Core Viewpoint - The A-share market shows a mixed trend with the non-ferrous sector experiencing upward fluctuations, particularly highlighted by the performance of the Non-Ferrous 50 ETF (159652), which has seen significant inflows and a year-to-date increase of 70.77% [4][6]. Group 1: Market Performance - As of November 28, the Non-Ferrous 50 ETF (159652) rose by 1.64%, with a peak increase of over 2%, attracting net subscriptions of 900,000 units, amounting to over 13 million yuan [1]. - The majority of the constituent stocks of the Non-Ferrous 50 ETF have shown strong performance, with notable increases such as Yahua Group rising over 5% and Huayou Cobalt and Chifeng Jilong Gold increasing over 3% [3][5]. Group 2: Industry Insights - Yahua Group announced a lithium salt production capacity of 99,000 tons, with an additional 30,000 tons production line expected to be operational by the end of 2025 [6]. - The exploration project in Songpan County has identified an additional gold resource of 28.24 tons, bringing the total to 81.06 tons, valued at over 76 billion yuan [6]. Group 3: Investment Outlook - Analysts express a positive outlook for the non-ferrous sector, with Citic Securities indicating that the sector is poised for further advancement [6]. - The financial attributes of metals like gold and copper are expected to strengthen due to declining real interest rates and increasing inflation expectations, making them attractive as inflation hedges [8][11]. - The supply-demand dynamics for copper and aluminum are expected to improve, driven by new demand from sectors like AI and renewable energy, suggesting a bullish trend for these metals [7][13]. Group 4: ETF Characteristics - The Non-Ferrous 50 ETF (159652) has a high concentration of key metals, with copper accounting for 33% and gold for 13%, making it a leading choice in the sector [17]. - The ETF has demonstrated superior performance since 2022, with a cumulative return that outpaces its peers while maintaining a reasonable valuation, as indicated by a PE ratio of 23.74, down 61% from five years ago [19].

Investment Strategy Overview - The report emphasizes that gold prices are expected to rise due to the anticipated interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve, with a potential reduction of about 75 basis points. This is supported by increasing global ETF demand and stable industrial demand for gold [5][6][8]. - The copper market is projected to face a supply shortage in 2026, driven by the growing demand from renewable energy sectors and AI developments, while supply constraints arise from declining ore grades and geopolitical risks [6][8]. - Tungsten is highlighted for its strategic importance, particularly in high-tech and defense sectors, with strong demand expected from automation and military spending, while supply remains tight due to China's control over production [7][8]. - Cobalt supply is anticipated to decrease significantly due to export restrictions from the Democratic Republic of Congo, while demand from electric vehicle batteries and portable devices is expected to grow, leading to a widening supply gap [8][8]. Industry Performance Review - The steel industry index increased by 22.24% from December 31, 2024, to November 21, 2025, outperforming the CSI 300 index by 9.05 percentage points. The steel sub-sectors showed varied performance, with special steel and common steel experiencing growth [19][20]. - The non-ferrous metals industry index surged by 65.71% during the same period, significantly outperforming the CSI 300 index by 52.53 percentage points, indicating strong overall sector performance [19][20]. - In terms of revenue, the steel industry reported a total of 14,252.05 billion yuan in the first three quarters of 2025, reflecting a year-on-year decline of 6.18%, but with a notable recovery in net profit [27][34]. - The non-ferrous metals sector achieved a revenue of 28,220.96 billion yuan in the same period, marking a year-on-year growth of 9.30%, with substantial increases in net profit across various sub-sectors [34][38]. Key Recommendations - The report recommends maintaining an "overweight" rating on companies such as Zhongjin Gold, Zijin Mining, Luoyang Molybdenum, and Huayou Cobalt, reflecting confidence in their performance amid favorable market conditions [3][11].

