Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating for the company, marking the first coverage of the stock [8]. Core Views - The company is expected to see significant profit growth driven by new production capacity, with forecasts for net profits of 1.628 billion, 1.867 billion, and 2.138 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively [8]. - The company emphasizes investor returns, with a cash dividend of 1 yuan per share for 2024, resulting in a dividend yield of 4.61% [4][8]. - The company is actively managing its market value and has seen its second-largest shareholder increase their stake by 220 million to 440 million yuan [2]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In Q1 2025, the company reported revenue of 7.228 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 4.94% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 13.90%. However, the net profit attributable to shareholders was 311 million yuan, down 18.61% year-on-year but up 8.19% quarter-on-quarter [1][2]. Production Capacity and Projects - The company is set to launch a new phosphate mine project with an annual capacity of 4 million tons in 2025, which is expected to be a new profit growth driver [2]. - Current production capacity includes over 160,000 tons/year of yellow phosphorus and 32,000 tons/year of flame retardants, with ongoing projects to enhance these capacities [2]. Cost Management - The company has seen a decrease in its R&D expense ratio to 3.05%, while the financial expense ratio has slightly increased to 1.38% [3]. Market Position and Shareholder Engagement - The company is focused on enhancing its core competitiveness and providing consistent, high-level cash dividends to investors [7]. - The stock price is currently at 20.67 yuan, with a total market capitalization of 22.8 billion yuan [4].

Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating for the company, marking the first coverage of the stock [8]. Core Insights - The company reported a revenue of 7.228 billion yuan in Q1 2025, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 4.94% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 13.90%. However, the net profit attributable to shareholders was 311 million yuan, showing a year-on-year decline of 18.61% but a quarter-on-quarter increase of 8.19% [1]. - A new phosphate mining project with an annual capacity of 4 million tons is expected to commence production in 2025, which will serve as a new profit growth point for the company [2]. - The company is focusing on enhancing shareholder returns, with a cash dividend of 1 yuan per share for 2024, resulting in a dividend yield of 4.61% [4]. - The company has a strong market position in yellow phosphorus production, with an annual capacity exceeding 160,000 tons, and is advancing in the commercialization of black phosphorus products [2]. - The company is also managing its market value effectively, with its second-largest shareholder planning to increase holdings by 220 million to 440 million yuan [2]. Financial Summary - The company’s sales expense ratio for Q1 2025 was 0.79%, a decrease of 0.32 percentage points year-on-year and 0.90 percentage points quarter-on-quarter. The management expense ratio was 4.35%, showing a slight increase of 0.05 percentage points year-on-year but a decrease of 4.48 percentage points quarter-on-quarter. The financial expense ratio was 1.38%, up 0.09 percentage points year-on-year and 0.20 percentage points quarter-on-quarter. The R&D expense ratio was 3.05%, down 0.03 percentage points year-on-year and 2.36 percentage points quarter-on-quarter [3]. - The company forecasts net profits attributable to shareholders of 1.628 billion yuan in 2025, 1.867 billion yuan in 2026, and 2.138 billion yuan in 2027, with corresponding price-to-earnings ratios of 14.0, 12.2, and 10.7 times [8].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, indicating an expected investment return that will outperform the market benchmark by more than 15% over the next 6-12 months [12]. Core Views - The company reported a revenue of 28.396 billion yuan for 2024, a year-on-year increase of 0.41%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 1.601 billion yuan, up 14.33% year-on-year [4][6]. - The agricultural chemical market is showing signs of recovery, contributing to stable performance in profitability throughout the year [6]. - The company has adjusted its production and sales strategies, leading to significant increases in operating rates and sales volumes across its main products [9]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In Q1 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 7.228 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 4.94% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 13.90% [5]. - For Q4 2024, the company reported a revenue of 6.346 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 1.70% but a quarter-on-quarter decrease of 26.60% [8]. Product Performance - The company’s main product segments, including specialty chemicals, fertilizers, pesticides, and organic silicon, generated revenues of 5.278 billion, 4.049 billion, 5.204 billion, and 2.647 billion yuan respectively in 2024, with year-on-year growth rates of 4.97%, 12.26%, 21.50%, and 23.48% [6]. - The average market prices for key products in 2024 were as follows: glyphosate at 25,049.75 yuan/ton (down 22.96%), phosphate rock at 1,013.52 yuan/ton (up 2.36%), and DMC at 13,987.6 yuan/ton (down 6.34%) [7]. Strategic Initiatives - The company invested 1.188 billion yuan in R&D in 2024, focusing on technological innovations and project advancements to support its transition to a green chemical new materials enterprise [11]. - Key projects such as the 1 million tons/year optical selection mining project and the 200,000 tons/year phosphate rock selection project have commenced operations, enhancing the company's resource utilization [11]. Future Outlook - The company is expected to achieve net profits of 1.825 billion, 2.078 billion, and 2.366 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with corresponding P/E ratios of 13, 11, and 10 [12].

