Group 1 - The core point of the article highlights the significant activity in the Hong Kong copper sector, driven by a major merger announcement between Anglo American and Teck Resources, which could be the largest mining merger in over a decade, reflecting a strong bet on future copper demand [1] - Jiangxi Copper Co. saw a notable increase of nearly 8%, reaching a new high since its listing, while other companies like Minmetals Resources and China Nonferrous Mining also experienced substantial gains of approximately 7% and 6% respectively [1] - The rise in copper demand is attributed to the increasing consumption in artificial intelligence data centers, which are projected to consume over 4.3 million tons of copper in the next decade, equivalent to the annual production of Chile, the largest copper supplier [1] Group 2 - The article emphasizes that the demand for copper is not only driven by AI but also by increased government defense spending, which requires significant amounts of copper for various military equipment [1] - The overall trend indicates that global copper consumption has been rising for years, while new supply is expected to struggle to keep pace with this demand growth [1]

Core Viewpoint - The report highlights the emergence of "anti-involution" in industries such as photovoltaic and new energy vehicles, which are characterized by low operating rates and low profits, amidst a backdrop of economic slowdown and significant losses in the copper smelting industry [2][3]. Group 1: Economic Context - Economic growth is slowing, with the political bureau meeting on July 30, 2024, emphasizing the need for industry self-discipline to prevent "involution-style" competition [2]. - The macroeconomic environment is marked by a decline in GDP growth and a prolonged negative Producer Price Index (PPI) [2]. Group 2: Industry Challenges - The copper smelting industry is facing significant losses, necessitating the implementation of "anti-involution" measures [2][3]. - Factors contributing to the challenges in the copper smelting sector include weak raw material conditions, high costs, and a mismatch between mining and smelting capacities due to continuous expansion of smelting capacity [2][3]. Group 3: Strategic Recommendations - The focus for the copper smelting industry should be on optimizing capacity by eliminating outdated production, reducing costs through advanced smelting technologies, and encouraging the establishment of high-level smelting plants [3]. - There is an expectation for the copper industry to return to profitability as capacity alignment improves, with stronger profitability anticipated for companies with cost advantages in smelting [3]. Group 4: Investment Opportunities - Companies with smelting cost advantages and those involved in mining and smelting integration are recommended for attention, including Zijin Mining, Western Mining, Jiangxi Copper, China Nonferrous Mining, Yunnan Copper, and Northern Copper [4].

Group 1 - The core viewpoint is that the non-ferrous metal industry is experiencing a clear peak and decline trend, particularly in the copper smelting sector, which is facing significant losses and requires the implementation of "anti-involution" measures [1][2] - The "anti-involution" movement is driven by the need for industry self-discipline to prevent vicious competition, especially in the context of slowing economic growth and negative PPI [2] - The copper smelting industry is under pressure due to a mismatch between mining and smelting capacities, exacerbated by high costs and weak raw material conditions in China [2][3] Group 2 - The focus of "anti-involution" in the copper smelting industry is on optimizing production capacity, which includes phasing out outdated capacities and enhancing efficiency through advanced smelting technologies [3] - There is an expectation that the copper industry profits will return to positive values as production capacity is optimized, with stronger profitability anticipated for companies with cost advantages in smelting [3] - The report suggests monitoring companies with smelting cost advantages and those involved in mining and smelting partnerships, including Zijin Mining, Western Mining, Jiangxi Copper, China Nonferrous Mining, Yunnan Copper, and Northern Copper [3]

Core Insights - The report emphasizes the ongoing trend of "anti-involution" in the copper smelting industry, driven by economic slowdown and the need for industry self-discipline to prevent vicious competition [3][4][6] - The copper smelting sector is facing significant losses, necessitating a focus on capacity optimization to improve profitability [3][22] - The report suggests that the copper industry is expected to return to profitability in the long term, with an emphasis on optimizing capacity and improving operational efficiency [3][22] Industry Overview - The "anti-involution" movement was first highlighted in a Politburo meeting on July 30, 2024, aiming to strengthen industry self-discipline and prevent harmful competition [3][5] - The copper smelting industry is currently experiencing substantial losses, with the need for a shift towards capacity optimization and the elimination of outdated production methods [3][22] - The report identifies the mismatch between copper mining and smelting capacities as a critical issue, with domestic smelting capacity expanding while raw material supply remains heavily reliant on imports [45][49] Economic Context - The report draws parallels between the current "anti-involution" movement and previous supply-side reforms, both occurring in a context of economic growth slowdown [7][9] - It highlights that both periods experienced declining GDP growth rates and prolonged periods of negative Producer Price Index (PPI) [9][10] - The current economic environment is characterized by weaker demand on the consumer side, exacerbating challenges for industries like copper smelting [10][14] Capacity Optimization Strategies - The report outlines key strategies for optimizing copper smelting capacity, including the elimination of outdated production capacity and the adoption of advanced smelting technologies [3][52] - It emphasizes the importance of constructing high-standard smelting facilities and effectively utilizing recycled resources [3][52] - The report suggests that companies with cost advantages in smelting are likely to have stronger profitability as the industry undergoes restructuring [3][22] Investment Opportunities - The report recommends focusing on companies with smelting cost advantages and those involved in mining and smelting integration, such as Zijin Mining, Western Mining, Jiangxi Copper, and others [3][22] - It indicates that the copper smelting industry may see a turnaround in profitability as capacity mismatches are addressed and operational efficiencies are improved [3][22] Challenges and Risks - The report notes that the copper smelting industry is currently facing significant challenges, including high production costs and a reliance on imported raw materials [3][45] - It highlights the need for the industry to adapt to changing market conditions and regulatory environments to mitigate risks associated with overcapacity and competition [3][22]

