Summary of Bilibili Conference Call Company Overview - **Company**: Bilibili (B站) - **Industry**: Internet and Online Entertainment Key Financial Metrics - **Stock Performance**: Bilibili's stock has rebounded approximately 20%-25% over the past year, despite a 90% drop from historical highs, indicating strong potential for value reassessment [2][3] - **Revenue Growth**: Revenue increased from 4.1 billion RMB in 2018 to an expected 30 billion RMB in 2024, with a projected revenue of 30 billion RMB for this year [2][5] - **Profitability**: Adjusted net profit for Q2 reached 560 million RMB, a significant turnaround from a net loss of 270 million RMB in the same period last year [5] - **Gross Margin**: Q2 gross margin was 36.5%, up 6.5 percentage points year-over-year, marking 12 consecutive quarters of improvement [5][13] Business Segments Performance 1. Membership and Live Streaming - **Revenue Contribution**: Accounts for approximately 40% of total revenue, with a quarterly revenue range of 2.8-3 billion RMB and a growth rate of about 10% over two years [6] - **User Engagement**: Monthly active users reached 37.6 million, with a 17% year-over-year increase in average paid users [6] 2. Advertising - **Revenue Share**: Represents 31% of total revenue, with Q2 and Q3 advertising revenue growing by 20% and 23% respectively [8][9] - **Growth Drivers**: AI technology has improved algorithm efficiency by 10%, enhancing ad targeting and effectiveness [8][9] 3. Gaming - **Revenue Contribution**: Approximately 23% of total revenue, with significant titles like "Three Kingdoms: Strategy" generating 1 billion RMB in 8 months [4][10] - **Future Projections**: Expected revenue growth of 60% in Q2 2025, reaching 1.61 billion RMB [4][10] 4. IP Derivatives - **Revenue Share**: Currently accounts for about 6% of total revenue, with stable growth [12] Future Growth Drivers - **Profitability Normalization**: Continuous improvement in gross margin and net profit margin, with a mid-term target of 40%-45% gross margin [13] - **Advertising Expansion**: Anticipated growth in advertising revenue driven by AI and expanding client base, particularly in fast-moving consumer goods [13] - **Game Development**: New game launches and international expansions are expected to contribute significantly to revenue [13][14] Investment Outlook - **Valuation Potential**: Current market capitalization of 74 billion RMB has substantial growth potential compared to a target valuation of over 130 billion RMB [14] - **Long-term Focus**: Emphasis on monitoring the normalization of profitability and growth in core business segments [14]

Core Insights - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the internet media sector, highlighting strong performance in e-commerce, social entertainment media, internet healthcare, short videos, and other segments, despite recent market fluctuations [4][16][19]. E-commerce - The e-commerce sector is experiencing stock price fluctuations with a lack of catalysts, but companies are deemed to have attractive valuations. Alibaba's narrative focuses on AI advancements and cloud growth, while Meituan's outlook remains cautious due to ongoing competition [4][16][17]. Social Entertainment Media - Bilibili and Tencent's advertising performance continues to outperform the market, with Tencent's gaming fundamentals improving. Upcoming titles like "Delta Action" and Bilibili's "Escape from Duckkov" are expected to drive growth [4][16][17]. Internet Healthcare - JD Health and Alibaba Health leverage their leading platform advantages to deepen collaborations with upstream pharmaceutical manufacturers, resulting in strong revenue and profit growth [4][16][17]. Short Videos - Recent declines in AI-related stocks are noted, but Kuaishou's core business remains stable, with ongoing advancements in AI technology and commercialization [4][16][17]. IP and Trendy Toys - Pop Mart's new flagship store in Shanghai enhances interactive space, and the company continues to launch new IPs like 1001moons and supertutu [4][16][17]. Online Mobility - Cao Cao Mobility has upgraded its Robotaxi strategy, moving towards fully unmanned operations by 2026, with a focus on cost advantages in customized vehicles [4][16][18]. Long Videos - The State Administration of Radio and Television's new policies aim to enhance content supply, suggesting investment opportunities in iQIYI and Mango TV [4][16][18]. Music Streaming - TME and NetEase Music show stable performance, although concerns about competition have led to valuation adjustments. The report emphasizes the importance of quality content in driving paid subscriptions [4][16][18]. Gaming Sector - The domestic gaming market remains robust, with continued recommendations for leading companies like Tencent and NetEase. Attention is drawn to companies with improving product trends and operational conditions [4][19]. Advertising - Focus Media's performance has exceeded expectations, with significant growth in internet advertising spending anticipated for Q4, driven by new business initiatives [4][19]. Publishing - Some publishing companies face challenges due to educational reforms, impacting revenue recognition. The report suggests focusing on companies with strong fundamentals and high dividend yields [4][21]. Film and Television - The report highlights the potential recovery in the long video sector, with a focus on production companies with strong project pipelines and leading platforms like Mango TV and iQIYI [4][21]. AI and Technology - The report emphasizes the importance of AI in transforming various sectors, with specific recommendations for companies involved in AI applications across media and healthcare [4][22].

