丨证券研究报告丨 行业研究丨行业周报丨煤炭与消费用燃料 [Table_Title] 钢铁限产，焦煤价格就一定回落吗？ 报告要点 [Table_Summary] 近期钢铁限产预期增强，市场普遍担忧钢铁限产往往会导致焦煤需求回落，从而抑制焦煤价格。 然而历史上来看并非如此：由于钢铁行政性限产往往引发钢厂利润快速修复，因此减弱了钢厂 对上游原材料的压价意愿，最终形成钢焦共振上涨格局，权益端也存在绝对收益；然而若钢铁 因亏损较多而导致自发性减产，则钢焦价格往往共振回落，权益端表现同样较差。展望 2025 年，当前钢厂利润依旧较优，自发性减产动力不足；若后续存行政性减产可能，有望使得钢焦 价格共振上涨，权益端也有望获得绝对收益。 分析师及联系人 [Table_Author] SAC：S0490516080003 SAC：S0490519030001 SAC：S0490517070008 SAC：S0490522090003 SAC：S0490524120007 SFC：BUT918 SFC：BUY139 肖勇 赵超 叶如祯 庄越 韦思宇 请阅读最后评级说明和重要声明 %% %% %% %% research.95579 ...

产量核查约束供给，非电需求韧性足 [Table_ReportTime] 2025 年 8 月 17 日 证券研究报告 行业研究-周报 [Table_ReportType] 行业周报 | [Table_StockAndRank] 煤炭开采 | | | --- | --- | | 投资评级 | 看好 | | 上次评级 | 看好 | 高升：煤炭钢铁行业首席分析师 执业编号：S1500524100002 邮箱：gaosheng@cindasc.com 李睿：煤炭钢铁行业分析师 执业编号：S1500525040002 邮箱：lirui@cindasc.com 刘波： 煤炭钢铁行业分析师 执业编号：S1500525070001 邮箱：liubo1@cindasc.com 信达证券股份有限公司 CINDASECURITIESCO.,LTD 北京市西城区宣武门西大街甲 127 号 金隅大厦 B 座 邮编：100031 [Table_Title] 产量核查约束供给，非电需求韧性足 [Table_ReportDate] 2025 年 8 月 17 日 本期内容提要: [Table_Summary] 请阅读最后一页免责声明及信息披 ...

