承董事局命 中國海外發展有限公司 （於香港註冊成立之有限公司） （股份代號：688） 沒收未領取的股息 根據中國海外發展有限公司（「本公司」）《組織章程細則》的規定，凡在宣 派日期起計六年後仍未領取的所有股息可被本公司董事局（「董事局」）沒收, 並應撥歸本公司所有。董事局謹此通知本公司股東，以下仍未領取的股息將於 二零二五年九月三十日予以沒收及撥歸本公司所有: | 股息類別 | 宣派股息日期 | 每股股息 | | --- | --- | --- | | 末期股息 | 二零一九年三月二十日 | 港幣50仙 | | 中期股息 | 二零一九年八月二十二日 | 港幣45仙 | 凡有權收取但仍未收到上述股息或仍未兌現有關股息單的股東，請盡快惟不遲 於二零二五年九月三十日下午四時三十分前聯絡本公司股份過戶登記處卓佳證 券登記有限公司，地址為香港夏慤道 16 號遠東金融中心 17 樓。 香港交易及結算所有限公司及香港聯合交易所有限公司對本公告的內容概不負責，對其準確性 或完整性亦不發表任何聲明，並明確表示，概不對因本公告全部或任何部份內容而產生或因倚 賴該等內容而引致的任何損失承擔任何責任。 主席兼執行董事 顏建國 香港， ...

Sales Performance Overview - In the first eight months of 2025, the top 20 real estate companies in Changsha achieved a total sales revenue of 26.456 billion yuan, with a total sales area of 1.8016 million square meters [2][3] - The sales threshold for the top 10 companies was 1.12 billion yuan and 77,600 square meters, while for the top 20 it was 465 million yuan and 37,400 square meters [2] Top Companies by Sales Revenue - China Resources Land ranked first in sales revenue with 3.071 billion yuan, followed by China Merchants Shekou with 2.845 billion yuan, and China State Construction with 2.765 billion yuan [3][4] - In terms of sales area, China State Construction led with 203,400 square meters, followed by China Merchants Shekou with 199,400 square meters, and China Resources Land with 172,200 square meters [3] Project Sales Rankings - The top 10 projects in Changsha for sales revenue totaled 10.716 billion yuan, with the threshold for the top 10 set at 752 million yuan [6] - The project "Changsha Ruifu" topped the sales revenue chart with 1.943 billion yuan, followed by "Changsha Jianfa Guanyun" at 1.200 billion yuan, and "Yunda Conference Bay" at 1.077 billion yuan [6] - For sales area, "Changsha Ruifu" also led with 94,800 square meters, followed by "Zhongjian Taoli Jiu Zhang" with 79,500 square meters, and "Changsha Runfu" with 75,900 square meters [7]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the real estate industry is "Positive" (maintained) [5][6][57] Core Viewpoints - Since September 2024, the central government has emphasized "stabilizing the real estate market and stock market," which is crucial for boosting social expectations and facilitating domestic demand circulation [5][6] - The report suggests that high-quality residential properties may experience a development wave due to policy guidance and changes in supply-demand structure [5][6] Market Performance - The Shanghai Composite Index fell by 1.2%, the Shenzhen Component Index decreased by 0.8%, while the ChiNext Index rose by 2.4% during the week [9] - The real estate sector (Shenwan) declined by 1.5% [9] - Notable stock performances included Shoukai Co. (+32.0%) and Ningbo Fuda (+12.7%), while *ST Nanzhi fell by 22.6% [9] Data Tracking New Housing Transactions - In the week of August 30 to September 5, 2025, 42 key cities saw new housing transactions totaling 1.7 million square meters, a decrease of 15.3% week-on-week and 9.4% year-on-year [15] - For August 2025, the total new housing transactions in these cities reached 7.3 million square meters, down 4.1% month-on-month and 18.8% year-on-year [18] Second-Hand Housing Transactions - In the same week, 21 key cities recorded second-hand housing transactions of 171,000 square meters, a decrease of 9.1% week-on-week but an increase of 10.2% year-on-year [29] - For August 2025, total second-hand housing transactions in these cities were 793,000 square meters, down 7.2% month-on-month but up 0.9% year-on-year [34] Industry News - The Ministry of Housing and Urban-Rural Development held a meeting emphasizing high-level legislation to promote high-quality development in housing and urban construction [45] - Shanghai initiated a new round of adjustments to existing mortgage rates, allowing second-home buyers to apply for a rate reduction to the first-home level [45] - In Shenzhen, policies were optimized to lower purchasing thresholds and mortgage costs for residents and enterprises [45] Company Announcements - In August 2025, major real estate companies reported varying sales figures: China Overseas Development at 18.33 billion yuan (down 0.7% year-on-year), and Greentown China at 10.6 billion yuan (up 27.7% year-on-year) [48] - Poly Developments recently acquired two projects in Lanzhou and Sanya, with a total payment of 1.612 billion yuan [48]