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for the media and internet industry, with specific stock recommendations across various segments [5][8]. Core Insights - The media sector experienced a slight rebound in November, with the advertising segment gaining traction due to AI applications, while other segments showed minor fluctuations. The demand for entertainment is expected to rise towards the end of the year, suggesting potential opportunities in niche segments [3][4]. - Key trends for 2026 include a supportive policy environment fostering resilient growth, with a focus on AI applications, overseas expansion of Chinese content, and the revaluation of IP value driven by upgraded demand [3][4]. - The report highlights strong Q3 performance in Hong Kong and US stocks, particularly in gaming and social media sectors, with notable revenue growth from Tencent and Kuaishou [3][4][18]. Summary by Sections Industry Dynamics - The media index rose by 1.69% in November, contrasting with a decline in the Shanghai Composite Index by 1.67%. Sub-sectors showed varied performance, with digital media up by 1.76% and advertising marketing up by 9.68% [2][11]. - The gaming sector saw a record high in the issuance of domestic game licenses in November, with 178 games approved, indicating a robust supply side [20]. Company Performance - Tencent Music reported a revenue of 8,463 million, exceeding expectations, while iQIYI's performance was in line with forecasts at 6,682 million [18]. - Kuaishou's revenue reached 35,554 million, meeting expectations, driven by advancements in AI technology [18]. Valuation and Recommendations - The report maintains target prices and ratings for covered companies, recommending stocks such as Century Huatong, Mango Excellent Media, and Kuaishou for A-shares, and Tencent Music and iQIYI for Hong Kong and US stocks [5][8]. - Specific stock recommendations include Century Huatong (target price 26.50), Kuaishou (target price 89.00), and iQIYI (target price 2.50), all rated as "Outperform" [5][8].

Core Insights - The top three companies with the highest short positions are Vanke Enterprises (02202), ZTE Corporation (00763), and COSCO Shipping Holdings (01919), with short ratios of 20.57%, 17.63%, and 17.59% respectively [1][2] - The company with the largest increase in short positions is ZTE Corporation (00763), which saw an increase of 1.96% in its short ratio [1][2] - The companies with the most significant decrease in short positions include UBTECH Robotics (09880), ASMPT (00522), and Vanke Enterprises (02202), with decreases of -3.30%, -1.86%, and -1.83% respectively [1][3] Top 10 Short Position Ratios - Vanke Enterprises (02202) has a short position of 20.57%, down from 22.40% [2] - ZTE Corporation (00763) has a short position of 17.63%, up from 15.67% [2] - COSCO Shipping Holdings (01919) has a short position of 17.59%, up from 15.00% [2] Largest Increases in Short Positions - ZTE Corporation (00763) increased its short position from 15.67% to 17.63%, an increase of 1.96% [2] - Leap Motor (09863) saw its short position rise from 2.79% to 4.58%, an increase of 1.79% [2] - OSL Group (00863) increased its short position from 4.31% to 5.89%, an increase of 1.59% [2] Largest Decreases in Short Positions - UBTECH Robotics (09880) decreased its short position from 5.07% to 1.78%, a decrease of -3.30% [3] - ASMPT (00522) saw its short position drop from 6.71% to 4.85%, a decrease of -1.86% [3] - Vanke Enterprises (02202) reduced its short position from 22.40% to 20.57%, a decrease of -1.83% [3]

Core Viewpoint - The Nasdaq China Golden Dragon Index has seen a decline, with major Chinese concept stocks experiencing significant drops in their share prices [1] Group 1: Index Performance - The Nasdaq China Golden Dragon Index's decline has expanded to 1% [1] Group 2: Individual Stock Performance - BOSS Zhipin has decreased by 4.45% [1] - Kingsoft Cloud has fallen by 3.89% [1] - Alibaba's stock price has dropped by 3.16% [1] - Pinduoduo has seen a decline of 3.2% [1] - Bilibili has decreased by 2.92% [1]

