Investment Rating - The report maintains a positive investment sentiment for the automotive sector, with an optimistic outlook for annual sales growth, projecting a retail growth rate of 5.2% and a wholesale growth rate of 8.4% for the year [2][3]. Core Insights - The automotive industry is experiencing a recovery in sales, particularly in April, with a year-on-year increase in wholesale sales of 11.0% and a month-on-month decrease of 10.0%. The report anticipates that sales levels will remain strong, especially for high-end brands priced above 200,000 yuan, with a forecasted wholesale growth rate of 31% for new energy passenger vehicles [2][4]. - The report highlights the strong performance of new energy vehicle manufacturers, with BYD delivering 380,089 units in April, a year-on-year increase of 21%, and other new players like Leap Motor and Xpeng showing significant growth [4][20]. - Traditional automakers like Geely and SAIC also showed notable sales increases, with Geely's sales up by 53% year-on-year in April [4][24]. Data Tracking - In April, the wholesale sales of passenger vehicles reached 2.22 million units, with a year-on-year growth of 11.0% and a month-on-month decline of 10.0%. The export sales for the same month were 430,000 units, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 0.4% and a month-on-month increase of 5.0% [4][24]. - The average discount rate in early May was 7.2%, slightly down from the previous month, with an average discount amount of 10,613 yuan [4][25]. - The report recommends key companies in the automotive sector, including JAC Motors, Li Auto, Geely, and BYD, highlighting their competitive advantages and potential for upward price elasticity [5][6]. Industry News - The report notes that as of late April, the national inventory of passenger vehicles reached 3.5 million units, indicating a slight increase in inventory pressure compared to previous years [31]. - Recent collaborations, such as the strategic partnership between Dongfeng Motor Group and Huawei, aim to enhance smart vehicle technologies and digital transformation within the automotive sector [31][32]. - The report also mentions the overall market performance, with the automotive sector index rising by 1.80% in the latest week, ranking third among 29 sectors [8][33].

Robotaxi 重启元年，成本不断下探有望加速驶向单车盈亏平衡。文远知行 25Q1 财报扣除员工股权激励等项目后的净 亏损为 2.95 亿元，调整后净亏损扩大，主因文远加码提速无人驾驶落地，规模和支出成正比增长，同时对于出海布 局加速，已进入 3 大洲 10 城，车队数量超过 1200 辆。小马智行基于低成本的第七代量产车型，25 年底车队运营规模 将达到 1000 台。Robotaxi 的商业化窗口已经打开，乘客愿意付费、城市愿意开放、公司敢于大规模部署。 小米首款 SUV 车型 YU7 正式亮相，有望成为 SUV 车型市场爆款车型。小米 YU7 定位豪华高性能 SUV，售价暂未公布。 YU7 有望凭借超长续航和超快充等优势，在中大型纯电 SUV 市场中占据一席之地。小米 SU7 上市即热销，已充分验证 小米的造车实力，YU7 有望具备成为爆款车型潜力，关注后续售价区间。 机器人： 智元机器人：重磅发布具身智能领域双重里程碑式突破。智元机器人发布全球首个基于机器人动作序列驱动的具身世 界模型 EVAC (EnerVerse-AC)，以及具身世界模型评测基准 EWMBench。这两大创新成果现已全面开源，旨 ...

2.【首超特斯拉：比亚迪4月欧洲电动汽车销量达7231辆，跻身当地销量十大品牌之列 】 5月25日消 息，比亚迪4月在欧洲电动汽车 新增登记销量达7231辆 ，同比上涨169%，首次超越特斯拉， 跻身当 地销量十大品牌之列 。此前领跑的特斯拉4月同期登记销量7165辆，跌幅49%。（ 央视新闻） 3.【小鹏MONA M03 Max车型开启全国发运，指导价15.58万元起】 5月25日消息，小鹏汽车宣布 MONA M03 Max车型开启全国发运。该车型于5月20日正式亮相，是MONA M03产品线中的顶配版 本，指导价格为15.58万元起。Max版车型新增"星暮紫、微月灰、星雨青"三色车漆，加上保留的"星 瀚米、暗夜黑、星云白"合计共六款外观色可供选择。（IT之家） 1.【 前4月陕西汽车产量同比增长33.3%】 5月23日，据省汽车工业协会消息：前4月，我省汽车产量 63万辆，同比增长33.3%，高于全国22.2个百分点，汽车制造业增加值同比增长32.4%。其中，乘用 车产量57.8万辆，同比增长37.5%；商用车产量5.2万辆。新能源汽车产量44.9万辆，同比增长 44.8%，增幅高于全国1.1个百分点。（ ...

