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Core Viewpoint - The company reported a significant decline in revenue and net profit for the first half of 2025, attributed to intensified competition and structural adjustments within the industry [1] Financial Performance - Total revenue for H1 2025 was 6.206 billion yuan, a decrease of 19% year-on-year - Net profit attributable to shareholders was 0.805 billion yuan, down 29% year-on-year - Gross margin decreased by 3 percentage points to 46.67%, primarily due to a decline in bottled water sales and an increase in low-margin beverage products [1] Cost Structure - Sales and distribution expenses as a percentage of revenue increased by 3 percentage points to 30.36% - Administrative expenses as a percentage of revenue rose by 0.4 percentage points to 2.33% - Net profit margin decreased by 2 percentage points to 12.97% [1] Product Performance - Revenue from bottled water sales fell by 23% to 5.251 billion yuan, with small, medium, and large bottled water products experiencing declines of 26%, 19%, and 2% respectively - Beverage sales increased by 21% to 0.955 billion yuan, accounting for 15.39% of total revenue, with 14 new product SKUs launched in H1 2025 [1] Strategic Initiatives - The company plans to establish two new bottled water factories in Q3 and Q4 of 2025 and add two beverage cooperative factories to optimize production capacity in Southern and Eastern China - The ongoing adjustment of distribution channels aims to enhance family consumption scenarios and expand online purchasing options [1]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" investment rating for the company [7] Core Views - The company faces short-term pressure on profitability due to intensified competition and structural adjustments, with a decrease in gross margin by 3 percentage points to 46.67% in H1 2025 [5] - Despite challenges in the packaging water segment, the beverage business shows promising growth, with beverage sales increasing by 21% to 0.955 billion yuan in H1 2025 [6] - The company plans to enhance production capacity by adding two new packaging water factories and two beverage cooperative factories in the second half of 2025, which is expected to improve overall production costs and profitability [5] Financial Performance - In H1 2025, total revenue was 6.206 billion yuan, a decrease of 19% year-on-year, while net profit attributable to the parent company was 0.805 billion yuan, down 29% [4] - The company’s earnings per share (EPS) forecasts for 2025-2027 have been adjusted to 0.54, 0.64, and 0.74 yuan respectively, with corresponding price-to-earnings (PE) ratios of 20, 17, and 14 times [7] - The projected revenue for 2025 is 12.004 billion yuan, reflecting an 11.2% decline year-on-year, with a net profit forecast of 1.292 billion yuan, a decrease of 21.1% [10] Product and Market Strategy - The company has launched 14 new SKU products in H1 2025, enhancing its product offerings to meet diverse consumer needs [6] - The company is actively optimizing its distribution channels and expanding into emerging markets to cater to family consumption scenarios [6]

Group 1 - The company achieved revenue of 6.206 billion yuan in H1 2025, a year-on-year decrease of 18.5%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 0.805 billion yuan, down 28.6% year-on-year [1] - The packaging water segment generated revenue of 5.25 billion yuan, a decline of 23.1% year-on-year, while the beverage business saw revenue of 0.95 billion yuan, an increase of 21.3% year-on-year [1] - The revenue breakdown for H1 2025 shows small specifications, medium-large specifications, and barrel water generating 3.19 billion, 1.83 billion, and 0.23 billion yuan respectively, with year-on-year changes of -26.2%, -19.4%, and -1.5% [1] Group 2 - The company is actively optimizing and expanding its channels, including traditional, KA, special channels, education, leisure, e-commerce, and dining channels [2] - Sales and management expense ratios increased by 2.9 and 0.4 percentage points year-on-year, with the net profit margin attributable to shareholders decreasing by 1.8 percentage points to 13% [2] - The company is focusing on long-term growth by optimizing production capacity and introducing new products, with three factories expected to be operational by 2025 [2] Group 3 - The company is enhancing its brand through large outdoor advertising and sports marketing [2] - The company aims to reduce reliance on the packaging water business by diversifying its product structure and preparing to develop its beverage business [2] - The projected EPS for 2025, 2026, and 2027 is 0.59, 0.75, and 0.85 yuan, corresponding to PE ratios of 17X, 14X, and 12X respectively, maintaining a "buy" rating [2]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" and it is maintained [6]. Core Views - In the first half of 2025, the company achieved revenue of 6.206 billion HKD, a year-on-year decrease of 18.5%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 0.805 billion HKD, down 28.6% year-on-year [2][4]. - The company is facing intensified market competition, leading to pressure on revenue. The packaging water segment generated revenue of 5.25 billion HKD, down 23.1% year-on-year, while the beverage business saw revenue of 0.95 billion HKD, an increase of 21.3% year-on-year [6]. - The company is actively optimizing and expanding its distribution channels, which has resulted in an increase in expense ratios. The sales and management expense ratios rose by 2.9 and 0.4 percentage points respectively, with the net profit margin decreasing by 1.8 percentage points to 13% [6]. - The company is focusing on long-term growth despite short-term impacts, with plans to launch three new factories in 2025 and enhance its product development capabilities through partnerships with research institutions and universities [6]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - Revenue for H1 2025 was 6.206 billion HKD, down 18.5% year-on-year, and net profit was 0.805 billion HKD, down 28.6% year-on-year [2][4]. Market Dynamics - The packaging water segment's revenue decreased by 23.1% to 5.25 billion HKD, while the beverage segment's revenue increased by 21.3% to 0.95 billion HKD [6]. - The company is facing increased competition in the packaging water industry, which is affecting revenue growth [6]. Strategic Initiatives - The company is enhancing its channel strategy by diversifying customer types and focusing on brand building through outdoor advertising and sports marketing [6]. - Plans for production capacity optimization include the launch of three new factories in 2025, aimed at reducing reliance on the packaging water business and expanding the beverage product line [6].

