星展发布研报称，华润电力(00836)上半年发电量增长3.6%，低于预期;该行下调全年发电量增长预测8.4 个百分点，现料2025及26年发电量同比增长4%至9%。受惠于燃料成本节省，预期2025上半年盈利增长 6%。基于收益率及估值具吸引，该行维持润电"买入"评级;目标价由24港元降至22.6港元，并下调2025 及26年盈利预测4%，料盈利增长分别为7%及13%。 ...

智通财经APP获悉，星展发布研报称，华润电力(00836)上半年发电量增长3.6%，低于预期;该行下调全 年发电量增长预测8.4个百分点，现料2025及26年发电量同比增长4%至9%。受惠于燃料成本节省，预期 2025上半年盈利增长6%。基于收益率及估值具吸引，该行维持润电"买入"评级;目标价由24港元降至 22.6港元，并下调2025及26年盈利预测4%，料盈利增长分别为7%及13%。 ...

——华润电力（00836）2025 年中报点评 最近一年走势 | 相对恒生指数表现 | | 2025/08/26 | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 表现 | 1M | 3M | 12M | | 华润电力 | -7.9% | -7.6% | -12.5% | | 恒生指数 | 0.5% | 9.6% | 43.4% | | 市场数据 | 2025/08/26 | | --- | --- | | 当前价格（港元） | 18.20 | | 周价格区间（港元） 52 | 16.64-23.10 | | 总市值（百万港元） | 94,222.45 | | 流通市值（百万港元） | 94,222.45 | | 总股本（万股） | 517,705.77 | | 流通股本（万股） | 517,705.77 | | 日均成交额（百万港元） | 552.34 | | 近一月换手（%） | 0.36 | 2025 年 08 月 27 日 公司研究 评级：买入(维持) 研究所： 证券分析师： 钟琪 S0350523080002 zhongq@ghzq.com.cn 相关报告 《华润电力（00836）20 ...

Core Viewpoint - In the first half of 2025, the company reported a revenue of HKD 50.267 billion, a year-on-year decrease of 1.7%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of HKD 7.872 billion, down 15.9% year-on-year. The decline in revenue was mainly due to a decrease in the on-grid electricity price of subsidiary power plants, while the drop in net profit was attributed to significant declines in other gains [1][2][3] Financial Performance - The company's core net profit attributable to shareholders reached HKD 8.278 billion, a slight increase of 0.1% year-on-year. The renewable energy segment contributed HKD 5.637 billion to core net profit, up 1.5%, while the thermal power segment's core net profit was HKD 2.641 billion, down 2.7%. Excluding coal business, the pure thermal power segment achieved a core net profit of HKD 2.788 billion, a significant increase of 20.6% [1][2][3] Revenue Breakdown - The renewable energy business saw a revenue increase driven by a 10% rise in sales volume, reaching HKD 14.5 billion in the first half of 2025. The average benchmark coal price for subsidiary power plants was HKD 824 per ton, down 12% year-on-year, leading to a significant improvement in the cost of coal-fired electricity generation [1][2][3] Installed Capacity and Sales - As of June 2025, the company had a controlling installed capacity of 88.93 million kilowatts, with a rights-based capacity of 78.09 million kilowatts. The thermal power rights-based capacity was 39.14 million kilowatts, accounting for 50.1%. The company added 1.24 million kilowatts of wind power and 3.51 million kilowatts of solar power in the first half of 2025 [2][3] Market Dynamics - The decline in coal prices and the relatively loose power supply and demand led to a decrease in on-grid electricity prices. The on-grid electricity prices for coal, wind, and solar were HKD 391.2, HKD 396.8, and HKD 304.9 per megawatt-hour, respectively, representing year-on-year decreases of 6%, 11%, and 6% [3][4] Future Outlook - The company expects stable profitability in thermal power, with a forecasted net profit attributable to shareholders of HKD 13.748 billion, HKD 13.798 billion, and HKD 14.667 billion for 2025 to 2027. The company maintains a stable dividend policy [4]