摘要 ► 本 周数据： 2025年5月第3周（5.12-5.18）乘用车销量38.9万辆，同比+17.8%，环比-14.3%；新能源乘用车销量21.7万辆，同比+29.5%，环比-3.9%；新能源渗透率55.8%， 环比+6.0%。 ► 本周行情 ： 汽车板块本周表现强于市场 本周（5月19日-5月23日）A股汽车板块上涨3.27%，在申万子行业中排名第2位，表现强于沪深300（-0.76%）。细分板块中，商用载货车、乘用车、汽车零部件、 商用载客车、汽车服务分别上涨9.49%、5.86%、1.41%、1.14%、0.05%，摩托车及其他下跌0.19%。 ► 本周观点： 本月建议关注核心组合【比亚迪、吉利汽车、小鹏汽车、小米集团、伯特利、拓普集团、新泉股份、沪光股份、春风动力】。 ► 新车催化密集 智驾平权提振估值 本周，小米自研3纳米旗舰SoC芯片"玄戒O1"正式发布，同时首款豪华高性能纯电SUV 小米YU7 开启预售并计划7月上市；小鹏五代机器人将搭载自研图灵AI芯片， 复用汽车技术实现端云协同智能架构，目标2026年实现工业场景规模化量产；小鹏宣布同时正在研发更大规模的云端基座大模型和端侧模型，MONA ...

Core Viewpoint - The company reported a strong performance in Q1 2025, with significant sales growth driven by new model launches, despite a challenging industry environment [1][2][3]. Sales Performance - In Q1 2025, the company achieved sales of 94,000 vehicles, representing a year-on-year increase of 330.8% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 2.7% [1]. - The new models, Mona M03 and P7+, contributed significantly to sales, with 47,000 and 24,000 units sold respectively, accounting for 75.5% of total sales in the quarter [2]. Financial Metrics - Total revenue for Q1 2025 was 15.81 billion yuan, showing a year-on-year increase of 141.5% but a quarter-on-quarter decrease of 1.8% [1]. - The average revenue per vehicle was 153,000 yuan, down 39.8% year-on-year and 4.7% quarter-on-quarter [1]. - The gross margin improved to 15.6%, with a year-on-year increase of 2.7 percentage points and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 1.2 percentage points [1]. Future Outlook - The company has set a delivery guidance of 102,000 to 108,000 vehicles for Q2 2025, which would be a record high [2]. - The introduction of new models such as G6 and G9, along with the upcoming M03 Max version, is expected to further enhance sales and profitability [3]. - The company anticipates total sales of 550,000 vehicles in 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 190% [3]. Technological Advancements - The company is set to deploy its self-developed Turing chip in Q2, which is designed to optimize cost control and enhance the capabilities of its vehicles [3]. - The Turing chip boasts processing power 3-7 times that of current mainstream AI chips, specifically designed for L4 autonomous driving [3]. Profitability Forecast - The company has revised its revenue projections for 2025-2027 upwards, with expected revenues of 95.9 billion, 117.2 billion, and 135.5 billion yuan respectively [4]. - The forecast for net profit attributable to the parent company has also been increased, with estimates of 400 million, 2.8 billion, and 4.7 billion yuan for the same period [4].