Industry Overview and Price Trends - The steel industry is entering a demand off-season, leading to increasing fundamental pressure on steel prices, which are expected to fluctuate at low levels in the short term [2] - Copper supply remains tight due to accidents at major overseas mines, providing support for copper prices. China's significant waste copper imports may face constraints if the EU restricts exports, potentially tightening domestic copper supply next year [2] - Aluminum prices are expected to remain volatile due to weak demand in the domestic off-season and a lack of support from the Federal Reserve's interest rate cut expectations [2] - Gold prices face upward pressure due to better-than-expected U.S. non-farm employment data and diverging opinions among Federal Reserve officials [2] - The lithium industry shows positive fundamentals, with adjustments to trading rules for lithium carbonate contracts aimed at curbing speculative behavior, leading to increased price volatility in the short term [2] - Rare earth prices are expected to fluctuate without significant improvement in downstream demand [2] Weekly Strategy - For the steel industry, the implementation of steady growth policies is expected to improve the competitive landscape and enhance profitability, with demand in shipbuilding and construction likely to increase [3] - The copper industry is anticipated to benefit from tightening global supply due to accidents at major mines, while demand is expected to rise in key sectors such as electric power grids and new energy vehicles [3] - In the aluminum sector, the release of new alumina project capacities is expected to keep alumina prices low, while demand from new energy vehicles and high-voltage power grids may support aluminum prices [4] - Gold prices will be influenced by U.S. economic data, Federal Reserve interest rate expectations, and geopolitical tensions, with long-term factors such as central bank gold purchases enhancing gold's attractiveness [4] - The rare earth industry is expected to see a revaluation of related companies due to upgraded export controls, with strategic value in resources and advancements in robotics and new energy sectors driving future demand [4] - The cobalt market is projected to remain tight due to constrained supply from the Democratic Republic of Congo, while demand from new energy vehicles and consumer electronics is expected to support prices [5] Investment Ratings - The report maintains a "positive" rating for the steel industry and the non-ferrous metals sector, with specific companies such as Luoyang Molybdenum (603993), Zhongjin Gold (600489), Huayou Cobalt (603799), Zijin Mining (601899), and China Aluminum (601600) receiving "overweight" ratings [6]

Core Viewpoint - 中金黄金's stock price has shown significant growth this year, with a year-to-date increase of 93.44%, despite a slight decline in the recent trading days [1][2]. Financial Performance - For the period from January to September 2025, 中金黄金 achieved a revenue of 53.976 billion yuan, representing a year-on-year growth of 17.23%. The net profit attributable to shareholders was 3.679 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 39.18% [2]. - Cumulatively, 中金黄金 has distributed a total of 8.875 billion yuan in dividends since its A-share listing, with 5.191 billion yuan distributed over the past three years [3]. Shareholder Information - As of September 30, 2025, 中金黄金 had 149,300 shareholders, an increase of 9.02% from the previous period. The average number of circulating shares per shareholder was 32,458, which decreased by 8.27% [2]. - The top ten circulating shareholders include significant institutional investors, with Hong Kong Central Clearing Limited being the third-largest shareholder, holding 97.9064 million shares, a decrease of 57.3296 million shares from the previous period [3].

【导读】中国黄金集团香港有限公司原党委书记、总经理童军虎被开除党籍 最新反腐通报来了！ 11月25日，金华市纪委监委官网通报：中国黄金（600916）集团香港有限公司原党委书记、总经理童军虎被开除党籍。 依据《中国共产党纪律处分条例》《中华人民共和国监察法》等有关规定，经中国黄金集团有限公司党委研究，决定给予童军虎开除党籍处分；按规定取 消其享受的待遇；收缴其违纪违法所得；金华市监委将其涉嫌犯罪问题移送检察机关依法审查起诉，所涉财物一并移送。 日前，中国黄金集团有限公司纪委、浙江省金华市监委对中国黄金集团香港有限公司原党委书记、总经理童军虎涉嫌严重违纪违法问题进行了纪律审查和 监察调查。 经查，童军虎存在以下问题： ●身为党员领导干部，丧失理想信念，背弃初心使命，无视中央八项规定精神，违规收受可能影响公正执行公务的礼品，违规接受管理服务对象宴请； ●违反组织原则，利用职权在职工录用工作中为亲属谋取利益； ●廉洁底线失守，违规经商办企业，违规兼职取酬； 公开信息显示，童军虎出生于1963年，研究生学历，教授级高级工程师，澳大利亚采矿和冶金学会授权会员。2009年7月至2018年10月，童军虎曾在中金 黄金（60 ...

