（责任编辑：康博） 中国经济网北京9月1日讯 中金黄金(SH:600489)今日股价涨停，截至收盘报17.57元，涨幅10.02%， 总市值851.67亿元。 ...

Market Overview - The A-share market shows a positive trend, with the ChiNext index leading the charge, rising by 2.29% [1] - Major indices closed in the green, with the ChiNext performing particularly well, while the Shanghai Composite Index showed a more stable increase [3] - Total trading volume decreased by over 500 billion compared to the previous day, indicating a more cautious and selective approach from investors [3] Sector Performance - Gold stocks experienced significant gains, with major players like Zhongjin Gold and Hunan Gold hitting the daily limit, driven by international gold prices surpassing 3,480 USD [3] - The innovative drug sector also saw a surge, with stocks like Maiwei Bio and Lifang Pharmaceutical hitting the daily limit, suggesting new market expectations regarding policies or industry fundamentals [3] - The technology sector, particularly CPO stocks, remained strong, with companies like Zhongji Xuchuang and Tianfu Communication reaching historical highs, supported by the growing demand for AI and computing power [3] Weak Sectors - Insurance, securities, and military sectors showed weak performance, with brokerage stocks collectively retreating and companies like China Satellite and China Satcom experiencing notable declines [4] - The performance of these sectors is closely tied to market sentiment and policy direction, indicating that short-term corrections are not unexpected [4] Investment Strategy - The focus should be on identifying sectors with genuine performance, logic, and growth potential rather than chasing daily market trends [4] - Gold is viewed through the lens of long-term cycles, innovative drugs are assessed for real turning points, and technology is evaluated based on hard demand [4]

Group 1 - Gold and silver prices have reached historical highs, with COMEX gold futures peaking at $3552 per ounce and spot gold breaking $3480 per ounce, marking a year-to-date increase of over 32% for gold and nearly 40% for silver [1][2] - The recent surge in gold and silver prices is driven by expectations of interest rate cuts from the Federal Reserve, with a 87.4% probability of a 25 basis point cut in September [2][9] - A strong demand for safe-haven assets is evident amid geopolitical tensions and uncertainties in the financial environment, further pushing gold and silver prices higher [2][3] Group 2 - A significant rise in A-share gold concept stocks has been observed, with the Wind precious metals index increasing over 6% and several individual stocks hitting their daily limit [5][6] - Specific stocks such as China Ruilin, Western Gold, and Shengda Resources have shown notable gains, with increases of nearly 10% [6][7] - Research institutions indicate that there is still room for gold prices to rise, driven by the challenges to the Federal Reserve's independence and the downward trend in real interest rates [8][10] Group 3 - The geopolitical landscape, including tensions in the Middle East and uncertainties surrounding U.S. tariff policies, has contributed to the increased demand for gold as a safe-haven asset [3][4] - The recent actions by President Trump against Federal Reserve officials have raised concerns about the independence of the central bank, which may influence future monetary policy and impact gold prices [3][9] - Long-term forecasts suggest that the combination of fiscal dominance and monetary policy will lead to increased liquidity in the U.S. dollar, benefiting risk assets and potentially driving gold prices higher [9][10]

Group 1 - A-shares experienced significant market activity on September 1, with 122 stocks hitting the daily limit up and 7 stocks hitting the limit down [1] - The precious metals sector was notably active, with companies like Zhongjin Gold and Hunan Gold reaching the limit up [1] - The non-ferrous and antimony concept stocks also showed strength, with Huayu Mining hitting the limit up [1] - Gold-related stocks saw an increase, with companies such as Yuguang Gold Lead and Baomo Co. reaching the limit up [1] Group 2 - ST Er Ya achieved 9 limit ups in 13 days, while Tianpu Co. recorded 7 consecutive limit ups [1] - Wantong Development had 5 limit ups in 8 days, and Dechuang Environmental had 5 limit ups in 5 days [1] - Other notable stocks include Guoguang Chain and *ST Weier with 4 limit ups in 5 days, and Jianye Co. with 4 limit ups in 4 days [1] - Several stocks, including Sanwei Communication and Zhaoxin Co., achieved 3 consecutive limit ups [1] Group 3 - *ST Gao Hong faced a continuous decline with 16 consecutive limit downs, while *ST Su Wu had 2 consecutive limit downs [2] - Other companies like *ST Haihua and *ST Yatai also experienced limit downs [2]

截至2025年9月1日 14:30，中证沪深港黄金产业股票指数(931238)强势上涨7.14%，成分股晓程科技 (300139)上涨14.50%，中国黄金国际(02099)上涨11.15%，中金黄金(600489)上涨10.02%，华钰矿业 (601020)，湖南黄金(002155)等个股跟涨。黄金股票ETF基金(159322)上涨9.74%， 冲击3连涨。最新价 报1.48元。拉长时间看，截至2025年8月29日，黄金股票ETF基金近1周累计上涨7.69%。 流动性方面，黄金股票ETF基金盘中换手120.9%，成交3180.47万元，市场交投活跃。拉长时间看，截 至8月29日，黄金股票ETF基金近1年日均成交472.80万元。 截至8月29日，黄金股票ETF基金近1年净值上涨44.43%。从收益能力看，截至2025年8月29日，黄金股 票ETF基金自成立以来，最高单月回报为16.59%，最长连涨月数为4个月，最长连涨涨幅为31.09%，涨 跌月数比为8/6，上涨月份平均收益率为8.13%，历史持有1年盈利概率为100.00%。截至2025年8月29 日，黄金股票ETF基金近3个月超越基准年化收益为8.49 ...

