Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy-A" with a target price of 55 CNY, maintaining the rating [4][13]. Core Views - The company's Q1 2025 performance shows a reliance on scale expansion for growth, with a year-on-year revenue decline of 3.09% and a net profit increase of 2.08% [1][12]. - The bank's strong deposit base supports asset expansion, despite a narrowing net interest margin and slowing non-interest income growth [1][12]. - The outlook for 2025 suggests a modest revenue growth of 0.61% and a net profit growth of 1.24%, with expectations of a recovery in the capital market aiding performance [13]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In Q1 2025, the bank's average interest-earning assets increased by 8.7% year-on-year, with new interest-earning assets amounting to 176.6 billion CNY, a year-on-year increase of 8.4 billion CNY [1][18]. - The net interest margin for Q1 2025 was 1.91%, down 11 basis points year-on-year, primarily due to a decrease in asset yield [2][3]. Loan and Deposit Structure - New loans in Q1 were primarily driven by corporate lending, while retail lending showed weakness, particularly in credit card loans [2][12]. - The bank's interest-bearing liabilities grew by 8.6% year-on-year, with deposits increasing by 9.4%, significantly outpacing loan growth of 5.2% [2][12]. Non-Interest Income - Non-interest income from fees and commissions decreased by 2.51% year-on-year, with wealth management income growing by 10.45% [8][12]. - Other non-interest income faced pressure, declining by 22.2% year-on-year due to market rate fluctuations affecting bond and fund investments [9][12]. Asset Quality - The bank's non-performing loan ratio remained stable at 0.94%, with a slight increase in the attention ratio to 1.36% [9][10]. - The bank's provision coverage ratio is stable at around 410%, indicating strong risk absorption capacity [10][12]. Future Outlook - The bank is expected to face continued pressure on net interest margins due to weak effective financing demand, but its strong deposit advantage is anticipated to maintain a relatively high margin compared to peers [8][12]. - The report highlights the potential for recovery in non-interest income as market conditions improve, particularly in the capital markets [9][12].

Core Viewpoint - The article analyzes the Q1 performance of three banks (China Merchants Bank, Ping An Bank, and Industrial Bank) from five perspectives: asset quality, liability structure and interest rate, asset structure and yield, profitability, and valuation and margin of safety [1]. Asset Quality - The focus is primarily on loan quality, with detailed statistics provided for each bank's normal, attention, and non-performing loans [2][3][4][5]. - China Merchants Bank has a non-performing loan ratio of 0.94%, while Ping An Bank and Industrial Bank have ratios of 1.06% and 1.08%, respectively, indicating that China Merchants Bank maintains better asset quality [3][4][6]. - The 90-day delinquency rate is lowest for Ping An Bank (0.68%), followed by China Merchants Bank (0.73%) and Industrial Bank (0.92%), suggesting that Ping An Bank has the most robust asset quality [8]. - The attention loan ratio is lowest for China Merchants Bank (1.36%), while Ping An Bank's ratio has decreased by 15 basis points, indicating an improvement in asset quality [9][10]. - The unified caliber non-performing loan ratio shows Ping An Bank at 1.35%, China Merchants Bank at 1.46%, and Industrial Bank at 1.83%, further confirming Ping An Bank's stronger asset quality [11]. Liability Structure and Interest Rate - China Merchants Bank has a significantly lower average interest rate on deposits (1.29%) compared to Ping An Bank (1.81%) and Industrial Bank (1.79%), indicating a substantial cost advantage [20][21][26]. - The total interest-bearing liabilities' interest rate for China Merchants Bank is also lower than that of its peers, reinforcing its competitive edge in funding costs [22][26]. Asset Structure and Yield - Ping An Bank's yield on interest-earning assets is 3.61%, which is higher than China Merchants Bank's 3.23% and Industrial Bank's 3.49%, indicating better asset yield management [33]. - The article notes that Ping An Bank's retail loan yield has shown positive growth, although the reasons remain unclear due to lack of disclosure from competitors [27][33]. Profitability - In Q1 2025, the net interest margin for Ping An Bank is 1.83%, China Merchants Bank is 1.91%, and Industrial Bank is 1.80%, with Ping An Bank and Industrial Bank benefiting from a faster decline in funding costs [37]. - The total assets and liabilities of Ping An Bank have not expanded significantly, but its deposit growth is strong, indicating a stable liability structure [35]. - China Merchants Bank shows synchronized growth in total assets and liabilities, reflecting a robust performance [36]. Valuation and Margin of Safety - The article does not provide specific details on valuation metrics or margin of safety for the banks, focusing instead on the operational performance indicators discussed above.

