Core Viewpoint - The AI application sector has emerged as a primary investment theme for 2026, with a year-to-date increase of 19%, leading the A-share market [1] Group 1: AI Application Trends - The acceleration of AI applications is expected to continue, driven by multiple catalysts [1] - The CES 2026 event has provided significant insights into the future directions of AI application deployment [1] Group 2: Hardware and Software Developments - On the hardware side, AI is gradually penetrating daily life, with diverse hardware entry forms including automobiles, robots, smart glasses, smart homes, and wearable devices [1] - Software advancements, particularly in model inference capabilities, are facilitating the rapid deployment of enterprise-level Agentic AI [1] - Next-generation hardware platforms, such as Rubin, are significantly reducing token and inference costs, which is likely to further accelerate application deployment [1] Group 3: Market Position and Growth Potential - China possesses advantages in the pace of application deployment and user scale, indicating substantial growth potential for AI applications [1]

Group 1: Core Insights - The development of computing power is expected to have high certainty by 2026, with continuous upgrades in supernode technology and sustained high capital expenditure (Capex) from major cloud service providers (CSPs), indicating investment opportunities in computing chips and system-level manufacturers [1][2] - The AI application sector is reaching a turning point, with significant improvements in model capabilities and new opportunities for overseas expansion, leading to accelerated order and revenue growth for AI application companies [1][3] Group 2: Computing Power Trends - The transition to supernode technology is enhancing cluster performance, with leading overseas server companies validating excess market share and profits through supernode system capabilities [2] - Domestic computing power is rapidly improving its competitiveness, supporting local models, and shifting competition from single-card performance to system-level capabilities by 2026 [2] Group 3: AI Applications - Next-generation large models (e.g., Gemini 3.0/GPT-5) are expected to benefit complex reasoning and multimodal scenarios, facilitating the large-scale implementation of AI [3] - The domestic AI application landscape is evolving, with independent model providers emerging due to strong R&D capabilities, and applications are expanding beyond traditional areas like chatbots and customer service to include multimodal and embodied intelligence scenarios [3] Group 4: Domestic Demand Support - Continuous policy support for technology in sectors like satellites, healthcare, and consumption is anticipated to strengthen in 2026, driving demand for satellite technology and medical AI [4] - Structural recovery in domestic demand is expected to be a key focus for the computing sector in 2026, with policies promoting consumption and regulating fiscal systems [4]

Core Insights - The ETF market has recently experienced record outflows, with broad-based ETFs seeing over 200 billion yuan in outflows in a single week, while sector and thematic ETFs in technology and cyclical sectors continue to attract inflows [1] Group 1: Market Trends - The outflow of funds from broad-based ETFs indicates a significant market adjustment, which may help temper market sentiment and promote rationality in capital markets [1] - Small-cap stocks have been less impacted by the outflows, while sectors such as banking, food and beverage, coal, and non-bank financials have faced greater challenges [1] Group 2: Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on broad-based products like the ChiNext 50, ChiNext Index, Double Innovation 50, and CSI 1000 ETFs, as well as thematic products in new energy, non-ferrous metals, agriculture, pharmaceuticals, and medical devices [1]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article is that the AI application sector has become a primary focus for 2026, with a year-to-date increase of 19%, leading the A-share market [1] - The ongoing catalysts for AI applications are expected to continue, with a trend of accelerated implementation [1] - The CES 2026 event held at the beginning of the year provided a significant window for observing the future direction of AI application deployment [1] Group 2 - On the hardware side, AI is gradually penetrating daily life, with diverse hardware entry forms including automobiles, robots, glasses, smart home devices, and wearables like smart glasses, rings, headphones, and smart toys [1] - On the software side, upgrades in model inference capabilities are facilitating the accelerated deployment of enterprise-level Agentic AI [1] - Next-generation hardware platforms, such as Rubin, are significantly reducing token and inference costs, which is expected to further accelerate application deployment [1] Group 3 - Overall, China possesses advantages in the pace of application deployment and user scale, indicating that there is still considerable growth potential for AI applications [1]

格隆汇1月20日丨根据联交所最新权益披露资料显示，2026年1月16日，中广核电力(01816.HK)获中信证券资产管理有限公司在场内以每股均价3.0296港元增 持1279.2万股，涉资约3875.5万港元。 增持后，中信证券资产管理有限公司最新持股数目为2,237,113,000股，持股比例由19.92%上升至20.04%。 | 表格序號 | 大股東/董事/最高行政人員名 作出披露的 買入 / 賣出或涉及的 每股的平均價 | | | | 持有權益的股份數目 佔已發行的 有關事件的日期 | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | 股份數目 | | | | (請參閱上述*註 | | | | | | | | | 份自分比 | | A BREASE OF CONSULTION OF CONSULTION OF CONSULTION OF COLLECTION OF COLLECTION OF COLLECTION OF COLLECTION O CS20260116E00601 | 中信证券资产管理有限公司 | 1101(L) | 12,792,000( ...

