股份方面，该行强烈建议H股多于A股;行业首选为北森控股(09669)，目标价10.3港元，评级"增持"，预 期收入将加速增长;其次为金蝶国际(00268)、中国软件国际(00354)及金山软件(03888)，目标价分别为 14.2港元、6.6港元(原本5.4港元)及38港元，均予"与大市同步"评级。 资金方面，该行认为板块在低利率环境下将跟随整体市场流动性，且有更高弹性(Beta)，因主动型基金 的相关配置比重极低。主题投资如AI应用、科技本土化和稳定币等，可能对股价产生显著影响，但目 前该行尚未发现到可以真正扭转行业基本面的主题。 摩根士丹利发布研报称，就内地软件行业基本面而言，该行仍保持谨慎态度，因预期内地GDP增长将放 缓，且通缩压力依然存在，企业对IT投资的信心仍较低，相信要待通缩结束后1至2年才会恢复。在需求 出现实质转折前，任何供应端推动的新技术趋势，都只能够促使现有的预算在市场中重新分配。 ...

Core Viewpoint - Bank of America Securities reports that during a recent investor event, discussions with management from Chinese software companies and data center/cloud computing firms revealed steady progress in AI monetization and an increase in AI-related contract values [1] Group 1: Software Companies - AI agency and AI coding deployment are enhancing operational efficiency for software companies [1] - Companies like Kingdee and Meitu, which have a high proportion of subscription revenue, are expected to show greater growth visibility [1] - Bank of America Securities prefers companies with robust downstream demand and high recurring revenue, with Kingdee and Meitu being top picks, rated "Buy" with target prices of HKD 20.7 and HKD 13.5 respectively [1] Group 2: Data Centers and Cloud Services - AI development is driving strong growth in data center demand, supported by positive progress in domestic AI chip research [1] - The public cloud business is also experiencing robust growth due to AI [1] - Bank of America Securities is optimistic about companies like GDS Holdings, Century Internet, and Kingsoft Cloud, all benefiting from strong AI demand, with all performance exceeding expectations and rated "Buy" [1] - Mingyuan Cloud's target price has been raised from HKD 3.7 to HKD 4, maintaining a "Neutral" rating [1]

Group 1 - Jingchen Co., Ltd. plans to acquire 100% equity of Chipmy Microelectronics for a total consideration of 316 million RMB, which will make Chipmy a wholly-owned subsidiary [1] - Kingdee International announced the acquisition of approximately 63% equity of Yunzhijia Network for 68 million RMB, aiming to enhance AI capabilities in enterprise management [2] - Purun Co., Ltd. intends to acquire SHM Holdings through cash payments to various investment funds, details of the transaction are not disclosed [3] Group 2 - Jiayun Technology's wholly-owned subsidiary is acquiring the remaining 40% equity of Beijing Wanhe for 1.14 million RMB [4] - Galaxy Magnetics is planning to issue shares and pay cash to acquire 100% equity of Sichuan Kyoto Longtai Technology, while raising supporting funds [5] - Gansu Lanke High-tech Equipment Co., Ltd. intends to acquire 100% equity of Shanghai Lanya Petrochemical Equipment Testing and 51% equity of China Air Separation Engineering [6] Group 3 - Tianrun Industrial is acquiring 100% equity of Shandong Altai Automotive Parts for 135 million RMB, with the first delivery already completed [7] - ST Quan is in the preliminary planning stage to sell 100% equity of Anhui Quanwei, with a framework agreement signed [8] - Longyang Electronics completed the acquisition of 70% equity of Suzhou Deyou New Materials for cash, constituting a major asset restructuring [9] Group 4 - United Precision Manufacturing plans to acquire 51% equity of Chengdu Mite Aviation Manufacturing for cash, with an intention agreement signed [10] - Shanghai Haili Bio-Technology adjusted the acquisition price of 55% equity of Shaanxi Ruisheng Bio-Technology due to intensified industry competition and tightened tax incentives [11] - Nanjing Shangluo Electronics' wholly-owned subsidiary intends to acquire a total of 88.79% equity of Guangzhou Ligong Technology for 70 million RMB [12] Group 5 - Sanan Optoelectronics received a regulatory letter regarding the acquisition of equity in a globally renowned LED company, focusing on the company's situation and transaction pricing [13] - Longjian Co., Ltd. plans to acquire 100% equity of Guangdong Zhimiao Construction Engineering for 40,000 RMB to expand into new regional markets [14]

