Core Viewpoint - GCL-Poly's assistant vice president, Song Hao, stated that the company benefits from strong cost advantages and low carbon benefits of granular silicon, maintaining a tight supply-demand balance with inventory levels around 10 days, which supports positive EBITDA in Q1 and stable cash flow [1] Group 1: Company Performance - GCL-Poly's granular silicon remains in a tight supply-demand balance, with inventory levels only around 10 days [1] - The company achieved positive EBITDA in the first quarter and is expected to maintain stable positive cash flow [1] Group 2: Market Trends - Since mid-April, silicon material prices have started to decline, having decreased for nearly five consecutive weeks [1] - The high inventory levels accumulated prior to the current period are a significant factor suppressing the rebound of silicon material prices [1]

Core Viewpoint - The report highlights GCL-Poly's commitment to sustainable development through its ESG practices, focusing on innovation, product diversification, and risk management to enhance its competitive edge in the photovoltaic industry [1][2][3]. Group 1: ESG Practices and Achievements - GCL-Poly's 2024 ESG report identifies three substantive issues: R&D and innovation, product diversification, and enhanced risk control [2][3]. - The company achieved a 61% reduction in carbon emissions from its FBR granular silicon compared to 2021, setting a new global industry record [1][4]. - In 2024, GCL-Poly's R&D investment reached 1.102 billion yuan, accounting for approximately 7.3% of its revenue, an increase of 1.7 percentage points year-on-year [2][3]. Group 2: Environmental Impact and Carbon Footprint - GCL-Poly's comprehensive energy consumption density decreased by 12%, greenhouse gas emissions density by 21%, and water consumption density by 23% in 2024 [3][4]. - The effective production capacity of FBR granular silicon reached 480,000 tons, saving approximately 19.5 billion kWh of electricity and reducing CO2 emissions by about 10.48 million tons [4][5]. - The carbon footprint of GCL-Poly's granular silicon was certified at 40.68 kg CO2e/kg, significantly lower than the carbon factor of traditional rod silicon [5]. Group 3: Governance and Digital Management - GCL-Poly established a three-tier ESG governance structure and implemented a sustainable development management system to enhance internal governance [6]. - The company initiated a digital transformation project management system in 2024 to integrate digital management into its business operations [6]. - GCL-Poly signed a social responsibility code of conduct with suppliers, focusing on environmental protection, labor rights, and compliance, and conducted ESG due diligence on 18 core suppliers [6].

Economic Development - Wutongqiao District has achieved significant economic growth, crossing two hundred billion thresholds in three years, and is recognized as one of the first circular economy demonstration zones in Sichuan Province [1] - The industrial added value of Wutongqiao District has consistently accounted for over 70% of the regional GDP, with the total industrial output value exceeding 100 billion yuan for two consecutive years from 2022 to 2023 [2] Salt Industry - The district's economic strength is heavily based on its salt industry, which has led to the establishment of the first invention in New China, the "Hou's Alkali Method," and the first listed company in Southwest China, "Chuan Salt Chemical" [1] - Multiple salt chemical and phosphate chemical projects are being developed in the area, contributing to the formation of two trillion-yuan industrial clusters in crystalline silicon photovoltaic and green chemicals [1] Green Silicon Valley - Wutongqiao District is positioned as the core area of "China's Green Silicon Valley," hosting five of the top ten global photovoltaic companies, with high-purity crystalline silicon production capacity and quality ranking among the world's best [1] - The district is focusing on key technological advancements, supporting enterprises in upgrading production processes, such as the eighth generation of the "Yongxiang Method" for high-purity crystalline silicon production [1] Cultural Development - Salt culture has not only supported industrial growth but also enriched local culinary traditions, leading to the development of a diverse food culture [2] - The district is enhancing cultural spaces by creating a salt culture museum and art galleries, while also promoting local food IPs, which have generated over 300 million yuan in annual revenue from the food industry [2] Tourism Growth - A dragon boat festival themed around well salt culture is set to take place, highlighting the historical significance of the area as a dragon boat hometown [2] - During the recent May Day holiday, a food event in Wutongqiao attracted nearly 200,000 visitors, marking a 40% increase year-on-year, with sales of intangible cultural heritage foods growing by 210% [2]

