Group 1 - Hong Kong high-speed rail infrastructure stocks surged significantly, with China Railway rising over 10%, China Metallurgical increasing by 7%, and other companies like Times Electric and China CNR rising over 4% [1] - The recent rise in copper prices is attributed to supply shortages and the logic of a computing power revolution, prompting CITIC Securities to suggest focusing on investment opportunities in the non-ferrous metals sector, including gold, silver, and copper [1] - China Metallurgical's copper-gold project in Pakistan has a design production scale of 12,800 tons of ore per day and an annual smelting capacity of 20,000 tons, producing crude copper [1] Group 2 - The Aynak copper mine project in Afghanistan has a resource volume of 662 million tons, with a copper metal content of 11.08 million tons and an average copper grade of 1.67%, classified as a world-class super-large copper deposit [1] - China Railway currently has five modern mines built through wholly-owned, controlling, or joint ventures both domestically and internationally, with stable production operations in its mineral resources business [1] - Longjiang Securities previously pointed out that there is a focus on the revaluation of mineral resources for China Railway [1]

Group 1 - Hong Kong high-speed rail infrastructure stocks surged, with China Railway leading with a rise of over 10%, followed by China Metallurgical with a 7% increase, and other companies like Times Electric and CRRC rising over 4% [1] - The recent increase in copper prices is attributed to supply shortages and the logic of a computing power revolution, prompting CITIC Construction Investment to suggest focusing on investment opportunities in the non-ferrous metals sector, including gold, silver, and copper [1] - China Metallurgical's copper-gold project in Pakistan has a design capacity of 12,800 tons of ore processed daily and an annual smelting capacity of 20,000 tons, producing crude copper [1] Group 2 - The Aynak copper mine project in Afghanistan has a resource volume of 662 million tons, with a copper metal content of 11.08 million tons and an average copper grade of 1.67%, classified as a world-class super-large copper deposit [1] - Changjiang Securities previously noted that China Railway currently has five modern mines invested in, either wholly or partially, both domestically and internationally; the company's mineral resource business operates steadily, and there is a focus on the revaluation of its mineral resources [1] - The stock performance of key companies includes: China Railway (4.190, +8.27%), China Metallurgical (3.090, +6.92%), Times Electric (45.440, +4.36%), CRRC (6.250, +4.17%), and China Railway Construction (5.570, +3.53%) [1]

1. Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - The expectation of a Fed rate cut in September is almost certain, and the transition from the traditional consumption off - season to the peak season supports copper prices. With the expectation of the domestic traditional consumption off - season turning to the peak season and the Fed's September rate - cut expectation, the price of Shanghai copper may be cautiously bullish. It is recommended that investors hold their previous long positions cautiously and mainly lay out long positions when the price drops. Pay attention to the support and pressure levels of Shanghai copper, LME copper, and COMEX copper [1][3]. - The basis of Shanghai copper is positive and within a reasonable range, and the monthly spreads are all positive and within a reasonable range. Due to the Fed's September rate - cut expectation, the increase in the domestic electrolytic copper maintenance capacity in September, and the expectation of the traditional consumption off - season turning to the peak season, but the continuous accumulation of the domestic electrolytic copper social inventory, it is recommended that investors temporarily wait and see for the arbitrage opportunities of the basis and monthly spreads of Shanghai copper [7]. - The spreads of LME copper (0 - 3) and (3 - 15) contracts are negative and at a relatively low level, and the ratio of Shanghai - LME copper price is between the 50 - 75% quantiles of the past five years. Considering factors such as Trump's import tariffs suppressing potential demand, the continuous accumulation of LME and COMEX electrolytic copper inventories, the Fed's September rate - cut expectation, and the continuous tight supply - demand expectation of global copper concentrates, it is recommended that investors temporarily wait and see for the arbitrage opportunities of the spreads of LME copper (0 - 3) and (3 - 15) contracts [8]. 3. Summary by Related Catalogs Macroeconomic Aspect - Import tariffs have pushed up commodity prices, leading to an increase in the US PPI annual rate in July and the core CPI annual rate in the consumer sector. Fed Chairman Powell said that the change in the risk balance point may require policy adjustment due to the weak supply and demand in employment, which has increased the expectation of a Fed rate cut in September. However, attention should still be paid to the new non - farm payrolls in the US in August and the consumer price index CPI on September 5th and 11th [2]. Upstream Aspect - **Copper Concentrate**: Newmont's Canadian Red Chris copper mine suspended operations due to a collapse accident, and Russia's Nornickel lowered its copper production forecast for 2025. These factors may lead to a month - on - month increase in the domestic copper concentrate production (import) volume in September. The domestic copper concentrate import index is negative and has decreased compared with last week. The copper concentrate out - port (in - port, inventory) volume of world (Chinese) ports has decreased (increased, increased) compared with last week. The domestic copper concentrate import volume in September may increase month - on - month [2][22][23]. - **Scrap Copper**: The negative spread between domestic electrolytic copper and bright and aged scrap copper may weaken the economy of scrap copper. The scrap copper import window is gradually opening, which may lead to a month - on - month decrease (increase) in the domestic scrap copper production (import) volume in September, and the supply - demand expectation is tight [2][30]. - **Blister Copper**: The second rotary anode furnace of the pyrometallurgical system of the Yunnan Zhongyou non - ferrous scrap copper resource recycling base produced anode copper in early July, and the No. 1 smelting furnace of Jiangxi Keli Copper Industry's first - phase 150,000 - ton anode plate project was ignited on August 11th. The weekly processing fees for blister copper in northern (southern) China have decreased. The domestic smelters' rough - smelting maintenance capacity in September may increase month - on - month, which may lead to a month - on - month decrease (increase) in the domestic blister copper production (import) volume in September [2][33]. - **Electrolytic Copper**: The domestic electrolytic copper production volume in September may decrease month - on - month. However, due to the expected production of new projects in the future, the import volume of domestic electrolytic copper in September may increase month - on - month [37][40]. Downstream Aspect - **Copper Products Enterprises**: The capacity utilization rate of domestic copper products enterprises in September may increase month - on - month. Specifically, the capacity utilization rate of electrolytic copper rods, recycled copper rods, copper wires and cables, copper enameled wires, copper strips, copper foils, and brass rods may increase month - on - month, while the capacity utilization rate of copper tubes may decrease month - on - month [46][48]. - **Copper Rods**: The capacity utilization rate of refined (recycled) copper rods has decreased compared with last week. The raw material (finished product) inventory of refined copper rod enterprises has decreased (increased) compared with last week, while the raw material (finished product) inventory of recycled copper rod enterprises has increased compared with last week. The capacity utilization rate of refined and recycled copper rod enterprises in September may increase month - on - month [50][52][54]. - **Copper Wires and Cables**: The capacity utilization rate of copper wires and cables has decreased compared with last week, and the raw material (finished product) inventory of copper wire and cable enterprises has decreased (increased) compared with last week. The capacity utilization rate of copper wires and cables in September may increase month - on - month [62][63][65]. - **Copper Enameled Wires**: The order volume (capacity utilization rate) of copper enameled wires has decreased (decreased) compared with last week, and the raw material (finished product) inventory days of copper enameled wire enterprises have decreased (increased) compared with last week. The capacity utilization rate of copper enameled wires in September may increase month - on - month [68][69][71]. - **Copper Strips**: The capacity utilization rate (production volume) of copper strips has decreased (decreased) compared with last week, and the raw material (finished product) inventory days of copper strip enterprises have increased (decreased) compared with last week. The capacity utilization rate of copper strips in September may increase month - on - month [75][77][79]. - **Copper Foils**: The capacity utilization rate of copper foils in September may increase month - on - month. The capacity utilization rate of electronic circuit (lithium - ion) copper foils in September may decrease (increase) month - on - month [82][83][84]. - **Copper Tubes**: The capacity utilization rate of copper tubes has decreased compared with last week, and the raw material (finished product) inventory days of copper tube enterprises have increased compared with last week. The capacity utilization rate of copper tubes in September may decrease month - on - month [87][88][89]. - **Brass Rods**: The capacity utilization rate of brass rods has decreased compared with last week, and the raw material (finished product) inventory days of brass rod enterprises have increased (decreased) compared with last week. The capacity utilization rate of brass rods in September may increase month - on - month [93][94][95]. Inventory Aspect - The inventory of Shanghai copper has increased, and the inventory of LME copper has also increased. The inventory of COMEX copper has increased, and the ratio of non - commercial long - to - short positions has decreased [15][17][19]. - The inventory of copper concentrates in Chinese ports has increased, and the copper concentrate import index is negative and has decreased compared with last week [20][22]. - The inventory of scrap copper in September may decrease, and the supply - demand expectation is tight [30]. - The inventory of blister copper in September may decrease, and the import volume may increase [33]. - The inventory of electrolytic copper in September may increase due to the increase in import volume, although the production volume may decrease [37][40]. Market Structure Aspect - The basis of Shanghai copper is positive, and the monthly spreads are all positive, both within a reasonable range. The spreads of LME copper (0 - 3) and (3 - 15) contracts are negative and at a relatively low level. The spreads between COMEX copper, LME copper, and Shanghai copper are all within a reasonable range [7][8][11]. - The closing prices of near - and far - month contracts of Shanghai copper show a Back structure, while those of COMEX copper show a Contango structure [12].

