Investment Rating - The report maintains a positive outlook on the carbon trading market and related sectors, indicating a favorable investment environment for companies involved in power generation and environmental protection [2][9]. Core Insights - The carbon market in China is expanding, with a cumulative trading volume of 865 million tons and a total transaction value of 57.663 billion yuan as of December 31, 2025. The trading volume for the year increased by approximately 24% year-on-year, although the average transaction price fell by 19.23% to 62.36 yuan per ton [2][6]. - The report highlights the government's commitment to carbon reduction, transitioning from energy control to carbon control, which is expected to create investment opportunities in the environmental sector [9]. - Natural gas prices have decreased due to a combination of supply-demand dynamics and seasonal factors, with significant price drops observed in various markets, including a 39.20% decrease in the Henry Hub spot price [2][12]. Summary by Sections 1. Power Sector - The carbon trading market is projected to continue expanding, with key emission units increasing awareness of carbon reduction. The number of units under management reached 3,378, with significant representation from the power, steel, cement, and aluminum industries [2][6]. - Recommendations for investment include companies with stable revenue sources such as Guodian Power, Inner Mongolia Huadian, and China Huaneng, which benefit from diversified income streams [9][11]. 2. Natural Gas Sector - Natural gas prices have seen a significant decline, with the Henry Hub spot price at $4.37/mmBtu, reflecting a 39.20% week-on-week drop. The report notes that the supply-demand balance is improving, contributing to this price decrease [2][12]. - Investment recommendations include companies like Kunlun Energy and New Hope Energy, which are expected to benefit from lower upstream resource costs and improved sales volumes [34][35]. 3. Market Performance Review - The report indicates that the power equipment and gas sectors outperformed the broader market during the review period from February 2 to February 6, 2026 [37]. 4. Company and Industry Dynamics - Recent regulatory updates include the National Development and Reform Commission's notification on improving the capacity pricing mechanism for coal and gas power generation, which aims to enhance revenue recovery for power plants [39][40]. - Key company announcements include performance forecasts from major players like Datang Power and Shanghai Electric, indicating significant year-on-year profit growth [41]. 5. Valuation Tables - The report provides valuation metrics for key companies in the utility sector, with several companies rated as "Buy," indicating strong growth potential and favorable market conditions [43][44].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a rating of "Buy" for key companies in the environmental sector, including Huicheng Environmental and GaoNeng Environment [6]. Core Insights - The report emphasizes the integration of rural ecological environment governance with agricultural modernization, driven by the State Council's rural revitalization policy, which is expected to boost demand in wastewater treatment, waste disposal, and agricultural pollution prevention [10][12]. - The Guangdong province has issued a guiding announcement for hazardous waste utilization and disposal capacity construction for 2025, indicating a shift towards optimizing the structure of hazardous waste disposal, which will benefit companies focused on quality improvement in waste treatment [13][17]. - The environmental sector is currently experiencing low macroeconomic interest rates, making it an attractive investment opportunity, particularly for companies with strong cash flow and high dividend yields [2][18]. Summary by Sections Investment Views - The report highlights the release of the Central Committee and State Council's document on rural modernization, which aims to integrate ecological governance with agricultural development [10]. - The Guangdong announcement encourages investment in hazardous waste projects, focusing on resource utilization and high-end disposal [13]. - The environmental sector is positioned for a rebound as institutional holdings and valuations are at historical lows, suggesting a favorable investment environment [18]. Market Performance - The environmental sector outperformed the broader market, with a decline of only 0.18% compared to a 1.27% drop in the Shanghai Composite Index and a 3.28% drop in the ChiNext Index [23]. - Notable stock performances include Kairun Environment with a rise of 28.91% and Shuangliang Energy with an 18.22% increase, while Shenwu Energy saw a decline of 11.25% [23]. Key Companies - Huicheng Environmental is recommended for its strong position in hazardous waste projects and innovative technology in waste plastic recycling [20]. - GaoNeng Environment is highlighted for its comprehensive environmental system services and a robust pipeline of hazardous waste projects [20]. - Hongcheng Environment is noted for its consistent revenue growth and high dividend yield, making it an attractive investment option [18].