Core Insights - The Hong Kong stock market has seen active financing since the beginning of the year, with equity financing reaching HKD 39.09 billion, a year-on-year increase of 316.27% [1] - Chinese securities firms are increasingly taking a leading role in the Hong Kong market, with six out of the top ten equity underwriting positions held by Chinese institutions, accounting for a total market share of 56.15% [1][2] Group 1: Market Performance - The Hang Seng Index rose by 27.77% in 2025, and the primary market equity financing reached HKD 612.7 billion, a year-on-year increase of 248.8% [1] - The active investment and financing environment is attributed to the deep involvement of intermediary institutions, providing valuable development opportunities for investment banks [1] Group 2: Underwriting and Advisory Services - In IPO sponsorship, China International Capital Corporation (CICC) led with a sponsorship scale of HKD 51.65 billion, followed by CITIC Securities (Hong Kong) at HKD 46.03 billion [2] - CICC also demonstrated a strong advantage in refinancing underwriting, with a scale of HKD 24.97 billion and 13 transactions [2] Group 3: Strategic Developments - Chinese securities firms are enhancing their presence in Hong Kong to capture growth opportunities, with several firms increasing capital for their subsidiaries and providing guarantees for business development [4] - For instance, Guotai Junan Securities announced plans to secure a bank loan of up to HKD 35 million to support its Hong Kong subsidiary [4] Group 4: Future Outlook - The Hong Kong market is becoming a crucial platform for Chinese securities firms to expand internationally, with expectations of increased opportunities as international investors seek quality Chinese assets [3] - The core opportunity for Chinese securities firms lies in leveraging their client networks and understanding of Chinese enterprises to serve "A+H" listed companies and support the internationalization of domestic industry chains [5]

Core Viewpoint - The first batch of brokerages has released their performance forecasts for 2025, indicating a significant increase in profits, particularly for Guolian Minsheng Securities, which expects a net profit of 2.008 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of approximately 406% [1][3]. Group 1: Performance Highlights - Guolian Minsheng Securities announced a substantial profit increase due to the acquisition of Minsheng Securities and growth in securities investment, brokerage, and wealth management [3]. - Citic Securities reported a revenue of 74.83 billion yuan and a net profit of 30.051 billion yuan for 2025, representing year-on-year growth of 28.75% and 38.46%, respectively [3]. - Southwest Securities projected a net profit of 1.028 to 1.098 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 47% to 57% [3]. Group 2: Market Trends - Despite the positive performance forecasts, brokerage stock prices have generally declined since the beginning of the year, with Citic Securities down 2.79% and Guolian Minsheng Securities down 2.85% [5]. - The overall performance of the brokerage sector, as indicated by the CSI All Share Securities Index, has decreased by 0.78% since January [5]. Group 3: Factors Influencing Performance - The growth in brokerage performance is primarily driven by market recovery and increased trading volumes, but it is also characterized as a cyclical recovery rather than a structural upgrade [4]. - Analysts suggest that the divergence between performance and stock prices is due to several factors, including profit-taking after strong previous gains, a shift in investment focus towards high-dividend, low-volatility assets, and a market expectation of slower profit growth in 2026 [6]. Group 4: Long-term Outlook - Despite short-term stock price pressures, the brokerage sector is viewed as having long-term investment value, supported by a favorable policy environment and ongoing business recovery [7]. - Key indicators to monitor for assessing the sustainability of profits and valuation recovery include trading volumes, margin balances, net subscriptions in asset management, and the issuance rates of subordinate bonds by brokerages [8].

来源：《中国报道》 中共中央政治局常委、国务院总理李强1月19日下午主持召开专家、企业家和教科文卫体等领域代表座 谈会，听取对《政府工作报告》和《"十五五"规划纲要（草案）》两个征求意见稿的意见建议。 座谈会上，明明、贺佳、闫俊杰、张智刚、龚旗煌、余晓晖、王拥军、周莉亚、石宇奇等先后发言。大 家认为，去年面对复杂严峻的外部形势，我们国家在稳增长、调结构、惠民生等方面推出很多务实举 措，发展中的积极因素不断积累，取得的成绩实属不易。 上述与会发言的9人中，明明是中信证券首席经济学家；贺佳是南开大学金融学院副院长、金融经济系 系主任、教授；闫俊杰是Minimax创始人；张智刚是国家电网有限公司董事长、党组书记；龚旗煌是北 京大学党委副书记、校长；余晓晖是中国信息通信研究院院长、党委副书记；王拥军是首都医科大学附 属北京天坛医院院长、神经病学专家；周莉亚是舞蹈编导、舞者；石宇奇是羽毛球运动员。 公开信息显示，明明，中信证券首席经济学家、中信证券研究部FICC首席分析师。 贺佳，南开大学金融学院副院长、金融经济系系主任、教授。研究领域包括房地产金融、家庭金融和消 费金融。 闫俊杰，Minimax创始人、CEO、董事会 ...