Core Viewpoint - The peroxide industry in China has shown stable growth, driven by increasing demand from downstream sectors such as chemicals, plastics, rubber, and textiles, with the market size expected to reach 14.152 billion RMB in 2024 [1][9]. Industry Definition and Classification - Peroxides are compounds containing peroxide groups (-O-O-), characterized by their ability to form covalent bonds with other atoms or groups, leading to diverse structures and properties [2]. Industry Chain Overview - The peroxide industry chain includes upstream raw material supply, midstream production, and downstream applications. Upstream involves basic chemical raw materials like hydrogen and oxygen, while midstream focuses on the production processes. Downstream applications span various sectors, including chemical reactions, textile bleaching, and environmental treatment [4][5]. Development History - The Chinese peroxide industry has evolved over 70 years, transitioning from reliance on imports to developing a domestic production system. The industry has moved from a growth phase to an innovation stage, emphasizing technological advancements and integration into emerging sectors [6][9]. Current Market Analysis - The global peroxide market is projected to reach 40.757 billion RMB in 2024, with significant growth in the Asia-Pacific region, particularly in China, which is a major consumer and producer [8][9]. China's peroxide demand is expected to reach 1.15 million tons in 2024, reflecting a 6.8% year-on-year increase [12]. Key Enterprises in the Industry - Major players include: - **LUXI Chemical**: Dominates the industrial-grade hydrogen peroxide market with a focus on low-cost production [16]. - **Strong Functional Chemicals**: Specializes in organic peroxides, leveraging safety control technologies [16]. - **Yake Technology**: Focuses on electronic-grade hydrogen peroxide, achieving a purity of ≥99.999% [18]. - **Aladdin Biochemical**: Serves the research market with high-purity peroxide products [16]. - **Satellite Chemical**: Expands into hydrogen peroxide production using by-products from ethylene projects [16]. Future Development Trends - The industry is moving towards high-end products, driven by increasing performance requirements in sectors like electronics and pharmaceuticals [20]. - There is a strong emphasis on green and environmentally friendly production methods, with a focus on reducing pollution and developing biodegradable products [21]. - Strict safety regulations are shaping the industry, necessitating enhanced safety measures and management practices [22].

基础化工 2025 年 05 月 18 日 投资评级：看好（维持） 行业走势图 数据来源：聚源 -36% -24% -12% 0% 12% 24% 2024-05 2024-09 2025-01 基础化工 沪深300 相关研究报告 《磷矿石景气高位维稳，磷肥国内外 价差可观，看好矿肥一体磷化工企业 盈利向好、分红提升—磷化工行业跟 踪点评报告》-2025.5.12 《4 月出口数据超预期，央行降准降 息，建议加大化工龙头配置—化工行 业周报》-2025.5.11 《厚积薄发，化工周期新起点—化工 行业 2025 年中期投资策略 》-2025.5.7 ——行业周报 | 金益腾（分析师） | 徐正凤（分析师） | | --- | --- | | jinyiteng@kysec.cn | xuzhengfeng@kysec.cn | | 证书编号：S0790520020002 | 证书编号：S0790524070005 | 本周行业观点：关注草甘膦供给端扰动，目前产品价格低位、盈利承压 据财联社 5 月 16 日报道，拜耳正准备一份计划，就密苏里州"农达"（Roundup） 除草剂的部分大规模诉讼达成和解，如果和解 ...

行 业 及 产 业 基础化工 2025 年 05 月 18 日 关注纺服及家电链修复，双草格局 有望改善，尿素磷肥出口放开或提 振企业盈利 看好 ——《化工周报 25/05/12-25/05/16》 证 券 研 究 报 告 证券分析师 马昕晔 A0230511090002 maxy@swsresearch.com 宋涛 A0230516070001 songtao@swsresearch.com 研究支持 邵靖宇 A0230524080001 shaojy@swsresearch.com 任杰 A0230522070003 renjie@swsresearch.com 赵文琪 A0230523060003 zhaowq@swsresearch.com 周超 A0230123090004 zhouchao@swsresearch.com 李绍程 A0230124070001 lisc@swsresearch.com 联系人 马昕晔 (8621)23297818× maxy@swsresearch.com 本研究报告仅通过邮件提供给 中庚基金 使用。1 本期投资提示： 相关研究 请务必仔细阅读正文之后的各项信息披 ...

