智通财经APP获悉，石油股全线走低，截至发稿，中石油(00857)跌3.03%，报8.01港元；中海油(00883) 跌2.91%，报20.68港元；中石化(00386)跌1.06%，报4.65港元。 消息面上，国际油价周二下跌。纽约商品交易所2月交货的轻质原油期货价格报收于每桶57.13美元，跌 幅为2.04%；3月交货的伦敦布伦特原油期货价格报收于每桶60.70美元，跌幅为1.72%。据报道，美国总 统特朗普6日称，委内瑞拉将向美国移交3000万至5000万桶"受制裁的高品质石油"，此举引发市场对供 应增加的担忧，特朗普在社交媒体上写道，这批石油将按市场价出售，所得资金将由他"亲自监管"。 ...

Group 1 - Morgan Stanley estimates that after Maduro's departure, Venezuela's oil production may experience a temporary shock, potentially dropping by 50% [1] - If political and operational stability is restored, production could quickly recover, with the potential to reach 1.4 million barrels per day within two years and 2.5 million barrels per day in the next decade, compared to the current production of 800,000 to 900,000 barrels per day [1] Group 2 - The impact on Chinese oil companies is limited, as Venezuelan crude is expected to account for only 4% of China's total crude imports by 2025, with most processed by independent or small refineries rather than major listed companies like Sinopec or PetroChina [3] - Sinopec and CNOOC do not have commercial assets in Venezuela, and the loss of Venezuelan crude would have a limited effect on China's refining industry due to the availability of alternative crude sources [3] - The company is optimistic about PetroChina due to its successful decoupling from oil prices through local natural gas operations, expecting a dividend of 0.26 yuan in the second half of the year [3] - Lower oil prices and interest rates may accelerate the recovery of oil-based chemical stocks, with an "overweight" rating given to Hengli Petrochemical [3] - Due to weak short-term profit prospects, Sinopec is rated "neutral," with a reassessment pending clearer strategies from its 14th Five-Year Plan [3]

Group 1 - Morgan Stanley estimates that after Maduro leaves Venezuela, local oil production may experience a temporary shock, potentially declining by 50% [1] - If political and operational stability is restored, production could quickly recover, with the potential to reach 1.4 million barrels per day within two years and 2.5 million barrels per day in the next decade, compared to the current production of 800,000 to 900,000 barrels per day [1] - The impact on Chinese oil companies is limited, as most Venezuelan crude oil processed is by independent or small refineries rather than major listed companies like Sinopec or PetroChina, which do not have commercial assets in Venezuela [1] Group 2 - The company is optimistic about PetroChina due to its successful decoupling from oil prices through local natural gas operations, with expected dividends of 0.26 yuan in the second half of the year [1] - Lower oil prices and interest rates may accelerate the recovery of oil-based chemical stocks, leading to an "overweight" rating for Hengli Petrochemical [1] - Due to weak short-term profit prospects, Sinopec is given a "neutral" rating, with plans to reassess after the clarity of its 14th Five-Year Plan strategy [1]

至于对中国油企的影响，该行指，虽然委内瑞拉原油在2025年占中国原油进口总量4%，但由于美国制 裁，其中大部分由独立炼厂或小型炼厂加工，而非中石化或中石油等上市公司。另外，中石化及中海油 在委内瑞拉并无商业资产。若中国真的失去委内瑞拉原油，对中国的炼油业影响亦有限，因仍有其他原 油可取代。 摩根大通估算，马杜罗离开委内瑞拉后，当地石油产量可能会经历短暂冲击，产量或下跌50%。不过， 若政治及营运等恢复稳定，生产将迅速复苏，当地产量有机会在两年内恢复至每日140万桶，并在未来 十年达到每日250万桶，而目前产量仅为每日80万至90万桶。 股份方面，该行看好中石油，因其通过本地天然气业务成功与油价脱钩，料下半年股息可达0.26元。另 外，较低的油价及利率环境亦可能加速油基化工股的复苏，该行予恒力石化"增持"评级。基于短期盈利 前景疲弱，该行予中石化"中性"评级，待其"十五五"规划策略更清晰后将重新评估。 ...

