证券代码：600489 证券简称：中金黄金 公告编号：2025-032 中金黄金股份有限公司 关于召开 2025 年第三季度业绩说明会的公告 本公司董事会及全体董事保证本公告内容不存在任何虚假记载、误导性陈述 或者重大遗漏，并对其内容的真实性、准确性和完整性承担法律责任。 重要内容提示： https://roadshow.sseinfo.com/） 会议召开方式：上证路演中心网络互动 （二） 会议召开地点：上证路演中心 （三） 会议召开方式：上证路演中心网络互动 三、 参加人员 董事长：周洲； 投资者可于 2025 年 11 月 11 日（星期二）至 11 月 17 日（星期 一）16:00 前登录上证路演中心网站首页点击"提问预征集"栏目或 通过公司邮箱 zjhj@chinagoldgroup.com 进行提问。公司将在说明会 上对投资者普遍关注的问题进行回答。 中金黄金股份有限公司（以下简称公司）已于 2025 年 10 月 30 日发布公司 2025 年第三季度报告，为便于广大投资者更全面深入地 了解公司 2025 年第三季度经营成果、财务状况，公司计划于 2025 年 11 月 18 日（星期二）9: ...

Industry Overview - The report highlights a recovery in the lithium and rare earth markets due to the easing of China-US trade relations, which is expected to support prices in the short term [6][19]. - The steel industry is facing a potential demand decline as northern regions enter the heating season, leading to increased construction site shutdowns and a tightening of supply due to environmental production restrictions [5][21]. Steel Industry - The steel PMI index for October was reported at 49.2%, indicating a slight improvement but still in contraction territory, with new orders at 47.6% [20]. - Steel production in October showed a recovery with a production index of 49.8%, but overall inventory levels increased due to a stronger supply response compared to demand [20][29]. - The average daily transaction volume of construction steel in October was 101,300 tons, a month-on-month increase of 3.19% but a year-on-year decrease of 16.08% [22]. Copper Industry - The copper market is experiencing supply constraints due to maintenance at smelters and tight anode copper supply, with a projected decrease in output for November [35][36]. - Domestic refined copper production in September was 1.266 million tons, a year-on-year increase of 11.25% [36]. - The LME copper price increased by 5.84% to $10,900 per ton, while the domestic price rose by 5.45% to 87,700 yuan per ton [36]. Aluminum Industry - Domestic electrolytic aluminum production in October increased by 1.13% year-on-year, while alumina production rose by 9.41% [43][44]. - The report anticipates that alumina prices will remain low due to increased supply from the end of the rainy season in Guinea, which may support electrolytic aluminum profitability [5][43]. - The LME aluminum price increased by 8.11% to $2,900 per ton, with domestic prices rising by 2.65% to 21,300 yuan per ton [45]. Precious Metals - The easing of US-China trade tensions has reduced safe-haven demand for gold, leading to a potential stabilization in gold prices [54][55]. - COMEX gold prices increased by 3.24% to $4,013.40 per ounce, while SHFE gold prices rose by 5.43% to 921.92 yuan per gram [55]. New Energy Metals - Lithium production in September was reported at 47,100 tons, a year-on-year increase of 47.59%, driven by strong demand in the energy storage sector [60]. - The price of battery-grade lithium carbonate increased by 8.84% to 80,000 yuan per ton, reflecting a tightening supply-demand balance [60]. - The report emphasizes the importance of regulatory trends in optimizing the lithium supply landscape, which may support price stability [58]. Cobalt Industry - Cobalt production in October showed a year-on-year increase of 19.62% for sulfate cobalt, while the price of 1 cobalt rose by 17.25% to 404,500 yuan per ton [65][66]. - The demand for cobalt is expected to remain strong due to the growth in electric vehicle production and energy storage applications [65].

