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“大租赁时代”下 贝壳惠居的稳进式生长逻辑
Cai Jing Wang· 2025-08-27 09:48
Core Insights - The housing rental market is experiencing significant growth due to fundamental demand changes and increasing industry regulations, creating unprecedented opportunities for rental companies [1][2] - The introduction of the Housing Rental Regulations aims to standardize the rental market, addressing issues such as false listings and unclear rental prices, thereby promoting a more organized rental environment [2][3] Industry Trends - The rental market in China is evolving into a "Big Rental Era," characterized by marketization, specialization, and diversification, driven by policy changes and market demands [3][4] - The population migration within urban and rural areas has created a substantial rental market base of 260 million renters [2] Company Strategy - Beike Huiju, a technology-driven rental service platform under Beike, is leveraging its "human-store network" and digital tools to achieve steady growth in the housing rental market [1][3] - The company is implementing a light asset management model that emphasizes transparency in pricing and services, aligning with the new regulations to enhance user experience for both landlords and tenants [5][6] Service Model - The light asset management model of Beike Huiju focuses on providing a one-stop service for property owners and professional management for tenants, ensuring a seamless rental experience [5][6] - This model addresses the growing demand for professional management and transparency in the rental process, which is increasingly important to renters [4][5] Operational Efficiency - Beike Huiju is enhancing operational efficiency through a dual focus on efficiency and service, utilizing a digital management system and a specialized service team to improve the rental process [6][7] - The company aims to reduce vacancy periods and increase tenant retention rates by optimizing its service delivery and leveraging its extensive network of agents and properties [8]
贝壳-W(02423):经纪业务GTV稳健增长,多元赛道利润率持续修复
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The report highlights that the company's GTV (Gross Transaction Value) in brokerage business shows steady growth, and the profit margins in diversified sectors are continuously recovering [6] - The company has a strong market position in the brokerage sector, with a focus on enhancing operational efficiency and expanding into home decoration and rental services as potential growth drivers [6] Financial Data and Earnings Forecast - Revenue projections for the company are as follows: - 2023: 77,777 million - 2024: 93,457 million - 2025E: 108,558 million - 2026E: 120,419 million - 2027E: 133,705 million - Year-on-year growth rates for revenue are projected at 28% for 2023, 20% for 2024, and gradually decreasing to 11% for 2026 and 2027 [5][7] - Net profit attributable to the parent company is forecasted as: - 2023: 5,883 million - 2024: 4,065 million - 2025E: 5,092 million - 2026E: 6,254 million - 2027E: 7,480 million - The net profit growth rates show a significant decline in 2023 and 2024, with a recovery expected in subsequent years [5][7] Business Performance Highlights - In Q2 2025, the company reported a total GTV of 878.7 billion, with a year-on-year increase of 4.7%. The breakdown includes: - Existing home transactions: 583.5 billion (up 2.2%) - New home transactions: 255.4 billion (up 8.5%) [6] - The company achieved a net income of 26.01 billion in Q2 2025, reflecting an 11.3% year-on-year increase, while the gross profit was 5.70 billion, down 12.5% year-on-year [6] - The company’s active store count reached 58,664, a 32.1% increase year-on-year, and the number of active agents rose to 492,000, up 19.5% year-on-year [6] Investment Analysis Opinion - The report concludes that the brokerage business is experiencing stable growth, and the profit margins in various sectors are on a recovery path. The company is expected to maintain its market share and benefit from the growth in home decoration and rental services [6]
贝壳-W(02423):2025Q2业绩基本符合预期,股东回报稳健
KAIYUAN SECURITIES· 2025-08-27 07:45
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Outperform" (Maintain) [1] Core Views - The company is actively expanding its core business and new business contributions are continuously increasing, leading to stable shareholder returns. The non-GAAP net profit forecasts for 2025-2027 have been slightly lowered due to market uncertainties and strategic adjustments in the home decoration business. The expected net profits are 7.17 billion, 8.27 billion, and 9.02 billion yuan respectively, with year-on-year growth rates of -0.7%, +15.3%, and +9.1% [6][7] Financial Summary and Valuation Metrics - For Q2 2025, the company's revenue reached 26 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 11.3%, which is in line with Bloomberg consensus expectations. The adjusted net profit was 1.82 billion yuan, a decline of 32.4% year-on-year, slightly above the consensus forecast [6] - The company’s revenue from existing homes decreased by 8.4% year-on-year, while the transaction volume for new homes grew by 8.5% year-on-year, indicating a strong channel advantage [6] - The company plans to expand its existing share repurchase program to 5 billion USD, extending it until August 31, 2028, which represents approximately 13.5% of the current market value [7] - The projected operating revenue for 2025 is 102.91 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 10.1%. The non-GAAP net profit for 2025 is expected to be 7.17 billion yuan, with a net profit margin of 7.0% [8]
