Group 1 - The core point of the news is that southbound funds have reduced their holdings in Shenzhou International (02313.HK) by 638,200 shares on September 19, 2025, marking a decrease of 0.68% [1][2] - Over the past five trading days, there have been three days of net reductions in holdings, totaling 350,500 shares [1][2] - In the last 20 trading days, there were 11 days of net increases in holdings, amounting to 4,557,900 shares [1][2] Group 2 - As of now, southbound funds hold 93,446,500 shares of Shenzhou International, which represents 6.2% of the company's total issued ordinary shares [1][2] - Shenzhou International Group Holdings Limited primarily engages in the production and sale of knitted apparel products, utilizing a combination of OEM and ODM methods for manufacturing [2] - The company's product categories include sportswear, casual wear, underwear, and other knitted products, and it also engages in trading and property management through its subsidiaries [2]

Investment Rating - The report maintains an investment rating of "Synchronize with the market" for the textile and apparel industry [2][27]. Core Insights - In August 2025, domestic retail sales (社零) grew by 3.4% year-on-year, slightly below market expectations, with a total retail sales amounting to 3.97 trillion yuan [5][6]. - The retail sales growth for the textile and apparel sector in the first eight months of 2025 was 2.9%, with a notable increase in sports and entertainment products, which saw a growth of 20.6% [8][10]. - The online retail channel continues to outperform the overall retail market, with a year-on-year growth of 6.4% in physical goods online sales [6][10]. Summary by Sections Retail Performance - In August 2025, the year-on-year growth rates for dining and goods retail were 2.1% and 3.6%, respectively [5]. - The consumer confidence index in July 2025 was 89.0, reflecting a 1.1 point increase [5]. Channel Analysis - Online channels showed a year-on-year growth of 6.4% in physical goods, while offline channels like convenience stores and supermarkets demonstrated stable performance [6]. - For the first eight months of 2025, retail sales in convenience stores, supermarkets, department stores, specialty stores, and brand stores grew by 6.6%, 4.9%, 1.2%, 5.2%, and 1.7%, respectively [6]. Sector-Specific Insights - The jewelry sector saw a significant year-on-year growth of 16.8% in August 2025, with gold prices reaching an average of 775.92 yuan per gram, up 36.7% year-on-year [7][11]. - The textile and apparel sector's year-on-year growth was 3.1% in August 2025, with a marginal improvement compared to previous months [7][10]. Investment Recommendations - The report recommends focusing on brands like 361 Degrees, with a noted increase in revenue growth among major sports brands [8][10]. - For the textile manufacturing sector, it suggests tracking the recovery of Nike, which could positively impact overall sector valuations [10].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Positive" outlook on the textile and apparel industry, highlighting potential investment opportunities in specific segments such as non-woven fabrics and sportswear [2][9]. Core Insights - The textile and apparel sector underperformed the market, with the SW textile and apparel index rising by 0.7%, lagging behind the SW All A index by 1.5 percentage points [4][6]. - Recent industry data indicates a 2.9% year-on-year increase in retail sales for clothing, shoes, and textiles, totaling 837.1 billion yuan from January to July [30]. - Exports of textiles and apparel decreased by 0.3% year-on-year, amounting to 197.27 billion USD from January to August, with a notable 5.0% decline in August alone [30][31]. Summary by Sections Textile Sector - Focus on investment opportunities in the entire non-woven fabric supply chain, with a significant weekly increase of 26% for Yanjiang Co. The production of non-woven fabrics has been declining since its peak in 