Core Viewpoint - The Energy ETF Guangfa (159945) opened at a slight decline of 0.17%, indicating a mixed performance among its major holdings [1] Group 1: ETF Performance - The Energy ETF Guangfa (159945) opened at 1.192 yuan, reflecting a decrease of 0.17% [1] - Since its establishment on June 25, 2015, the fund has achieved a return of 19.49%, with a recent one-month return of 0.29% [1] Group 2: Major Holdings Performance - China Shenhua opened with an increase of 0.54% [1] - China Petroleum experienced a decline of 1.17% [1] - Shaanxi Coal and Chemical Industry rose by 0.90% [1] - China Petroleum & Chemical Corporation fell by 0.65% [1] - CNOOC saw a decrease of 1.14% [1] - Jereh Group dropped by 0.74% [1] - Yanzhou Coal Mining Company increased by 1.11% [1] - Guanghui Energy remained unchanged at 0.00% [1] - China Coal Energy rose by 0.69% [1] - Shanxi Coking Coal increased significantly by 3.95% [1]

Core Viewpoint - The Hang Seng Index rose by 1.38% on January 6, closing at 26,710.45 points, with a net inflow of HKD 2.879 billion through the southbound trading channel [1]. Group 1: Market Activity - The total trading volume for the southbound trading on January 6 was HKD 133.353 billion, with a net buying amount of HKD 2.879 billion [1]. - The Shanghai Stock Exchange's southbound trading had a total transaction amount of HKD 81.029 billion, with a net buying of HKD 0.975 billion, while the Shenzhen Stock Exchange had a transaction amount of HKD 52.324 billion and a net buying of HKD 1.903 billion [1]. Group 2: Active Stocks - In the Shanghai Stock Exchange's southbound trading, Alibaba-W had the highest transaction amount of HKD 50.49 billion, followed by SMIC and Tencent Holdings with transaction amounts of HKD 44.27 billion and HKD 41.10 billion, respectively [1]. - Alibaba-W recorded a net buying amount of HKD 20.61 billion, despite a closing price drop of 1.31% [1]. - China Mobile had the highest net selling amount of HKD 8.75 billion, with a closing price decrease of 0.12% [1]. Group 3: Shenzhen Stock Exchange Activity - In the Shenzhen Stock Exchange's southbound trading, Alibaba-W also led with a transaction amount of HKD 43.74 billion, followed by Tencent Holdings and SMIC with HKD 28.76 billion and HKD 20.96 billion, respectively [2]. - The highest net buying stock was Ping An Insurance, with a net buying amount of HKD 10.81 billion, and it closed up by 4.96% [2]. - Tencent Holdings experienced the highest net selling amount of HKD 8.15 billion, while its closing price increased by 1.28% [2].

Group 1 - The Hang Seng Index rose by 1.38% on January 6, with southbound trading totaling HKD 133.35 billion, including HKD 68.12 billion in buying and HKD 65.24 billion in selling, resulting in a net buying amount of HKD 2.88 billion [1] - The southbound trading through Stock Connect (Shenzhen) had a total trading amount of HKD 52.32 billion, with net buying of HKD 1.90 billion, while the trading through Stock Connect (Shanghai) totaled HKD 81.03 billion, with net buying of HKD 0.98 billion [1] - Active stocks in southbound trading included Alibaba-W with a total trading amount of HKD 94.23 billion, Tencent Holdings with HKD 69.86 billion, and SMIC with HKD 65.23 billion [1] Group 2 - Among the stocks, China Ping An had a net buying amount of HKD 18.40 billion, closing with a price increase of 4.96%, while Alibaba-W had a net buying of HKD 16.19 billion [2] - Xiaomi Group-W, SMIC, and Alibaba-W were among the stocks with the highest consecutive net buying days, with 4 days for Xiaomi Group-W and SMIC, and 3 days for Alibaba-W [2] - The total trading amount for China Ping An was HKD 32.79 billion, with a net buying of HKD 18.40 billion, while Tencent Holdings had a total trading amount of HKD 69.86 billion with a net selling of HKD 8.04 billion [2]