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" and is maintained [7]. Core Insights - In Q1 2025, the company achieved revenue of 15.81 billion, representing a year-on-year increase of 141.5% and a quarter-on-quarter decrease of 1.8%. The gross margin reached 15.6%, up 2.7 percentage points year-on-year and 1.1 percentage points quarter-on-quarter. The net loss was 660 million, narrowing by 700 million year-on-year, while the Non-GAAP net loss was 430 million, a reduction of 980 million year-on-year. The company's smart driving capabilities remain leading, and with a strong new vehicle cycle, combined with channel reforms and enhanced marketing systems, sales are expected to accelerate [2][4]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In Q1 2025, the automotive business generated revenue of 14.37 billion, a year-on-year increase of 159.2%, with a delivery volume of 94,000 vehicles, up 330.8% year-on-year. The average revenue per vehicle was 168,000. The delivery volume structure showed significant contributions from models MONA M03, P7+, G6, and G9, with respective deliveries of 47,000, 24,000, 13,000, and 5,600 vehicles, accounting for 50.1%, 25.4%, 14.0%, and 6.0% of total deliveries. The automotive gross margin was 10.5%, up 5.0 percentage points year-on-year and 0.4 percentage points quarter-on-quarter [4][9]. Service Revenue - The service business revenue for Q1 2025 was 1.44 billion, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 43.6% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 0.5%. The service gross margin was 66.4%, up 12.4 percentage points year-on-year and 6.8 percentage points quarter-on-quarter. The high gross margin from the service business significantly enhanced the overall service gross margin [9]. Cost and Expenses - The company experienced a significant increase in sales volume, which diluted the expense ratio. In Q1 2025, R&D expenses were 1.98 billion, up 46.7% year-on-year, with an R&D expense ratio of 12.5%. Selling and general expenses were 1.95 billion, up 40.2% year-on-year, with a selling and general expense ratio of 12.3% [9]. Future Outlook - For Q2 2025, the expected delivery volume is between 102,000 and 108,000 vehicles, representing a year-on-year increase of 237.7% to 257.5%. Expected revenue is projected to be between 17.5 billion and 18.7 billion, a year-on-year increase of 115.7% to 130.5%. The strong new vehicle cycle and continuous monthly sales growth, along with the successful launch of new models like G6 and G9, are anticipated to sustain sales momentum [9].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for XPeng Motors (09868) [1] Core Views - The company reported strong vehicle sales in Q1 2025, achieving 94,000 units sold, with year-on-year and quarter-on-quarter growth of 330.8% and 2.7% respectively [4] - Total revenue for Q1 2025 was 15.81 billion RMB, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 141.5% but a slight quarter-on-quarter decline of 1.8% [4] - The gross margin improved to 15.6%, with a year-on-year increase of 2.7 percentage points and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 1.2 percentage points [4] - The net loss for Q1 2025 was 660 million RMB, which represents a reduction in losses compared to the previous year [4] Financial Data and Profit Forecast - Revenue projections for 2025 have been revised upwards from 87.7 billion RMB to 95.9 billion RMB, with expected growth rates of 135% [5][6] - The forecast for net profit attributable to shareholders has been adjusted from 400 million RMB to 4 billion RMB for 2025, indicating a significant turnaround [5][6] - Earnings per share (EPS) is projected to be 0.23 RMB in 2025, with a net asset return rate expected to reach 1.44% [5][6] Company Performance Insights - The launch of new models, including the Mona M03 and P7+, has significantly boosted sales, with these models accounting for 75.5% of total sales in Q1 2025 [6] - The company anticipates delivering between 102,000 and 108,000 vehicles in Q2 2025, setting a new historical high [6] - The introduction of self-developed chips is expected to enhance cost control and improve profitability [6] Market Position and Competitive Landscape - The new vehicle cycle is expected to drive significant sales growth, with total sales projected to reach 550,000 units in 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 190% [6] - The company is also exploring advancements in robotics and flying vehicles, which may provide additional growth opportunities [6]

Group 1 - The Hong Kong stock market shows resilience with the Hang Seng Index rising by 1.1% and a net inflow of southbound funds amounting to HKD 18.959 billion this week, bringing the total net inflow for the year to over HKD 622.9 billion, a 1.5 times increase compared to the same period last year [1][3] - Dividend sectors, particularly banks, are favored by investors, with China Construction Bank attracting nearly HKD 6 billion in net inflows this week [1][2] - The AH share premium index has dropped to a near four-year low, with the premium of A-shares over H-shares narrowing to 31%, down from a high of 61% in 2024 [3] Group 2 - Southbound funds have shown a preference for the banking sector, with net inflows of HKD 7.196 billion, while the pharmaceutical and telecommunications sectors received net inflows of HKD 4.859 billion and HKD 3.287 billion, respectively [1][2] - Major stocks such as China Construction Bank, Meituan-W, and China Mobile saw significant net inflows, while Tencent Holdings and Alibaba-W experienced net outflows [2] - The overall sentiment in the Hong Kong market is improving, with institutions optimistic about the long-term value of Hong Kong stocks, suggesting a focus on dividend stocks as a stable investment during uncertain times [4] Group 3 - The liquidity of Hong Kong stocks has improved significantly due to the inflow of southbound and overseas funds, with the proportion of Hong Kong Stock Connect holdings increasing from 8% in September 2020 to 20% [3] - The internationalization of the Hong Kong stock market is accelerating, with significant foreign investment interest, as evidenced by the participation of non-U.S. foreign investors in major listings [4] - Analysts suggest that as the U.S. economy weakens and the dollar enters a downtrend, Hong Kong stocks are positioned to benefit from the resulting liquidity influx [4]