贝壳(BEKE):2Q收入基本符合预期,部分家装门店整合
HTSC· 2025-08-27 07:10
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [6][31] Core Views - The company reported a 2Q revenue growth of 11% year-on-year to 26 billion RMB, which is in line with market expectations [1] - The adjusted net profit reached 1.8 billion RMB, exceeding expectations by 3.5% [1] - The management has increased the share buyback program from 3 billion USD to 5 billion USD, indicating confidence in future growth [1][31] - The company is expected to benefit from new housing policies in major cities, which may catalyze market recovery in 4Q [1][14][31] Financial Performance - 2Q revenue breakdown shows a decline in existing home revenue by 8%, while new home revenue increased by 9% [1] - Home renovation revenue grew by 13%, driven by increased transaction volume and higher average order values [2] - The gross margin decreased by 6 percentage points to 21.9%, primarily due to lower profitability in existing home transactions [1] - The adjusted operating profit margin is projected to improve from 6% in 2Q to a long-term target of 7% [1][31] Business Segments - The home renovation segment is showing significant operational efficiency improvements, with a 70%+ increase in support volume per employee [2] - AI tools are enhancing productivity in the real estate brokerage segment, with a notable increase in the number of transactions handled by agents [3] - The rental business is expected to leverage AI to automate approximately 80% of standardized tasks, improving overall efficiency [3] Future Outlook - Revenue forecasts for 2025-2027 have been adjusted downwards by 2.4%, 2.1%, and 2% respectively, reflecting a slower recovery in the real estate market [4][27] - The target price for the company has been raised to 25.21 USD, reflecting a shift from discount to premium valuation compared to global peers [31]
异动盘点0827| 农夫山泉涨超6%,AI概念股多数走高;蔚来美股涨超10%,波音涨超3%
贝塔投资智库· 2025-08-27 04:00
Group 1 - Nongfu Spring (09633) reported a 22% year-on-year increase in net profit for the six months ending June 30, 2025, with packaged drinking water revenue growing by 10.7% [1] - Gu Ming (01364) saw a more than 120% year-on-year increase in net profit for the same period, with steady expansion in store count and impressive GMV performance [1] - China Longgong (03339) reported a 37.83% year-on-year increase in net profit, with the loader business being the largest contributor to revenue and profit [1] - AI concept stocks generally rose, with SenseTime (00020) up over 11% and Fourth Paradigm (06682) up over 9%, following the State Council's release of opinions on implementing "AI+" actions [1] - Cao Cao Mobility (02643) reported a 53.5% year-on-year increase in net profit, with gross margin improving from 7.0% to 8.4% [1] Group 2 - H&H International Holdings (01112) experienced a nearly 77% year-on-year decrease in net profit and proposed an interim dividend of HKD 0.19 per share [2] - NIO (09866) saw its stock price rise over 6% this month, benefiting from strong orders for the Onvo L90 and ES8 SUV models [2] - Chip stocks continued their upward trend, with SMIC (00981) up over 6% and Huahong Semiconductor (01347) up over 3%, as institutions remain optimistic about the domestic chip market [2] - Beike (02423) reported a 7.2% year-on-year decrease in net profit for the mid-year results, with Nomura indicating that its third-quarter guidance was below expectations [2] Group 3 - Gaotu (GOTU.US) reported a more than 37% year-on-year increase in revenue for Q2, alongside a new stock buyback plan worth up to USD 100 million [3] - NIO (NIO.US) rose 10.02% as Morgan Stanley highlighted strong orders for the ES8 and a shift in market sentiment towards next year's models [3] - XPeng Motors (XPEV.US) increased by 5.46% as it announced the official launch of the new P7 model on August 27 [3] - Boeing (BA.US) rose 3.51% after Korean Air announced a purchase order for aircraft valued at approximately USD 36.5 billion [4]
贝壳-W跌超4% 中期纯利同比减少7.2% 野村指其第三季指引低于预期
Zhi Tong Cai Jing· 2025-08-27 02:44
贝壳-W(02423)跌超4%,截至发稿,跌4.17%,报48.44港元,成交额3.25亿港元。 野村研报指出,贝壳第二季业绩符合预期,但第三季指引低于预期。管理层第三季收入指引为225亿至 230亿元人民币,较该行预估的233亿元为低,净利润率指引显著偏弱,约为4.5%,相当于第三季净利 润约10亿元人民币,而该行预估为18亿元人民币。 消息面上,贝壳发布2025年中期业绩,该集团取得净收入总额人民币493.39亿元(单位下同),同比增加 24.13%;归属于贝壳控股有限公司的净利润21.57亿元,同比减少7.2%;归属于贝壳控股有限公司普通 股股东的每股基本净收益0.64元。值得一提的是,公司扩大并延长现有股份回购计划,回购授权从30亿 美元增加至50亿美元,回购计划期限延长至2028年8月31日。 ...
