Core Insights - On January 20, 2026, Tencent Holdings (00700), Xiaomi Group-W (01810), and Alibaba-W (09988) were the top three companies by trading volume in the Southbound Stock Connect, with trading amounts of 3.726 billion, 3.051 billion, and 2.391 billion respectively [1] - In the Shenzhen-Hong Kong Stock Connect, Tencent Holdings (00700), Alibaba-W (09988), and SMIC (00981) led the trading volume, with amounts of 2.662 billion, 2.502 billion, and 1.936 billion respectively [1] Southbound Stock Connect Trading Activity - The top active companies in the Southbound Stock Connect included: - Tencent Holdings (00700) with a trading amount of 3.726 billion and a net buying amount of +0.503 billion [2] - Xiaomi Group-W (01810) with a trading amount of 3.051 billion and a net buying amount of +0.287 billion [2] - Alibaba-W (09988) with a trading amount of 2.391 billion and a net selling amount of -5.778 million [2] - Other notable companies included Pop Mart (09992) and SMIC (00981) with trading amounts of 2.178 billion and 2.123 billion respectively [2] Shenzhen-Hong Kong Stock Connect Trading Activity - The top active companies in the Shenzhen-Hong Kong Stock Connect included: - Tencent Holdings (00700) with a trading amount of 2.662 billion and a net buying amount of +0.160 billion [2] - Alibaba-W (09988) with a trading amount of 2.502 billion and a net buying amount of +7.257 million [2] - SMIC (00981) with a trading amount of 1.936 billion and a net selling amount of -5.420 billion [2] - Other notable companies included Xiaomi Group-W (01810) with a trading amount of 1.603 billion and a net buying amount of +0.108 billion [2]

Group 1: Gold Market Overview - In the first month of the new year, spot gold has increased by over 8%, rising more than $380 [1] - Major gold mining companies include Zijin Mining, Shandong Gold, and Zhongjin Gold, all of which have strong resource reserves and cost control capabilities [3] - Shandong Gold is noted for its high correlation with gold prices, indicating significant earnings elasticity [3] Group 2: Silver Market Overview - Silver resources are led by companies like Silver Mountain Mining, which has a silver reserve of 8,382 tons, ranking first in Asia [4] - Shengda Resources focuses on silver mining and refining, with 92% of its business in silver, showcasing strong profitability linked to silver prices [5] - Hunan Silver is the only listed company in China primarily focused on silver, with a full industry chain from mining to refining [7] Group 3: Platinum Group Metals - Companies like Zhongxin Metal and Guoyuan Platinum are involved in the recovery and production of platinum group metals, with significant future production expected [7] - The demand for palladium is anticipated to rise due to its use in automotive emissions control, benefiting companies that produce it as a byproduct [7] - GreenMei is a leader in the recycling of electronic and automotive waste, with a substantial capacity for recovering precious metals [7]

Group 1 - Recent net redemptions in A-share broad-based ETFs have drawn market attention, with significant outflows recorded on January 15 and 16, totaling 687 billion and 863 billion respectively, marking the highest single-day outflows in history [1] - As of January 19, four out of six major broad-based ETFs saw their shares decline by over 10% in the last three trading days, with the largest, Huatai-PB CSI 300 ETF, dropping to 778.63 billion shares, a scale of approximately 369.2 billion, the lowest since August 2024 [1] - The ChiNext and STAR Market ETFs also experienced significant declines, with the E Fund STAR 50 ETF and E Fund ChiNext ETF seeing share reductions of 34.55% and 20.22% respectively [3] Group 2 - In contrast to the outflows from broad-based ETFs, certain commodity, cross-border, and narrow-based ETFs attracted significant inflows, with the Southern Nonferrous ETF being the only product to receive over 10 billion in net inflows, totaling 100.87 billion, driven by rising base metal prices [3] - Other ETFs such as Yongying Satellite ETF, Harvest Software ETF, and GF Media ETF also received net inflows exceeding 6 billion [3] - According to CITIC Securities, the impact of ETF redemptions on individual stocks was significant, with main board, ChiNext, and STAR Market stocks experiencing sell-offs of 946 billion, 334 billion, and 265 billion respectively during the peak outflow days [3] Group 3 - Regulatory measures have been implemented to cool down the market following rapid price increases and overheated sentiment, including raising the minimum margin requirement for margin trading from 80% to 100% [5][6] - The China Securities Regulatory Commission emphasized the need for comprehensive market monitoring and timely counter-cyclical adjustments to maintain market stability and prevent excessive volatility [6] - There are differing views on the long-term outlook for A-shares, with some analysts suggesting the potential for a slow bull market due to reforms, while others remain skeptical about escaping historical volatility patterns [7]