Core Viewpoint - The company reported a 15.9% decrease in profit attributable to shareholders for the first half of 2025, amounting to 7.872 billion HKD compared to 9.363 billion HKD in the same period of 2024 [1] Group 1: Financial Performance - The company's thermal power sales volume decreased by 1.4% to 71.1 billion kWh, with an average coal-fired electricity price of 0.391 HKD/kWh, down 6.1% year-on-year [1] - Despite a decline in revenue from thermal power, costs improved significantly, with the average coal price dropping by 11.8% to 823.8 HKD/ton and average fuel cost decreasing by 12.7% to 0.241 HKD/kWh [1][2] - The core profit from pure thermal power business increased by 20.6% to 2.788 billion HKD, while the coal production business reported a loss of 147 million HKD, a decrease of 551 million HKD compared to the previous year [2] Group 2: Renewable Energy Performance - The company added approximately 4.839 million kW of new wind and solar capacity, with wind and solar installed capacity reaching 25.549 million kW and 12.966 million kW respectively, representing year-on-year growth of 33.6% and 159.2% [3] - Wind power sales volume increased by 15.5% to 25.9 billion kWh, and solar power sales volume grew by 31.3% to 4.1 billion kWh [3] - The renewable energy business achieved a core profit of 5.637 billion HKD, a year-on-year increase of 1.5%, despite a 1.21 billion HKD goodwill impairment affecting overall performance [3] Group 3: Dividend and Valuation - The company declared an interim dividend of 0.356 HKD, maintaining a stable dividend policy [4] - Projected earnings for 2025-2027 are 12.763 billion, 13.108 billion, and 13.805 billion HKD, with corresponding EPS of 2.47, 2.53, and 2.67 HKD, leading to PE ratios of 7.51, 7.31, and 6.94 respectively [4]

Core Viewpoint - The company reported a decrease in profit for the first half of 2025, with a profit attributable to shareholders of HKD 7.872 billion, down 15.9% year-on-year, while core business profit slightly increased by 0.1% to HKD 8.278 billion [1] Group 1: Financial Performance - The company plans to distribute an interim dividend of HKD 0.356 per share for the first half of 2025 [1] - The average on-grid electricity price for the company's coal-fired power plants was HKD 391.2 per MWh, a decrease of 6.1% year-on-year, while the average coal price was HKD 823.8 per ton, down 11.8% [2] - The core profit before tax from the renewable energy business was HKD 71.48 billion, an increase of 7.4% year-on-year, while the profit attributable to shareholders was HKD 56.37 billion, up 1.5% [3] Group 2: Capacity and Production - The company added approximately 4,839 MW of new wind and solar capacity and 894 MW of new coal-fired capacity in the first half of 2025 [1] - As of the end of June, the company had a total coal-fired power capacity of 39.14 GW, wind power capacity of 25.55 GW, and solar power capacity of 12.97 GW [1] - The company plans to add a total of 10,000 MW of new wind and solar capacity by the end of the year, consistent with its initial target [1] Group 3: Market Dynamics - The increase in core profit from pure coal-fired power operations was 21% year-on-year, driven by a relaxed power supply-demand balance and declining fuel prices [2] - The price difference for coal-fired power plants increased by HKD 9.6 per MWh year-on-year, primarily due to the larger decline in coal prices compared to electricity prices [2] - The average on-grid electricity price for the company's wind power plants was HKD 396.8 per MWh, down 11.0% year-on-year, and for solar power plants, it was HKD 304.9 per MWh, down 6.1% [3]