Core Insights - The precious metals sector experienced a rise of 1.19% on November 6, with Zhaojin Mining leading the gains [1] - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 4007.76, up 0.97%, while the Shenzhen Component Index closed at 13452.42, up 1.73% [1] Group 1: Stock Performance - Zhaojin Mining (000506) closed at 12.58, with a gain of 3.20% and a trading volume of 384,300 shares, totaling a transaction value of 475 million yuan [1] - Shanshe International (000975) closed at 21.12, up 2.23%, with a trading volume of 231,500 shares and a transaction value of 484 million yuan [1] - Hengbang Shares (002237) closed at 13.34, increasing by 1.68%, with a trading volume of 353,300 shares and a transaction value of 467 million yuan [1] - Chifeng Jilong Gold Mining (600988) closed at 29.70, up 1.50%, with a trading volume of 303,900 shares and a transaction value of 894 million yuan [1] - Hunan Silver (002716) closed at 6.24, gaining 1.30%, with a trading volume of 719,800 shares and a transaction value of 445 million yuan [1] - Hunan Gold (002155) closed at 20.90, up 1.21%, with a trading volume of 312,400 shares and a transaction value of 648 million yuan [1] - Zhongjin Gold (600489) closed at 21.07, increasing by 1.06%, with a trading volume of 484,200 shares and a transaction value of 1.015 billion yuan [1] - Shandong Gold (600547) closed at 35.18, up 0.89%, with a trading volume of 282,500 shares and a transaction value of 987 million yuan [1] - Sichuan Gold (001337) closed at 26.98, gaining 0.63%, with a trading volume of 60,700 shares and a transaction value of 163 million yuan [1] - Xiaocheng Technology (300139) closed at 24.09, with a slight increase of 0.17%, trading 147,700 shares for a total value of 354 million yuan [1] Group 2: Capital Flow - The precious metals sector saw a net inflow of 136 million yuan from institutional investors, while retail investors experienced a net inflow of 12.4 million yuan [2] - Major stocks like Shanshe International and Zhaojin Mining had significant net inflows from institutional investors, with 82.14 million yuan and 68.59 million yuan respectively [3] - Retail investors showed a mixed trend, with some stocks like Sichuan Gold and West Gold experiencing net outflows [3]

Core Insights - The non-ferrous metal sector is experiencing an upward trend, with the National Index for Non-Ferrous Metals (399395) rising by 0.64% as of November 5, 2025, driven by strong performances from key stocks such as Vanadium Titanium Co. (000629) and Tianqi Lithium (002466) [1] Group 1: Market Performance - The non-ferrous metal sector is buoyed by the lithium battery segment, which has seen significant price increases in lithium carbonate due to robust demand from the new energy vehicle and energy storage markets [1] - The ETF for non-ferrous metals (159880) has also increased by 0.65%, reflecting the overall positive sentiment in the sector [1] Group 2: Supply and Demand Dynamics - A potential supply disruption in copper is expected to elevate price levels, with projections indicating a tight supply-demand situation for copper in 2026 [1] - The aluminum market is nearing the end of its peak season, with supply-side factors providing rigid support for price levels [1] - Tungsten prices are on the rise, with expectations of recovering export demand [1] Group 3: Lithium Market Insights - Lithium carbonate prices have shown a slight increase this week, attributed to better-than-expected demand in the downstream sector [1] - October's lithium carbonate production continued to grow, with a month-on-month increase of 6% and a year-on-year surge of 55%, indicating strong production enthusiasm within the industry [1] - Despite uncertainties in mining policies in Jiangxi, strong demand is expected to provide robust support for lithium prices, with forecasts suggesting continued price increases in November [1] Group 4: Index Composition - The National Index for Non-Ferrous Metals (399395) includes 50 prominent securities from the non-ferrous metal sector, reflecting the overall performance of listed companies in this industry [2] - The top ten weighted stocks in the index account for 52.91% of the total index, highlighting the concentration of performance among leading companies such as Zijin Mining (601899) and Ganfeng Lithium (002460) [2]

