花旗研究报告指出，龙湖集团通过构建可持续模式，今年新增10个购物中心，带动租金增长10%。上半 年，公司同店销售和客流量分别增长3%和8%。此外，各业务产生正现金流，负债及成本持续降低，信 贷贷款多被资产支持营运贷款取代。报告预测，龙湖利润规模将于今年因去库存而触底，将其目标价由 11.7港元上调至15.8港元，并维持"买入"评级。 ...

下调盈利预测，维持买入评级。由于开发业务结算利润率承压，我们下调对公司2025-2027 年EPS 的预 测至0.60/0.60/0.62 元（原预测为0.94/1.00/1.08 元）。公司财务安全稳固，我们看好运营及服务业务未 来的增长空间和对公司估值的支撑作用，维持买入评级和14.15 港元的目标价不变。 2025 年上半年公司实现营收587.5 亿元，同比增长25.4%，营收增长主要由于开发业务结算收入的增 加。上半年核心净利润为13.8 亿元，同比下降70.9%，增收不增利主因上半年综合毛利率较上年同期下 降8.0 个百分点至12.6%，这主要由于结算毛利率的下降。运营及服务业务发展稳健，分别实现营收 70、63 亿元，分别同比增长2.5%、0.02%。商业运营保持良好发展势头，上半年商场营业额402 亿元， 同比增长17%，同店同比增长3%；商场租金收入55.0 亿元，同比增长4.9%。上半年末公司有息负债余 额为1698 亿元，较去年年末下降65 亿元；平均融资成本为3.58%，较去年年底下降0.42 个百分点，财 务安全性进一步提升。 风险提示：1）业绩方面，房地产市场目前仍处于底部区间，公司 ...

花旗发表研究报告指，龙湖集团构建可持续模式，今年新增10个购物中心，为公司带来10%的租金增 长，上半年同店销售及客流量分别按年增长3%和8%，加上各业务产生正现金流，并持续降低负债及成 本，而大部分信贷贷款亦被资产支持的营运贷款取代。该行预计，今年龙湖的利润规模将因去库存而触 底，并在明年回升。该行认为龙湖的利润具可持续性，料值得更高的估值倍数，目标价由11.7港元上调 至15.8港元，维持"买入"评级。 ...

Core Viewpoint - Longfor Group reported strong half-year performance with revenue of 58.75 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 25.4%, outperforming the market [1] Group 1: Revenue and Growth - Longfor's commercial investment segment showed growth potential, with rental income increasing by 4.9% to 5.5 billion yuan and maintaining a high occupancy rate of 97% [1] - The operational business, comprising commercial investment and asset management, achieved revenue of 7.01 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 2.5%, becoming a stable source of income, profit, and cash flow for the group [2] - Longfor's commercial projects have established a presence in 24 cities, with a total of 89 operational malls covering 9.43 million square meters and over 7,300 partnered brands [2] Group 2: Consumer Engagement and Marketing Innovation - The company has adapted to changing consumer behaviors, focusing on experiential and emotional consumption, leading to the creation of immersive shopping experiences [3] - During the Spring Festival, Longfor's projects generated a total revenue of 1.88 billion yuan, with daily revenue and foot traffic increasing by 16% and 18% year-on-year, respectively [3] - Longfor's promotional event, "Tianjie Huanshou Festival," achieved a revenue of 1.96 billion yuan over four days, with a daily increase of 49.7% in foot traffic [4] Group 3: Product Development and Differentiation - Longfor's commercial product offerings include various types such as MALL and MALL+ districts, structured into a differentiated commercial ecosystem [6] - The company employs a "one store, one policy" strategy tailored to different city characteristics, focusing on first-store opportunities to enhance brand collaboration [6] - The recent opening of Nanning Qingxiu Tianjie, which incorporates local design elements, achieved an occupancy rate of over 95% and generated nearly 28 million yuan in revenue within the first three days [6] Group 4: Project Renovation and Upgrades - Longfor is committed to upgrading existing projects to enhance competitiveness, as seen in the comprehensive renovation of Chongqing Beicheng Tianjie, which introduced over 100 leading brands [7] - The renovation features modern design elements, including a new glass curtain wall and a high-street garden that enhances the shopping experience with natural light and greenery [7]