Summary of China Resources Power Conference Call Company Overview - **Company**: China Resources Power - **Industry**: Renewable Energy and Power Generation Key Financial Metrics - **Revenue**: Decreased by 1.7% year-on-year to HKD 50.27 billion [2][4] - **Net Profit**: Decreased by 15.9% year-on-year to HKD 7.87 billion; core profit increased by 0.1% to HKD 8.278 billion after excluding one-off items [2][4] - **Operating Cash Flow**: Increased by 36.1% year-on-year to HKD 14.12 billion [2][4] - **Earnings Per Share**: HKD 1.52 [4] Renewable Energy Performance - **Wind Power Sales**: Increased by 15.5% year-on-year to 25.9 billion kWh [2][3] - **Solar Power Sales**: Increased by 31.3% year-on-year to 4.1 billion kWh [2][3] - **Renewable Energy Market Transaction Volume**: 50.8% of total sales, up by 11.9 percentage points year-on-year [2][3] Capacity Pricing and Future Outlook - **Expected Capacity Revenue**: Projected to reach HKD 4 billion to HKD 4.5 billion for the year; current pricing is HKD 100 per kW, expected to rise to HKD 165 per kW next year, with some provinces potentially reaching HKD 330 per kW [2][11] - **Wind and Solar Curtailment Rate**: Approximately 6% in the first half of 2025; measures taken to reduce this include enhanced marketing and energy storage systems [2][7] Taxation and Financial Challenges - **Tax Rate**: Increased to 18.7% due to the expiration of tax incentives and increased withholding tax on dividends, impacting approximately HKD 90 million in income tax and HKD 160 million in withholding tax [3][9] - **Inner Mongolia Coal-Electricity Integration Project**: Transitioned from trial operation to formal production, resulting in short-term losses due to unaccounted costs during the trial phase; expected improvement in the second half of the year [3][10] Market Dynamics and Competitive Landscape - **Wind Power Pricing Decline**: Average decrease of about 6% due to new projects and increased marketization; however, the overall impact is manageable due to competitive advantages in various provinces [9] - **Government Policies**: No direct government intervention in pricing; market mechanisms are preferred to ensure fair competition and stability [14][15] Future Investment Considerations - **Investment Models for New Energy Projects**: Consideration of market price changes and supply-demand uncertainties; stress testing conducted before investment decisions [5] - **Focus Areas for Profit Forecasting**: Capacity pricing revenue, Inner Mongolia coal mine operations, and impairment losses [11][12] Renewable Energy Sector Outlook - **Long-term Confidence**: The company remains optimistic about the renewable energy sector's growth potential, driven by national carbon neutrality goals and the importance of acquiring quality resources [8] - **Different Renewable Energy Types**: Wind power is favored over solar due to its competitive advantages; offshore wind power shows significant potential due to location and demand [16] Conclusion China Resources Power is navigating a challenging financial landscape with a focus on renewable energy growth, capacity pricing improvements, and strategic investments while managing tax implications and market dynamics. The company is well-positioned to capitalize on future opportunities in the renewable energy sector.