Group 1 - A significant rumor in the silicon material industry suggests that six companies, including GCL-Poly Energy (03800.HK) and Tongwei Co., Ltd. (600438.SH), are planning to establish a large fund of 70 billion yuan to acquire and integrate silicon material production capacity [2][4] - The authenticity of the rumor remains unverified, with industry insiders indicating that it is still in a discussion phase and lacks concrete details [2][4] - There are indications that the six companies have begun joint operations to formulate a plan within three months, aiming to raise silicon material prices to 60,000 yuan per ton [3][4] Group 2 - The silicon material market has experienced a continuous decline in prices for five weeks, attributed to high inventory levels and a rapid drop in downstream product prices [5][6] - Current market conditions show that the production capacity utilization rate has significantly decreased to a range of 30% to 40%, with some companies planning to reduce production further [6][7] - The overall supply of silicon material is currently exceeding demand, with an estimated production capacity of around 3 million tons against a demand of approximately 2 million tons [6][7] Group 3 - The silicon material industry is facing severe losses, with major companies collectively reporting losses exceeding 18.4 billion yuan last year due to supply-demand imbalances and intense competition [7] - Recommendations for addressing the industry's challenges include strict adherence to production limits, collaboration between upstream and downstream companies, and participation in capacity replacement plans to eliminate outdated production capacity [7]

5月13日早盘，光伏板块出现异动。多家光伏硅料厂商股价大涨，通威股份（600438.SH）一度涨停封板，大全能源 （688303.SH）盘中涨逾19%，港股协鑫科技（03800.HK）、新特能源（01799.HK）股价也都出现明显涨幅。 光伏板块的大涨，与早盘市场流出的传言有关。有消息称，硅料行业正在推进减产保供，头部企业或联合酝酿"收储计划"。而 这所传的"收储计划"，则是由头部硅料厂商牵头并购行业其他硅料产能。 针对这一消息，5月13日，21世纪经济报道记者向所涉及的部分光伏硅料厂商求证，相关人士均表示并不清楚消息来源。但也有 光伏行业人士向记者表示，据其了解的确有类似讨论的声音，"方向大致相同。" 尽管"收储"传闻的可信度受到质疑，但其引发光伏板块股价大涨的现象表明，目前去产能的确是光伏业内乃至资本市场最为关 心的问题。 诸多业内人士在接受21世纪经济报道记者采访时指出，光伏行业拐点何时出现，与去产能、清库存的实际力度和决心密切相 关。有行业人士强调："龙头企业尤其需要带头发挥作用。" 光伏"小作文"冲击二级市场 5月13日的A股市场整体表现相对平淡，但光伏板块却走出了独立行情——Wind光伏指数（88 ...

Group 1 - The photovoltaic sector has recently shown strong performance, particularly in the silicon material segment, with major companies like Tongwei Co., Ltd. and GCL-Poly Energy Holdings experiencing significant stock price increases [1] - A circulating proposal among six leading silicon material manufacturers aims to consolidate remaining production capacity and implement stricter production controls to stabilize prices, with a target price range of 45,000 to 50,000 yuan per ton [1][3] - The year 2024 is projected to be the most financially challenging for silicon material companies, with major players collectively losing nearly 19 billion yuan due to plummeting polysilicon prices [1] Group 2 - There are significant disparities in technology, cash flow, costs, and capacity utilization among companies, raising doubts about the feasibility of the proposed consolidation plan [2] - Industry insiders confirm discussions among major silicon material manufacturers regarding capacity integration, but the final agreement remains uncertain [3] - The current market conditions have led many polysilicon companies to consider advancing maintenance schedules or adjusting production loads based on actual orders, with a projected reduction in domestic polysilicon production to approximately 96,000 tons in May, a decrease of about 3% [4]