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a rating of "Buy" for key companies in the environmental sector, including Huicheng Environmental and Gaoneng Environment [6][20]. Core Insights - The report emphasizes the integration of rural ecological environment governance with agricultural modernization, driven by the State Council's policy, which is expected to boost demand in rural wastewater treatment, waste disposal, and agricultural pollution prevention [10][12]. - The Guangdong Province has issued a guiding announcement for hazardous waste utilization and disposal capacity construction for 2025, indicating a shift towards optimizing the structure of hazardous waste disposal, which will benefit companies focused on solid waste treatment [13][17]. - The environmental sector is currently experiencing low macroeconomic interest rates, making it an attractive investment opportunity, particularly for companies with strong cash flow and high dividend yields [2][18]. Summary by Sections Investment Views - The report highlights the release of the Central Committee and State Council's document on rural revitalization, which aims to integrate ecological governance with agricultural modernization, thus providing a long-term trend for rural environmental services [10][12]. - The announcement from Guangdong regarding hazardous waste management encourages investment in projects that focus on resource utilization and high-end disposal, promoting a transition from scale expansion to quality improvement in the industry [13][17]. - The report notes that the environmental sector's valuation and institutional holdings are at historical lows, suggesting a potential for sustained rebounds in the sector [18]. Market Performance - The environmental sector outperformed the broader market, with a decline of only 0.18% compared to a 1.27% drop in the Shanghai Composite Index and a 3.28% drop in the ChiNext Index [23]. - Among the sub-sectors, energy-saving and air treatment segments showed positive growth, while solid waste management experienced a slight decline [23]. Key Companies - Huicheng Environmental is recognized for its strong technological capabilities and significant projects in hazardous waste management, with a focus on resource recovery from waste plastics [20]. - Gaoneng Environment is positioned as a leading player in hazardous waste resource utilization, with a robust project pipeline and a commitment to environmental system services [20]. - Hongcheng Environment is highlighted for its consistent revenue growth and high dividend yield, making it an attractive investment option in the current market [18].

Market Performance - The environmental governance sector increased by 1.66% on February 3, with Sains leading the gains [1] - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 4067.74, up 1.29%, while the Shenzhen Component Index closed at 14127.1, up 2.19% [1] Top Gainers in Environmental Governance Sector - The top-performing stocks included: - Sains (688480) with a closing price of 81.99, up 13.25% and a trading volume of 39,500 shares, totaling 313 million yuan [1] - Zhonglan Environmental (300854) at 23.62, up 7.46% with 63,300 shares traded, amounting to 148 million yuan [1] - Shanghai Xianba (603200) at 81.85, up 6.28% with 70,000 shares traded, totaling 560 million yuan [1] Decliners in Environmental Governance Sector - Notable decliners included: - Xuelang Environment (300385) at 11.34, down 1.99% with a trading volume of 250,700 shares, totaling 278 million yuan [2] - Guozhong Water (600187) at 2.12, down 1.85% with 973,700 shares traded, amounting to 206 million yuan [2] - Delinhai (688069) at 23.98, down 1.07% with 20,800 shares traded, totaling 50.4 million yuan [2] Capital Flow in Environmental Governance Sector - The environmental governance sector saw a net inflow of 130 million yuan from institutional investors, while retail investors experienced a net outflow of 54.53 million yuan [2] - The main stocks with significant capital inflow included: - Fuzhijie Technology (688335) with a net inflow of 52.43 million yuan, accounting for 13.68% of the total [3] - Huicheng Environmental (300779) with a net inflow of 36.99 million yuan, representing 7.20% [3] - Gaon Environment (603588) with a net inflow of 35.59 million yuan, making up 7.46% [3]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for