[相关报告 Table_CompanyReport] 1.深耕零售"因您而变"，价值再造与日 俱新 2025-04-01 招商银行（ [Table_StockNameRptType] 600036） 公司点评 财富管理开局良好，其他非息拖累营收 [Table_Rank] 投资评级：买入（维持） 报告日期： 2025-05-02 | [Table_BaseData] 收盘价（元） | 40.74 | | --- | --- | | 近 12 个月最高/最低（元） | 46.10/29.93 | | 总股本（百万股） | 25,220 | | 流通股本（百万股） | 20,629 | | 流通股比例（%） | 81.80 | | 总市值（亿元） | 10,275 | | 流通市值（亿元） | 8,404 | [公司价格与沪深 Table_Chart] 300 走势比较 -24% -6% 13% 32% 50% 5/24 8/24 11/24 2/25 招商银行 沪深300 [Table_Author] 分析师：刘锦慧 执业证书号：S0010524110001 电话：18351883043 邮箱：liujinhui ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, indicating an expected relative price increase of over 20% within the next six months [29]. Core Views - The company's revenue and net profit growth rates have declined compared to 2024, with Q1 2025 showing revenue and net profit growth rates of -3.1% and -2.1%, respectively [3][8]. - The net interest income has turned positive with a growth rate of 1.9% in Q1 2025, benefiting from a narrowing decline in net interest margin [4]. - Wealth management fees have seen a double-digit growth of 10.5%, significantly narrowing the decline in total commission income [6]. - Asset quality remains stable, with a non-performing loan ratio of 0.94% as of Q1 2025, showing slight improvement [7]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - Q1 2025 revenue and net profit growth rates are -3.1% and -2.1%, respectively, down 2.6 percentage points and 3.3 percentage points from 2024 [3]. - Non-interest income decreased by 22.2% year-on-year in Q1 2025, primarily due to rising interest rates affecting bond and fund investments [3]. Interest Income - Net interest income grew by 1.9% in Q1 2025, reversing the previous negative trend, attributed to a smaller decline in net interest margin, which was 1.91% [4]. - The yield on assets decreased by 44 basis points to 3.21%, while the cost of liabilities fell by 36 basis points to 1.39% [4]. Loan Growth - Total loans decreased by approximately 469 billion yuan year-on-year in Q1 2025, with retail loans down by about 479 billion yuan [5]. - The decline in retail loans reflects weak consumer credit demand, although mortgage loans increased by 288 billion yuan [5]. Wealth Management - Commission income from wealth management increased by 10.5%, contributing to a significant reduction in the overall decline of commission income, which was -2.5% [6]. Asset Quality - As of Q1 2025, the non-performing loan ratio improved to 0.94%, while the focus rate increased to 1.36% [7]. - The new non-performing loans generated in Q1 2025 amounted to 166.52 billion yuan, with retail loans showing an increase in non-performing loans [7]. Profit Forecast - Revenue growth is projected at 0.6%, 2.8%, and 5.3% for 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively, while net profit growth is expected at 1.4%, 4.1%, and 5.2% [8].

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the valuation of various banking sectors in China, highlighting that the six major banks and rural commercial banks are generally overvalued, while joint-stock banks and city commercial banks are seen as undervalued [2][4]. Group 1: Market Valuation - The "Market Earnings Ratio" (市赚率) is introduced as a valuation parameter, calculated as Market Price to Earnings Ratio (PE) divided by Return on Equity (ROE), with a specific formula: PR = PE / (ROE / 100) [2][3]. - The average valuation of the six major banks' A-shares has reached above 1.0 PR, indicating overvaluation, while their H-shares average above 0.8 PR [4][5]. - The Postal Savings Bank is noted as the least favored among the six major banks, with a valuation below 1.0 PR in the A-share market [4]. Group 2: Joint-Stock Banks - Joint-stock banks are not generally overvalued, with an average A-share valuation of over 0.9 PR and H-share valuation at 0.8 PR [5][6]. - The disparity in valuation between A-shares and H-shares is highlighted, with examples such as China Merchants Bank showing stronger performance in H-shares compared to A-shares [5]. Group 3: City Commercial Banks - City commercial banks are identified as undervalued, with average A-share valuations around 0.8 PR, and specific banks like Jiangsu Bank and Hangzhou Bank noted as significant value opportunities with valuations of 0.65 PR [7][8]. Group 4: Rural Commercial Banks - The article suggests that rural commercial banks are not as clear-cut in terms of valuation, as they are generally seen as growth banks with lower dividend payout ratios, leading to higher correction coefficients [9][10]. - Only one rural commercial bank, Changshu Bank, is noted to have a valuation below 0.4 PR, indicating limited undervaluation compared to city commercial banks [9][10]. Group 5: Growth Banks - Four banks are identified as growth stocks with improving ROE: Hangzhou Bank, Qilu Bank, Qingdao Bank, and Changshu Bank [11][12]. - The article emphasizes that the valuation of these growth banks may not reflect their potential due to their lower dividend payout ratios [11][12]. Group 6: Market Environment - The article discusses the impact of a low-interest environment on stock valuations, suggesting that while valuations should theoretically rise, the relationship is not strictly inverse [12]. - It is recommended that banks with high valuations should be sold as they rise, particularly in the A-share market above 1.0 PR and H-share market above 0.8 PR [12].

