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有色金属周报20251213:国内外财政+货币共振,金属价格继续上行-20251213
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for all key companies listed, including Zijin Mining, Luoyang Molybdenum, and Huayou Cobalt [2][4]. Core Views - The report highlights that the metal prices are expected to continue rising due to the resonance of domestic and foreign fiscal and monetary policies, with a focus on the upcoming economic growth under the "14th Five-Year Plan" [8][21]. - The report emphasizes the strong demand in the lithium battery sector and the ongoing supply constraints in cobalt, indicating a bullish outlook for energy metals [8][83]. Summary by Sections Industry and Stock Performance - The report notes a decline in the Shanghai Composite Index by 0.34% and a 1.10% drop in the SW Nonferrous Index during the week [8]. - Key stocks in the nonferrous metal sector showed varied performance, with significant recommendations for companies like Zijin Mining and Luoyang Molybdenum [2][11]. Base Metals - Aluminum prices decreased by 0.88% to $2875 per ton, while copper prices fell by 0.96% to $11552.5 per ton, with zinc prices increasing by 1.31% to $3139 per ton [12][21]. - The report indicates that the domestic aluminum production capacity is stable at 44.39 million tons, with a slight increase in operational capacity due to high profits [21][23]. Precious Metals - Gold prices increased by 2.42% to $4329.80 per ounce, and silver prices rose by 5.59% to $62.09 per ounce, driven by the Federal Reserve's interest rate cuts [12][68]. - The report suggests a bullish outlook for gold and silver prices, supported by central bank purchases and weakening dollar credit [68][69]. Energy Metals - The lithium market is experiencing stable growth in supply, while demand from the energy storage sector continues to rise, leading to a positive outlook for lithium prices [8][83]. - Cobalt supply remains tight, with the Congo's cobalt export quotas expected to impact the market dynamics positively [8][83]. Other Minor Metals - The report discusses the fluctuations in prices for minor metals, including molybdenum and tungsten, with significant price increases noted for tungsten [15][83]. - The overall sentiment in the minor metals market remains cautious, with a focus on supply-demand dynamics and policy changes [55][85].
中金黄金(600489) - 中金黄金股份有限公司2025年第二次临时股东大会会议资料
2025-12-12 09:15
中金黄金股份有限公司 2025 年第二次临时股东大会 会议资料 2025 年 12 月 中金黄金股份有限公司 2025 年第二次临时股东大会会议议程 一、会议时间 (四)议案审议: 现场会议召开时间:2025 年 12 月 22 日(星期一)14:30。 网络投票时间:采用上海证券交易所网络投票系统,通 过交易系统投票平台的投票时间为 2025 年 12 月 22 日(星期 一)的交易时间段,即 9:15-9:25,9:30-11:30,13:00-15:00; 通过互联网投票平台的投票时间为 2025 年 12 月 22 日(星期 一)的 9:15-15:00。 二、现场会议地点 北京市东城区安外大街 9 号中国黄金大厦。 三、会议召集人 中金黄金股份有限公司(以下简称公司)董事会。 四、现场会议议程 (一)会议主持人宣布会议开始; (二)会议主持人宣布到会股东及股东授权代表人数和 持有股份数,说明授权委托情况,介绍到会人员; (三)宣读公司 2025 年第二次临时股东大会会议须知; 1.审议《关于修订<中金黄金股份有限公司章程>的议案》 1 2.审议《关于修订<中金黄金股份有限公司股东大会议事 规则>的议 ...