Core Viewpoint - Gold prices have reached a historical high, driven by expectations of interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve and increased demand for safe-haven assets amid geopolitical tensions and economic uncertainties [1][3][10]. Price Movements - On September 1, COMEX gold futures rose over 1%, reaching a peak of $3552 per ounce, while spot gold surpassed $3480 per ounce, nearing the April record high [1][3]. - Year-to-date, spot gold has increased by over 32%, and spot silver has risen nearly 40% [1]. Market Reactions - Following the surge in gold prices, A-share gold concept stocks saw significant gains, with companies like Western Gold and Shengda Resources hitting the daily limit, and others like Zhongjin Gold and Shandong Gold also experiencing substantial increases [1][7]. Federal Reserve and Economic Factors - The market anticipates a 25 basis point rate cut by the Federal Reserve, with a probability of 87.4% for the September meeting [3]. - Concerns over the independence of the Federal Reserve have been heightened following President Trump's dismissal of a board member, which is seen as an attempt to undermine the Fed's autonomy [4][9]. Geopolitical Tensions - Ongoing geopolitical issues, including U.S.-China trade tensions and conflicts in the Middle East, have further fueled demand for gold as a safe-haven asset [4][5][10]. Future Outlook - Analysts suggest that gold still has room for further price increases, with expectations that the COMEX gold price will stabilize above $3500 per ounce [9][10].

Group 1 - The A-share market's non-ferrous metal sector has shown strong performance, with several companies experiencing significant stock price increases, including Xiaocheng Technology rising nearly 14% and multiple companies hitting the daily limit up [1][2] - In the first half of 2025, non-ferrous metal commodity prices are on an upward trend, contributing to the profitability of the industry. Over 60% of listed companies in this sector reported year-on-year earnings growth, and 90% achieved positive net profits [1] - The outlook for the second half of the year remains optimistic regarding gold and copper price trends, suggesting that the strong performance in the non-ferrous metal sector may continue [1] Group 2 - Notable stock performances include Xiaocheng Technology with a market cap of 6.151 billion and a year-to-date increase of 53.87%, and Xibu Gold with a market cap of 20 billion and a year-to-date increase of 91.86% [2] - Other companies such as Shengda Resources, Hunan Silver, and Huayu Mining also reported significant stock price increases, with year-to-date gains ranging from approximately 39.21% to 152.90% [2] - The overall market capitalization of the non-ferrous metal sector companies reflects strong investor interest, with several companies exceeding market caps of 100 billion [2]

（文章来源：每日经济新闻） 每经AI快讯，9月1日，A股贵金属板块午后走强，湖南黄金触及涨停，晓程科技大涨13%，中金黄金涨 超8%，山金黄金涨超7%。 ...

Group 1 - Goldman Sachs research indicates investor optimism regarding China's GDP growth target for 2025, with short-term export expectations raised and accelerated fiscal measures, leading to increased attention on cyclical sectors such as non-ferrous metals [1] - The expectation of a Federal Reserve interest rate cut has weakened the US dollar, combined with stable performance in the domestic commodity market, benefiting the A-share non-ferrous sector [1] - China and Thailand's non-ferrous sector highlights tight cobalt raw material supply, with the Democratic Republic of Congo's quota policy potentially leading to a supply vacuum in Q4, reinforcing expectations for rising cobalt prices and boosting related non-ferrous products [1] Group 2 - Minmetals Securities notes that the Australian mining sector's Q2 2025 financial report shows that cost reduction in the non-ferrous metal industry has reached a bottleneck, necessitating attention to corporate decision-making changes affecting Australian lithium supply and costs, as well as the impact of changes in demand for new energy vehicles and energy storage on lithium prices and production decisions [2] - GF Securities focuses on changes in the molybdenum industry landscape, suggesting that the collaboration between Jinchuan Group and Zijin Mining to develop the world-class Shapingou molybdenum project will restructure the global molybdenum resource distribution system, with Zijin Mining holding 60% of the adjusted equity structure, potentially having a profound impact on the supply side of the molybdenum industry chain [2] Group 3 - Related products include various ETFs such as Non-ferrous ETF Fund (159880), Photovoltaic ETF Fund (159863), and Semiconductor ETF (159813), among others [3] - Related stocks include Zijin Mining (601899), Northern Rare Earth (600111), and Tianqi Lithium (002466), among others [3]

光控资本表明，根据CME FedWatch东西，商场目前预期美联储9月保持利率不变的概率为8.9%，降息 25个基点的概率从75%提升至91.1%。从短期而言，鲍威尔超预期的鸽派讲话打破了商场对美联储降息 路径不确定性和独立性缺乏的忧虑，同时9月美联储降息将打开黄金向上的打破空间，黄金即将迎来新 一轮上涨周期。 美联储喜爱的通胀目标中心PCE温和上涨，稳定了商场对美联储在9月议息会议降息的预期，特朗普解 雇美联储理事库克的事件持续发酵，严重威胁着美联储独立性，美元走弱，激发黄金货币特点与铜的金 融特点，商品价格打破前高在即，打开权益标的上行空间。 黄金概念1日盘中大幅走高，到发稿，晓程科技涨超10%，中国瑞林、盛达资源、西部黄金、湖南白银 等均涨停，湖南黄金、中金黄金等涨超6%。 央视新闻消息，当地时间8月22日，美联储主席鲍威尔在杰克逊霍尔全球央行年会上表明，当前局势暗 示工作增加面对下行风险，风险平衡点的改变或许要求调整方针。鲍威尔称，美联储对降息持敞开态 度。 ...