Group 1 - The core point of the news is that China Merchants Bank has raised the minimum subscription amount for its gold accounts from 800 RMB to 1000 RMB, effective from May 8, 2023 [1][5] - This is the fourth increase in the minimum subscription threshold for gold accumulation this year, with the previous adjustments occurring on February 24, March 27, and April 21 [6] - The bank will continue to monitor the gold market and may adjust the minimum subscription amount as necessary, with updates to be communicated through official channels [5][6] Group 2 - The increase in the minimum subscription amount is attributed to significant fluctuations in gold prices and regulatory requirements for gold accumulation businesses [6] - The adjustments aim to align the minimum purchase amount with the value of 1 gram of gold and to discourage small-scale speculative investments [6] - According to the World Gold Council, global gold demand reached 1206 tons in Q1 2023, with a notable increase in gold ETF demand, which surged by 170% year-on-year [7]

2025 年 5 月 1 日 公司研究 存款定期化边际改善，财富管理收入转暖 ——招商银行（600036.SH）2025 年一季报点评 买入（维持） 当前价：40.74 元 作者 分析师：王一峰 执业证书编号：S0930519050002 010-57378038 wangyf@ebscn.com 分析师：董文欣 执业证书编号：S0930521090001 010-57378035 dongwx@ebscn.com | 市场数据 | | | --- | --- | | 总股本(亿股) | 252.20 | | 总市值(亿元)： | 10,274.57 | | 一年最低/最高(元)： | 29.93/46.1 | | 近 3 月换手率： | 28.98% | 股价相对走势 | 收益表现 | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | % | 1M | 3M | 1Y | | 相对 | -2.89 | 1.44 | 21.28 | | 绝对 | -5.89 | 0.22 | 25.89 | | 资料来源：Wind | | | | 要点 事件： 招商银行发布 2025 年一季度报告，报告期内 ...

招商银行（600036） 证券研究报告 事件： 4 月 29 日，招商银行发布 2025 年一季度报告。2025Q1 公司实现营收 838 亿元，YoY-3.09%；归母净利润 373 亿元，YoY-2.08%；年化 ROE 同比下降 1.95pct 至 14.13%。 点评： 公司报告 | 季报点评 净息差保持韧性，资产质量稳健 信贷增长放缓，净息差韧性较强。2025Q1 净利息收入同比增长 1.9%， 而 2024 年同比增长-1.6%，净利息收入回归正增轨道。 规模方面，2025Q1 末总资产同比增长 8.8%，其中贷款总额、金融投资 分别同比增长 4.5%、20.2%，信贷需求疲弱下公司加大债券配置力度。 净息差方面，2025Q1 净息差为 1.91%，较 2024Q4 仅下降 3bp，韧性 较强。资产端，2025Q1 生息资产收益率环比下降 12bp 至 3.21%，LPR 和存量房贷利率下调，叠加有效需求不足导致的贷款利率自发式下行，贷 款收益持续承压。负债端，2025Q1 计息负债成本率环比下降 11bp 至 1.39%。我们认为，存款挂牌利率下调红利加速释放，负债成本压力缓解 是支撑净息差的核 ...

【导读】招商银行将黄金账户认购起点金额从800元调整为1000元 中国基金报记者 吴君 招商银行年内第四次宣布上调黄金账户认购起点金额。 招行最新公告称，从2025年5月8日起，黄金账户活期及黄金账户定投按金额认购的起点由800元调整为1000元。其单次上调幅度达到25%。 本周金价延续回调趋势。4月30日国际金价出现跳水，一度跌破3300美元/盎司；国内多家品牌金店金饰价格也在1000元/克附近震荡。 招行年内第四次上调 4月30日晚间，招商银行发布了《关于调整黄金账户认购起点金额及风险提示的通告》。 其显示，根据黄金积存业务相关监管规定，为顺应市场形势变化，加强业务风险管理，招行将对零售黄金账户业务进行调整。自北京时间2025年5月8日 9:10起，黄金账户活期及黄金账户定投按金额认购的起点由800元调整为1000元。 黄金账户认购起点调整至1000元 今年2月14日，招行公告称，自2025年2月24日起，黄金账户活期买入起点及黄金账户定投起点由1克/650元起调整为1克/700元起。 3月21日，招行再度公告称，自2025年3月27日起，黄金账户活期买入起点及黄金账户定投起点由1克/700元起调整为1克 ...