Core Viewpoint - The company reported better-than-expected performance in Q1 2025, driven by scale effects and effective cost control, with a revenue of 15.81 billion yuan and a Non-GAAP loss of 430 million yuan [1] Group 1: Financial Performance - Q1 revenue reached 15.81 billion yuan, with a Non-GAAP loss of 430 million yuan [1] - The gross margin improved to 15.6%, an increase of 2.7 percentage points year-on-year and 1.1 percentage points quarter-on-quarter [1] - The company delivered 94,008 vehicles in Q1, setting a new quarterly sales record [1] - Free cash flow turned positive in Q1, indicating improved financial health [1] Group 2: Product Strategy and Market Expansion - The company plans to launch several new models, including the Mona M03 Max on May 28, which features advanced smart driving capabilities [1] - Upcoming models include the G7 SUV in June and a new generation P7 luxury coupe in Q3, with plans for mass production of the Kunpeng super extended-range electric vehicle in Q4 [1] - The company aims to enhance average selling price (ASP) and profitability through competitive pricing and rich product configurations [1] Group 3: AI and Overseas Market Development - The company is developing a comprehensive AI ecosystem, with plans to launch the fifth-generation humanoid robot equipped with the Turing chip by 2026 [2] - In Q1, the company achieved over 370% year-on-year sales growth in overseas markets and opened over 40 new overseas stores [2] - The company plans to localize production for the Xiaopeng G6 and Xiaopeng X9 models in Indonesia by the second half of 2025, targeting a doubling of overseas sales for the year [2] Group 4: Profit Forecast and Valuation - Current stock prices correspond to 1.6x P/S for Hong Kong shares and 1.8x P/S for US shares in 2025 [2] - The company maintains a target price of 108 HKD for Hong Kong shares and 28 USD for US shares, indicating potential upside of 39% and 26% respectively [2]

Core Insights - Xiaopeng Motors reported a significant increase in April 2025 vehicle deliveries, with a total of 35,045 units delivered, representing a year-on-year growth of 273% and a month-on-month increase of 6% [1][2] - The company is enhancing its product lineup with the upgraded 2025 Xiaopeng X9 and P7+, which feature advanced configurations and technology, ensuring strong delivery capabilities moving forward [1][2] Delivery Performance - In April 2025, Xiaopeng Motors delivered 35,045 vehicles, marking a 273% increase year-on-year and a 6% increase month-on-month [1] - The Xiaopeng MONA M03 has achieved over 100,000 cumulative deliveries in just 8 months, while the P7+ has reached its 50,000th unit in 5 months [1] Product Development - The 2025 Xiaopeng X9 has been upgraded with new configurations, priced between 359,800 to 419,800 yuan, while the P7+ features a long-range Max flagship version equipped with advanced AI battery technology [1] - The company is set to mass-produce its Turing AI chip in Q2, enhancing its smart driving capabilities [1] Market Expansion - The 2025 Xiaopeng X9 received 6,000 orders within 7 days of its launch in mainland China, setting a record for pure electric MPVs, and over 1,500 orders in various Asia-Pacific regions [2] - Xiaopeng Motors is accelerating its global strategy, with strong product performance expected to drive sales growth [2] Financial Projections - The company forecasts vehicle sales of 524,000, 786,000, and 966,000 units for 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively, with corresponding revenues of 97.76 billion, 158.1 billion, and 197.07 billion yuan, reflecting year-on-year growth rates of 139.2%, 61.7%, and 24.7% [2] - Expected net profits for the same years are projected at 1.2 billion, 6 billion, and 9.42 billion yuan [2]