前10大未平仓空仓比 智通财经APP获悉，截止5月2日，未平仓空单比位列前三位为药明康德（02359）、万科企业 （02202）、赣锋锂业（01772），空仓比分别为16.40%、14.71%、13.17%。 未平仓空单比（绝对值）较上一次增加最多为万科企业（02202）、中远海控（01919）、耀才证券金融 （01428），分别增加1.37%、0.87%、0.82%。 未平仓空单比（绝对值）较上一次减少最多为赣锋锂业（01772）、地平线机器人-W（09660）、海信 家电（00921），分别减少-0.88%、-0.85%、-0.81%。 未平仓空仓比减少最大的10只股票 | 股票名称 | 上一次空仓比 | 最新空仓比 | | 减少值↓ | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 赣锋锂业(01772) | 14.05% | 13.17% | -0.88% | | | 地平线机器人-W(09660) | 1.87% | 1.02% | -0.85% | | | 海信家电(00921) | 10.94% | 10.14% | -0.81% | | | 青岛啤酒股份(00168) | ...

2025.05. 13 "目前头部硅料企业已基本达成共识。"第一财经记者今日另从某头部硅料厂获悉，共识的第一步是减 产，最头部的企业要大幅减产以实现硅料库存的去化。第二步是产能的去化，目前的基本思路是以收 买的方式实现尾部产能的去化。"资金方面，前期需要金融企业来提供很大一部分的资金支持，通过 未来的利润来实现金融企业的退出。" 微信编辑 | 小羊 本文字数：674，阅读时长大约2分钟 推荐阅读 作者 | 第一财经 陆如意 "降低30%至80%"，特朗普突然宣布降价！ 据光伏产业内人士分析，当前的多晶硅（硅料）环节处在"6+N"的产业格局中。6是六家头部公司， 分别为通威股份产能82万吨、协鑫科技48万吨、新特能源30万吨、大全能源30万吨、东方希望25.5 万吨、亚洲硅业22万吨，合计236万吨的硅料产能；N则代表硅料产业环节剩余所有公司，数量众多 但占据总和市场份额较小，有一定代表性的为青海利豪、合盛硅业、新疆晶诺、新疆其亚、宝丰能 源、宁夏润阳、固阳东方日升、固阳弘元绿能、天弘瑞科、青海南玻等。 上述光伏产业内分析人士认为，硅料环节6家头部公司的产品有效交付量至少占据行业需求75%以 上，硅料产业环节剩 ...

港股光伏概念股走强，协鑫科技涨11.76%、阳光能源涨4.55%、新特能源涨3.18%。 ...