Core Viewpoint - The company reported a decline in contract sales for the first eight months of 2025, indicating a challenging market environment, but it maintains a strong brand advantage and steady commercial operations [1][2]. Sales Performance - In August 2025, the company's contract sales amounted to 18.33 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 0.7%, while the sales area increased by 27.7% to 889,000 square meters [1]. - For the period of January to August 2025, the total contract sales reached 150.33 billion yuan, down 16.5% year-on-year, with a sales area of 6.669 million square meters, a slight decrease of 0.2% [1][2]. Pricing Strategy - The company adopted a price-for-volume strategy, with an average sales price of 22,500 yuan per square meter, reflecting a 16.3% decrease compared to the same period in 2024 [2]. - The company’s revenue for the first half of 2025 was 83.22 billion yuan, a decline of 4.27% year-on-year, with the real estate development segment accounting for 77.96 billion yuan, down 4.97% [2]. Financial Management - As of June 30, 2025, the company had total borrowings of 227.45 billion yuan, a reduction of 14.12 billion yuan from the end of 2024, with cash and bank deposits amounting to 108.96 billion yuan [3]. - The asset-liability ratio stood at 53.7%, and the net debt ratio was 28.4%, indicating a strong financial position [3]. Commercial Operations - The company is focused on comprehensive asset management, with commercial property revenue of 3.54 billion yuan in the first half of 2025, including 1.7 billion yuan from office buildings and 1.17 billion yuan from shopping centers [2]. - The occupancy rate for mature shopping center projects over three years was 96.2%, with foot traffic increasing by 11.0% year-on-year [2]. Profit Forecast and Valuation - The company revised its net profit forecasts for 2025-2027 to 13.86 billion, 13.95 billion, and 14.04 billion yuan, respectively, down from previous estimates [3]. - The current stock price corresponds to a price-to-earnings ratio of 10.1, 10.0, and 9.9 for 2025-2027 [3].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Positive" rating for the real estate and property management sectors [4][5]. Core Insights - The report highlights that the broad housing demand in China has bottomed out, but the price and volume have not entered a positive cycle as expected. The real estate industry faces challenges from weakened household balance sheets and policy constraints requiring high-quality development without overall leverage [4][5][6]. - The "Good House" policy is seen as a potential breakthrough strategy that could lead to a fivefold positive resonance in core cities, gradually achieving a recovery driven by structural improvements [4][5][6]. Summary by Sections 1. Industry Status: Challenges in Real Estate Fundamentals and Policy Constraints - Broad housing demand is estimated to have bottomed out, with total transactions stabilizing around 1.4 billion square meters [15][22]. - New home sales have decreased from 1.57 billion square meters in 2021 to an estimated 0.81 billion square meters in 2024, a cumulative decline of 48%, while second-hand home sales have increased by 64% during the same period [15][22]. - The key issue in the real estate sector is not demand but purchasing power, with a trend of consumption downgrade evident in the market [22][31]. 2. Breakthrough Strategy: "Good House" Policy Leading to Fivefold Positive Resonance - The "Good House" policy aims to create new products and markets, enhancing the price system under conditions of supply scarcity and relatively abundant demand [4][6]. - The report identifies five positive resonances: policy strength of "Good House," urban renewal, housing consumption upgrade, wealth reallocation under capital controls, and stock market strength [4][6]. - Potential benefits include expected further reductions in mortgage rates and loosening of purchase restrictions, which could drive improvements in core cities [4][6]. 3. Core Cities: Hong Kong Has Reversed, Shanghai and Other Core Cities Nearing Bottom - Hong Kong's real estate market has experienced a turnaround due to four positive factors, including talent policies and stock market gains [4][6]. - Other core cities like Shanghai, Beijing, and Shenzhen are also showing signs of improvement, with Shanghai expected to be the next city to see a bottoming out [4][6]. 4. Investment Analysis Opinion: "Good House" as a Breakthrough Strategy - The report emphasizes that the "Good House" policy could lead to a structural recovery in the real estate market, benefiting quality real estate companies positioned in core cities [4][5][6]. - Recommended companies include those with strong product capabilities and undervalued recovery potential, as well as second-hand housing intermediaries and property management firms [4][5].