Core Viewpoint - Kingdee International announced the acquisition of a 62.8% stake in Yunzhijia for 68 million yuan, increasing its ownership from 7.5% to 70.3%, allowing for consolidation in financial statements [1] Group 1: Acquisition Details - The acquisition is based on a comparable company EV/S median of 2.9x, with Yunzhijia's estimated EV at 310 million yuan, leading to an equity valuation of 110 million yuan after deducting liabilities [1] - Yunzhijia was incubated from Kingdee's ecosystem and has evolved into a mobile social and collaboration platform since its inception in 2011 [1] - The company previously sold 85% of Yunzhijia's equity in 2016 due to expanding losses and the pressures of cloud transformation, transitioning Yunzhijia to an associate company [1] Group 2: Financial Performance and Strategy - Yunzhijia has shifted its focus towards subscription and AI, achieving a tax profit of 4.66 million yuan in the first four months of 2025 [2] - The platform is built on a cloud-native architecture and has seen improved financial conditions as subscription revenue increases [2] - Kingdee plans to position Yunzhijia as a unified entry point for AI and collaboration, enhancing mobile office capabilities and optimizing user experience in cloud ERP [2] Group 3: Revenue Projections - Revenue projections for Kingdee from 2025 to 2027 are estimated at 7.01 billion yuan, 7.90 billion yuan, and 8.95 billion yuan, with corresponding price-to-sales ratios of 7.5x, 6.6x, and 5.9x [3]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Accumulate" (maintained) [2] Core Views - The report highlights that Kingdee International is acquiring a 62.8% stake in Yunzhijia for 68 million yuan, which will increase its ownership from 7.5% to 70.3% and allow for consolidation in financial statements [7] - Yunzhijia has transitioned to profitability, with a net profit of 4.66 million yuan in the first four months of 2025, aligning with Kingdee's subscription and AI-focused strategy [7] - The acquisition is expected to enhance Kingdee's mobile office capabilities and create a unified entry point for AI and collaboration tools, improving user experience in cloud ERP [7] - The financial impact of the acquisition is anticipated to be limited in the short term, with projected revenues for 2025-2027 at 7.01 billion, 7.90 billion, and 8.95 billion yuan respectively [7] Financial Performance Summary - Revenue for 2023 is projected at 5.68 billion yuan, with a growth rate of 16.71%, and expected to reach 7.01 billion yuan in 2025, reflecting a growth rate of 12.03% [6][8] - The company is expected to achieve a net profit of 151 million yuan in 2025, with a significant increase in net profit growth rate of 270.97% in 2026 [6][8] - Earnings per share (EPS) is projected to turn positive in 2025 at 0.04 yuan, increasing to 0.31 yuan by 2027 [6][8] - The price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio is expected to decrease from 346.26 in 2025 to 48.25 by 2027, indicating improving valuation metrics [6][8]

Core Insights - The emergence of large models, particularly DeepSeek, is driving the commercialization of AI across various industries, enabling companies to deploy AI applications at lower costs [1] - AI-driven companies like Cambrian, Industrial Fulian, SenseTime, CloudWalk, and iFlytek are experiencing significant revenue growth due to the increasing demand for AI capabilities [3][5][6][9] Company Summaries - **Cambrian**: Achieved a substantial turnaround with a revenue increase of 4347% year-on-year in the first half of 2025, reaching 2.881 billion yuan, and net profit of 1.038 billion yuan, compared to a loss of 530 million yuan in the previous year [3][4] - **Industrial Fulian**: Benefited from the AI model's demand for computing power, reporting a revenue of 360.76 billion yuan, a 35.58% increase year-on-year, and a net profit of 12.113 billion yuan, up 38.61% [5] - **SenseTime**: Experienced a revenue growth of 36% year-on-year, totaling 2.358 billion yuan in the first half of 2025, with generative AI revenue growing 73% to 1.815 billion yuan, accounting for 77% of total revenue [6] - **CloudWalk**: Reported a revenue of 169 million yuan, a 40% increase year-on-year, while reducing losses to 230 million yuan, a 35% decrease from the previous year [7][8] - **iFlytek**: Generated 10.9 billion yuan in revenue in the first half of 2025, a 17% increase, with its education segment growing 23.47% to 3.531 billion yuan [9][10] - **Kingdee**: Achieved a revenue of 3.192 billion yuan, an 11.2% increase, with cloud service revenue growing 11.9% to 2.673 billion yuan [11] Industry Trends - The AI sector is entering a new growth cycle driven by generative AI technologies, with global AI spending projected to grow at a compound annual growth rate of 29% from 2024 to 2028, reaching 632 billion dollars by 2028 [12]