Group 1 - The organic silicon concept rose by 1.92%, ranking 9th among concept sectors, with 28 stocks increasing in value, including Jitai Co., which hit the daily limit, and Yian Technology, Yuanxiang New Materials, and Huami New Materials, which rose by 14.40%, 11.08%, and 10.24% respectively [1] - The top gainers in the organic silicon sector included Yian Technology with a net inflow of 384 million yuan, followed by Zhongqi New Materials, Xingfa Group, and Xin'an Co., with net inflows of 87.99 million yuan, 76.39 million yuan, and 56.08 million yuan respectively [1][2] - The main funds' net inflow rates for Xin'an Co., Xingfa Group, and Yian Technology were 22.24%, 19.35%, and 16.89% respectively, indicating strong investor interest [2] Group 2 - The organic silicon sector saw a net inflow of 602 million yuan today, with 20 stocks receiving net inflows, and 6 stocks exceeding 10 million yuan in net inflows [1] - The top stocks by net inflow in the organic silicon sector were Yian Technology, Zhongqi New Materials, and Xingfa Group, with respective net inflows of 384 million yuan, 87.99 million yuan, and 76.39 million yuan [1][2] - The overall market performance showed a mixed trend, with some sectors like PEEK materials gaining 3.40% while others like the horse racing concept declining by 1.41% [1]

国内30%品位磷矿石市场均价走势（元/吨） ◎记者 刘立 今年以来，国内磷矿石市场供需延续偏紧格局。据百川盈孚消息，截至今年5月14日，国内30%品位磷 矿石均价为1020元/吨，年内涨幅为0.2%，同比上涨1.09%。 "随着新能源、节水农业等产业链下游需求的快速增长，市场对磷矿石的需求扩张迅速。为了优化成本 结构，近年来，多家磷化工企业在积极向产业链上游布局，谋求磷矿资源，从而形成上游磷矿石生产， 下游高精磷化工协同发展的一体化产业布局，以更好地支撑业绩增长。"近日，有磷化工上市公司相关 负责人对上海证券报记者表示。 国信证券在近期研报中表示，磷化工行业的景气度取决于磷矿石价格的景气度，看好磷矿石长期价格中 枢维持较高水平。 为何近两年虽然有新增产能投产，磷矿石供需仍持续偏紧？有业内人士告诉记者，近两年来，我国可开 采磷矿品位下降，开采难度和成本提升，而新增产能投放时间周期较长。截至目前，30%品位磷矿石市 场价格在900元/吨的高价区间已运行近两年。从下游应用领域和消费构成上看，超过70%的磷矿用于生 产磷肥（包括磷酸一铵、磷酸二铵以及重过磷酸钙等）。而近年来，锂电成为磷矿石消费最大的增量需 求。中国化 ...

磷矿石：价格高位维稳，各主产区有序生产，高品位矿石供应偏紧 开源证券近日发布磷化工行业跟踪点评报告：进出口方面，2024年中国进口磷矿石207 万吨，同比增加66万吨，进口均价93.9美元/吨。价格方面，据百川盈孚数据，5月9日，国 内30%、28%、25%品位磷矿石市场均价为1020、947、771元/吨，目前国内各主产区矿石生 产、运输有序运行，其中云南省矿石主要用于省内消化；贵州开阳、瓮安磷矿流通存在一定 限制；四川地区磷矿长期供应稳定，正常发运；湖北夷陵区五一期间磷矿停采，现已恢复正 常开采；北方企业长期受安全检查影响，尚未全面提产，供应能力提升空间有限。 产品端：成本支撑磷铵、饲钙价格高位，当前国际磷铵价格显著高于国内据百川盈孚数 据，2024年磷矿石下游磷肥、湿法磷酸、磷酸盐、黄磷、其他磷化物消费量占比分别为 60%、12%、11%、9%、8%。（1）磷铵：据Wind和海关总署数据，2024年，国内磷酸一 铵、磷酸二铵出口量为200、457万吨，同比-2.4%、-9.3%；出口均价为4,044、3,964元/吨， 同比+3.7%、+5.0%；当期国内磷酸一铵（55%粉状）、磷酸二铵（64%）市场均 ...

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the basic chemical industry is "Positive" (maintained) [1] Core Viewpoints - The report highlights that the price of phosphate rock remains stable at a high level, with supply tight for high-grade ores. The production of phosphate rock in China is expected to increase, with a year-on-year growth of 7.8% in 2024, reaching 113.53 million tons [4][10] - The report suggests that the profitability of integrated fertilizer companies is expected to improve due to the high price of phosphate fertilizers and the significant price difference between domestic and international markets [6] Summary by Sections Phosphate Rock Production and Pricing - In 2024, China's phosphate rock production is projected to be 113.53 million tons, an increase of 8.33 million tons year-on-year, with a growth rate of 7.8% [4][10] - The average price of domestic phosphate rock of various grades as of May 9 is 1020, 947, and 771 RMB/ton [5] Fertilizer Market Dynamics - The consumption share of phosphate fertilizers in 2024 is expected to be 60% for monoammonium phosphate, 12% for wet-process phosphoric acid, and 11% for phosphates [5] - The average market price for domestic monoammonium phosphate and diammonium phosphate is 3,140 and 3,715 RMB/ton, respectively, which is lower than the export prices [5] Profitability Outlook - The report anticipates that the profitability of integrated phosphate chemical leading companies will improve, with cash dividends expected to increase due to the high barriers to phosphate mining and stricter environmental regulations [6] - Recommended stocks include Xingfa Group, Yuntianhua, and Chuanheng Co., which have significant phosphate production capacities [6]