2020, but the pandemic has heightened hygiene awareness, maintaining a large market scale [9][12]. - Yanjiang Co. has a global production footprint in China, Egypt, the USA, and India, with major clients including Procter & Gamble and Kimberly-Clark, contributing significantly to its revenue [9][12]. - The report recommends Nobon Co. for its growth potential in personal care and new tobacco products, highlighting its strong market position and technological capabilities [10][12]. Apparel Sector - Jiangnan Buyi reported a stable growth in its latest annual report, with a 4.6% increase in revenue to 5.55 billion yuan and a 6.0% rise in net profit to 900 million yuan for FY25 [12][19]. - The sportswear segment shows resilience, with brands like Anta and Li Ning demonstrating strong performance despite market challenges, with Anta's revenue increasing by 14% year-on-year [13][19]. - The report emphasizes the importance of domestic demand recovery in 2025, suggesting that high-quality domestic brands are poised for a turnaround [10][12]. Market Trends - The report notes a K-shaped recovery in retail, with high-end and cost-effective brands performing better. Innovations in retail formats are accelerating, with plans for significant store expansions in the coming year [13][19]. - The textile manufacturing sector is expected to benefit from favorable trade conditions, particularly for manufacturers with strong supply chain capabilities [10][12].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for several key companies in the textile and apparel industry, including Anta Sports, Li Ning, and Xtep International, with respective 2025 PE ratios of 18x, 18x, and 12x [11][39]. Core Insights - The textile and apparel industry is experiencing a shift in export dynamics due to changes in U.S. tariff policies, leading to a decline in imports from China and an increase from Southeast Asian countries [2][25]. - Major apparel manufacturers reported mixed revenue results for August 2025, with declines for companies like Yuanyuan Group and Ruo Hong, while Feng Tai showed month-on-month improvement [1][16]. - The report anticipates a recovery in orders for upstream manufacturers if the operational performance of core brands like Nike improves, particularly in the Greater China market [3][32]. Summary by Sections Industry Overview - The textile and apparel sector has seen a decline in U.S. imports from China, with a 23% year-on-year drop from January to July 2025, while imports from Vietnam, India, Bangladesh, and Cambodia increased by 18%, 16%, 22%, and 24% respectively [2][25]. - China's apparel exports from January to August 2025 totaled $102.8 billion, down 1.7% year-on-year, while textile yarn and fabric exports increased by 1.6% to $94.51 billion [2][25]. Company Performance - Nike's revenue for FY2025 showed significant declines across all quarters, with a drop of 10.4% in Q1 and 12.0% in Q4, but the company expects a narrowing of revenue decline in FY2026 [3][32]. - Key manufacturers like Shenzhou International and Huayi Group reported revenue growth of 15% and 10% respectively for the first half of 2025 [10][33]. Market Trends - The report highlights a cautious consumer environment, with the sports footwear segment expected to outperform the overall apparel market, maintaining a healthy inventory turnover ratio of 4-5 [3][36]. - The jewelry sector is also noted for its focus on product differentiation and brand strength, with companies like Chow Tai Fook and Chao Hong Ji recommended for their improving product and channel efficiencies [4][38]. Investment Recommendations - The report recommends Shenzhou International for its low exposure to U.S. business and strong profitability, with a 2025 PE of 13x, and Huayi Group for its expanding international capacity, with a 2025 PE of 18x [38]. - In the sportswear segment, Anta Sports and Li Ning are highlighted for their robust operational capabilities, both with a 2025 PE of 18x [39].