供应紧约束,有色资源品有望步入长牛:有色金属行业2026年度投资策略
Huachuang Securities· 2025-12-12 06:46
Group 1: Precious Metals - The report emphasizes the long-term allocation value of precious metals, particularly gold, supported by central bank purchases and a weakening dollar credit system [10][11][44] - Gold demand is expected to remain strong due to central bank purchases, with a total of 219.85 tons purchased in Q3 2025, marking a historical high [18][20] - Silver is projected to experience strong price momentum due to persistent supply-demand gaps and low domestic inventory levels [28][39] Group 2: Copper - The copper mining sector is expected to maintain low growth rates, with a projected supply shortage in 2026 due to ongoing mining and smelting conflicts [12][45] - Global copper production is anticipated to increase by approximately 10,000 tons, 70,000 tons, and 84,000 tons from 2025 to 2027, while smelting capacity is expected to rise by 217,000 tons, 100,000 tons, and 20,000 tons respectively [12][47] - The report suggests focusing on leading companies in the copper sector, such as Zijin Mining and Jiangxi Copper, as supply tightens [2][12] Group 3: Aluminum - The aluminum market is expected to maintain a tight balance, with domestic production growth rates projected at 2.2%, 1.4%, and 0.4% from 2025 to 2027 [3][13] - Demand for aluminum remains resilient, driven by investments in new energy and power grids, with a projected domestic demand growth of 2.6%, 1.0%, and 3.6% over the same period [3][13] - The report highlights the importance of high dividend stocks in the aluminum sector, recommending companies like China Hongqiao and Tianshan Aluminum [3][13] Group 4: Cobalt - The cobalt supply chain is being reshaped by policies in the Democratic Republic of Congo, leading to a significant reduction in global supply, with projections of only 96,600 tons contributed annually from 2026 to 2027 [4][14] - Demand for cobalt is expected to grow, particularly in high-end electric vehicles and solid-state batteries, with a projected global shortage of 32,000 tons and 31,000 tons in 2026 and 2027 respectively [4][14] - Companies benefiting from cobalt price elasticity, such as Huayou Cobalt and Luoyang Molybdenum, are recommended for investment [4][14]
全球央行购金潮持续发酵,黄金股票ETF基金(159322)涨超2%
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-12-12 05:51
近期,美联储降息落地、全球央行持续增持黄金与市场配置需求升温,黄金资产的战略配置价值进一步凸显。 12月11日凌晨,美联储如期完成年内第三次降息,宣布下调联邦基金利率25个基点至 3.50%-3.75%,累计降息幅度达 75 个基点。美联储主席鲍威尔在新闻 发布会上释放偏鸽信号,明确 "加息并非基准预期",同时宣布美元短期国债购买计划,向市场注入流动性。系列操作直接推动美元指数显著走弱,美债收 益率同步下行,显著降低黄金资产持有成本,为金价上行打开空间。 全球央行的持续增持则为黄金资产筑牢长期支撑。截至11月末,中国央行已连续13个月增持黄金。全球维度看,尽管央行购金规模未及过去三年峰值,但仍 远高于历史平均水平,波兰、巴西等国央行同步加仓,形成全球范围的购金热潮,进一步强化了黄金的储值属性。 市场端,在债券回报疲软、股市泡沫隐忧并存的背景下,投资者为寻求组合多元化配置,加大黄金资产布局。 黄金股票ETF基金紧密跟踪中证沪深港黄金产业股票指数,中证沪深港黄金产业股票指数从内地与香港市场中,选取50只市值较大且业务涉及黄金采掘、冶 炼、销售的上市公司证券作为指数样本,以反映内地与香港市场中黄金产业上市公司证券的 ...
A股午评:沪指微跌0.04%、创业板指涨0.6%,商业航天及电网设备股走高,算力硬件概念股活跃
Jin Rong Jie· 2025-12-12 03:41
12月12日,A股三大股指早盘小幅下跌后震荡走高,截止午盘,沪指跌0.04%报3871.78点,深成指涨 0.57%报13222.51点,创业板指涨0.6%报3182.68点,科创50指数涨0.72%报1335.41点;沪深两市半日成 交额1.24万亿,全市场超3200只个股上涨。 板块方面,电网设备、贵金属、商业航天等板块涨幅居前,零售、海南、港口航运等板块跌幅居前。盘 面热点快速轮动,商业航天概念延续强势,再升科技等十余股涨停;算力硬件概念表现活跃,联特科技 20cm涨停;电网设备概念快速拉升,中国西电、中能电气等多股涨停。零售概念集体下挫,中央商场 跌停。 热门板块 贵金属反复走强 贵金属反复走强,晓程科技领涨,中金黄金、西部黄金、山金国际等跟涨。 消息面上,美联储12月10日如期降息25个基点,并启动新一轮短期国债购买计划,强化市场流动性宽松 预期,提振贵金属避险需求。此外,白银期货库存持续偏低,工业应用需求受光伏、AI及新能源产业 扩张驱动,加剧供需紧张格局,现货紧张加剧推升银价创历史新高。 商业航天概念活跃 商业航天概念反复走强,华菱线缆、中超控股2连板,东方通信、长城电工涨停,超捷股份、创远信 ...
铜、银双双再创新高!紫金矿业涨超1%,有色50ETF(159652)连续4日强势吸金超2亿元,资金盘中再度出手!2026年有色金属怎么看,一文读懂!
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-12-12 03:02
12月12日,有色板块开盘领衔冲高,此后红盘震荡!截至10:26,有色50ETF(159652)涨0.26%,早盘一度涨超1%,资金盘中延续流入趋势,有色50ETF (159652)盘中获100万份净申购,以盘中成交均价计算,合计净流入超150万元!截至12月11日,有色50ETF(159652)已连续4日获净申购累计超2亿元, 加上今日,有色50ETF(159652)已经获资金连续5日涌入! 有色50ETF(159652)标的指数成分股涨跌不一,中金黄金、山东黄金等涨超2%,紫金矿业、中国铝业等涨超1%,赣锋锂业、天齐锂业等跌超3%,华友钴 业等跌超2%,北方稀土等回调。 | 序号 | 代码 | 名称 | 申万一级行业 | 涨跌幅 | 估算权重 ▼ | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 1 | 601899 | 紫金矿业 | 有色金属 | 1.49% | 15.99% | | 2 | 603993 | 洛阳钼业 | 有色金属 | 0.52% | 6.16% | | 3 | 600111 | 北方稀土 | 有色金属 | -1.09% | 5.99% | | 4 | ...