Core Viewpoint - UBS downgraded China Resources Beverage from "Buy" to "Neutral" due to reasonable valuation, lowering the target price from HKD 18.03 to HKD 11.7 [1] Financial Performance - For the first half of the year, China Resources Beverage reported a revenue decline of 19% and a net profit decrease of 29%, both below market expectations [1] - The revenue from the packaged water segment decreased by 23% year-on-year, while the beverage segment saw a revenue increase of 21% [1] Business Segment Analysis - The decline in bottled water revenue is attributed to increased rebates for distributors [1] - As the negative impacts of channel restructuring gradually dissipate, it is expected that bottled water sales will begin to recover in the second half of the year [1] Future Outlook - Looking ahead to 2026, UBS anticipates a potential turnaround in profitability due to sustained strong growth in the beverage segment and expected growth in bottled water sales [1]

中金发表报告指，华润饮料上半年业绩符合该行预期，收入62.06亿元，按年下跌18.5%，净利润8.05亿 元，按年跌28.6%。业绩符合此前预告。 该行预计，下半年公司丰富产品矩阵、深化渠道变革的调整有望延续，认为短期调整是为长期发展蓄 力。该行预计进入饮料旺季后公司经营状况有所改善，7至8月包装水及饮料销量或均实现按年增长。考 虑渠道竞争持续激烈，预计下半年公司或将保持渠道及终端费用的高投入，以稳固市场份额。 考虑行业竞争加剧，该行下调华润饮料2025/2026年盈利预测18%/2%至10.9/15.3亿元，下调目标价29% 至12港元，维持"跑赢行业"评级。 ...

致：香港交易及結算所有限公司 股份發行人及根據《上市規則》第十九B章上市的香港預託證券發行人的證券變動月報表 截至月份: 2025年8月31日 狀態: 新提交 公司名稱: 華潤飲料（控股）有限公司 呈交日期: 2025年9月4日 I. 法定/註冊股本變動 | 1. 股份分類 | 普通股 | 股份類別 | 不適用 | | | 於香港聯交所上市 (註1) | | 是 | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 證券代號 (如上市) | 02460 | 說明 | | | | | | | | | | | 法定/註冊股份數目 | | | 面值 | | | 法定/註冊股本 | | | 上月底結存 | | | 100,000,000,000 | USD | | 0.0000005 | USD | | 50,000 | | 增加 / 減少 (-) | | | | | | | USD | | | | 本月底結存 | | | 100,000,000,000 | USD | | 0.0000005 | USD | | 50,000 | 本月 ...

Core Viewpoint - Goldman Sachs reports that China Resources Beverage will continue to push for channel reform, advance investments in new channels and products, and increase market share in packaged water in the second half of the year. This strategy may pressure short-term profits but is expected to achieve sustainable growth and business diversification in the long term [1] Financial Projections - The bank forecasts net profits of 1.08 billion yuan and 1.37 billion yuan for 2025 and 2026, respectively, with a 27% year-on-year rebound in 2026 due to sales recovery, leverage effects, and normalization of investment scale [1] - For the second half of this year, the bank estimates a net profit of 261 million yuan, a 48% year-on-year decline, attributed to increased upfront investments during the traditional off-season [1] Target Price and Rating - The target price for the company has been revised down from 12.1 HKD to 10.5 HKD, maintaining a "neutral" rating [1]

Core Viewpoint - The company's 1H25 performance met expectations, with revenue of 6.206 billion yuan, down 18.5% year-on-year, and net profit attributable to shareholders of 805 million yuan, down 28.6% year-on-year [1]. Group 1: Packaging Water Business - The packaging water business is under pressure due to intensified industry competition, with revenue declining 23.1% year-on-year to 5.25 billion yuan [2]. - Factors contributing to the decline include increased promotional competition, channel reform adjustments, and operational rhythm impacts from 1H24 [2]. - Despite the overall decline, the company's retail sales growth in packaging water outperformed the industry, with market share increasing by 0.5 percentage points to 19.3% compared to the end of 2024 [1]. Group 2: Beverage Business - Beverage revenue grew by 21.3% year-on-year to 950 million yuan, driven by a focus on tea, juice, and sports drinks, and the introduction of 14 new SKUs in the first half of the year [2]. - The company is responding to consumer trends by implementing a large packaging strategy to alleviate price competition pressures [2]. Group 3: Financial Metrics and Profitability - The company's gross margin decreased by 2.6 percentage points to 46.7%, primarily due to the underperformance of the packaging water business, while the beverage segment saw an improvement in gross margin [2]. - Selling expenses increased by 2.9 percentage points to 30.4% due to higher marketing and channel expenses to address intensified competition [2]. - The net profit margin decreased by 1.8 percentage points to 13%, indicating pressure on profitability due to declining gross margins and increased expenses [2]. Group 4: Future Outlook - The company is expected to continue adjustments in product matrix and channel reforms in the second half of the year, which are seen as preparations for long-term growth [3]. - An improvement in operational conditions is anticipated during the beverage peak season, with expectations of year-on-year growth in both packaging water and beverage sales in July and August [3]. - Profitability forecasts for 2025 and 2026 have been revised down by 18% and 2% to 1.09 billion yuan and 1.53 billion yuan, respectively, with a target price reduction of 29% to 12 HKD [3].