Core Viewpoint - The international gold price has reached historical highs, with spot gold nearing $3800 per ounce and COMEX futures surpassing the same level, leading to significant performance increases for gold mining companies, although there are notable disparities in profit growth among them [1][2]. Group 1: Performance of Gold Mining Companies - In the first half of 2025, international gold prices rose over 20%, resulting in widespread profit increases among A-share gold mining companies [2]. - Shandong Gold reported a 102.98% year-on-year increase in net profit, exceeding 56.7 billion yuan in revenue [2]. - Zijin Mining achieved a net profit of 23.292 billion yuan, a 54.41% increase, driven by both gold and copper [2]. - Chifeng Jilong Gold, despite a strong performance with a net profit of 1.107 billion yuan (up 55.79%), faced concerns regarding production declines [2]. Group 2: Challenges and Cost Increases - Some companies have successfully expanded overseas and increased production, while others, like Chifeng Jilong Gold, are experiencing production declines [2]. - Chifeng Jilong Gold's gold production fell by 10.56% year-on-year to 6.75 tons, completing only 42% of its annual production guidance due to lower ore grades and adverse weather conditions [2][3]. - The unit cost of gold production for Chifeng Jilong Gold rose significantly, with operating costs increasing by 11.88% to 319.06 yuan per gram and total costs up 34.28% to 355.41 yuan per gram [3]. Group 3: Future Growth Strategies - Analysts predict further potential increases in gold prices, with estimates suggesting it could reach $3900 per ounce by mid-2026 [4]. - Companies are focusing on resource expansion and capacity growth as key strategies to transition from benefiting solely from price increases to achieving sustainable internal growth [4]. - Shandong Gold completed 293,000 meters of exploration, adding 18.8 tons of gold resources, while Chifeng Jilong Gold reported a significant discovery of a large-scale gold-copper deposit [4]. Group 4: Capital Operations and Resource Recovery - Companies are also looking towards capital operations, with Zijin Mining planning to list its subsidiary on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange [5]. - Tailings recovery is emerging as a new profit source, with Zhaojin Mining reporting significant contributions from tailings recovery at its Fiji mine, producing 101.78 kilograms of gold from tailings, a 42.53% increase year-on-year [6].

Core Points - The Shanghai Composite Index fell by 0.01% on September 25, with seven industries rising, led by Media and Communication, which increased by 2.23% and 1.99% respectively [1] - The Non-ferrous Metals industry rose by 1.87%, with a net inflow of 2.05 billion yuan in main funds, and 72 out of 137 stocks in this sector increased in value [1] - The top three stocks with the highest net inflow in the Non-ferrous Metals sector were Luoyang Molybdenum (1.25 billion yuan), Northern Copper (592 million yuan), and Zijin Mining (297 million yuan) [1] - The sectors with the largest declines were Textile & Apparel and Comprehensive, with decreases of 1.45% and 1.30% respectively [1] Non-ferrous Metals Industry Summary - The Non-ferrous Metals industry saw a total of 137 stocks, with 72 stocks rising and one hitting the daily limit [1] - The net inflow of funds was concentrated in 68 stocks, with eight stocks receiving over 100 million yuan in net inflow [1] - The stocks with the largest net outflows included Chifeng Gold, Tongling Nonferrous Metals, and Western Mining, with outflows of 226 million yuan, 220 million yuan, and 201 million yuan respectively [2] Fund Flow Summary - The top stocks in the Non-ferrous Metals industry by net inflow included: - Luoyang Molybdenum: +9.90% with a turnover rate of 3.71% and a main fund flow of 1.25 billion yuan [1] - Northern Copper: +7.47% with a turnover rate of 14.72% and a main fund flow of 592 million yuan [1] - Zijin Mining: +5.17% with a turnover rate of 1.92% and a main fund flow of 297 million yuan [1] - The stocks with the largest net outflows included: - Chifeng Gold: -3.29% with a turnover rate of 3.65% and a main fund flow of -226 million yuan [2] - Tongling Nonferrous Metals: +8.12% with a turnover rate of 6.93% and a main fund flow of -220 million yuan [2] - Western Mining: +6.07% with a turnover rate of 5.02% and a main fund flow of -201 million yuan [2]

1 赤峰吉隆黃金礦業股份有限公司 | 目錄 | | --- | | 公司資料 | 2 | | --- | --- | | 本報告基本資料 | 4 | | 管理層討論與分析 | 5 | | 董事及最高行政人員的權益及淡倉 | 31 | | 股本與股東情況 | 32 | | 其他事項 | 35 | | 合併財務報表 | | | 合併資產負債表 | 55 | | 合併利潤表 | 57 | | 合併現金流量表 | 59 | | 合併股東權益變動表 | 61 | | 公司資產負債表 | 63 | | 公司利潤表 | 65 | | 公司現金流量表 | 66 | | 公司股東權益變動表 | 68 | | 財務報表附註 | 69 | | 釋義 | 195 | 二零二五年中期報告 2 公司資料 執行董事 王建華先生 （董事長） 楊宜方女士 呂曉兆先生 高波先生 非執行董事 張旭東先生 獨立非執行董事 毛景文博士 沈政昌博士 胡乃連先生 黃一平博士 審計委員會 黃一平博士 （主席） 張旭東先生 胡乃連先生 提名委員會 胡乃連先生 （主席） 呂曉兆先生 沈政昌博士 黃一平博士 楊宜方女士 （於2025年6月30日獲委任） 薪酬與考 ...