Group 1 - The core point of the new gold tax policy is the detailed management of physical gold delivery, distinguishing between "investment use" and "non-investment use," and adjusting VAT-related details to encourage on-exchange gold trading [1] - The new policy may affect three types of market participants: members and clients of the Shanghai Gold Exchange and Shanghai Futures Exchange must strictly declare the purpose of their transactions; gold investors can reduce tax burdens through exchange trading, guiding investment towards on-exchange activities; downstream businesses in the gold processing and retail industry may face increased costs, potentially passing these costs onto retail prices [1] - The policy aims to promote market-oriented gold trading, enhance transaction transparency and regulatory effectiveness, and strengthen the mechanism for separating gold investment and consumption demand [1] Group 2 - As of November 5, 2025, the CSI Gold Industry Stock Index (931238) decreased by 0.37%, with component stocks showing mixed performance; Chao Hong Ji (002345) led with a 3.68% increase, while Jiangxi Copper (600362) fell by 2.10% [2] - The gold stock ETF fund (159322) decreased by 0.27%, with a latest price of 1.5 yuan; over the past three months, the fund has accumulated a 23.64% increase, ranking 3rd among comparable funds [2] - The gold stock ETF fund has seen a net inflow of 151.11 million yuan recently, with a total of 2,112.04 million yuan in net inflows over the past 19 trading days [2] Group 3 - The gold stock ETF fund's net value increased by 36.13% over the past six months, with a maximum single-month return of 20.05% since inception [3] - The fund has a historical one-year profit probability of 100.00%, with an average monthly return of 9.45% and a monthly profit probability of 60.99% [3] - As of October 31, 2025, the fund's Sharpe ratio over the past year was 1.77, ranking in the top 2 out of 6 comparable funds [3] Group 4 - The gold stock ETF fund has a management fee rate of 0.50% and a custody fee rate of 0.10% [6] - The CSI Gold Industry Stock Index (931238) includes 50 large-cap companies involved in gold mining, smelting, and sales, with the top ten weighted stocks accounting for 67.97% of the index [6]

Core Insights - The performance of gold mining stocks has significantly improved, with 11 companies in the A-share market reporting a combined net profit exceeding 52.4 billion yuan in the first three quarters of 2025, driven by rising gold prices and increased production [2][3]. Financial Performance - In the first three quarters of 2025, the 11 gold mining companies achieved a total revenue of 545.15 billion yuan, representing an average year-on-year growth of 47%, while the net profit reached 52.43 billion yuan, with an average growth of 52% [3][4]. - All companies in the sector reported positive year-on-year growth in both revenue and net profit [3]. Key Company Highlights - Zijin Mining (601899.SH) led the sector with a revenue of 254.2 billion yuan and a net profit of 37.86 billion yuan, marking a year-on-year increase of 10.33% and 55.45% respectively [5]. - Zhaojin Mining (000506.SZ) exhibited the highest net profit growth, with a net profit increase of 191.2% year-on-year, driven by higher sales volume and prices [5][6]. - Western Gold (601069.SH) also reported substantial growth, with revenue and net profit increasing by 106.2% and 168.04% respectively [5]. Market Dynamics - The surge in gold prices, which rose by 40% in the first three quarters of 2025, has been a key factor in the strong performance of gold mining stocks, alongside increased production [6][10]. - The market is currently experiencing discussions regarding whether the benefits for gold stocks have been fully realized, with concerns about the sustainability of high profits if gold prices stabilize or decline [8][9]. Future Outlook - The new gold trading tax policy effective from November 1 is expected to have a limited impact on overall gold demand but may influence the structure of demand, potentially benefiting trading volumes in financial products [9]. - Analysts remain optimistic about the long-term support for gold prices due to macroeconomic conditions, including the ongoing inflationary environment and expectations of further interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve [10].

