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361度(01361):点评报告:流水增长领跑,超品店有序推进
ZHESHANG SECURITIES· 2025-07-16 03:57
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [4] Core Views - The company continues to lead the mass sports sector with strong revenue growth in Q2, achieving a 10% increase in both adult and children's apparel sales in offline channels, and a 20% growth in e-commerce sales [1][4] - The company is actively launching new products across various categories to capture market demand, including running shoes, basketball shoes, and children's footwear [2] - The company is expanding its brand exposure through event sponsorships and the establishment of super stores, which are expected to enhance offline channel growth [3][4] Revenue and Profit Forecast - The company is projected to achieve revenues of 11.4 billion, 12.7 billion, and 14.2 billion yuan for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively, with corresponding net profits of 1.31 billion, 1.47 billion, and 1.65 billion yuan [4][5] - The expected growth rates for revenue are 13%, 12%, and 11% for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027, while net profit growth rates are projected at 14%, 12%, and 12% for the same years [4][5] Market Position and Strategy - The company is positioned as a high-cost performance leader in the mass sports market, with rapid expansion of super stores anticipated to drive future growth [4] - The company maintains a stable operating quality with a retail discount rate of 30% and a stock turnover ratio of 4.5-5.0X [1][4]
361度(01361.HK):超品店拓展顺利 保持领跑增长
Ge Long Hui· 2025-07-16 03:27
Core Viewpoint - The company reported strong growth in its main brand's offline, children's clothing offline, and e-commerce sales, with year-on-year increases of approximately 10%, 10%, and 20% respectively, indicating robust performance in various sales channels [1] Group 1: Operational Performance - The company achieved a discount rate of approximately 7.1, maintaining relative stability in pricing [1] - The inventory turnover ratio for Q4 2024 is projected to be between 4.5 to 5 times, reflecting stable inventory management [1] - The new "361-degree Super Store" format was successfully launched, with 49 stores opened by mid-2025 and a target of 80-100 stores for the entire year [1] Group 2: Store Format and Location Strategy - The new super stores have a larger area of 900-1000 square meters and an increased SKU count of 700-800 compared to conventional stores, enhancing product variety [1] - The distribution of the newly opened super stores is 6% in first-tier cities, 40% in second-tier cities, and 54% in third-tier and below, indicating a strategic focus on urban expansion [1] - The layout includes 55% in department stores, 25% in outlet malls, and 20% in street shops, which is an increase in presence in first and second-tier cities and non-street shop formats [1] Group 3: Product Development and Market Position - The running and basketball categories continue to grow rapidly, with new product launches such as the "Fei Biao Future 2" racing shoes and "Kuang Biao 2" basketball shoes [1] - The company is enhancing its brand image through sponsorship of events like the Qingdao Marathon and hosting its own brand IP events [1] - New high-quality and cost-effective products have been introduced in badminton shoes, sun protection clothing, and women's tennis, contributing to rapid growth in these segments [1] Group 4: Financial Forecast and Investment Rating - The company is expected to maintain industry-leading growth rates by deepening its penetration in lower-tier markets and accelerating the opening of super stores [2] - The projected net profits for 2025-2027 are 1.3 billion, 1.46 billion, and 1.62 billion respectively, with corresponding PE ratios of 7, 6, and 6 times [2] - The investment rating is maintained at "Buy" based on the company's growth strategy and market performance [2]
361度(01361.HK):Q2流水增速优异 超品店拓展迅速
Ge Long Hui· 2025-07-16 03:27
Core Viewpoint - 361 Degrees reported strong performance in Q2 2025, with significant growth in both adult and children's apparel, as well as e-commerce sales, indicating a robust operational status and effective market strategies [1][2][3]. Group 1: Financial Performance - In Q2 2025, 361 Degrees' adult apparel offline channel revenue grew by approximately 10%, while children's apparel also saw a 10% increase, and e-commerce revenue rose by 20% year-on-year [1]. - The company expects a revenue growth of 14% for 2025, with profit margins remaining stable, reflecting a positive outlook for the domestic sports footwear and apparel industry [3]. Group 2: Product Development - The product matrix of 361 Degrees continues to expand, with new offerings such as the professional racing shoes "Flying Future2" and various models targeting specific runner needs, enhancing market competitiveness [2]. - The company launched specialized children's products, including the "Shining 1.0" racing jump rope shoes and "Hunting Wind" football shoes, maintaining a clear positioning in the children's apparel segment [3]. Group 3: Marketing and Brand Strategy - 361 Degrees is focusing on hosting its own basketball and running events to strengthen consumer engagement and brand influence, with recent initiatives including a promotional tour featuring signed star player Jokic [2]. - The company is actively expanding its retail presence, with 39 new super stores opened in major cities, which is expected to enhance operational efficiency and drive high-quality growth in offline retail [2]. Group 4: E-commerce Growth - The e-commerce segment of 361 Degrees is experiencing rapid growth, with a 20% year-on-year increase in revenue for Q2 2025, driven by differentiated products and targeted promotions during key sales events [3].