Core Viewpoint - First Shanghai maintains a "Buy" rating for Shenzhou International (02313) with a target price of HKD 79.80, highlighting the company's strong performance despite fluctuations in the sports brand and macroeconomic environment [1] Group 1: Financial Performance - In the first half of 2025, the company's revenue increased by 15.3% to RMB 14.97 billion, driven primarily by volume growth, while prices in USD decreased by 0.8% [2] - Gross margin declined by 1.9 percentage points to 27.1%, mainly due to increased employee compensation in the second half of the previous year [2] - The company recorded a net profit attributable to shareholders growth of 8.4% to RMB 3.18 billion, with an interim dividend of HKD 1.38, maintaining a stable payout ratio of 60% [2] Group 2: Product and Market Performance - The sports category showed stable growth, with product segments recording changes of +9.9% for sports, +37.4% for leisure, +4.1% for underwear, and +6.0% for others [3] - Growth in the sports category was primarily driven by demand in the US and European markets, while the leisure category benefited from increased demand in Japan, Europe, and other regions [3] - Regional performance showed increases of +19.9% in Europe, +35.8% in the US, +18.1% in Japan, +18.7% in other regions, and a slight decline of -2.1% in the domestic market [3] Group 3: Operational Insights - The company expects high single-digit growth in volume in the second half of the year, with an improvement in gross margin due to faster growth in sports products [4] - In terms of capacity, the company has recruited 4,000 employees in Cambodia in the first half of the year, with a total recruitment target of 6,000 for the year [4] - The acquisition of a factory in Vietnam is expected to increase daily production capacity by 200-300 tons, with minimal impact from tariffs as the company will maintain the FOB model [4]

Core Viewpoint - First Shanghai maintains a "Buy" rating for Shenzhou International (02313) with a target price of HKD 79.80, highlighting the company's strong performance despite fluctuations in the sports brand and macroeconomic environment [1] Group 1: Financial Performance - For the first half of 2025, the company's revenue increased by 15.3% to RMB 14.97 billion, driven primarily by volume growth, while prices in USD decreased by 0.8% [1] - Gross margin declined by 1.9 percentage points to 27.1%, mainly due to increased employee compensation in the second half of the previous year [1] - The company recorded a net profit attributable to shareholders growth of 8.4% to RMB 3.18 billion, with overall revenue growth exceeding expectations [1] Group 2: Product and Market Performance - The sports category grew by 9.9%, while the leisure category saw a significant increase of 37.4%, driven by demand in the US, Europe, and Japan [2] - Regional performance showed Europe, the US, Japan, and other regions growing by 19.9%, 35.8%, 18.1%, and 18.7% respectively, while the domestic market declined by 2.1% [2] - The growth of major clients like Nike, Adidas, Uniqlo, and Puma was 6.0%, 28.2%, 27.4%, and 14.7% respectively, with their combined market share increasing by 2.7 percentage points to 82.1% [2] Group 3: Future Outlook and Capacity - The company expects high single-digit growth in volume for the second half of the year, with an improvement in gross margin due to faster growth in sports products [3] - In terms of capacity, the company has recruited 4,000 employees in Cambodia in the first half and plans to hire a total of 6,000 by year-end, while the acquisition of a factory in Vietnam will increase daily capacity by 200-300 tons [3] - Capital expenditure for the first half was RMB 1.5 billion, with an estimated total of around RMB 2.3 billion for the year [3]

Summary of Shenzhou International Conference Call Company Overview - **Company**: Shenzhou International - **Industry**: Textile and Apparel Manufacturing Key Points and Arguments 1. **Vertical Integration Model**: Shenzhou International employs a vertical integration model that covers all production stages from fabric manufacturing to garment production, enhancing profitability and responsiveness to customer demands. The delivery cycle has been shortened to 45 days, and in some cases, even 15 days, which significantly improves supply stability, especially during crises [2][6][12] 2. **Southeast Asia Capacity Expansion**: The company has strategically expanded its production capacity in Southeast Asia to benefit from cost and tax advantages, thereby diversifying risks and ensuring stable deliveries. This move addresses rising labor costs in China and aligns with the global textile manufacturing shift towards Southeast Asia [2][8][12] 3. **Partnerships with Leading Brands**: Shenzhou International collaborates deeply with top