Group 1 - Copper prices reached a two-month high, supported by a weaker dollar, positive economic data from China, and optimistic expectations for a U.S. interest rate cut [1][2] - The London Metal Exchange (LME) benchmark copper rose by 0.9% to $9,971 per ton, with an earlier peak of $9,984.50 per ton [2] - Chinese refined copper apparent consumption is expected to grow by approximately 10% year-on-year in the first half of 2025, according to Zijin Mining Group [2] Group 2 - Goldman Sachs analysts warned that while expectations for U.S. interest rate cuts provide support, a loose physical market and ongoing weak economic data may pressure the industry [2] - CITIC Securities reported that the domestic copper mining sector's price-to-earnings (PE) ratio has been running between 10-15x over the past three years, with continuous valuation increases this year due to declining supply growth and strong domestic demand [2] - The domestic copper mining sector is expected to see improvements in both profitability and valuation, with copper prices potentially reaching $10,500 per ton in Q3-Q4 2025 [2] Group 3 - Related companies in the copper mining sector include Luoyang Molybdenum (603993)(03993), Zijin Mining (02899), China Nonferrous Mining (01258), Minmetals Resources (01208), Jiangxi Copper (600362)(00358), and China Railway (601390)(00390) [3]

Group 1 - Copper prices reached a two-month high, supported by a weaker dollar, positive economic data from China, and optimistic expectations for a U.S. interest rate cut [1][2] - The London Metal Exchange (LME) benchmark copper rose by 0.9% to $9,971 per ton, with an earlier peak of $9,984.50 per ton [2] - Chinese refined copper apparent consumption is expected to grow by approximately 10% year-on-year in the first half of 2025, according to Zijin Mining Group [2] Group 2 - Goldman Sachs analysts warned that while expectations for U.S. interest rate cuts provide support, a loose physical market and ongoing weak economic data may pressure the industry [2] - CITIC Securities reported that the domestic copper mining sector's PE ratio has been running between 10-15x over the past three years, with continuous valuation increases this year due to declining supply growth and strong domestic demand [2] - The domestic copper mining sector is expected to see improvements in both profitability and valuation, with copper prices potentially reaching $10,500 per ton in Q3-Q4 2025 [2] Group 3 - Related companies in the copper mining sector listed in Hong Kong include Luoyang Molybdenum (03993), Zijin Mining (02899), China Nonferrous Mining (01258), Minmetals Resources (01208), Jiangxi Copper (00358), and China Railway (00390) [3]

第 1 頁 共 10 頁 v 1.1.1 股份發行人及根據《上市規則》第十九B章上市的香港預託證券發行人的證券變動月報表 | 截至月份: | 2025年8月31日 | 狀態: 新提交 | | --- | --- | --- | | 致：香港交易及結算所有限公司 | | | | 公司名稱: | 中國有色礦業有限公司 | | | 呈交日期: | 2025年9月2日 | | | I. 法定/註冊股本變動 不適用 | | | FF301 FF301 II. 已發行股份及/或庫存股份變動 (A). 股份期權（根據發行人的股份期權計劃） 不適用 | 1. 股份分類 | 普通股 | | 股份類別 | 不適用 | | 於香港聯交所上市 (註1) | 是 | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 證券代號 (如上市) | 01258 | 說明 | | | | | | | | | | 已發行股份（不包括庫存股份）數目 | | | 庫存股份數目 | | 已發行股份總數 | | | 上月底結存 | | | | 3,902,036,000 | | 0 | ...