公司名稱: 龍湖集團控股有限公司 股份發行人及根據《上市規則》第十九B章上市的香港預託證券發行人的證券變動月報表 截至月份: 2025年8月31日 狀態: 新提交 致：香港交易及結算所有限公司 II. 已發行股份及/或庫存股份變動 | 1. 股份分類 | 普通股 | 股份類別 | 不適用 | | 於香港聯交所上市 (註1) | 是 | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 證券代號 (如上市) | 00960 | 說明 | | | | | | | | | 已發行股份（不包括庫存股份）數目 | | 庫存股份數目 | | 已發行股份總數 | | | 上月底結存 | | | 6,987,179,462 | | 0 | | 6,987,179,462 | | 增加 / 減少 (-) | | | 0 | | 0 | | | | 本月底結存 | | | 6,987,179,462 | | 0 | | 6,987,179,462 | 呈交日期: 2025年9月1日 I. 法定/註冊股本變動 | 1. 股份分類 | 普通股 | 股份類別 | 不適用 | | ...

Core Insights - Longhu Guangnian Center has secured the top position in office product transactions in Hefei from January to August 2025, highlighting its market leadership [1] - The signing of a headquarters space by Dongyuan Electric, covering approximately 2,200 square meters, further elevates the center's profile as a key business landmark in Hefei [1] Group 1: Location and Market Position - Hefei has emerged as a significant hub for technological innovation and new industries, with the High-tech Zone being a critical driver of the city's future development [3] - The Guangnian Center is strategically located in the High-tech Shuxihu CBD, which is characterized by a high concentration of government services, industry chains, and high-net-worth talent within a 1-kilometer radius [5] Group 2: Brand and Ecosystem - Longhu Group's 30 years of industry experience underpins the success of Guangnian Center, providing a comprehensive ecosystem that supports tenant businesses [5] - The center features a 120,000 square meter shopping center, long-term rental apartments, and advanced digital systems that enhance operational efficiency by over 30% [5][10] Group 3: Infrastructure and Services - 73% of tenant companies consider "TOD comprehensive efficiency" as a key factor in their location decision, indicating a shift towards integrated urban development [8] - The center boasts premium facilities, including 11 high-speed elevators and a 700 square meter elegantly designed lobby, catering to diverse business needs [8] Group 4: Cost Efficiency and Value Proposition - Longhu's "black gold rights" service system addresses corporate cost concerns by optimizing operational expenses by 15%-20% through smart technology and green energy systems [10] - The asset management team provides regular rental trend analysis and policy insights, ensuring dual benefits of space and asset appreciation for tenants [10] Group 5: Business Ecosystem and Networking - Guangnian Center has attracted over 60 leading enterprises, including national-level specialized companies, creating a collaborative business ecosystem [13] - The center serves as a strategic positioning opportunity for executives seeking to enhance their company's influence in the market [13]

Core Viewpoint - The Chinese real estate sector is experiencing a positive shift due to recent policy changes aimed at stimulating urban development and easing purchasing restrictions in major cities, which is expected to boost transaction volumes in the fourth quarter [1] Group 1: Stock Performance - Several real estate stocks saw significant gains, with Sunac China (01918) up 5.92% to HKD 1.61, China Overseas Grand Oceans Group (00081) up 5.31% to HKD 2.38, Longfor Group (00960) up 2.27% to HKD 10.82, and Vanke Enterprises (02202) up 2.26% to HKD 5.43 [1] Group 2: Policy Impact - The release of the "Opinions on Promoting High-Quality Urban Development" by the Central Committee of the Communist Party of China and the State Council on August 28 emphasizes activating urban resource potential and improving housing safety management, which are closely related to the real estate sector [1] - Recent policy relaxations in Beijing and Shanghai regarding purchasing restrictions outside the Fifth Ring Road are expected to further stimulate the market [1] Group 3: Market Outlook - According to Guotai Junan Securities, the removal of purchasing limits in key areas is anticipated to lead to a rebound in real estate transaction volumes in the fourth quarter, contributing to a stabilization of the sector's fundamentals [1] - The current low valuation of the real estate sector presents an opportunity for investors to accumulate shares, particularly in companies that are well-managed and positioned to benefit from potential policy advantages [1] - Recommended companies are those focusing on core first and second-tier cities, emphasizing improved product offerings and possessing sustainable land acquisition capabilities [1]