有色金属ETF(512400.SH)涨1.14%,中金黄金涨3.49%
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-12-12 02:49
12月12日,沪深两市震荡调整,有色金属、食品饮料板块涨幅居前。截至10点,有色金属 ETF(512400.SH)涨1.14%,中金黄金涨3.49%。 国元证券分析指出:工业金属方面,铜铝供需矛盾凸显,短期主产区扰动及长期资本开支不足抑制供给 释放,新能源、基建等需求韧性支撑价格中枢上行;贵金属方面,美联储降息预期升温叠加地缘政治风 险催化,白银受益于金融属性与工业需求(光伏、电子)双重驱动,供需缺口扩大使其弹性优于黄金。 稀土及新能源金属方面,国内产业政策扶持叠加下游新能源车、储能等高景气赛道拉动,镨钕、碳酸锂 等价格企稳回升,中长期成长空间明确。综合来看,海外流动性宽松预期及国内经济复苏共振,行 业"资源稀缺性+需求成长性"逻辑强化,涵盖工业金属、贵金属及新能源材料的有色金属 ETF(512400.SH)有望持续受益于板块景气度提升,配置价值显著。 昨日凌晨,美联储货币政策委员会FOMC会后公布,降息25个基点,将联邦基金利率目标区间下调至 3.50%–3.75%。这是美联储继9月17日、10月29日降息后年内的第三次降息,幅度均为25个基点。会议 声明指出经济温和扩张,就业增长放缓、失业率小幅上升,通胀 ...
A股三大指数集体转绿,摩尔线程跌15%,贵金属逆市大涨
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-12-12 02:36
贵金属板块集体高开,晓程科技涨超8%,中金黄金、山金国际、招金黄金、西部黄金、山东黄金等跟涨。 【大河财立方 记者 王鑫】12月12日,A股三大股指开盘涨跌不一,沪指低开0.1%,深证成指涨0.21%,创业板指涨0.29%。 | 全A | | 涨 3106 平 253 | 跌 2094 | A股成交额 | | 5975.8亿 | 沪深300期 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 序号 | 代码 | 名称 | 现价 | 涨跌 | 涨跌幅 | 成交额 | 年初至今 | | 1 | 000001 | 上证指数 | 3856.76 | -16.56 | -0.43% | 2406亿 | 15.07% | | 2 | 399001 | 深证成指 | 13124.15 | -23.23 | -0.18% | 3481亿 | 26:02% | | 3 | 899050 | THESO | 1457.31 | 14.14 | 0.98% | 887 | 40.42% | | 4 | 881001 | 万得全A | 6214.99 | -4.39 | -0 ...
有色金属股普涨,锡业股份、西部矿业涨超3%
Ge Long Hui· 2025-12-12 01:53
12月12日,A股市场有色金属股普涨,其中,锡业股份、国城矿业、驰宏锌锗、西部矿业涨超3%,金 诚信、中金岭南、中金黄金、上大股份、山金国际、云铝股份涨超2%。 责任编辑:栎树 股票频道更多独家策划、专家专栏,免费查阅>> | 代码 | 名称 | | 涨幅% ↓ | 总市值 | 年初至今涨幅%。 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 000960 | 锡业股份 | 1 | 3.49 | 429亿 | 89.59 | | 000688 | 国城矿业 | 1 | 3.42 | 283亿 | 103.45 | | 600497 | 驰宏锌猪 | | 3.41 | 337亿 | 23.51 | | 601168 | 西部矿业 | 兼 | 3.00 | 613亿 | 70.38 | | 603979 | 金诚信 | | 2.87 | 432亿 | 92.53 | | 000060 | 中金岭南 | 泰 | 2.67 | 239亿 | 17.24 | | 600489 | 中金黄金 | | 2.66 | 1085亿 | 91.05 | | 301522 | 上大股份 | 1 ...
A股有色金属股普涨,锡业股份、西部矿业涨超3%
Ge Long Hui· 2025-12-12 01:51
格隆汇12月12日|A股市场有色金属股普涨,其中,锡业股份、国城矿业、驰宏锌锗、西部矿业涨超 3%,金诚信、中金岭南、中金黄金、上大股份、山金国际、云铝股份涨超2%。 ...