国信证券晨会纪要-20250716
Guoxin Securities· 2025-07-16 01:31
Macro and Strategy - June financial data shows a significant rebound in credit, with new social financing reaching 4.20 trillion yuan, exceeding expectations of 3.71 trillion yuan, and new RMB loans at 2.24 trillion yuan, surpassing the forecast of 1.84 trillion yuan [8][9][10] - The M2 money supply grew by 8.3% year-on-year, indicating a recovery in domestic economic momentum as private sector balance sheet expansion improves [8][9] - The "seesaw effect" between government financing and corporate loans has weakened, suggesting a shift in credit dynamics as local governments approach their annual debt targets [9][10] Retail Industry - The jewelry market is projected to grow steadily, with the market size reaching 728 billion yuan in 2024, reflecting a compound annual growth rate of 3.6% since 2019 [11][12] - The top five companies in the jewelry sector hold a market share of 41.4%, indicating increasing industry concentration as consumer preferences shift towards quality and design [11][12] - The retail sector is benefiting from the recent Amazon Prime Day, which generated an estimated $24.1 billion in sales, a 30% increase year-on-year, highlighting the growth potential in cross-border e-commerce [13][14] Food and Beverage Industry - The food and beverage sector saw a 0.92% increase, underperforming the Shanghai Composite Index by 0.17 percentage points [14] - The liquor market is stabilizing, with major brands focusing on brand positioning and market health, while the overall demand remains under pressure [15][16] - Recommendations include leading brands like Kweichow Moutai and Wuliangye, which have shown resilience and potential for recovery [15][16] Construction and Building Materials - The construction materials sector is expected to improve due to a shift towards healthy competition and urban renewal initiatives, with a focus on technological innovation [17][18] - Cement prices have stabilized, with a slight decrease of 0.4% week-on-week, while demand remains steady despite seasonal fluctuations [17][18] - Recommendations include companies like Three Trees and China National Building Material, which are well-positioned to benefit from domestic demand [18] Computer Industry - The AI ASIC market is rapidly expanding, with a projected market size growth from $14.8 billion in 2024 to $83.8 billion by 2030, reflecting a compound annual growth rate of 33.5% [19][20] - The price advantage of AI ASIC chips over GPUs is significant, with average prices of $5,236 compared to $8,001 for GPUs, making them more attractive for specific applications [19][20] - Companies like Google and Amazon are accelerating their development of ASIC chips, indicating strong future demand in this sector [21] Home Appliances - The home appliance sector is experiencing stable growth in domestic sales, driven by government subsidies, while exports face challenges due to high bases and tariff impacts [22][23] - White goods are seeing a slight increase in domestic sales, with air conditioning units showing a 9.5% growth in domestic shipments [22][23] - Recommendations include leading brands such as Midea and Gree, which are expected to maintain strong performance [22][23] Pharmaceutical Industry - Merck's acquisition of Verona for $10 billion aims to enhance its portfolio with a new COPD treatment, indicating strong growth potential in respiratory therapies [27][28] - WuXi AppTec is projected to achieve a 102% increase in net profit for the first half of 2025, reflecting robust operational performance [29] - The pharmaceutical sector is showing resilience, with a focus on innovative treatments and strategic acquisitions [27][28] Coal Industry - The coal market is expected to stabilize as domestic production increases and imports decrease, with a projected production of 4.85 billion tons in 2025, a 2% increase year-on-year [31][32] - Demand for coal is anticipated to improve in the second half of the year, particularly for non-electric uses such as chemical production [33] - Recommendations include leading coal companies like China Shenhua and China Coal Energy, which are well-positioned to benefit from market dynamics [34] Electronics Industry - The electronics sector is experiencing positive momentum, with a 0.93% increase in stock performance, driven by strong demand in the optical and semiconductor segments [34] - The industry is expected to see significant catalysts in the coming months, particularly in the context of AI and cloud computing advancements [34] - Companies involved in ASIC development are likely to benefit from the ongoing trends in computing and data processing [34]
361度(01361):新业态积极推进,助力流水稳健增长
Guosen International· 2025-07-15 14:13
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for 361 Degrees with a target price of HKD 6.6 [6]. Core Insights - The company has shown robust growth in both offline and online sales, with the main brand and children's clothing lines achieving approximately 10% growth, while e-commerce platforms recorded about 20% growth [2][3]. - The introduction of new products across various categories, including running, basketball, and children's sportswear, reflects the company's commitment to innovation and consumer choice [2]. - The expansion of super stores is a strategic move to enhance consumer experience and drive sales, with plans to increase the number of super stores to 80-100 by the end of the year [3]. Financial Summary - Projected earnings per share (EPS) for 2025-2027 are estimated at RMB 0.60, 0.69, and 0.76 respectively [3]. - Revenue is expected to grow from RMB 8,423 million in 2023 to RMB 13,812 million by 2027, reflecting a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 10.1% [4][9]. - The net profit is projected to increase from RMB 961 million in 2023 to RMB 1,579 million by 2027, with a net profit margin remaining stable around 11% [4][9].