Group 1 - Some Chinese property stocks experienced an afternoon rally on September 1, with notable increases in share prices [1] - Sunac China Holdings (01918.HK) rose by 5.92%, reaching HKD 1.61 [1] - China Overseas Grand Oceans Group (00081.HK) increased by 5.31%, trading at HKD 2.38 [1] - Longfor Group (00960.HK) saw a rise of 2.27%, priced at HKD 10.82 [1] - Vanke Enterprises (02202.HK) gained 2.26%, with shares at HKD 5.43 [1]

Core Viewpoint - The recent policy changes in major cities like Beijing and Shanghai, aimed at stimulating the real estate market, have led to a rise in stock prices of several property companies, indicating a potential recovery in the sector [1] Group 1: Market Performance - Several property stocks saw significant gains, with Sunac China rising by 5.92% to HKD 1.61, China Overseas Grand Oceans increasing by 5.31% to HKD 2.38, Longfor Group up by 2.27% to HKD 10.82, and Vanke Enterprises climbing by 2.26% to HKD 5.43 [1] Group 2: Policy Impact - The release of the "Opinions on Promoting High-Quality Urban Development" by the Central Committee of the Communist Party and the State Council on August 28 emphasizes activating urban resource potential and improving housing safety management, which are closely related to the real estate sector [1] - The recent relaxation of purchase restrictions outside the Fifth Ring Road in Beijing and the outer ring in Shanghai is expected to boost transaction volumes in the real estate market, particularly in the fourth quarter [1] Group 3: Investment Recommendations - Guotai Junan Securities suggests that the current low valuations in the real estate sector present a buying opportunity, recommending investors to consider property stocks [1] - The report highlights developers with stable operations and potential benefits from favorable policies, particularly those focusing on core first and second-tier cities and offering improved housing products [1]

Core Viewpoint - The report from CICC indicates that with a significant improvement in market risk appetite, Longfor Group's financial security has been solidified, maintaining an outperform rating with a target price of HKD 11.5, corresponding to 0.46 times the 2025 target P/B and a 9% upside potential [1] Financial Performance - In the first half of 2025, the company reported a revenue increase of 25% year-on-year to CNY 58.75 billion, primarily due to an increase in development settlement scale; the core net profit attributable to shareholders was CNY 1.38 billion, in line with market expectations [1] - The company declared an interim dividend of CNY 0.07 per share, with a slight increase in the payout ratio to 34.2% [1] Debt Management - The company has successfully reduced interest-bearing liabilities by CNY 6.5 billion to CNY 169.8 billion compared to the end of 2024, leading to a decrease in net debt ratio and pre-deduction debt ratio by 0.5 percentage points and 1.2 percentage points to 51.2% and 56.1%, respectively [2] - The financing cost for the first half of 2025 decreased to 3.58%, with the average loan term extended to 10.95 years [2] Operational Performance - The company's operational business revenue increased by 2.5% year-on-year to CNY 7.01 billion, with shopping center retail sales rising by 17% year-on-year to CNY 40.2 billion [3] - The service business revenue remained stable at CNY 6.26 billion, with the managed area approximately 400 million square meters [3] Strategic Focus - The company aims to further reduce interest-bearing liabilities by approximately CNY 20 billion to around CNY 145 billion by the end of 2025, with about CNY 100 billion being operational property loans and long-term loans [4] - The company expects to achieve a net cash inflow of approximately CNY 10 billion for the year, with positive contributions from both development and diversified cash flows [4] Future Outlook - The company anticipates that rental income growth from shopping malls will normalize starting in 2026, with plans to open 10 new malls in the second half of the year [5] - The operational and service businesses are expected to continue serving as a stabilizing force for the company's cash flow and core net profit [5]