key companies in the environmental sector, specifically recommending Huicheng Environmental, Gaoneng Environment, and Hongcheng Environment [3][12][15]. Core Insights - The report highlights the dual policy drive for solid waste recycling, emphasizing the benefits for leading companies in the sector due to new regulations aimed at promoting green and low-carbon development in industrial parks [1][8]. - It notes the recent decline in carbon trading prices, with the national carbon market closing at 82.00 CNY/ton, reflecting a 2.47% decrease from the previous week [1]. - The macroeconomic environment is characterized by historically low interest rates, which is expected to favor high-dividend and growth-oriented assets in the environmental sector [1][12]. Summary by Sections Investment Views - The report discusses the issuance of the "Management Measures for Ecological Civilization Construction Demonstration Zones (Ecological Industrial Parks)" by the Ministry of Ecology and Environment, which emphasizes "pollution reduction and carbon reduction synergy" as a core assessment criterion for parks [8][9]. - It also covers the implementation of the "Energy Saving Review and Carbon Emission Evaluation Implementation Measures" in Sichuan Province, which mandates carbon emission evaluations for fixed asset investment projects [11][12]. - The report suggests that the current low valuation and institutional holdings in the environmental sector indicate a potential for sustained rebounds [13]. Market Performance Review - During the week of January 26-30, the environmental sector underperformed the broader market, with a decline of 4.33%, compared to a -0.44% drop in the Shanghai Composite Index [16][25]. - Specific sub-sectors such as monitoring and water treatment experienced significant declines, with monitoring down by 6.33% [16]. Key Companies - Huicheng Environmental is noted for its strong growth potential, particularly in hazardous waste management and plastic recycling projects, with a projected EPS growth from 0.22 CNY in 2024 to 4.05 CNY in 2027 [3][15]. - Gaoneng Environment is recognized for its comprehensive environmental system solutions and is expected to benefit from increased project orders [15]. - Hongcheng Environment is highlighted for its consistent dividend payouts and robust management, with a projected EPS growth from 0.93 CNY in 2024 to 1.07 CNY in 2027 [3][15].

Investment Rating - The report provides a positive outlook on the electricity and natural gas sectors, highlighting stable revenue mechanisms and growth potential in consumption and pricing [1][10]. Core Insights - The report emphasizes the importance of a refined capacity pricing mechanism for electricity generation, which aims to stabilize revenue and ensure fair compensation for various power sources [4][6]. - It notes that natural gas consumption is expected to grow, supported by favorable weather conditions and improved economic indicators, despite short-term price fluctuations [10][29]. Summary by Sections 1. Electricity: Improved Capacity Pricing Mechanism - The National Development and Reform Commission and the National Energy Administration have issued a notification to enhance the capacity pricing mechanism for electricity generation, addressing mismatches in supply and demand within the new power system [4]. - The new mechanism aims to ensure that different types of power generation, including coal, gas, and new energy sources, receive fair compensation based on their peak supply capabilities [6][7]. - The report highlights that the refined pricing structure will lead to more predictable revenue for power generation companies, reducing volatility in earnings [7]. 2. Natural Gas: Continued Growth in Consumption - The report indicates that the apparent consumption of natural gas in China is projected to grow by 0.1% in 2025, with December consumption reaching 38.57 billion cubic meters, a year-on-year increase of 1.9% [29]. - It notes that the recent cold weather has supported high natural gas prices, with the U.S. Henry Hub spot price at $7.18/mmBtu, while European prices remain elevated due to low inventory levels and geopolitical tensions [10][12]. - The report suggests that the natural gas sector will benefit from a combination of lower costs and improved pricing mechanisms, leading to a recovery in profitability for city gas companies [31]. 3. Investment Recommendations - For coal-fired power, companies like Guodian Power and Inner Mongolia Huadian are recommended due to their stable revenue sources [8]. - Hydropower companies such as Yangtze Power and State Power Investment Corporation are highlighted for their potential to improve profit margins through reduced capital expenditures [8]. - In the nuclear sector, China National Nuclear Power and China General Nuclear Power are suggested for their growth potential as new units are approved [8]. - The report also recommends focusing on integrated natural gas companies like ENN Energy and China Gas Holdings, which are expected to benefit from lower costs and increased sales [31].