361度(01361):25Q2流水点评:超品店拓展顺利,保持领跑增长
Soochow Securities· 2025-07-15 09:13
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The company is successfully expanding its "super premium store" format, maintaining its leading position in the market [8] - The company has achieved significant revenue growth, with total revenue projected to reach RMB 10,074 million in 2024, representing a year-on-year increase of 18.26% [1] - The company is focusing on high-quality and cost-effective new products, which is expected to drive continued industry-leading growth [8] Financial Projections - Total revenue (in million RMB) is forecasted as follows: - 2023: 8,518 - 2024: 10,074 (20.24% YoY) - 2025: 11,377 (18.26% YoY) - 2026: 12,653 (12.94% YoY) - 2027: 13,990 (10.57% YoY) [1] - Net profit attributable to the parent company (in million RMB) is projected as follows: - 2023: 961.43 - 2024: 1,148.62 (28.68% YoY) - 2025: 1,304.14 (19.47% YoY) - 2026: 1,457.57 (13.54% YoY) - 2027: 1,616.25 (10.89% YoY) [1] - The latest diluted EPS (in RMB) is expected to be: - 2023: 0.46 - 2024: 0.56 - 2025: 0.63 - 2026: 0.70 - 2027: 0.78 [1] - The P/E ratio is projected as follows: - 2023: 9.67 - 2024: 8.09 - 2025: 7.13 - 2026: 6.38 - 2027: 5.75 [1] Business Development - The company has opened 49 new "super premium stores" in the first half of 2025, with a target of 80-100 for the entire year [8] - The new store format has a significantly larger area (900-1000 square meters) and a higher SKU count (700-800) compared to regular stores, which is expected to enhance customer traffic and sales metrics [8] - The company is actively expanding in niche markets such as running and basketball, with new product launches and sponsorships to enhance brand image [8]
361度(01361):Q2流水增速优异,超品店拓展迅速
GOLDEN SUN SECURITIES· 2025-07-15 06:56
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [5] Core Views - The company has shown excellent growth in Q2 2025, with a 10% increase in adult apparel sales and a 10% increase in children's apparel sales in offline channels, alongside a 20% growth in e-commerce sales [1][2] - The company is expanding its "super premium" store format rapidly, which is expected to enhance retail efficiency and drive high-quality growth in offline sales [2] - The company is expected to achieve a revenue growth of 14% in 2025, with profit margins remaining stable [3] Summary by Sections Revenue Growth - The company reported a 21% revenue growth in 2023, with projections of 19.6% in 2024 and 14% in 2025 [4] - The expected revenue for 2025 is 11,482 million yuan [4] Profitability - The net profit for 2025 is projected to be 1,312 million yuan, reflecting a 14.2% year-over-year growth [4] - The earnings per share (EPS) for 2025 is estimated at 0.63 yuan [4] Financial Ratios - The company is expected to maintain a net profit margin of 11.4% in 2025 [4] - The price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio is projected to be 6.2 times for 2025 [4] Market Position - The company is positioned as one of the leading players in the sports footwear and apparel industry, with a strong focus on product innovation and brand enhancement [3][4]
中金:维持361度(01361)目标价5.62港元 评级“跑赢行业”
智通财经网· 2025-07-15 06:08
Core Viewpoint - CICC maintains the EPS forecast for 361 Degrees (01361) at 0.64/0.72 HKD for 2025/26, with a target price of 5.62 HKD, indicating a 14% upside potential from the current stock price [1] Group 1: Financial Performance - In Q2 2025, the main brand and children's clothing offline revenue grew by approximately 10% year-on-year, while online revenue increased by about 20% [2] - Retail discounts remained stable at around 71%, and the inventory-to-sales ratio was in the range of 4.5 to 5 times [2] Group 2: New Store Formats - The company opened 39 new 361 Degrees Super Stores in cities like Guangzhou, Changsha, Tianjin, Shanghai, and Dalian, bringing the total to 49 by the end of June 2025 [3] - Approximately 6% of the Super Stores are located in first-tier cities, 40% in second-tier cities, and 54% in third-tier cities and below, with 55% of stores in shopping malls and department stores [3] Group 3: Product Innovation and Marketing - The company continues to implement a strategy of "technology-driven product innovation," launching various new running shoes and expanding its sports product matrix [4] - The company sponsored the 2025 Qingdao Marathon and enhanced brand visibility through targeted marketing efforts, which increased product attention [4]