Core Viewpoint - The report highlights the premium rates of AH shares, with Northeast Electric, Zhejiang Shibao, and Junda Co. leading in premium rates, while CATL, China Merchants Bank, and Hansoh Pharmaceutical have the lowest premium rates [1]. Premium Rate Rankings - The top three AH shares by premium rate are: - Northeast Electric (00042) with a premium rate of 815.25% - Zhejiang Shibao (01057) with a premium rate of 386.24% - Junda Co. (02865) with a premium rate of 369.87% [1]. - The bottom three AH shares by premium rate are: - CATL (03750) with a premium rate of -12.69% - China Merchants Bank (03968) with a premium rate of -0.92% - Hansoh Pharmaceutical (01276) with a premium rate of -0.12% [1]. Deviation Values - The top three shares by deviation value are: - Junda Co. (02865) with a deviation value of 138.55% - Goldwind Technology (02208) with a deviation value of 35.44% - Sanhua Intelligent Control (02050) with a deviation value of 18.71% [1]. - The bottom three shares by deviation value are: - Northeast Electric (00042) with a deviation value of -39.75% - Chenming Paper (01812) with a deviation value of -27.60% - China Life (02628) with a deviation value of -19.12% [1]. Additional Premium Rate and Deviation Data - The report includes detailed tables showing the premium rates and deviation values for various AH shares, indicating significant variations among different companies [2].

Group 1 - The main trend in the commodity market for 2025 will continue into 2026, with global demand-driven metals (such as gold, copper, and lithium) expected to outperform domestic demand-driven sectors (such as coal and steel) [1] - Supply disruptions and accelerated industry consolidation are anticipated to persist throughout the year [1] - The old-for-new subsidy policy is expected to continue until 2026, with incentives becoming more targeted and efficiency-focused, providing substantial support for overall commodity demand [1] Group 2 - The preferred order for the basic materials sector in 2026 is gold and copper, followed by aluminum, lithium, coal, and steel [1] - The materials sector is expected to continue outperforming the MSCI China Index in 2026, with recommendations for investors to buy Zijin Mining and to accumulate China Aluminum and China Hongqiao on dips [1] - Luoyang Molybdenum may experience a temporary pause due to the issuance of convertible bonds [1]

Core Viewpoint - Daiwa has reassessed its A+H share valuation premium strategy, which involves selecting A+H shares with a minimum premium of 10% to construct a monthly A-share investment portfolio, indicating that this strategy typically yields strong returns when the overall A+H premium narrows rapidly [1] Group 1: Investment Strategy Performance - The latest results show that even when the valuation gap widens or the A-share market outperforms the H-share market, the investment strategy has performed well, with cumulative relative returns increasing from approximately 90% to 107.5% over the past two months [1] - The primary drivers of this performance are attributed to the rise in global metal prices and the recent renewal cycle in China's construction machinery sector, benefiting companies such as Luoyang Molybdenum (603993), Zijin Mining (601899), Sany Heavy Industry (600031), and Weichai Power (000338) [1] Group 2: Foreign Investment Trends - There is a sustained interest from overseas investors in Chinese technology companies; however, due to geopolitical concerns, investors generally prefer holding H-shares [1] - It is anticipated that the repatriation of foreign capital will drive the market capitalization of H-shares, which are significantly lower than their A-share counterparts, including Contemporary Amperex Technology (300750), leading to a potential rapid increase in stock prices post dual listing, which may create re-rating opportunities for their A-shares [1]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the news highlights a collective decline in Hong Kong's non-ferrous metal stocks, with significant drops observed in companies such as China Nonferrous Mining, China Aluminum, and China Hongqiao, among others [1] - The report mentions a strategy proposed by Bank of America, suggesting investment in non-AI tech stocks that benefit from the AI boom, focusing on sectors like electrification, infrastructure, and metals [1] - Bank of America identifies metals such as copper, silver, lithium, aluminum, and nickel as key beneficiaries of the growing demand driven by the restructuring of energy infrastructure across economies [1] Group 2 - Specific stock performance data shows China Nonferrous Mining down 7.26%, China Aluminum down 4.62%, and China Hongqiao down 4.60%, among others, indicating a broader trend of declines in the sector [2] - Other notable declines include Luoyang Molybdenum down 4.59%, Lingbao Gold down 4.29%, and Chifeng Jilong Gold down 4.09%, reflecting a significant downturn in the non-ferrous metal market [2] - The overall trend indicates that multiple companies in the non-ferrous metal sector, including Jiangxi Copper and Zijin Mining, experienced declines of over 3%, suggesting a challenging market environment [2]