Group 1 - OpenAI has launched the new model GPT-5.2, which is now available for paid users and API access, following the competitive pressure from Google's Gemini 3 [2] - The release of GPT-5.2 comes less than a month after GPT-5.1, indicating a rapid development cycle in response to market competition [2] - The core focus of GPT-5.2 is to enhance workplace efficiency, with capabilities including creating spreadsheets, writing presentations, coding, analyzing images, and reading long texts [2] Group 2 - Bilibili has denied rumors that all video content will require a paid membership starting March 1, 2026, and stated that they will pursue legal action against those spreading false information [3] - ZTE Corporation has issued a statement opposing all forms of corruption and is in communication with the U.S. Department of Justice regarding related matters, asserting that its operations remain normal [3] Group 3 - JD Industrial has officially listed on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange with a public offering price set at HKD 14.1 per share, aiming to raise approximately HKD 28.27 billion [4][5] - Xiaomi has announced the launch of its first self-produced central air conditioning unit, designed for larger homes and high-end users, with a total of five configurations available [5] Group 4 - Apple's first smart glasses, Apple Glasses, are expected to be released in 2026, with a likely announcement at the WWDC, and will rely on the iPhone for certain functionalities [6] - The HarmonyOS version of WeChat Moments now supports sending and viewing live photos, with over 27 million installations reported [6] Group 5 - Leap Motor's CEO and a shareholder have purchased a total of 215,060 shares at an average price of HKD 50.51, amounting to over HKD 100 million, reflecting management's confidence in the company's future [6] Group 6 - QQ has introduced an AI summary feature for group chats, allowing users to quickly grasp key points from dense conversations [7] - Elon Musk has praised Tencent's ability to identify and invest in promising gaming studios, highlighting their success in the Western gaming market [7] Group 7 - The China Association of Automobile Manufacturers reported that in November, automobile production and sales continued to show strong growth, with monthly production exceeding 3.5 million vehicles, a historical high [9] - For the first 11 months of the year, both production and sales of automobiles surpassed 31 million units, with year-on-year growth exceeding 10% [9] Group 8 - The scale of the vehicle trade-in program is expected to exceed 180 billion yuan in 2025, driven by strong subsidies and tax incentives for new energy vehicles [10] - The expected growth in the automotive market is supported by nearly 400 billion yuan in tax exemptions and subsidies, indicating a significant increase in sales [10]

Market Performance - The three major US stock indices closed mixed, with the Dow Jones up 1.34% at 48,704.01 points, the S&P 500 up 0.21% at 6,901 points, and the Nasdaq down 0.25% at 23,593.86 points [1] - Major tech stocks mostly declined, with Google down over 2%, Nvidia down more than 1%, Tesla down over 1%, Amazon down 0.65%, and Apple down 0.27%. Microsoft rose over 1% and Facebook increased by 0.4% [1] - Popular Chinese concept stocks showed mixed results, with NIO up nearly 2%, Baidu and Century Internet up over 1%, while Alibaba, Zhihu, and Bilibili fell over 1%, and Xpeng Motors dropped over 2% [1] European Market - All three major European stock indices closed higher, with Germany's DAX index up 0.68% at 24,294.61 points, France's CAC40 index up 0.79% at 8,085.76 points, and the UK's FTSE 100 index up 0.49% at 9,703.16 points [1] Commodity Markets - International precious metal futures generally rose, with COMEX gold futures up 2.00% at $4,309.30 per ounce and COMEX silver futures up 4.83% at $63.98 per ounce [1] - US oil main contract fell 0.92% to $57.92 per barrel, while Brent crude oil main contract dropped 1.01% to $61.58 per barrel [1] - London base metals mostly increased, with LME tin up 4.69% at $41,880.00 per ton, LME zinc up 3.76% at $3,198.00 per ton, LME copper up 2.40% at $11,833.50 per ton, LME aluminum up 0.98% at $2,895.00 per ton, and LME lead up 0.18% at $1,983.50 per ton. LME nickel decreased by 0.29% to $14,610.00 per ton [1] Bond Markets - US Treasury yields were mixed, with the 2-year yield up 0.23 basis points at 3.538%, the 3-year yield unchanged at 3.586%, the 5-year yield up 0.36 basis points at 3.733%, the 10-year yield up 0.78 basis points at 4.155%, and the 30-year yield up 1.41 basis points at 4.800% [1] - European bond yields collectively fell, with the UK 10-year yield down 2.2 basis points at 4.482%, France's 10-year yield down 1.4 basis points at 3.551%, Germany's 10-year yield down 0.8 basis points at 2.840%, Italy's 10-year yield down 2 basis points at 3.525%, and Spain's 10-year yield down 2.1 basis points at 3.288% [1]

Group 1 - Bilibili (B站) faced rumors regarding its video content access policy, claiming that all video resources require a paid membership for full viewing and that basic bullet comments are also tied to membership rights [1] - Bilibili's customer service responded to the rumors, stating that the information is false and that they will pursue legal action against those spreading the rumors [1]

Core Viewpoint - A rumor regarding Bilibili's membership policy has circulated, claiming that starting March 1, 2026, all video content on the platform will require a paid membership for full access, along with basic bullet comments being tied to membership rights. Bilibili has stated that this information is false and will pursue legal action against the spreaders of the rumor [1]. Group 1 - A screenshot claiming changes to Bilibili's membership policy has been widely shared [1] - Bilibili representatives have confirmed that the rumor is untrue [1] - The company has warned against believing and spreading such online rumors [1]

Core Viewpoint - The recent rumors regarding Bilibili's (B站) subscription model have sparked significant public interest, with claims that all video content will require a paid membership starting March 1, 2026, which the company has denied as false information [1] Financial Performance - In Q3 2025, Bilibili reported total revenue of 7.69 billion RMB, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 5% [1] - The adjusted net profit for the same quarter was 790 million RMB, showing a substantial year-on-year increase of 233% [1] - Revenue from value-added services reached 3.02 billion RMB, marking a 7% increase compared to the previous year [1] Membership Statistics - As of the end of Q3, Bilibili had 25.4 million premium members, with approximately 80% being annual subscribers or users on automatic renewal [1]