361度(01361):第二季度流水增长双位数,超品店拓展至49家
Guoxin Securities· 2025-07-15 02:41
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Outperform the Market" (maintained) [1] Core Views - In Q2 2025, the main brand's offline retail revenue recorded approximately 10% growth, while the children's clothing brand also saw about 10% growth. E-commerce platforms experienced around 20% growth [2][3] - The company continues to introduce new products to meet diverse consumer demands and has expanded its super stores to 49 locations, with stable inventory and discount levels [3][5] Summary by Relevant Sections Revenue Growth - In Q2 2025, adult apparel offline revenue grew approximately 10%, children's apparel offline revenue also grew about 10%, and e-commerce revenue increased by around 20%, although the growth rate has slowed compared to previous quarters [4][5] Product Development - The company is actively launching competitive new products in various categories, including running shoes and basketball shoes. Notable new releases include the FUTURE 2 and Q弹超 6 running shoes, and the 禅 7 basketball shoes [5] Channel Expansion - The number of super stores has expanded to 49, with 39 new stores opened in Q2. The stores focus on comprehensive category coverage and a one-stop shopping experience, with an expected total of 80-100 new stores for the year [5][6] Inventory and Discount Management - The inventory-to-sales ratio remains stable at 4.5-5.0, with retail discounts around 71%, showing no significant year-on-year change and a slight increase quarter-on-quarter [6] Financial Forecast - The company maintains its profit forecast, expecting net profits of 1.3 billion, 1.46 billion, and 1.63 billion yuan for 2025-2027, representing year-on-year growth rates of 13.1%, 12.2%, and 11.8% respectively. The target price is maintained at 4.7-5.4 HKD, corresponding to a PE ratio of 7-8x for 2025 [8][9]
361度(01361):二季度稳健增长,超品店加速开店
HUAXI Securities· 2025-07-14 12:20
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" [1] Core Views - The company reported a steady growth in Q2 2025, with retail sales for the main brand and children's clothing both increasing by approximately 10%, and e-commerce sales growing by about 20% year-on-year [2] - Despite a slight slowdown in growth rates compared to Q1 2025, the company demonstrated robust online operational capabilities, achieving a 20% growth in e-commerce sales against a high base from the previous year [3] - The company continues to innovate its product offerings, focusing on technology-driven upgrades and targeting diverse market demands, with new launches in running, basketball, and lifestyle segments [4] - Brand building efforts include sponsorship of major events and collaborations with sports personalities, enhancing brand visibility and consumer engagement [5] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - The company forecasts revenues of 11.62 billion, 13.35 billion, and 15.32 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with net profits projected at 1.39 billion, 1.63 billion, and 1.87 billion yuan for the same years [7][9] - The expected earnings per share (EPS) for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 0.67, 0.79, and 0.91 yuan respectively, with corresponding price-to-earnings (PE) ratios of 6.7, 5.7, and 5.0 [7][9] Product and Brand Strategy - The company is enhancing its product innovation strategy by launching new products across various categories, including running shoes and basketball shoes, aimed at meeting the needs of different consumer segments [4][6] - The company has opened 49 new premium stores as of June 2025, with plans for continued expansion, which is expected to drive overall sales growth [6][7] Market Positioning - The company is benefiting from a trend of consumer downgrading, with strong sales performance in its running shoe segment and increased brand recognition through strategic endorsements [6][7]