Group 1: Market Overview - The Hang Seng Index fell by 0.61%, down 157 points, closing at 25,460 points, while the Hang Seng Tech Index dropped by 1.78% [1] - The early trading volume in the Hong Kong stock market reached HKD 183.6 billion [1] Group 2: Banking Sector Performance - Chinese banks showed a significant recovery in performance for the first half of the year, attracting insurance capital inflows amid asset scarcity [1] - Chongqing Rural Commercial Bank rose by 4.15%, Agricultural Bank of China increased by 3.65%, and Postal Savings Bank of China gained 2.50% [1] Group 3: Notable Stock Movements - Haotian International Investment surged over 11% as its subsidiary plans to apply for virtual asset trading services [1] - Yunfeng Financial increased by over 8% following a strategic cooperation agreement with Ant Group and investment in Pharos blockchain [1] - China Nonferrous Mining rose over 4% due to rising copper prices improving mid-term performance [1] - Saint Noble Pharmaceutical-B saw a mid-day increase of over 10%, with a 91% year-on-year reduction in shareholder losses [1] - Hualing Pharmaceutical-B gained 2.67%, achieving its first profit in the first half of the year [1] Group 4: Declining Stocks - Chenming Paper Industry fell over 5% due to ongoing production line maintenance, reporting a loss exceeding CNY 3.8 billion for the first half [2] - ZTE Corporation dropped over 8% as its mid-term gross margin significantly declined, with analysts suggesting market optimism was excessive [2] - JS Global Life fell over 8%, reporting a shareholder loss of USD 5,924.2 million and a decrease in gross margin from third-party sales [3] - New Quality Digital plummeted over 11%, with its stock price halved in three trading days due to forced sale of shares by an executive [4]

Group 1: Hong Kong Stock Market Performance - Midea Group (00300) increased nearly 3% with Q2 revenue of 123.9 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 11.0%, and net profit of 13.59 billion yuan, up 15.1%. This marks the company's first interim dividend of 5 yuan per 10 shares (tax included) [2] - Sanofi (02257) saw a midday increase of over 12% as its mid-term shareholder loss narrowed by 91%, with STP705 expected to complete commercialization within the year [2] - Ocean Park (02255) rose nearly 3% in early trading, but reported a 14.2% year-on-year decline in revenue to 686 million yuan, with a loss of approximately 296 million yuan due to decreased visitor numbers and consumer spending [2] Group 2: Company Highlights - InnoCare Pharma (02577) increased over 6% with a sales revenue of 553 million yuan, a year-on-year growth of 43.4%, and a gross margin of 6.8%, marking a significant improvement of 28.4 percentage points [3] - Geekplus (02590) rose over 5%, achieving over 30% year-on-year revenue growth as a leader in global warehouse fulfillment AMR [3] - China Nonferrous Mining (01258) increased over 3.8% due to rising copper prices improving mid-term performance, with ongoing resource expansion and acquisitions [3] Group 3: Other Notable Movements - Hengrui Medicine (01276) rose over 1.5% after receiving drug registration approval for EZH2 inhibitor [3] - Horizon Robotics (09660) fell nearly 1% despite exceeding market expectations in revenue, with Goldman Sachs maintaining a positive outlook on HSD system mass production [3] - BYD Electronics (00285) dropped over 0.5% with a nearly 14% year-on-year increase in net profit, accelerating its layout in AI data centers and robotics [3] - Shandong Gold (01787) fell nearly 2% as it plans to raise approximately 3.9 billion HKD through a discounted placement to repay company debts [3]

Core Viewpoint - China Nonferrous Mining (01258) has seen a stock price increase of over 22% following its interim performance report, with a current rise of 7.31% to HKD 11.75, and a trading volume of HKD 122 million [1] Financial Performance - The company reported a revenue of USD 1.7515 billion and a net profit of USD 371.3 million for the first half of the year, representing a year-on-year growth of 22.5% [1] - Profit attributable to shareholders reached USD 263.3 million, up 20.2% year-on-year, with basic earnings per share approximately USD 0.0675 [1] Operational Highlights - The improvement in performance is primarily attributed to the rise in international copper prices, increased production and sales of copper anodes and cathodes, and higher output from self-owned mines [1] - The company produced approximately 85,200 tons of copper from its own mines in the first half of the year, with a raw material self-sufficiency rate of 46.4% [1] Market Position and Outlook - According to Guosen Securities, the company is a leading global copper producer with extensive operations in Zambia and the Democratic Republic of Congo [1] - The company is expected to benefit from the rising copper prices due to its ongoing copper resource development and acquisitions, with a leading dividend payout ratio and yield in the industry [1]