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a positive outlook on the power and gas sectors, indicating a favorable investment environment due to policy improvements and market dynamics [1]. Core Insights - The report highlights the recent improvements in the capacity pricing mechanism for power generation, which aims to stabilize revenue and enhance the profitability of various power sources [6][10]. - It notes a slight increase in natural gas consumption in 2025, with a projected growth of 0.1% year-on-year, indicating a stable demand outlook for the gas sector [32]. Summary by Sections 1. Power Sector: Capacity Pricing Mechanism Improvement - The National Development and Reform Commission and the National Energy Administration have issued a notification to enhance the capacity pricing mechanism for power generation, addressing mismatches in supply and demand within the new energy system [6]. - The new mechanism introduces differentiated pricing for various types of regulatory power sources, ensuring that their capacity value is adequately compensated [7]. - A unified compensation standard for peak capacity across different power sources is established, promoting rational investment and resource allocation in the power sector [8][10]. 2. Gas Sector: Continued Growth in Natural Gas Consumption - Natural gas consumption in China is expected to reach 385.7 billion cubic meters by December 2025, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 1.9% [32]. - The report emphasizes the impact of cold weather on gas prices, with global prices remaining high, particularly in the U.S. and Europe, which supports the profitability of gas companies [13][19]. - The report suggests that the gas sector will benefit from a combination of lower costs and improved demand, particularly for city gas companies, with recommendations for several key players in the market [34]. 3. Weekly Market Review - The report notes that the public utility, power, gas, and environmental sectors underperformed relative to the Shanghai and Shenzhen 300 index during the week of January 24 to January 30, 2026 [36]. 4. Company and Industry Dynamics - As of the end of 2025, the total installed power generation capacity in China reached 3.89 billion kilowatts, a year-on-year increase of 16.1%, with significant growth in solar and wind power installations [43]. - The report includes various company announcements, highlighting performance forecasts and operational updates from key players in the energy sector [44].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Positive" investment rating for the environmental sector, consistent with the previous rating [2]. Core Insights - The production of hydrogen fuel cell vehicles is expected to grow by 44% year-on-year in 2025, with the construction of zero-carbon parks accelerating hydrogen demand [2][19]. - The report highlights the government's commitment to promoting green hydrogen development and applications, with a focus on establishing zero-carbon factories in key industries by 2027 [19][30]. - The hydrogen energy sector is experiencing significant growth, with a projected increase in the scale of electrolyzer projects by 156% in 2025, indicating a robust demand for green hydrogen [26][30]. Market Performance - As of January 30, the environmental sector has underperformed the broader market, declining by 2.78%, while the Shanghai Composite Index fell by 0.44% [3][11]. - The report notes that various sub-sectors within the environmental industry have shown mixed performance, with water management and waste treatment sectors experiencing declines [14][17]. Industry Dynamics - The Ministry of Ecology and Environment, along with other departments, has issued guidelines for the management of ecological industrial parks, emphasizing low-carbon and high-quality development [3][31]. - Recent policies aim to establish a water-saving management system for industrial enterprises, encouraging the installation of online measurement facilities for water usage [33][34]. Investment Recommendations - The report suggests that the energy-saving and environmental protection sectors, along with resource recycling, are likely to maintain high levels of prosperity during the 14th Five-Year Plan period [47]. - Key investment recommendations include companies such as Hanlan Environment, Xingrong Environment, and Hongcheng Environment, with additional attention to companies like Wangneng Environment and Junxin Co [47].