Group 1 - The Xiaokang Index (399901) closed at 6257.67 points, up 0.8%, with a trading volume of 84.388 billion yuan and a turnover rate of 0.58% [1] - Among the constituent stocks, 69 stocks rose, with Zhongjin Gold leading with a 4.15% increase, while 23 stocks fell, with China Merchants Energy leading the decline at 1.99% [1] - The top ten constituent stocks of the Xiaokang Index include China Unicom, Geely Automobile, and China State Construction, with weights of 4.87%, 4.80%, and 4.03% respectively [1] Group 2 - The net inflow of main funds into the Xiaokang Index constituent stocks totaled 1.307 billion yuan, while retail investors experienced a net outflow of 1.477 billion yuan [1] - Detailed fund flow data shows that Huayou Cobalt had a net inflow of 30 million yuan from main funds, while China Aluminum saw a net outflow of 70.641 million yuan from retail investors [2] - The fund flow analysis indicates a mixed sentiment among different investor types, with main funds showing interest in certain stocks while retail investors are withdrawing [2]

证券之星消息，11月25日，上证F200（000098）指数报收于5460.31点，涨0.79%，成交1643.15亿元，换手率0.44%。当日该指数成份股中，上涨 的有126家，中金黄金以4.15%的涨幅领涨，下跌的有59家，南钢股份以2.86%的跌幅领跌。 上证F200（000098）指数十大成份股详情如下： | 代码 | 名称 | 主力净流入(元) | 主力净占比 游资净流入 (元) | | 游资净占比 散户净流入(元) | | 散户净占比 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 603799 | 华友钻业 | 3.00 Z | 6.98% | -4634.49万 | -1.08% | -2.54 Z- | -5.90% | | 601988 | 中国银行 | 2.18亿 | 8.09% | -1.16 Z | -4.31% | -1.02 Z | -3.79% | | 601600 中国铝业 | | 2.08亿 | 7.71% | -7064.11万 | -2.62% | -1.37 Z | -5.08% | | 601398 | 工 ...

Core Points - The Shanghai Investment Products Index (000102) closed at 7120.52 points, up 0.92%, with a trading volume of 58.14 billion yuan and a turnover rate of 1.12% [1] - Among the index constituents, 33 stocks rose, led by Zhongjin Gold with a 4.15% increase, while 14 stocks fell, with Samsung Medical leading the decline at 1.88% [1] Index Constituents Summary - The top ten constituents of the Shanghai Investment Products Index include: - Yinghui Mining (6.27% weight, 28.51 yuan, 1.82% increase, market cap 757.73 billion yuan) in the non-ferrous metals sector - China Shipbuilding (5.26% weight, 34.93 yuan, 1.58% decrease, market cap 262.87 billion yuan) in the defense industry - Northern Rare Earth (5.01% weight, 45.05 yuan, 0.47% increase, market cap 162.86 billion yuan) in the non-ferrous metals sector - Jiangqi Green Energy (4.99% weight, 18.98 yuan, 1.17% increase, market cap 143.83 billion yuan) in the power equipment sector - Longzhi Aluminum Industry (4.67% weight, 15.97 yuan, 4.04% increase, market cap 341.67 billion yuan) in the non-ferrous metals sector - Sany Heavy Industry (4.48% weight, 20.44 yuan, 0.34% decrease, market cap 186.13 billion yuan) in the machinery sector - China Shenhua (3.91% weight, 41.20 yuan, no change, market cap 818.58 billion yuan) in the coal sector - TBEA (3.86% weight, 22.07 yuan, 2.56% increase, market cap 111.52 billion yuan) in the power equipment sector - Guodian NARI (3.79% weight, 22.19 yuan, 0.18% increase, market cap 178.23 billion yuan) in the power equipment sector - Huayou Cobalt (3.73% weight, 60.51 yuan, 3.97% increase, market cap 114.73 billion yuan) in the non-ferrous metals sector [1] Capital Flow Analysis - The net inflow of main funds into the index constituents totaled 1.055 billion yuan, while speculative funds saw a net outflow of 631 million yuan, and retail investors experienced a net outflow of 424 million yuan [1] - Specific stocks with significant capital flow include: - Huayou Cobalt with a net inflow of 300 million yuan, but speculative and retail outflows of 46.34 million yuan and 25.4 million yuan respectively - China Aluminum with a net inflow of 208 million yuan, but speculative and retail outflows of 70.64 million yuan and 13.7 million yuan respectively - TBEA with a net inflow of 179 million yuan, but speculative and retail outflows of 62.93 million yuan and 11.6 million yuan respectively [2]