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [6] Core Views - The company is expected to commission 7 new coal power units in the second half of the year, with a total target of 10GW in new energy capacity for the year. The company's strong management capabilities and new installations are anticipated to contribute positively to profit growth [7] - The company forecasts capital expenditures of HKD 56.8 billion for 2025, with HKD 42 billion allocated for renewable energy projects and HKD 9.5 billion for thermal power construction [7] - The company achieved a core profit of HKD 82.78 billion in the first half of 2025, a slight increase of 0.1% year-on-year, while the net profit decreased by 15.9% due to non-recurring gains from the previous year and increased impairments this year [9] Summary by Sections Market Performance - The closing price of the stock is HKD 18.43, with a market capitalization of HKD 95,413.17 million [4] Financial Data - The company’s projected revenues for 2025 are HKD 109.93 billion, with a year-on-year growth rate of 4.41%. The net profit for 2025 is estimated at HKD 14.42 billion, reflecting a slight increase of 0.2% [8] - The company’s return on equity (ROE) is projected to be 13.1% in 2025, with a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 6.6 [8] Operational Highlights - As of June 30, 2025, the company’s installed capacity was 78.09 million kW, with significant contributions from thermal, wind, and solar power [9] - The company’s electricity sales volume in the first half of 2025 was 102 billion kWh, representing a year-on-year increase of 3.8% [9]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" and is maintained [9]. Core Views - The company's core profit attributable to shareholders for the first half of 2025 is HKD 7.872 billion, a decrease of 15.9% compared to HKD 9.363 billion in the same period of 2024, primarily due to high base effects and weak coal production performance [2][6]. - The thermal power segment's core profit attributable to shareholders is HKD 2.641 billion, a year-on-year decrease of 2.7%, impacted by last year's high base from the acquisition of the Guangxi Hezhou thermal power project [2][6]. - The renewable energy segment achieved a core profit attributable to shareholders of HKD 5.637 billion, a year-on-year increase of 1.5%, despite facing impairment losses [2][6]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - The company's thermal power sales volume for the first half of 2025 is 71.1 billion kWh, a decrease of 1.4% year-on-year, with an average coal-fired electricity price of HKD 0.391 per kWh, down 6.1% [9]. - The average standard coal price is HKD 823.8 per ton, a decrease of 11.8% year-on-year, leading to a reduction in overall fuel costs to HKD 21.717 billion, down 12.2% [9]. - The renewable energy segment's installed capacity increased significantly, with wind power and solar power capacities growing by 33.6% and 159.2% respectively [9]. Investment Recommendations - The company is expected to maintain a stable dividend of HKD 0.356 for the first half of 2025, with projected earnings for 2025-2027 being HKD 12.763 billion, HKD 13.108 billion, and HKD 13.805 billion respectively [9]. - Corresponding EPS for these years are projected to be HKD 2.47, HKD 2.53, and HKD 2.67, with PE ratios of 7.51, 7.31, and 6.94 respectively [9].

Investment Rating - The report provides a positive investment outlook for the electricity and natural gas sectors, recommending specific companies for investment based on their performance and market conditions [4][16]. Core Insights - In July, the national electricity consumption exceeded 1 trillion kWh for the first time, reaching 10,226 billion kWh, a year-on-year increase of 8.6% [4][7]. - The increase in electricity consumption was primarily driven by urban and rural residents, contributing 38% to the total growth, with significant contributions from the secondary and tertiary industries as well [8][9]. - The report highlights the impact of high temperatures on electricity demand, noting that July was the hottest month since 1961, which significantly boosted residential electricity usage [8][9]. - Natural gas prices in Europe have rebounded due to geopolitical tensions, while prices in Asia and the US have decreased, indicating a mixed market environment [16][20]. - The report emphasizes the potential for improved profitability in the biomass energy sector following the introduction of new methodologies for carbon emissions reduction [4][16]. Summary by Sections Electricity - July's total electricity consumption reached 10,226 billion kWh, marking a historic milestone with an 8.6% year-on-year growth [4][7]. - The first, second, and third industries, along with urban and rural residents, contributed to the overall electricity consumption growth, with the second industry showing a recovery in electricity usage [8][9]. - Recommendations include investing in hydropower, green energy, nuclear power, and thermal power companies such as Guodian Power and Huaneng International [14][15]. Natural Gas - The report notes a stable supply-demand balance in the natural gas market, with US prices dropping to $2.76/mmBtu, while European prices have seen fluctuations due to geopolitical risks [16][20]. - Recommendations for investment include companies in the city gas sector and integrated natural gas traders, highlighting firms like Kunlun Energy and New Hope Energy [41][42]. Environmental Sector - The introduction of new methodologies for biomass energy projects is expected to enhance profitability, with a focus on companies like Evergreen Group and China Everbright [4][16]. Market Performance - The report reviews market performance from August 18 to August 22, indicating that the gas, public utility, electricity, and environmental sectors underperformed compared to the Shanghai and Shenzhen 300 index [43][44].