Investment Rating - The report does not explicitly state an investment rating for the industry or specific companies [3]. Core Insights - The top five sectors with the highest excess returns for long positions in January 2026 (excluding comprehensive) are Defense and Military, Communication, Agriculture, Home Appliances, and Electric Equipment & New Energy, with excess returns of 11.41%, 8.40%, 7.85%, 6.01%, and 4.98% respectively [2]. - Over the past year, the sectors with the highest average monthly excess returns (excluding comprehensive) are Real Estate, Home Appliances, Retail, Construction, and Defense and Military, with excess returns of 2.17%, 2.09%, 1.69%, 1.69%, and 1.58% respectively [2]. - The GAN_GRU factor has shown a mean Information Coefficient (IC) of 0.1107 and an annualized excess return of 22.36% from January 2019 to January 2026 [41]. - As of January 28, 2026, the latest IC for the GAN_GRU factor is 0.0003, with a one-year mean IC of 0.0553 [41]. - The top five sectors based on the recent IC performance of the GAN_GRU factor are Defense and Military, Construction, Real Estate, Banking, and Communication, with IC values of 0.3498, 0.2478, 0.2165, 0.1993, and 0.1976 respectively [41]. - The long position combination based on the GAN_GRU factor has shown the highest excess returns in the sectors of Defense and Military, Communication, Agriculture, Home Appliances, and Electric Equipment & New Energy [45]. Summary by Sections GAN_GRU Model Overview - The GAN_GRU model utilizes Generative Adversarial Networks (GAN) for processing time-series features and GRU for encoding these features into stock selection factors [4][13]. GAN_GRU Factor Performance - The GAN_GRU factor has demonstrated significant performance metrics, including a mean IC of 0.1107 and an annualized excess return of 22.36% [41]. - The recent IC rankings for various sectors indicate strong performance in Defense and Military, Construction, and Real Estate [41][45]. Long Position Combinations - The report lists the top ten stocks selected based on the GAN_GRU factor, including companies like Xinhua Insurance, Guanghong Technology, and Guangdong Expressway [50].

Core Insights - The Chinese urban water supply industry is entering a mature phase, with total water supply expected to reach 704.88 billion tons in 2024, a year-on-year increase of 2.52% [1][13]. Industry Overview - Urban water supply is a vital municipal infrastructure system consisting of water source extraction facilities, water treatment plants, and distribution networks, adhering to principles of water source development and conservation [3]. - The industry is closely linked to urbanization, with the urbanization rate in China increasing from 58.52% in 2017 to 67% in 2024, driving demand for both domestic and industrial water [8]. Supply Scale - The total length of urban water supply pipelines in China has grown from 710,200 kilometers in 2015 to 1,199,500 kilometers in 2024, with a compound annual growth rate of 6% [9][10]. - The comprehensive production capacity of urban water supply is projected to be 34.418 million cubic meters per day in 2024, with a utilization rate of 56.11%, an increase of 0.08 percentage points year-on-year [11][12]. Demand Scale - The urban water user population in China increased from 451 million in 2015 to 564 million in 2023, with a compound annual growth rate of 2.85%. However, it is expected to slightly decline to 564 million in 2024 [15]. Competitive Landscape - The urban water supply industry features a diversified competitive landscape characterized by state-owned dominance, the rise of private enterprises, and foreign investment penetration. Major players include Beijing Enterprises Water Group, Beijing Capital Eco-Environmental Protection Group, and others [16][17]. Development Trends - The industry is shifting from a focus on quantity expansion to ensuring quality and safety in water supply, emphasizing comprehensive water quality monitoring and risk management [18]. - Business models are evolving from traditional water supply to integrated water service providers, offering a range of value-added services [19]. - Value creation is transitioning from cost control to leveraging data assets and smart operations, utilizing IoT and AI for enhanced efficiency and decision-making [20].