Investment Rating - The industry rating is "Positive" [1] Core Viewpoints - Coal inventory has decreased year-on-year for the first time, indicating a continuous improvement in the fundamentals of the coal industry [1] - The coal sector has underperformed compared to the CSI 300 index, with a decline of 0.77% as of August 15, 2025, while the CSI 300 index rose by 2.37% [2] - Key monitored enterprises reported an average daily coal sales volume of 7.15 million tons, a week-on-week increase of 1.9% and a year-on-year increase of 5.3% [2] - The total coal inventory of key monitored enterprises was 26.18 million tons as of August 14, 2025, a week-on-week decrease of 5.9% and a year-on-year decrease of 3.1% [2] - The supply-demand balance in the coal market is improving, with significant price increases for thermal coal and potential marginal improvements in the coking coal sector due to environmental factors [6] Summary by Sections Thermal Coal Industry Chain - As of August 15, 2025, the price index for thermal coal (Q5500K) in the Bohai Rim was 670 CNY/ton, a week-on-week increase of 0.3% [3] - The average daily sales volume of thermal coal increased by 0.6% week-on-week [2] Coking Coal Industry Chain - The main coking coal price at Jingtang Port was 1,630 CNY/ton, unchanged week-on-week [4] - The inventory of coking coal at Jingtang Port decreased by 5.4% week-on-week [4] Coal Chemical Industry Chain - The price of methanol in East China was 2,354.55 CNY/ton, a week-on-week decrease of 38.86 CNY/ton [5] - The price of urea in Henan was 1,700 CNY/ton, a week-on-week decrease of 50 CNY/ton [5] Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on high-dividend thermal coal companies and coking coal companies undergoing turnaround [6] - Key companies to watch include China Shenhua, Shaanxi Coal and Chemical Industry, and Yanzhou Coal Mining Company for thermal coal; and Huabei Mining, Shanxi Coking Coal, and Lu'an Environmental Energy for coking coal [6]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" rating for the coal mining industry [1] Core Viewpoints - The coal mining industry has seen an unexpected improvement in fundamentals as of July 2025, with significant changes in production and demand dynamics [2][7] - The report highlights a notable decline in coal production and imports in July, alongside a significant increase in thermal power demand due to high temperatures [11][30] - The overall supply of coal has contracted, while demand from key sectors such as electricity generation has shown signs of recovery [12][50] Summary by Sections Recent Trends - The coal mining sector's performance over the last month shows a 6.8% increase over one month, a 3.5% increase over three months, but a 5.2% decrease over twelve months [4] Supply Dynamics - In July 2025, the production of raw coal decreased by 3.8% year-on-year, with a daily average production of 12.29 million tons, reflecting a month-on-month reduction of 1.746 million tons per day [19][21] - The report notes that coal imports in July 2025 were 35.609 million tons, down 23% year-on-year, indicating a tightening supply [9][29] Demand Dynamics - The demand for thermal power increased significantly in July, with a year-on-year growth of 4.3%, marking a 3.2 percentage point increase from June [11][30] - The report estimates that the four major industries (electricity, steel, chemicals, and construction materials) contributed to a 3.8% year-on-year increase in coal consumption in July [50] Inventory Management - By the end of July, coal inventories at production enterprises decreased by 168,000 tons to 4.096 million tons, indicating effective inventory management [51][52] Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on stable companies such as China Shenhua, Shaanxi Coal, and China Coal Energy, as well as companies with greater elasticity in thermal coal like Yanzhou Coal and Jinneng Holding [12][14]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article highlights the growth in China's coal production, with a projected output of 420 million tons by June 2025, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 3% [1] - In the first half of 2025, China's cumulative coal production reached 2.4 billion tons, marking a cumulative growth of 5.4% [1] - The report by Zhiyan Consulting provides an analysis of the supply and demand dynamics in the coal mining industry in China from 2025 to 2031, indicating potential market operation capabilities [1] Group 2 - Listed companies in the coal sector include China Shenhua (601088), Zhongmei Energy (601898), Shanxi Coking Coal (000983), and others, indicating a diverse market landscape [1] - Zhiyan Consulting is recognized as a leading industry consulting firm in China, specializing in in-depth industry research reports and tailored services [2] - Data sources for the report include the National Bureau of Statistics and Zhiyan Consulting, ensuring credibility and accuracy in the presented figures [3]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the news is that Huabei Mining Media Technology Co., Ltd. has applied for a patent for a "Multi-dimensional Data Statistics and Intelligent Analysis Management System" aimed at improving data processing efficiency in mining management [1] - The patent application was filed on May 2025, and the publication number is CN120493010A [1] - The system includes several modules: preprocessing, transformation, classification, optimization, risk fusion, and early warning, which collectively enhance data handling accuracy and efficiency compared to existing technologies [1] Group 2 - Huabei Mining Media Technology Co., Ltd. was established in 2014 and is located in Huabei City, primarily engaged in software and information technology services [2] - The company has a registered capital of 3 million RMB and has made investments in 2 enterprises, participated in 225 bidding projects, and holds 38 patents [2] - Additionally, the company possesses 13 administrative licenses, indicating a diverse operational capability [2]

淮北矿业控股股份有限公司 信用评级报告 编号：CCXI-20253024M-01 信用评级报告 声 明 根据相关监管规定以及评级委托协议约定，中诚信国际将在评级结果有效期内进行跟踪评级。 中诚信国际将在评级结果有效期内对评级对象风险程度进行全程跟踪监测。发生可能影响评级对象信用水平的重大 事项，评级委托方或评级对象应及时通知中诚信国际并提供相关资料，中诚信国际将就有关事项进行必要调查，及 时对该事项进行分析，据实确认或调整评级结果，并按照相关规则进行信息披露。 如未能及时提供或拒绝提供跟踪评级所需资料，或者出现监管规定的其他情形，中诚信国际可以终止或者撤销评级。 | 中诚信国际信用评级有限责任公司 | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 信用评级报告 | | | | | | 评级对象 淮北矿业控股股份有限公司 | | | | | | 主体评级结果 AAA/稳定 | | | | | | 中诚信国际肯定了淮北矿业控股股份有限公司（以下简称"淮北矿业"或"公 | | | | | | 司"）煤种齐全且以稀缺煤种为主、资源禀赋很强，公司为华东地区主要煤 | | | | | ...