Group 1 - Freeport announced force majeure due to an Indonesian mining accident, expecting a 4% year-on-year decline in copper sales for Q3 2025, with Q4 nearly stagnant. The global copper increment from the top 18 mines is projected to drop from 430,000 tons to 160,000 tons, exacerbating supply-demand conflicts and driving up copper-related stocks [1] - U.S. Antimony received a $245 million exclusive supply contract from the Pentagon, planning to increase production capacity from 2,000 tons to 6,000 tons, strengthening the supply-demand support logic for the antimony sector and boosting market sentiment [1] - Overproduction of coal in Shanxi and other regions may be restricted by the new Anti-Unfair Competition Law, with tight supply expectations pushing coking coal prices up to 1,700-1,800 yuan per ton [1] Group 2 - As of September 25, the non-ferrous ETF fund (159880.SZ) rose by 2.22%, and its related index, the Guozheng Non-Ferrous Index (399395.SZ), increased by 2.07%. Among major constituent stocks, Northern Copper Industry rose by 10.01%, Luoyang Molybdenum by 9.67%, and Tongling Nonferrous Metals by 8.35% [1] - HuLong Securities noted that in the context of increased macro uncertainty, precious metals maintain a trend of rising volume and price. Their non-ferrous metal industry report indicates that Zijin Mining (601899.SH) received an "overweight" rating, with a projected PE of 15 times for 2025 [1] - According to Everbright Securities' weekly report, cobalt prices have risen across the board, with a week-on-week increase of 1.13% for cobalt sulfate. Additionally, polysilicon prices have risen for two consecutive months, with a week-on-week increase of 4.0% for photovoltaic-grade polysilicon, reflecting changes in the supply-demand structure in certain non-ferrous metal segments [1]

Market Overview - On September 24, the chemical raw materials sector rose by 0.2%, with Huarong Chemical leading the gains [1] - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 3853.64, up 0.83%, while the Shenzhen Component Index closed at 13356.14, up 1.8% [1] Stock Performance - Huarong Chemical (301256) closed at 11.43, with a significant increase of 11.95% and a trading volume of 292,800 shares, amounting to a transaction value of 331 million yuan [1] - Hengguang Co. (301118) saw a rise of 6.79%, closing at 25.48, with a trading volume of 68,700 shares [1] - Other notable performers included ST Yatai (1690000) with a 5.04% increase, closing at 10.21, and Jiaxian Co. (920489) with a 4.34% increase, closing at 24.53 [1] Capital Flow - The chemical raw materials sector experienced a net inflow of 194 million yuan from institutional investors, while retail investors saw a net outflow of approximately 89.5 million yuan [2] - The main stocks with significant net inflows included Junzheng Group (601216) with 69.01 million yuan and Baofeng Energy (600988) with 49.59 million yuan [3] Individual Stock Analysis - Huarong Chemical had a net inflow of 30.05 million yuan from institutional investors, but a net outflow of 34.89 million yuan from retail investors [3] - Longbai Group (002601) and Weixing Chemical (002648) also showed positive net inflows from institutional investors, indicating strong interest in these stocks [3]

Group 1 - The precious metals sector increased by 2.39% on September 24, with Zhaojin Gold leading the gains [1] - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 3853.64, up 0.83%, while the Shenzhen Component Index closed at 13356.14, up 1.8% [1] - Zhaojin Gold's closing price was 10.03, with a rise of 2.77%, and a trading volume of 397,800 shares [1] Group 2 - The precious metals sector experienced a net outflow of 526 million yuan from institutional investors, while retail investors saw a net inflow of 551 million yuan [2][3] - Hunan Gold had a net inflow of 72.69 million yuan from institutional investors, but a net outflow of 49.38 million yuan from retail investors [3] - Sichuan Gold saw a significant retail net inflow of 83.17 million yuan, despite a net outflow of 68.11 million yuan from institutional investors [3]

Group 1 - Gold stocks continue to rise, with Shandong Gold up 3.5% at 39.6 HKD, Chifeng Gold up 3.34% at 31.54 HKD, and Zhaojin Mining up 2.62% at 30.58 HKD [1] - On September 22, gold prices surged, with spot gold reaching 3720 USD/ounce, marking a historical high and a daily increase of over 1% [1] - Galaxy Securities suggests that the recent Fed rate cuts indicate a trend towards looser monetary policy, which may lead to increased global gold ETF holdings and further drive up gold prices [1] Group 2 - Shenwan Futures analysis indicates that while the Fed's rate cut stance remains cautious under Trump's pressure, the outlook for rate cuts is clear, with expectations for two more cuts this year [2] - The strong performance of US retail sales in August, with a month-on-month increase of 0.6% and a year-on-year increase of 2.1%, supports positive market sentiment [2] - The ongoing increase in US fiscal deficits and debt, along with central banks like China continuing to accumulate gold, reinforces the long-term bullish outlook for gold [2]