Report Investment Rating The report does not mention the investment rating for the polysilicon industry. Core Views - **Strategy**: For the 2506 contract, it is advisable to be cautiously bullish. When the market rebounds above 40,000 yuan/ton, producers can consider selling hedging at high prices. In the short term, conduct a positive spread arbitrage between the 06 and 07 contracts. If the warehouse receipt volume starts to increase rapidly, switch to a reverse spread arbitrage. There are no strategies for cross - variety and spot - futures operations. For options, sell near - month deep out - of - the - money put options and buy call options [6][7][69]. - **Industry Situation**: The polysilicon upstream and downstream industries have high concentration, with leading enterprises having a large share of production capacity. Most enterprises are currently in a state of losing cash costs, and several polysilicon listed companies reported losses in the first quarter. Some enterprises have shut down for a long time, and most have reduced production loads. The number of polysilicon types and grades is large, and it is subject to brand - based delivery. The standard delivery product on the market is n - type dense material, with relatively high delivery requirements and large discounts for alternative delivery products. The amount of warehouse receipts registered by manufacturers at the current market price is expected to be very small [9][70]. Summary by Directory 1. Polysilicon Production Overview - **Production Enterprises**: The polysilicon industry has high concentration, with the top four enterprises (Tongwei Co., Ltd., GCL Technology, Daqo New Energy, and Xinte Energy) having a combined market share of over 60%. Each of these enterprises has its own development strategy and production characteristics [14][15]. - **Capacity and Output**: By the end of 2024, the polysilicon production capacity reached about 2.86 million tons, a year - on - year increase of 42%, but the capacity utilization rate was only about 30%. Leading enterprises are still expanding production capacity. Due to industry self - restraint on production, the production enthusiasm of enterprises is limited, and the output is expected to decline slightly. The industry has been in a de - stocking pattern since 2025, but the high total inventory has a large inhibitory effect on the spot market [18]. - **Downstream Enterprises**: The downstream of polysilicon is also highly concentrated. According to the 2024 production capacity statistics, the top 5 enterprises account for nearly 53% of the production capacity, and the top 2 account for 33% [23]. - **Cost**: The production cost of polysilicon mainly consists of raw material cost, electricity cost, labor cost, depreciation cost, and technological differences. The raw material, electricity, and depreciation costs account for about 80% of the total cost. Leading enterprises have different production costs due to differences in electricity cost ratios and technological routes [26]. 2. Polysilicon Classification - **Physical Form**: Polysilicon can be classified into block silicon and granular silicon. Block silicon has a stable quality and can be stored for a long time, while granular silicon can avoid the crushing step but is easily contaminated [28]. - **Purity**: It can be divided into metallurgical - grade polysilicon (MG - Si), solar - grade polysilicon (SOG - Si), and electronic - grade polysilicon (SEG - Si) in descending order of purity [33]. - **Downstream Doping and Conductivity Type**: Solar - grade polysilicon is mainly divided into N - type and P - type, depending on the type of doping impurities [34]. - **Surface State**: Block silicon can be further divided into dense material, cauliflower - like material, and coral - like material. Dense material is mainly used for pulling single - crystal silicon, while cauliflower - like and coral - like materials are mainly used for making poly - silicon wafers [35]. 3. Polysilicon Delivery Rules Interpretation - **Brand Delivery System**: Polysilicon futures implement a brand - based delivery system. The delivery products must be from registered brands approved by the exchange. Registered brand products can be warehoused without inspection if the owner can provide relevant quality certificates. There are 7 enterprises with 12 production plants in the first batch of registered brands [41][42]. - **Delivery Details**: The delivery area covers 8 provinces (autonomous regions), and there is no premium or discount between regions. The delivery unit is 30 tons per lot. The warehouse receipt has a 6 - month validity period, and products with a production date over 90 days cannot be registered as warehouse receipts. The delivery methods include one - time delivery, rolling delivery, and futures - to - cash transactions [49][50][53]. - **Delivery Requirements**: The benchmark delivery product is N - type block silicon, and the alternative is P - type block silicon with a discount of 12,000 yuan/ton. Strict quality indicators are specified, and packaging and storage requirements are also defined. There are also position - limit and risk - control measures [58][63][64]. 4. Polysilicon Delivery and Recent Market Analysis and Outlook - **Delivery Situation**: The current market price is expected to result in a very small amount of warehouse receipts. The recent market has seen continuous increases in positions and price declines, with low trading volume. The 2506 contract is expected to rise in the short term, and it is estimated that the market price needs to be above 39,000 yuan/ton for warehouse receipt registration to be cost - effective, and above 40,000 yuan/ton for producers to have a strong willingness to register [66][67]. 5. Summary - **Industry Status**: The polysilicon upstream and downstream industries are highly concentrated, and most enterprises are in a state of loss. There are many types and grades of polysilicon, and the delivery requirements are high. The amount of warehouse receipts registered at the current market price is expected to be small [70]. - **Strategy**: The same as the core strategy, including unilateral, cross - period, cross - variety, spot - futures, and option strategies [69].