2025 年度 淮北矿业控股股份有限公司 信用评级报告 编号：CCXI-20253024M-01 2025 年度淮北矿业控股股份有限公司 信用评级报告 声 明 跟踪评级安排 中诚信国际信用评级有限责任公司 2025 年 8 月 13 日 2 ⚫ 本次评级为委托评级，中诚信国际及其评估人员与评级委托方、评级对象不存在任何其他影响本次评级行为独立、 客观、公正的关联关系。 ⚫ 本次评级依据评级对象提供或已经正式对外公布的信息，以及其他根据监管规定收集的信息，中诚信国际按照相关 性、及时性、可靠性的原则对评级信息进行审慎分析，但中诚信国际对于相关信息的合法性、真实性、完整性、准 确性不作任何保证。 ⚫ 中诚信国际及项目人员履行了尽职调查和诚信义务，有充分理由保证本次评级遵循了真实、客观、公正的原则。 ⚫ 评级报告的评级结论是中诚信国际依据合理的内部信用评级标准和方法、评级程序做出的独立判断，未受评级委托 方、评级对象和其他第三方的干预和影响。 ⚫ 本评级报告对评级对象信用状况的任何表述和判断仅作为相关决策参考之用，并不意味着中诚信国际实质性建议任 何使用人据此报告采取投资、借贷等交易行为，也不能作为任何人购买、出售 ...

中诚信国际在对公司生产经营状况、宏观经济和政策环境及相关行业情况进 行综合分析与评估的基础上，于 2025 年 8 月 13 日出具了《2025 年度淮北矿业 控股股份有限公司信用评级报告》，评定公司主体信用等级为 AAA，评级展望为 稳定，有效期为 2025 年 8 月 13 日至 2026 年 8 月 13 日。 本次评级报告详见公司同日在上海证券交易所网站（www.sse.com.cn）披露 的《2025 年度淮北矿业控股股份有限公司信用评级报告》。 特此公告。 股票代码：600985 股票简称：淮北矿业 编号：临 2025—025 淮北矿业控股股份有限公司 关于主体信用评级结果的公告 本公司董事会及全体董事保证本公告内容不存在任何虚假记载、误导性陈 述或者重大遗漏，并对其内容的真实性、准确性和完整性承担法律责任。 淮北矿业控股股份有限公司（下称"公司"）委托信用评级机构中诚信国际 信用评级有限责任公司（下称"中诚信国际"）对公司主体信用状况进行了评级。 淮北矿业控股股份有限公司董事会 2025 年 8 月 15 日 ...

天眼查商业履历信息显示，淮北矿业控股股份有限公司，成立于1999年，位于淮北市，是一家以从事煤 炭开采和洗选业为主的企业。企业注册资本269325.8709万人民币，实缴资本7070.88万人民币。公司法 定代表人为孙方。 通过天眼查大数据分析，淮北矿业控股股份有限公司共对外投资了8家企业，参与招投标项目61次，专 利信息15条，此外企业还拥有行政许可26个。 来源：金融界 金融界消息 截至2025年8月12日收盘，淮北矿业（600985）报收于13.24元，上涨2.8%，换手率1.18%， 成交量31.81万手，成交金额4.21亿元。 资金流向方面，今日主力资金净流出1064.20万元，占比成交额2.53%。其中，超大单净流入817.53万 元、占成交额1.94%，大单净流出1881.74万元、占成交额4.47%，中单净流出流出2767.98万元、占成交 额6.58%，小单净流入3832.18万元、占成交额9.11%。 淮北矿业最新一期业绩显示，截至2025一季报，公司营业总收入105.99亿元、同比减少38.95%，归属净 利润6.92亿元，同比减少56.50%，扣非净利润6.74亿元，同比减少56.96 ...