Core Viewpoint - International gold prices have reached a historic high, with COMEX gold futures exceeding $3760 per ounce on September 22, leading to significant stock price increases for several gold-related A-share listed companies [1][2] Group 1: Gold Price Trends - As of September 22, the retail prices for gold jewelry in major brands are as follows: Chow Tai Fook at 1085 CNY per gram, Lao Feng Xiang at 1086 CNY, and others ranging from 1044 CNY to 1090 CNY per gram [2] - Despite the high gold prices, sales volume has been relatively flat, with total sales weight decreasing while sales revenue remains higher than when gold prices were lower [2][4] - Institutions believe the long-term logic for rising gold prices remains unchanged, with JPMorgan forecasting an average spot gold price of $3800 per ounce by Q4 2025 and exceeding $4000 per ounce in Q1 2026 [2][3] Group 2: Company Insights - Recent institutional research on gold companies has focused on gold pricing, cost changes, and production targets for the second half of the year [4] - Chi Feng Gold reported an average sales price of 699.5 CNY per gram in the first half of the year, emphasizing cost control and efficiency improvements while remaining cautiously optimistic about future gold prices [4] - Shan Jin International noted a 4.43 CNY increase in gold sales costs in the first half of the year, attributing this to changes in mining operations, but expects overall cost increases to be manageable [5] Group 3: H-Share Listings - Several gold companies are planning H-share listings to enhance global presence, accelerate overseas business development, and improve financing channels [6] - Shan Jin International aims to utilize the H-share listing to optimize capital structure and enhance competitiveness, while also expanding its international market footprint [6] - Chao Hong Ji has submitted a prospectus for an H-share listing, with plans to establish 20 self-operated stores overseas and enhance production capabilities [6]

Group 1: Gold Price Trends - International gold prices reached a historical high, with COMEX gold futures surpassing $3760 per ounce on September 22 [1] - The price of gold jewelry also increased, with brands like Chow Tai Fook and Lao Feng Xiang quoting around 1085-1090 yuan per gram [1] - Despite high gold prices, sales volume has been relatively flat, with a decrease in total weight sold, although sales revenue remains higher than during lower gold price periods [2] Group 2: Institutional Insights - Institutions are focusing on gold pricing, cost changes, and production targets for the second half of the year during their research on gold companies [2] - Morgan Stanley predicts that gold prices will average $3800 per ounce by Q4 2025 and exceed $4000 per ounce in Q1 2026, driven by investor demand [2] Group 3: Company Strategies and Performance - Chi Feng Gold reported an average sales price of 699.5 yuan per gram for the first half of the year and aims to control costs at the lower end of the global average [3] - Shan Jin International noted a 3.02% increase in gold sales costs due to changes in mining operations, but expects this will not significantly impact overall operations [3] - Shan Jin Gold anticipates that future production increases will come from the Osino project and potential acquisitions [4] Group 4: H-Share Listings - Several gold companies are planning H-share listings to enhance global presence, accelerate overseas business development, and improve capital structure [4] - For instance, Chao Hong Ji plans to use funds raised from its H-share listing to establish 20 self-operated stores overseas and enhance its production capabilities [4]

Industry Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is maintained at "Outperform the Market" [1] Core Viewpoints - The report highlights that the recent Congo export policy for cobalt is expected to drive prices upward, with a significant reduction in export quotas leading to increased demand for replenishment from downstream enterprises [6] - The report suggests a bullish outlook for precious metals following the recent FOMC meeting, despite some market adjustments, indicating a potential slow bull market for gold [4] - Copper prices are anticipated to break through key resistance levels, supported by seasonal demand increases in China [5] - The aluminum market is expected to see price increases due to rising downstream consumption as the National Day holiday approaches [5] - Lithium demand is projected to grow significantly, driven by a major contract signed by CATL for lithium iron phosphate materials, indicating a strong outlook for lithium prices [7] - Uranium prices are expected to rise due to potential export restrictions from Russia, which could significantly impact global supply [8] Summary by Sections Industry Overview - The closing index for the industry is at 6522.39, with a weekly high of 6795.38 and a low of 3912.76 [1] Price Movements - Basic metals saw declines: copper down 1.19%, aluminum down 1.33%, zinc down 2.88%, lead down 0.17%, and tin down 1.53%. Precious metals had mixed results with gold down 0.22% and silver up 1.13% [21] Inventory Levels - Global visible inventories increased for copper by 7945 tons, aluminum by 8010 tons, and zinc by 2724 tons, while lead saw a decrease of 4085 tons [29]