Core Insights - On January 6, 2026, Alibaba-W (09988), SMIC (00981), and Tencent Holdings (00700) were the top three stocks by trading volume in the Southbound Stock Connect, with trading amounts of 5.049 billion, 4.427 billion, and 4.110 billion respectively [1] - In the Southbound Stock Connect for the Shenzhen-Hong Kong Stock Connect, Alibaba-W (09988), Tencent Holdings (00700), and SMIC (00981) also ranked as the top three, with trading amounts of 4.374 billion, 2.876 billion, and 2.096 billion respectively [1] Southbound Stock Connect Trading Activity - **Top Active Companies in Southbound Stock Connect (Shanghai-Hong Kong)** - Alibaba-W (09988): Trading amount of 5.049 billion, net buying of +2.061 billion [2] - SMIC (00981): Trading amount of 4.427 billion, net selling of -0.240 billion [2] - Tencent Holdings (00700): Trading amount of 4.110 billion, net buying of +11.255 million [2] - Xiaomi Group-W (01810): Trading amount of 2.244 billion, net buying of +0.485 billion [2] - China Ping An (02318): Trading amount of 1.693 billion, net buying of +0.760 billion [2] - **Top Active Companies in Southbound Stock Connect (Shenzhen-Hong Kong)** - Alibaba-W (09988): Trading amount of 4.374 billion, net selling of -0.442 billion [2] - Tencent Holdings (00700): Trading amount of 2.876 billion, net selling of -0.815 billion [2] - SMIC (00981): Trading amount of 2.096 billion, net buying of +0.262 billion [2] - Xiaomi Group-W (01810): Trading amount of 1.644 billion, net buying of +11.316 million [2] - China Ping An (02318): Trading amount of 1.586 billion, net buying of +1.081 billion [2]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the news is that China National Offshore Oil Corporation (CNOOC) experienced a decline in stock price and trading volume, indicating a potential shift in investor sentiment [1] - On January 5, CNOOC's stock fell by 3.78%, with a trading volume of 2.731 billion yuan, and a net financing purchase of 143 million yuan [1] - As of January 5, the total margin balance for CNOOC was 1.738 billion yuan, with the financing balance accounting for 1.99% of the circulating market value, which is below the 50th percentile level over the past year [1] Group 2 - CNOOC was established on August 20, 1999, and listed on April 21, 2022, primarily engaged in the exploration, production, and sales of crude oil and natural gas [2] - The company's revenue composition includes 82.73% from oil and gas sales, 14.96% from trading, and 2.31% from other activities [2] - For the period from January to September 2025, CNOOC reported a revenue of 312.503 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 4.15%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 101.971 billion yuan, down 12.59% year-on-year [2] Group 3 - CNOOC has distributed a total of 255.995 billion yuan in dividends since its A-share listing, with 179.051 billion yuan distributed over the past three years [3] - As of September 30, 2025, the number of shareholders for CNOOC was 216,500, a decrease of 7.02% from the previous period [3] - The largest circulating shareholder, Hong Kong Central Clearing Limited, has exited the top ten list of shareholders [3]

中化新网讯 1月2日，中国海油对外宣布，我国海上最大气田"深海一号"近期完成投产以来的第100船原 油外输工作，2025年气田油气总产量突破450万吨油当量。 "自2021年投产以来，经过4年多的持续探索，'深海一号'作业团队自主建立起一套超深水气田生产运维 完整技术体系。"中国海油陵水—崖城作业公司总经理李劲松表示，"深海一号"能源站的原油外输作业 用时从最初的18小时，缩短到现在的8小时以内。 图为穿梭油轮正与"深海一号"能源站对接输油。(徐海舟 摄) "深海一号"气田是我国迄今为止自主开发的作业水深最深、地层温压最高、勘探开发难度最大、天然气 产能最大的海上气田，最大作业水深超1500米，地层最高温度达到138摄氏度，天然气探明地质储量超 1500亿立方米。目前，"深海一号"每天产出1500万立方米的天然气和超过1600吨的凝析油，部分凝析油 被分别存储于平台四根立柱的储油舱中，达到一定规模后通过穿梭油轮进行外输。 ...