Core Insights - The largest urban renewal project in Shanghai's history, the Xuhui Dong'an New Village project, has released a planning design for one of its plots, with a total of 206 residential units planned [1] - The project involves significant land transactions, with a total of approximately 523.03 billion yuan for three residential plots, covering an area of 159,300 square meters and a total floor area of 600,500 square meters [1] - Major developers, including China Overseas Land & Investment and China Merchants Shekou, have entered the project, indicating a strong interest in the Xuhui waterfront area [2][3] Land Acquisition and Development - The C030301 unit 127b-23 plot was acquired by Shanghai Xin Feng An Development Co., a joint venture between Shanghai Real Estate Group and Xuhui Urban Investment, for 8.35 billion yuan [1] - The other two plots, 127b-24 and 125-31, were also acquired by a consortium including China Overseas and China Merchants, highlighting a competitive bidding environment [2][6] - The total transaction value for the two additional plots is approximately 405 billion yuan, with cash payments of 154.78 billion yuan and the remainder in debt [7] Market Dynamics - The analysis indicates that premium land reserves are crucial for real estate companies' sales performance, with a notable decline in land supply in Shanghai's core areas [4] - China Overseas has seen a drop in its sales ranking in Shanghai, attributed to limited land reserves and the high demand for luxury properties [4] - The residential value of the Dong'an New Village project is estimated to reach 600 billion yuan, making it one of the largest luxury residential developments in Shanghai's history [8] Strategic Moves by Developers - China Overseas and China Merchants are strategically increasing their investments in Shanghai's core areas, with the Dong'an New Village project being a significant addition to their portfolios [8][9] - The project is expected to enhance the living conditions in the area and contribute to the urban functionality, aligning with the broader development goals of the Xuhui waterfront region [10] - The involvement of China Travel Service in the project marks a diversification of investment strategies, focusing on residential and cultural tourism developments [7][10]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, indicating a projected investment return exceeding 15% over the next 6-12 months [6]. Core Insights - The company has demonstrated a strong brand advantage and is actively implementing a strategy to exchange price for volume, leading to significant sales figures despite a decline in average selling price [2][4]. - The company is focused on enhancing its commercial operations and asset management capabilities, with a notable increase in commercial property revenue and tenant retention rates [3]. - Financially, the company maintains a robust credit profile with a significant reduction in total debt and a low average financing cost, ensuring operational cash flow remains positive [3]. Summary by Sections Sales Performance - For the period of January to August 2025, the company reported a contract sales amount of 150.33 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 16.5%, while the sales area was 6.669 million square meters, a slight decrease of 0.2% [1]. - In August 2025 alone, the contract sales amount was 18.33 billion yuan, showing a minor decline of 0.7% year-on-year, but the sales area increased by 27.7% [1]. Financial Performance - The company's revenue for the first half of 2025 was 83.22 billion yuan, down 4.27% year-on-year, with the real estate development segment contributing 77.96 billion yuan, also down 4.97% [2]. - The gross profit margin decreased to 17.4% from 22.1% in the previous year, while the net profit attributable to shareholders was 8.6 billion yuan, reflecting a 16.6% decline [2]. Asset Management and Commercial Operations - The company is developing a comprehensive real estate asset management platform, with commercial property revenue reaching 3.54 billion yuan in the first half of 2025 [3]. - The office rental retention rate stands at 76.9%, and mature shopping centers have a rental rate of 96.2%, with foot traffic increasing by 11% year-on-year [3]. Profit Forecast and Valuation - The profit forecast for 2025-2027 has been revised downwards to 13.86 billion, 13.95 billion, and 14.04 billion yuan respectively, with corresponding P/E ratios of 10.1, 10.0, and 9.9 [4]. - The company's strong brand and ample land reserves support its leading position in the industry, justifying the "Buy" rating despite current sales challenges [4].