Core Viewpoint - China Nonferrous Mining (01258) has seen a stock price increase of over 22% following its interim performance report, with a current rise of 7.31% to HKD 11.75, and a trading volume of HKD 122 million [1] Financial Performance - The company reported a revenue of USD 1.7515 billion and a net profit of USD 371.3 million for the first half of the year, representing a year-on-year growth of 22.5% [1] - Profit attributable to shareholders reached USD 263.3 million, up 20.2% year-on-year, with basic earnings per share approximately USD 0.0675 [1] Operational Highlights - The improvement in performance is primarily attributed to the rise in international copper prices, increased production and sales of copper anodes and cathodes, and higher output from self-owned mines [1] - The company produced approximately 85,200 tons of copper from its own mines in the first half of the year, with a raw material self-sufficiency rate of 46.4% [1] Market Position and Outlook - According to Guosen Securities, the company is a leading global copper producer with extensive operations in Zambia and the Democratic Republic of Congo [1] - The company is expected to benefit from the rising copper prices due to its ongoing copper resource development and acquisitions, with a leading dividend payout ratio and yield in the industry [1]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the news is that China Nonferrous Mining (01258) experienced a stock price increase of over 7% following the announcement of its mid-year results for 2025, reflecting positive investor sentiment [1] - For the first half of 2025, the company reported revenues of $1.752 billion and a net profit of $371 million, which represents a year-on-year increase of 22.5% compared to the same period in 2024 [1] - The profit attributable to shareholders was $263 million, up 20.2% from the previous year, with basic earnings per share of approximately 6.75 cents, a 17.4% increase from 5.75 cents in 2024 [1] Group 2 - The company produced a total of 111,283 tons of crude copper and anode copper, a decrease of 30.4% year-on-year, while cathode copper production increased by 15.6% to 72,192 tons [1] - The production of cobalt hydroxide was 481 tons, up 1.7%, while sulfuric acid production decreased by 1.9% to 538,433 tons, and liquid sulfur dioxide production saw a significant decline of 85.5% to 1,466 tons [1] - The company also processed 102,708 tons of copper products for external enterprises, marking a substantial increase of 152.9% [1] Group 3 - In the first half of the year, the company enhanced its investor relations efforts, maintaining positive interactions with both domestic and international investors, which contributed to its favorable market performance [2] - The company announced its subscription to a stake in the Balkhash copper mine in Kazakhstan, indicating a strategic move towards further acquisitions and control, marking a breakthrough in its external expansion efforts [2]

Core Viewpoint - China Nonferrous Mining Corporation (01258) reported a mid-term performance for the six months ending June 30, 2025, showing a revenue of $1.752 billion, a year-on-year decrease of 12.9%, while profit attributable to shareholders increased by 20.2% to $263 million, with basic earnings per share approximately 6.75 cents [1] Group 1: Financial Performance - The company achieved a revenue of $1.752 billion for the first half of 2025, reflecting a decline of 12.9% compared to the previous year [1] - Profit attributable to shareholders reached $263 million, marking a year-on-year increase of 20.2% [1] - Basic earnings per share were approximately 6.75 cents [1] Group 2: Production Metrics - The company produced a total of 111,283 tons of crude copper and anode copper, which is a decrease of 30.4% year-on-year [1] - Cathode copper production totaled 72,192 tons, representing a year-on-year increase of 15.6% [1] - Cobalt hydroxide production was 481 tons, showing a growth of 1.7% year-on-year [1] - Sulfuric acid production reached 538,433 tons, down by 1.9% year-on-year [1] - Liquid sulfur dioxide production significantly decreased to 1,466 tons, a decline of 85.5% [1] - The company processed 102,708 tons of copper products for external enterprises, which is an increase of 152.9% year-on-year [1] Group 3: Business Operations - The company operates as a leading vertically integrated copper producer, focusing on copper and cobalt mining, ore processing, and both pyrometallurgical and hydrometallurgical refining and sales in Zambia and the Democratic Republic of the Congo [1] - Key operational entities include China Nonferrous Africa Mining, Luanshya Copper Mines, and several others in Zambia and the Democratic Republic of the Congo [1]

Core Insights - China Nonferrous Mining Corporation (01258) reported a revenue of $1.752 billion for the six months ending June 30, 2025, representing a year-on-year decline of 12.9% [1] - The profit attributable to shareholders was $263 million, showing a year-on-year increase of 20.2% [1] - Basic earnings per share were approximately 6.75 cents [1] Group Performance - The company operates as a leading vertically integrated copper producer, focusing on copper and cobalt mining, beneficiation, hydrometallurgy, pyrometallurgy, and sales in Zambia and the Democratic Republic of the Congo [1] - The business is primarily managed by several subsidiaries, including China Nonferrous Africa Mining, Luanshya Copper Mines, and others in Zambia and the Democratic Republic of the Congo [1] Production Metrics - For the period from January to June 2025, the company produced 111,283 tons of crude copper and anode copper, a decrease of 30.4% year-on-year [1] - The production of cathode copper reached 72,192 tons, an increase of 15.6% year-on-year [1] - Cobalt hydroxide production was 481 tons, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 1.7% [1] - Sulfuric acid production totaled 538,433 tons, down 1.9% year-on-year [1] - Liquid sulfur dioxide production significantly decreased by 85.5% to 1,466 tons [1] - The company processed 102,708 tons of copper products for external enterprises, marking a substantial year-on-year increase of 152.9% [1]