Group 1 - The top three companies with net inflow of southbound funds are Alibaba-W (09988) with 1.954 billion, Tencent Holdings (00700) with 638 million, and China Construction Bank (00939) with 358 million [1][2] - The top three companies with net outflow of southbound funds are China Mobile (00941) with -883 million, Zijin Mining (02899) with -450 million, and Innovent Biologics (01801) with -435 million [1][2] - In terms of net inflow ratio, ICBC South China (03167) leads with 100.00%, followed by 361 Degrees (01361) with 78.85%, and Qin Port Co. (03369) with 67.10% [1][2] Group 2 - The top ten companies by net inflow include Alibaba-W (09988) with 1.954 billion and a closing price of 164.600, and Tencent Holdings (00700) with 638 million and a closing price of 622.000 [2] - The top ten companies by net outflow include China Mobile (00941) with -883 million and a closing price of 80.600, and Zijin Mining (02899) with -450 million and a closing price of 40.000 [2] - The top three companies by net inflow ratio also include South China Airlines (01055) with 59.53% and a closing price of 5.630 [3]

Group 1 - The article highlights the top three and bottom three AH premium rates for various companies, with Northeast Electric (00042) leading at 815.25% and Ningde Times (03750) at -11.36% [1] - The top three companies with the highest deviation values are Junda Co., Ltd. (02865) at 129.73%, Goldwind Technology (02208) at 38.82%, and Sanhua Intelligent Control (02050) at 18.64% [1] - The bottom three companies with the lowest deviation values include Northeast Electric (00042) at -42.57%, Chenming Paper (01812) at -21.05%, and Nanhua Futures (02691) at -20.64% [1] Group 2 - The top ten AH stocks by premium rate include Zhejiang Shibao (01057) at 384.97% and Junda Co., Ltd. (02865) at 355.07% [2] - The bottom ten AH stocks by premium rate include China Merchants Bank (03968) at -0.84% and Hengrui Medicine (01276) at -4.80% [2] - The deviation values for the bottom ten AH stocks show significant negative values for Northeast Electric (00042) and Chenming Paper (01812), indicating a potential mispricing in the market [2]

该行对中国黄金行业给予"增持"评级，预期所有中国黄金生产商今年都可录得快速增长，首选股为山东 黄金及招金矿业，给予"买入"评级，目标价分别为52.06港元及44.78港元。该行并给予紫金国际"持 有"评级，预计今年3月份基石投资者禁售期结束后其股价可能会受压，目标价152港元；对紫金矿业则 给予"买入"评级，目标价上调至46.43港元，相信其作为多金属生产商可受惠。 中银国际发表研究报告指，近期全球地缘政治紧张局势加剧，市场预期美国将进一步减息，令黄金作为 避险资产的吸引力增加，目前预计2026年平均金价将按年升40%至4800美元，明年或可进一步升至每盎 司5200美元，长期金价预测为每盎司5500美元。 ...