Core Viewpoint - The company is expected to face pressure on gross margin and inventory impairment in 2025, with a potential recovery in gross margin starting in 2026. Revenue and core net profit forecasts for 2025 and 2026 indicate slight declines followed by a modest recovery [1] Group 1: Financial Performance - In H1 2025, the company achieved revenue of 832.2 billion, a year-on-year decrease of 4.3%, with a comprehensive gross margin of 17.4%, down 4.7 percentage points [2] - Core net profit for H1 2025 was 87.8 billion, reflecting a year-on-year decline of 17.5%. The interim dividend per share was 0.25 HKD, with a payout ratio of 28.7% [2] Group 2: Market Position - The company recorded a contract sales amount of 1201.5 billion in H1 2025, holding a market share of 2.72%, ranking second in the industry. It achieved top three market positions in 31 cities, with 14 cities ranked first locally [3] - The launch of the "Zhonghai Good House LivingOS System" has contributed to a customer satisfaction rate of 90, setting an industry benchmark [3] Group 3: Land Reserves - From January to July 2025, the company acquired land worth 550.1 billion, leading the industry in investment scale, with 86% of acquisitions in first-tier and strong second-tier cities [4] - The company’s large-scale urban projects are expected to provide a solid foundation for future sales and profits [4] Group 4: Capital Operations - The company’s commercial operations revenue in H1 2025 was 35.4 billion, stable year-on-year, with shopping centers and office buildings accounting for 81% of the revenue [5] - The first commercial public REIT has been accepted by the China Securities Regulatory Commission and Shenzhen Stock Exchange, enhancing capital operations and asset value [5] Group 5: Leverage Levels - As of H1 2025, the company’s asset-liability ratio, excluding advance receipts, was 45.7%, down 2.5 percentage points from the end of 2024. The net debt ratio was 28.4%, a decrease of 0.8 percentage points [6] - The cash-to-short-term debt ratio stood at 4.9 times, maintaining a leading position in the industry, with an average financing cost of 2.9%, remaining in the lowest range [6]

Core Viewpoint - The company is expected to face pressure on gross profit margin and inventory impairment in 2025, with a potential recovery in 2026. Revenue and core net profit forecasts for 2025 and 2026 are slightly declining, but the stock maintains a "buy" rating based on current valuations [1] Group 1: Financial Performance - In H1 2025, the company achieved revenue of 832.2 billion, a year-on-year decrease of 4.3%, with a comprehensive gross margin of 17.4%, down 4.7 percentage points [2] - Core net profit for H1 2025 was 87.8 billion, reflecting a year-on-year decline of 17.5% [2] - The company declared an interim dividend of 25 Hong Kong cents per share, with a payout ratio of 28.7% [2] Group 2: Market Position - In H1 2025, the company recorded contract sales of 1201.5 billion, holding a market share of 2.72%, ranking second in the industry [3] - The company maintained a customer satisfaction score of 90, driven by product and service quality, leading to a project turnover rate significantly above the market average [3] Group 3: Land Reserves - From January to July 2025, the company acquired land worth 550.1 billion, leading the industry in investment scale, with 86% of acquisitions in first-tier and strong second-tier cities [4] - The company’s large-scale urban projects are expected to provide a solid foundation for future sales and profits [4] Group 4: Capital Operations - The company’s commercial operations revenue in H1 2025 was 35.4 billion, stable year-on-year, with shopping centers and office buildings accounting for 81% of the revenue [5] - The company’s first commercial public REIT has been accepted by the China Securities Regulatory Commission and Shenzhen Stock Exchange, enhancing capital operations and asset value [5] Group 5: Leverage Levels - As of H1 2025, the company’s asset-liability ratio, excluding advance receipts, was 45.7%, down 2.5 percentage points from the end of 2024 [6] - The net debt ratio was 28.4%, a decrease of 0.8 percentage points from the end of 2024, with a cash-to-short-term debt ratio of 4.9 times, maintaining an industry-leading level [6]

Core Insights - The real estate market in Henan Province is experiencing a downturn in August, traditionally a slow season, but high-quality projects are still achieving good sales performance. The State Council has reiterated the need for strong measures to stabilize the real estate market, indicating a potential mild recovery [1][4]. Sales Performance - In the first eight months of 2025, the top 20 real estate companies in Henan achieved the following sales figures: - Jianye Real Estate: 53.42 billion CNY, 82.25 million m² sold - Zhonghai Real Estate: 28.37 billion CNY, 31.89 million m² sold - Zhengshang Group: 28.25 billion CNY, 19.62 million m² sold - China Jinmao: 27.61 billion CNY, 19.04 million m² sold - China Merchants Shekou: 25.70 billion CNY, 17.90 million m² sold [1][2]. Land Market Overview - In the first eight months of 2025, Henan Province launched 1,798 land plots with a planned construction area of 86.53 million m², of which 65.83 million m² were successfully sold. Specifically, 382 residential land plots were launched, with a total planned area of 20.64 million m², and 14.49 million m² sold [4]. - In August, 14 cities in Henan had residential land transactions, with Xuchang City leading with 14 plots and a total planned area of 1.28 million m². Zhoukou City followed with 8 plots and 0.22 million m², while Zhengzhou City ranked third with 3 plots and 0.22 million m² [4]. Price Trends - The average floor price for land transactions in Zhengzhou was the highest in the province at 3,098 CNY/m², followed by Jiyuan City at 2,025 CNY/m² and Luoyang City at 1,686 CNY/m² [4].