港股异动 | 贝壳-W(02423)跌超4% 中期纯利同比减少7.2% 野村指其第三季指引低于预期
智通财经网· 2025-08-27 02:43
智通财经APP获悉,贝壳-W(02423)跌超4%,截至发稿,跌4.17%,报48.44港元,成交额3.25亿港元。 野村研报指出,贝壳第二季业绩符合预期,但第三季指引低于预期。管理层第三季收入指引为225亿至 230亿元人民币,较该行预估的233亿元为低,净利润率指引显著偏弱,约为4.5%,相当于第三季净利 润约10亿元人民币,而该行预估为18亿元人民币。 消息面上,贝壳发布2025年中期业绩,该集团取得净收入总额人民币493.39亿元(单位下同),同比增加 24.13%;归属于贝壳控股有限公司的净利润21.57亿元,同比减少7.2%;归属于贝壳控股有限公司普通 股股东的每股基本净收益0.64元。值得一提的是,公司扩大并延长现有股份回购计划,回购授权从30亿 美元增加至50亿美元,回购计划期限延长至2028 年8月31日。 ...
贝壳上半年交易额增长17.3% 将寻求效率提升
Core Insights - Beike (02423.HK) reported positive growth in total transaction volume and net income in its semi-annual report, driven by the expansion of its store network [1] - The company aims to enhance efficiency while maintaining stable growth, with a significant increase in its share buyback program from $3 billion to $5 billion, extended until August 31, 2028 [1] Group 1: Financial Performance - In the first half of 2025, Beike achieved a total transaction volume of 1.7224 trillion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 17.3% [1] - The net income for the same period was 49.3 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 24.1% [1] - Net profit was reported at 2.162 billion yuan, slightly down from 2.333 billion yuan in the previous year [1] Group 2: Market Dynamics - The Chinese real estate market has maintained stable housing transaction volumes, although the second quarter saw a market adjustment [1] - Beike's active store count reached 58,664, a year-on-year increase of over 32%, with active agents numbering 491,573, up over 19% [1] Group 3: Strategic Focus - Beike's CEO emphasized the need to adapt to changing consumer demands and the importance of efficiency-driven development, leveraging AI technology for productivity improvements [2] - The company is exploring various initiatives to enhance operational efficiency, including AI integration in home rental services and refining its C2M capabilities through the Beihome business segment [2] - Beike reiterated its commitment to not becoming a developer, focusing instead on a light commercial model, with limited self-operated projects [3]
贝壳:第二季度净收入260亿元 非房交易业务占比升至41%
Xin Jing Bao· 2025-08-26 15:06
Core Insights - Beike reported its Q2 2025 financial performance, showing a total transaction value (GTV) of 878.7 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 4.7% [2] - The company's net revenue reached 26 billion yuan, reflecting an 11.3% year-on-year growth, while net profit was reported at 1.307 billion yuan, with adjusted net profit at 1.821 billion yuan [2] Business Segments - The existing home business GTV reached 583.5 billion yuan, up 2.2% year-on-year, while the new home business GTV was 255.4 billion yuan, marking an 8.5% increase [2] - The home decoration and furnishing business generated net revenue of 4.6 billion yuan, a 13% increase, and the housing rental service net revenue was 5.7 billion yuan, showing a significant growth of 78% [2] - Non-real estate transaction services accounted for 41% of total net revenue, the highest proportion in the company's history [2] Share Buyback Program - Beike announced an expansion and extension of its existing share repurchase program, increasing the buyback authorization from 3 billion USD to 5 billion USD, with the program's duration extended to August 31, 2028 [2] - In Q2 2025, Beike repurchased approximately 250 million USD worth of shares, and in the first half of the year, the total expenditure on share buybacks was about 394 million USD, representing around 1.7% of the total shares outstanding as of the end of 2024 [2] - Since the initiation of the buyback program in September 2022, Beike has repurchased a total of 2.02 billion USD worth of shares, accounting for approximately 10.3% of the total shares outstanding prior to the program's launch [2]
贝壳:第二季度净收入260亿元,非房交易业务占比升至41%
Xin Jing Bao· 2025-08-26 14:50
Core Insights - Beike reported its Q2 2025 financial performance, showing a total transaction value (GTV) of 878.7 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 4.7% [1] - The company's net revenue reached 26 billion yuan, reflecting an 11.3% year-on-year growth, while net profit was reported at 1.307 billion yuan, with adjusted net profit at 1.821 billion yuan [1] Business Segments - The existing home business GTV reached 583.5 billion yuan, up 2.2% year-on-year, while the new home business GTV was 255.4 billion yuan, marking an 8.5% increase [1] - The home decoration and furnishing business generated net revenue of 4.6 billion yuan, growing by 13% year-on-year, and the housing rental service net revenue was 5.7 billion yuan, a significant increase of 78% [1] - Non-real estate transaction services accounted for 41% of total net revenue, achieving a historical high [1] Share Buyback Program - Beike announced an expansion and extension of its existing share repurchase program, increasing the buyback authorization from 3 billion USD to 5 billion USD, with the program's duration extended to August 31, 2028 [1] - In Q2 2025, Beike repurchased approximately 250 million USD worth of shares, and in the first half of the year, the total spent on share buybacks was about 394 million USD, representing around 1.7% of the total shares outstanding as of the end of 2024 [1] - Since the initiation of the buyback program in September 2022, Beike has repurchased a total of 2.02 billion USD worth of shares, accounting for approximately 10.3% of the total shares outstanding prior to the program's start [1]