brands like Nike and Uniqlo to co-develop innovative fabrics, which enhances product value and profitability. The partnerships focus not only on pricing but also on delivery times and quality, creating a win-win situation that accelerates revenue and profit growth [2][9][10] 4. **Financial Performance Trends**: From 2021 to 2023, the company faced challenges such as inventory buildup and pandemic-related restrictions, leading to a decline in net profit and asset turnover rates. The net profit dropped from approximately 22% to around 14%, and the asset turnover rate hit a record low [2][11] 5. **Future Outlook for 2024**: The company anticipates a recovery in profitability and asset turnover in 2024 due to industry restocking and capacity expansion. Shenzhou plans to increase its workforce and invest in new fabric factories, which will enhance overall profitability. The company does not face pressure from clients to share tariff costs, which helps maintain its competitive edge [2][12][15] 6. **Return on Equity (ROE) Analysis**: The ROE of Shenzhou International has varied over different periods, with a notable increase from 26% to 31% between 2008 and 2011 due to improved net profit margins. The company maintained a stable ROE of around 20% from 2012 to 2020, supported by strong capacity and quality client relationships [4][5][14] 7. **Challenges Faced**: The company encountered significant challenges from 2021 to 2023, including inventory pressure and operational disruptions due to the pandemic. These factors adversely affected profitability and operational efficiency [11][12] 8. **Current Financial Status**: The latest half-year report indicates significant revenue growth, although gross margins have been impacted by rising employee compensation. The company remains optimistic about continued revenue growth and potential margin recovery in the latter half of the year [15] Additional Important Insights - **Industry ROE Characteristics**: The apparel manufacturing industry exhibits significant ROE differences across various segments, with yarn production showing low profitability and turnover, while fabric production has high profitability but low turnover. Shenzhou's vertical integration allows it to achieve high profitability with lower turnover, placing it among the industry's top performers [13][14] - **Investment Confidence**: Shenzhou International's ongoing investments in capacity expansion and new facilities reflect its confidence in future growth, with a projected net profit of approximately 6.66 billion yuan for the year, corresponding to a PE ratio of about 12, indicating a safety margin in valuation [15]

Market Overview - The textile and apparel sector has shown resilience in mid-term performance, with the sports segment leading apparel consumption [1][12] - In August, the A-share textile and apparel sector slightly underperformed the broader market, but has shown stable performance since September, with brand apparel outperforming textile manufacturing [1][12] Brand Apparel Insights - Retail sales of clothing in July grew by 1.8% year-on-year, with a slight deceleration compared to the previous month [1] - E-commerce growth in July rebounded significantly, with outdoor sports leading the way; growth rates for various segments included sports apparel at +11%, outdoor apparel at +26%, and home textiles at +10% [1] - Notable brand performances included Decathlon with +63%, Puma with +41%, and Lululemon with +39% in sports apparel; outdoor brands like Kailas and Arc'teryx also showed strong growth [1] Textile Manufacturing Insights - In August, Vietnam's textile exports fell by 4.5% year-on-year, while China's textile exports improved slightly with a growth rate of 1.4% [2] - The export performance of apparel and footwear from China was poor, with declines of 10.1% and 17.1% respectively [2] - The price of cotton showed slight fluctuations in August, with a small decline noted in September [2] Sector Performance Summary - For the first half of 2025, textile manufacturing revenue grew by 7.8% year-on-year, while the apparel and home textile sector faced a decline of 6.4% [3] - The gross margin for the textile manufacturing sector remained stable at 19.4%, while the apparel and home textile sector's gross margin increased slightly to 46.1% [3] - Key players in the apparel sector, such as Anta and Xtep, maintained steady growth in revenue and profit, while non-sports apparel faced significant challenges [3] Investment Recommendations - Focus on undervalued leaders with strong fundamentals in brand apparel, particularly in the sports segment, with recommendations for Anta Sports, Xtep International, and Li Ning [6] - In textile manufacturing, recommend companies with significant rebound potential and strong fundamentals, such as Shenzhou International and Huayi Group [6]