Core Points - The 180 Resource Index (000026) closed at 5063.06 points, up 1.41%, with a trading volume of 27.601 billion yuan and a turnover rate of 0.35% [1] - Among the index constituents, 15 stocks rose, with Zhongjin Gold leading at a 4.15% increase, while Sinopec led the decline with a 0.68% drop [1] Index Constituents Summary - The top ten constituents of the 180 Resource Index include: - Zijin Mining: 18.36% weight, latest price 28.51, market cap 757.726 billion yuan, up 1.82% [1] - China Shenhua: 9.55% weight, latest price 41.20, market cap 818.583 billion yuan, unchanged [1] - Northern Rare Earth: 8.76% weight, latest price 45.05, market cap 162.859 billion yuan, up 0.47% [1] - Luoyang Molybdenum: 8.16% weight, latest price 15.97, market cap 341.667 billion yuan, up 4.04% [1] - China Petroleum: 7.07% weight, latest price 9.80, market cap 1793.606 billion yuan, up 0.20% [1] - Huayou Cobalt: 6.52% weight, latest price 60.51, market cap 114.733 billion yuan, up 3.97% [1] - Shaanxi Coal and Chemical: 6.00% weight, latest price 22.70, market cap 220.076 billion yuan, up 0.35% [1] - Sinopec: 5.44% weight, latest price 5.80, market cap 702.312 billion yuan, down 0.68% [1] - China Aluminum: 5.40% weight, latest price 10.55, market cap 180.992 billion yuan, up 0.57% [1] - Shandong Gold: 4.44% weight, latest price 35.60, market cap 164.113 billion yuan, up 2.53% [1] Capital Flow Analysis - The net inflow of main funds into the index constituents totaled 812 million yuan, while retail funds saw a net outflow of 269 million yuan [1] - Detailed capital flow for key stocks includes: - Huayou Cobalt: 30 million yuan net inflow from main funds, 463.449 million yuan net outflow from retail [2] - China Aluminum: 208 million yuan net inflow from main funds, 706.411 million yuan net outflow from retail [2] - Sinopec: 80.574 million yuan net inflow from main funds, 41.076 million yuan net outflow from retail [2]

Core Viewpoint - The non-ferrous metals sector is experiencing significant gains, with the leading non-ferrous metals ETF (159876) seeing a peak increase of 2.7% and currently up by 1.88%, indicating strong market confidence in the sector's future performance [1][4]. Fund Performance - The non-ferrous metals ETF (159876) has attracted a total of 213 million yuan in the past 10 days, reflecting positive investor sentiment towards the sector [1]. - As of November 24, the ETF's latest scale reached 676 million yuan, making it the largest among three ETFs tracking the same index in the market [1]. Stock Performance - Key stocks within the ETF have shown strong performance, with Huaxi Nonferrous Metals hitting the daily limit, and other stocks like Western Gold, Xiyang Co., and Zhongjin Gold rising over 4% [3][4]. Market Outlook - Institutions are optimistic about the continuation of a bull market in the non-ferrous metals sector. Zhongtai Securities is particularly bullish on a comprehensive bull market, while CITIC Securities anticipates sustained investment interest in commodities [4][5]. - Three main investment themes are highlighted: 1. Industrial metals like copper and aluminum, which are expected to benefit from supply constraints and recovering demand. 2. Energy metals such as lithium and cobalt, which are poised to gain from the explosive demand in energy storage and power batteries. 3. Strategic assets like gold and rare earths [4][5]. Investment Strategy - A diversified investment approach through the non-ferrous metals ETF (159876) and its associated funds is recommended to capture the overall sector's beta performance while mitigating risks associated with investing in single metal industries [5].