Core Viewpoint - The performance of gold mining stocks has significantly improved in the first three quarters of 2025, driven by rising gold prices and increased production, with total net profits exceeding 52.4 billion yuan [1][2]. Financial Performance - In the first three quarters of 2025, 11 gold mining companies reported a total revenue of 545.1 billion yuan, reflecting an average year-on-year growth of 47% [2]. - The total net profit for these companies reached 52.4 billion yuan, with an average year-on-year increase of 52% [2][3]. - All companies in the sector achieved positive year-on-year growth in both revenue and net profit [3]. Company Highlights - Zijin Mining (601899.SH) led the sector with a revenue of 254.2 billion yuan and a net profit of 37.9 billion yuan in the first three quarters, marking a year-on-year growth of 10.3% and 55.5% respectively [4]. - Zhaojin Mining (000506.SZ) exhibited the highest growth in net profit, with a third-quarter revenue of 144 million yuan, up 157%, and a net profit increase of 206.6% [5]. - Western Gold (601069.SH) also saw substantial growth, with a revenue of 10.4 billion yuan, up 106.2%, and a net profit increase of 168.0% [5]. Market Dynamics - The increase in gold mining companies' performance is attributed to a combination of rising gold prices and expanded sales volumes, creating a "volume-price synergy" effect [6]. - The London gold spot price rose by 40% in the first three quarters of 2025, with a nearly 17% increase in the third quarter alone, which has directly enhanced the profitability of gold mining operations [1][6]. Future Outlook - The gold sector is entering a transitional phase with new tax policies affecting gold trading, which may have limited impact on overall demand but could influence trading volumes of financial products [10]. - Analysts suggest that the resilience of gold mining companies' earnings is supported by improved resource reserves and cost control, indicating potential for continued profitability even if gold prices experience short-term fluctuations [9][11]. - The global central banks' continued gold purchases, with a net acquisition of 220 tons in the third quarter, provide long-term support for gold prices [11].

Core Viewpoint - The performance of gold stocks has significantly improved in the first three quarters of 2025, driven by rising gold prices and increased production, with a total net profit exceeding 52.4 billion yuan [4][6][10]. Group 1: Industry Performance - In the first three quarters of 2025, 11 gold mining companies in A-shares achieved a total revenue of 545.1 billion yuan, representing an average year-on-year growth of 47% [6][8]. - The total net profit for these companies reached 52.4 billion yuan, with an average year-on-year growth of 52% [6][8]. - All companies in the sector reported positive year-on-year growth in both revenue and net profit [7]. Group 2: Key Company Performances - Zijin Mining (601899.SH) led the sector with a revenue of 254.2 billion yuan and a net profit of 37.9 billion yuan, showing year-on-year growth of 10.33% and 55.45% respectively [8][9]. - Zhaojin Mining (000506.SZ) reported the highest growth in net profit, with a year-on-year increase of 191.2% [9]. - Western Gold (601069.SH) also saw substantial growth, with revenue increasing by 106.2% and net profit by 168.04% [9]. Group 3: Market Dynamics - The rise in gold prices, which increased by 40% in the first three quarters of 2025, has been a key factor supporting the performance of gold companies [4][10]. - The combination of high gold prices and increased sales volume has created a "volume-price rise" effect, benefiting the overall profitability of the sector [10]. - The market is currently experiencing a transition period due to fluctuations in gold prices and changes in tax policies, leading to discussions about the sustainability of high profits in gold stocks [12][13]. Group 4: Future Outlook - Analysts suggest that the recent fluctuations in gold prices are more of a short-term adjustment rather than a trend reversal, with long-term support for gold prices remaining intact [14]. - The expectation of continued interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve is anticipated to further support gold prices [15]. - The new gold trading tax policy is expected to have a limited impact on overall demand but may enhance trading volumes in financial products related to gold [13].