Core Insights - The company reported a revenue of 15 billion with a year-on-year growth of 15% and a net profit of 3.177 billion, reflecting an 8.39% increase [1] - The sports segment generated 10.1 billion in revenue, up 10%, driven by increased demand in Europe and the US [1] - The leisure segment saw a significant revenue increase of 37% to 3.8 billion, mainly due to demand in Japan and Europe [1] - The lingerie segment achieved 900 million in revenue, growing by 4%, supported by sales in Japan and Europe [1] - The gross profit margin decreased by 1.9 percentage points to 27%, primarily due to increased labor costs from employee salary hikes [1] Production Expansion - The company is expanding its production capacity overseas, with a second fabric factory in Vietnam nearing completion and expected to start production by the end of the year [1] - A new garment factory in Cambodia began operations in March 2025, employing around 4,000 workers, with plans for further production scale increases [1][2] - Domestically, the company is upgrading its existing production facilities, including a new weaving factory in Ningbo and renovations in the garment factory [2] Internal Control and Management - The company is enhancing its internal control systems and optimizing management processes to support global operations [2] - Efforts include standardizing control processes, increasing automation in business reviews, and strengthening procurement controls [2] - The company values long-term relationships with suppliers and is improving supplier evaluation and entry processes to ensure a fair operating environment [2] Financial Forecast Adjustments - Due to tariff uncertainties, the company adjusted its revenue forecasts for 2025-2027 to 31.9 billion, 35.5 billion, and 39 billion, respectively [2] - The net profit estimates for the same period are revised to 6.6 billion, 7.3 billion, and 8 billion [2] - Earnings per share (EPS) projections are adjusted to 4.37, 4.83, and 5.31 [2]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for several key companies in the textile and apparel industry, including Anta Sports, Li Ning, and Xtep International, with respective 2025 PE ratios of 18x, 19x, and 12x [11][40]. Core Insights - Lululemon's FY2025Q2 revenue grew by 7% year-on-year to $2.5 billion, which was below the company's expectations, primarily due to weak performance in the U.S. market [1][16]. - The report highlights a continued recovery in the consumer environment for apparel, with a focus on the long-term growth potential of the sports footwear and apparel segment [3][24]. - The report emphasizes the importance of product differentiation and brand strength in the jewelry sector, predicting that companies with clear product differentiation will outperform the industry in 2025 [4][24]. Summary by Sections Lululemon's Performance - Lululemon's Q2 revenue was $2.5 billion, with a 7% year-on-year increase, and a 6% increase on a currency-neutral basis. The Americas segment saw a 1% increase, while international revenue grew by 22% [1][16]. - The gross profit increased by 5% to $1.5 billion, but the gross margin decreased by 1.1 percentage points to 58.5% [1][16]. - The company adjusted its FY2025 revenue growth forecast to 2%-4%, with a potential 4%-6% growth on a comparable 52-week basis [1][16]. Regional Analysis - In the U.S., Q2 revenue was flat, with a 1% increase in the Americas segment. The company noted that consumer response to new product colors was below expectations, indicating a potential issue with product lifecycle [20]. - In China, Q2 revenue grew by 24%, driven by the opening of five new stores and various brand-building activities. The company expects a 20%-25% revenue growth in FY2025 for the Chinese market [20][21]. Apparel and Footwear Sector - The report indicates that the sports footwear segment is expected to outperform the overall apparel market, with a healthy inventory turnover ratio of 4-5 [3][24]. - Key recommendations include Anta Sports, Li Ning, and Xtep International, which are expected to show strong performance due to their operational capabilities and market positioning [27][40]. Jewelry Sector - The report notes that the jewelry market is facing weak demand, with gold jewelry consumption down 27% and 24% in Q1 and Q2, respectively. Companies with strong product and brand capabilities are expected to perform better [39][24]. Manufacturing Sector - The textile manufacturing sector is experiencing changes due to new tariff policies, which may impact profit expectations for 2025-2026. Companies with integrated and international supply chains are expected to gain market share [8][25]. - Recommendations include Shenzhou International and Huayi Group, which are seen as having strong performance and competitive advantages [25][40].