rising to 42% [2]. Group 2: Revenue Breakdown - Total revenue for the first half of 2025 was HKD 14.304 billion, with operational service revenue contributing HKD 9.808 billion, a year-on-year increase of 5.2%, while construction service revenue fell to HKD 1.823 billion, a decrease of 47.2% [1]. - The revenue composition shifted, with operational services accounting for 68.6% of total revenue, an increase of 8.9 percentage points year-on-year [1]. Group 3: Operational Highlights - The company processed 26.498 million tons of municipal waste in the first half of 2025, a 2% increase year-on-year, and generated 886.0 million megawatt-hours of electricity, a 6% increase year-on-year [1]. - Significant increases were noted in the processing of kitchen waste, sludge, and other waste, which rose by 177% year-on-year, contributing positively to overall operational performance [1]. Group 4: Financial Challenges - Asset impairment and foreign exchange losses negatively impacted the company's performance, with property, plant, and equipment impairments increasing by HKD 110 million and goodwill impairments rising by HKD 70 million [1]. - The company reported a foreign exchange loss of HKD 430 million in the first half of 2025, contrasting with a foreign exchange gain of HKD 230 million in the same period of 2024 [1]. Group 5: Future Outlook - The company anticipates improvements in cash flow for its subsidiary, Everbright Green Environmental Protection, following the release of new methodologies for biomass power generation and cogeneration projects [2]. - Profit forecasts for 2025 to 2027 estimate net profits attributable to shareholders at HKD 3.7 billion, HKD 4.1 billion, and HKD 4.2 billion, respectively, with corresponding price-to-earnings ratios of 7.4x, 6.7x, and 6.5x [2].

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [6] Core Views - The company's performance met expectations, with a mid-term dividend increase against the trend [8] - The decline in construction revenue and foreign exchange losses impacted profits, but operational service revenue increased significantly [8] - The company is focusing on refined management, leading to substantial growth in heating supply [8] - The increase in mid-term dividends reflects the company's commitment to enhancing shareholder returns [8] - The potential inclusion of biomass energy utilization in the third batch of CCER is expected to expand profit channels for the company [8] - The company is projected to have a low valuation with high dividend value, maintaining a "Buy" rating [8] Financial Summary - For 2023, the company is expected to generate revenue of 32,495.24 million HKD, with a year-on-year decline of 13.9% [7] - The net profit attributable to shareholders is projected at 4,429.16 million HKD, down 3.8% year-on-year [7] - The earnings per share (EPS) for 2023 is estimated at 0.72 HKD [7] - The company’s return on equity (ROE) is expected to be 9.2% for 2023 [7] - The price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio is projected at 3.52 for 2023 [7] - The company plans to distribute a mid-term dividend of 0.15 HKD per share, an increase from the previous year [8]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" and is maintained [6]. Core Views - In the first half of 2025, the company achieved a revenue of HKD 14.304 billion, a year-on-year decrease of 8%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of HKD 2.207 billion, down 10% year-on-year. The interim dividend per share is set at HKD 0.15, compared to HKD 0.14 in the same period of 2024. The operational business remains stable, although construction revenue continues to decline, impacting the revenue structure. Asset impairment and foreign exchange losses are still dragging down the company's performance, while financial expenses continue to optimize. The interim dividend has slightly increased, with the payout ratio rising to 42%, and there are expectations for further dividend increases in the future [2][4][7]. Summary by Sections Revenue and Profitability - The company reported a total revenue of HKD 14.304 billion in the first half of 2025, with operational service revenue at HKD 9.808 billion, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 5.2%. However, construction service revenue fell to HKD 1.823 billion, a significant decrease of 47.2%. The operational services accounted for 68.6% of total revenue, while construction services and financial income made up 12.7% and 17.6%, respectively. The operational business's proportion increased by 8.9 percentage points year-on-year [2][7]. Asset Impairment and Financial Performance - The company faced asset impairments and foreign exchange losses that negatively impacted its performance. In the first half of 2025, property, plant, and equipment impairments increased by HKD 110 million, and goodwill impairments rose by HKD 70 million. The foreign exchange loss amounted to HKD 430 million, contrasting with a foreign exchange gain of HKD 230 million in the same period of 2024. Despite these challenges, the cash flow remains unaffected [7]. Dividend and Future Outlook - The interim dividend has been slightly increased to HKD 0.15 per share, with the payout ratio rising by 7 percentage points to 42%. The company anticipates that the cash flow of its subsidiary, China Everbright Green, will improve significantly following the release of new policy methodologies. This creates expectations for further increases in dividends in the future [7]. Earnings Forecast and Valuation - The company forecasts net profits attributable to shareholders of HKD 3.7 billion, HKD 4.1 billion, and HKD 4.2 billion for the years 2025 to 2027, respectively. The current market capitalization corresponds to price-to-earnings ratios of 7.4x, 6.7x, and 6.5x for the respective years. The estimated dividend for 2024 is HKD 0.23 per share, resulting in a current dividend yield of approximately 5.1% based on the closing price of HKD 4.50 on August 25, 2025 [7].