Core Viewpoint - The performance of gold mining stocks has significantly improved in the first three quarters of 2025, driven by rising gold prices and increased production, with total net profits exceeding 52.4 billion yuan [2][3]. Group 1: Financial Performance - In the first three quarters of 2025, 11 gold mining companies achieved a total revenue of 545.15 billion yuan, representing an average year-on-year growth of 47% [3][6]. - The total net profit for these companies reached 52.43 billion yuan, with an average year-on-year growth of 52% [3][6]. - All companies in the sector reported positive year-on-year growth in both revenue and net profit [4]. Group 2: Individual Company Highlights - Zijin Mining (601899.SH) led the sector with a revenue of 254.2 billion yuan and a net profit of 37.86 billion yuan, showing year-on-year growth of 10.33% and 55.45% respectively [6]. - Zhaojin Mining (000506.SZ) reported the highest net profit growth, with a third-quarter revenue of 144 million yuan, up 157%, and a net profit increase of 206.58% [6]. - Western Gold (601069.SH) also saw substantial growth, with a revenue of 10.4 billion yuan, up 106.2%, and a net profit increase of 168.04% [7]. Group 3: Market Dynamics - The rise in gold prices, which increased by 40% in the first three quarters of 2025, has been a key factor supporting the performance of gold mining companies [2][9]. - The increase in gold prices has led to higher profit margins in gold mining operations, while domestic demand for gold has also rebounded, contributing to increased production [9]. - Analysts suggest that the current high valuations of gold stocks, with PE ratios between 11 to 15, indicate significant room for valuation recovery compared to the historical average of around 20 [2]. Group 4: Future Outlook - The gold market is entering a transitional phase with rising uncertainties, particularly regarding the sustainability of high profits amid potential price fluctuations [10]. - Despite concerns, the fundamental resilience of gold mining companies is emphasized, with many firms improving resource reserves and cost control [10]. - The new gold trading tax policy, effective from November 1, is expected to have limited impact on overall demand but may influence trading volumes in financial products [11].

Market Overview - The 180 Resource Index (000026) closed at 5097.01 points, down 2.06%, with a trading volume of 37.188 billion yuan and a turnover rate of 0.48% [1] - Among the index constituents, 5 stocks rose while 12 stocks fell, with Northern Rare Earth leading the gainers at 0.41% and Zhongjin Gold leading the decliners at 5.18% [1] Key Constituents - The top ten constituents of the 180 Resource Index are as follows: - Zijin Mining: 18.36% weight, latest price 28.78, down 4.07%, market cap 764.902 billion yuan [1] - China Shenhua: 9.55% weight, latest price 43.52, up 0.23%, market cap 864.678 billion yuan [1] - Northern Rare Earth: 8.76% weight, latest price 49.10, up 0.41%, market cap 177.5 billion yuan [1] - Luoyang Molybdenum: 8.16% weight, latest price 15.73, down 3.91%, market cap 336.532 billion yuan [1] - China Petroleum: 7.07% weight, latest price 9.57, up 0.10%, market cap 1751.511 billion yuan [1] - Huayou Cobalt: 6.52% weight, latest price 59.90, down 4.66%, market cap 113.576 billion yuan [1] - Shaanxi Coal and Chemical: 6.00% weight, latest price 23.55, down 0.46%, market cap 228.317 billion yuan [1] - Sinopec: 5.44% weight, latest price 5.58, up 0.18%, market cap 676.171 billion yuan [1] - China Northern Rare Earth: 5.40% weight, latest price 9.85, down 3.15%, market cap 168.983 billion yuan [1] - Shandong Gold: 4.44% weight, latest price 34.33, down 3.81%, market cap 158.259 billion yuan [1] Capital Flow - The net outflow of main funds from the index constituents totaled 3.896 billion yuan, while speculative funds saw a net inflow of 262 million yuan, and retail investors had a net inflow of 3.634 billion yuan [1] - Detailed capital flow for key stocks includes: - China Shenhua: Main net inflow 67.0535 million yuan, retail net outflow 38.7539 million yuan [2] - Zhongjin Gold: Main net outflow 72.2332 million yuan, retail net inflow 206 million yuan [2] - Shaanxi Coal: Main net outflow 39.2571 million yuan, retail net inflow 2.2441 million yuan [2] ETF Information - The Gold Stock ETF (Product Code: 159562) tracks the CSI Hong Kong and Shanghai Gold Industry Index, with a recent five-day change of -3.10% and a P/E ratio of 23.23 times [4] - The latest share count is 1.26 billion, with an increase of 9 million shares, and a net outflow of main funds amounting to 57.747 million yuan [4]