Core Viewpoint - The first batch of brokerages has released their performance forecasts for 2025, indicating a significant increase in profits, particularly for Guolian Minsheng Securities, which expects a net profit of 2.008 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of approximately 406% [1][4]. Group 1: Performance Highlights - Guolian Minsheng Securities announced a substantial profit increase due to the acquisition of Minsheng Securities and growth in securities investment, brokerage, and wealth management [4]. - CITIC Securities reported a revenue of 74.83 billion yuan and a net profit of 30.051 billion yuan for 2025, representing year-on-year growth of 28.75% and 38.46%, respectively [4]. - Southwest Securities projected a net profit between 1.028 billion yuan and 1.098 billion yuan, reflecting a growth of 47% to 57% year-on-year [4]. Group 2: Market Performance and Stock Price Trends - Despite positive earnings forecasts, brokerage stock prices have generally declined since the beginning of the year, with CITIC Securities down 2.79% and Guolian Minsheng Securities down 2.85% [7]. - The overall performance of the brokerage sector, as indicated by the CSI All Share Securities Index, has decreased by 0.78% since January [7]. Group 3: Factors Influencing Stock Price Divergence - The divergence between earnings and stock prices is attributed to four main factors: profit-taking after prior gains, a shift in investment focus towards high-dividend, low-volatility assets, lowered expectations for 2026 earnings growth, and increased margin requirements leading to a withdrawal of leveraged funds [8]. - Analysts suggest that the current market environment remains favorable for long-term investment in brokerages, with a focus on the recovery of various business lines and supportive policies [9]. Group 4: Future Outlook - The brokerage industry is expected to experience an "L-shaped" recovery in 2026, with growth rates likely to slow but absolute profit levels remaining high [10]. - Key indicators to monitor for assessing profitability sustainability and valuation recovery include trading volume, asset management net subscriptions, and the issuance rates of brokerage subordinated bonds [10].

Core Viewpoint - The first batch of brokerages has released their performance forecasts for 2025, indicating a significant increase in profits, particularly for Guolian Minsheng Securities, which expects a net profit of 2.008 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of approximately 406% [1][4]. Group 1: Performance Highlights - Guolian Minsheng Securities anticipates a net profit of 2.008 billion yuan for 2025, up from 1.611 billion yuan the previous year, driven by the acquisition of Minsheng Securities and growth in securities investment, brokerage, and wealth management [4]. - CITIC Securities reported a revenue of 74.83 billion yuan and a net profit of 30.051 billion yuan for 2025, reflecting year-on-year growth of 28.75% and 38.46%, respectively, maintaining its industry leadership [4]. - Southwest Securities expects a net profit between 1.028 billion yuan and 1.098 billion yuan for 2025, representing a growth of 47% to 57% year-on-year [4]. Group 2: Market Dynamics - Despite positive earnings forecasts, brokerage stock prices have generally declined since the beginning of the year, with CITIC Securities down 2.79% and Guolian Minsheng Securities down 2.85% as of January 19 [7]. - The overall performance of the brokerage sector is reflected in the CSI All Share Securities Index, which has decreased by 0.78% since January [7]. Group 3: Factors Influencing Stock Price and Performance - The divergence between earnings and stock prices is attributed to four main factors: profit-taking after prior gains, a shift in investment focus towards high-dividend, low-volatility assets, lowered expectations for 2026 profit growth, and increased margin requirements leading to a withdrawal of leveraged funds [8]. - Analysts suggest that while short-term stock prices may remain under pressure, the long-term investment value of brokerages is still promising due to a favorable policy environment and ongoing business recovery [9]. Group 4: Future Outlook - The brokerage industry is expected to experience an "L-shaped" recovery in 2026, with profit growth likely to slow but remain at high absolute levels [10]. - Key indicators to monitor for assessing profitability sustainability and valuation recovery include trading volume, margin balances, net subscriptions in asset management, and the issuance rates of subordinated bonds by brokerages [10].