Core Viewpoint - China Nonferrous Mining (01258.HK) reported a significant increase in mid-year performance for 2025, with revenues reaching $1.7515 billion and net profits of $371.3 million, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 22.5% [1] Financial Performance - The company achieved a profit attributable to shareholders of $263.3 million, marking a 20.2% increase compared to the previous year [1] - Basic earnings per share were approximately 6.75 cents [1] Key Drivers of Performance - The improvement in performance was primarily driven by the rise in international copper prices [1] - Increased production and sales volumes of copper from the company's own mines contributed positively, with both crude copper and anode copper sales showing year-on-year growth [1] - Additionally, cathode copper sales volumes also experienced a year-on-year increase [1]

Core Insights - The report highlights significant developments in copper and other mineral projects in Afghanistan and Pakistan, with a focus on the expected operational advancements by 2025 and the historical production achievements in 2024 [1][2][3]. Group 1: Project Developments - The Afghanistan Aynak copper mine is projected to achieve substantial progress by the end of 2025, with a resource increase of 1.28 million tons, raising the total resource to 12.36 million tons [2]. - The Pakistan Saindak copper-gold mine has reached record production levels, with a copper resource estimate of 1.809 million tons by the end of 2024, and a sales volume of 22,760 tons of copper [3]. - The Pakistan Saindak mine achieved an average production rate of 124.6% and generated revenue of 1.74 billion yuan, with a profit of 203 million yuan [3]. Group 2: Market Performance - The LME copper price closed at $9,760 per ton on August 15, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 6.8% [4]. - The nickel and cobalt resources at the Ramu nickel-cobalt mine in Papua New Guinea have increased to 1.842 million tons and 209,000 tons, respectively, with significant production and sales figures reported [4]. - The LME nickel price decreased by 6.9% year-on-year, closing at $15,195 per ton on August 15 [4]. Group 3: Resource Estimates and Financial Performance - The Duddar lead-zinc mine in Pakistan is estimated to have lead resources of 321,100 tons and zinc resources of 642,900 tons by the end of 2024, with expectations for resource doubling by 2025 [5]. - The Duddar mine achieved a production rate of 102.6% in 2024, with revenues of 760 million yuan and a profit of 250 million yuan [5].

Investment Rating - The report provides a "Strong Buy" investment rating for the company, with a current stock price of 7.5 HKD [2][7]. Core Insights - The company has established itself as a leading vertically integrated copper producer globally, with a strategic focus on the "Zambia-Congo" dual-core layout [1][7]. - The company aims to double its copper production from its own mines within the next five years, leveraging its strong resource endowment and ongoing projects [7][41]. - The company reported a significant increase in net profit, reaching 3.99 billion USD in 2024, a 43.5% year-on-year growth, attributed to rising copper prices and enhanced production capacity [18][21]. Summary by Sections Company Overview - The company was established in 2011 through the restructuring of four Zambian copper enterprises and has since become a pioneer in overseas non-ferrous metal mining for Chinese enterprises [1][11]. - The company has a total market capitalization of 28.4 billion HKD and a total share capital of 3,902 million shares [2]. Financial Data and Valuation - The projected total revenue for 2023 is 25.611 billion CNY, with a year-on-year growth of -10% [6]. - The expected net profit for 2025 is 3.115 billion CNY, corresponding to a PE ratio of 8.6 [6][7]. Resource and Production Capacity - The company has a total ore resource of 436 million tons, ranking it among the top in the industry [31]. - The copper production from self-owned mines increased from 99,000 tons in 2020 to 159,000 tons in 2024, marking a growth of over 60% [37][41]. Shareholder Returns - The company plans to distribute approximately 1.67 billion USD in cash dividends for 2024, representing 42% of its total profit, maintaining a consistent dividend payout ratio of around 40% over the past five years [23][26]. Strategic Projects and Future Outlook - The company is actively expanding its resource base through various projects in Zambia and the Democratic Republic of Congo, with significant investments planned for the coming years [27][53]. - The company has initiated several projects, including the Samba copper mine and Mwambashi copper mine, which are expected to contribute significantly to future production capacity [46][49].