Core Viewpoint - Kingdee International (00268) has increased its stake in Yunzhijia by 68.25 million RMB, making it a subsidiary of Kingdee after the acquisition [1] Group 1: Acquisition Details - Hongjin Investment, a subsidiary of Kingdee International, has acquired 62.764% of Yunzhijia [1] - The acquisition was completed after Kingdee previously sold Yunzhijia in 2016 [1] Group 2: Strategic Benefits - The acquisition is expected to enhance Kingdee's AI-first strategy through a unified AI portal [1] - It will strengthen Kingdee's SaaS ecosystem and subscription-first strategy, providing a complete product suite for Kingdee's customers [1]

Core Insights - CICC reported that Kingdee International (00268) has increased its stake in Yunzhijia by 62.764% for 68.25 million RMB, making Yunzhijia a subsidiary of Kingdee after the acquisition [1] Group 1: Acquisition Details - The acquisition will enhance Kingdee's AI-first strategy through a unified AI portal [1] - The move is expected to strengthen Kingdee's SaaS ecosystem and subscription-first strategy [1] - The acquisition allows Kingdee to provide a complete suite of products to its customers in collaboration with Yunzhijia [1]

Core Insights - Kingdee International's subsidiary, Hongjin Investment, has increased its stake in Yunzhijia by 68.25 million, acquiring 62.764% equity [1] - Following the acquisition, Yunzhijia will become a subsidiary of Kingdee, which originally owned Yunzhijia before selling it in 2016 [1] - Kingdee believes that the acquisition will enhance its AI-first strategy through a unified AI entry website, strengthen its SaaS ecosystem, and support a subscription-first strategy, providing a complete product suite for its customers [1]

Summary of Kingdee's Conference Call Company Overview - **Company**: Kingdee International Software Group Company Limited (0268.HK) - **Industry**: Cloud-based Office Automation (OA) and AI solutions Key Points Acquisition of CloudHub - Kingdee plans to acquire CloudHub for Rmb68 million in cash, increasing its ownership from 7.5% to 70.3% post-acquisition, making CloudHub a subsidiary [1] - CloudHub has been part of Kingdee's ecosystem for over 10 years and has recently turned a net income of Rmb4.7 million in 4M25, recovering from losses of Rmb12.6 million and Rmb33.9 million in 2024 and 2023 respectively [1][7] AI Integration and Synergies - CloudHub enhances user experience by integrating AI features into its OA portal and collaboration platform, including AI enterprise knowledge base and intelligent Q&A [2] - The management emphasizes the synergies between Kingdee and CloudHub to develop a unified AI portal, facilitating seamless transitions between desktop and mobile devices [2] Subscription Business Model - CloudHub operates on a subscription-based pricing model, aligning with Kingdee's "AI First, Subscription First, Globalization" strategy [3] - In 1H25, subscription revenues accounted for over 50% of Kingdee's total revenues, with a gross margin of 96% [3] - The rising subscription ratio is expected to enhance profitability as clients migrate to AI features requiring cloud platforms [3] Financial Projections - Kingdee's revenue projections for the upcoming years are as follows: - 2024: Rmb6,255.7 million - 2025E: Rmb7,070.1 million - 2026E: Rmb8,770.3 million - 2027E: Rmb10,759.0 million [11] - The company has a 12-month price target of HK$18.94, indicating a potential upside of 16.4% from the current price of HK$16.27 [11] Risks and Challenges - Key downside risks include weaker-than-expected demand for ERP digitization, slower product development, and increased labor costs [10] Market Position - Kingdee's market capitalization is HK$56.7 billion (approximately $7.3 billion) [11] - The company is positioned within the Greater China Technology sector and has a strong focus on M&A activities, ranked 3 in M&A potential [11] Additional Insights - Kingdee's flexible solutions across private, public, and hybrid cloud environments are expected to cater to diverse client needs [3] - The integration of AI into Kingdee's offerings is seen as a strategic move to enhance its competitive edge in the market [2][3]