Core Viewpoint - The report from HuLong Securities indicates a sustained increase in the metal industry due to geopolitical tensions, global economic slowdown, and rising resource nationalism, maintaining a "recommended" rating for the sector [2]. Group 1: Price Trends - In the first 11 months of 2025, the average monthly price of gold increased by 40.75% compared to the full year of 2024, silver rose by 33.69%, copper by 7.25%, and aluminum by 7.96% [2][3]. - The performance of the non-ferrous metal industry index significantly outperformed the CSI 300 index, with a year-to-date increase of 72.81% compared to 18.49% for the latter [2]. Group 2: Industry Performance - The non-ferrous metal industry achieved a revenue of 2.82 trillion yuan in the first three quarters of 2025, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 9.3% [2]. - The net profit attributable to shareholders reached 151.29 billion yuan, marking a year-on-year increase of 41.55% [2]. Group 3: Gold Market Insights - The demand for gold is driven by various factors, with ETF investments replacing central bank purchases as the main force behind price increases, indicating a strong investment demand [3]. - Gold is increasingly viewed as a safe-haven asset, reinforcing its role in pricing global uncertainties [3]. Group 4: Copper Market Insights - There is an expectation of a supply-demand mismatch in the copper market, with geopolitical factors and supply chain security concerns contributing to supply tightness [4]. - The market anticipates a turning point in the supply-demand relationship for refined copper around 2026, with a positive outlook for demand in the U.S. and China [4].

Core Viewpoint - The global precious metals market has experienced significant price fluctuations in 2023, with gold and silver reaching historical highs, and recent surges in palladium and platinum futures listed on the Guangzhou Futures Exchange [1] Group 1: Precious Metals Price Trends - Gold and silver prices have consistently set new historical highs throughout the year [1] - Palladium and platinum futures have seen substantial increases since their listing in November on the Guangzhou Futures Exchange [1] Group 2: A-Share Market Performance - There are 18 precious metals concept stocks in the A-share market, with an average increase of 97.03% year-to-date [1] - Nine stocks, including Zhaojin Mining, Shengda Resources, and Western Gold, have recorded cumulative gains exceeding 100% [1] Group 3: Valuation Metrics - Following the price increases, the valuation of precious metals concept stocks is at a relatively high level, with a median rolling price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 33.12 times [1] - Stocks such as Zhaojin Mining, Silver Nonferrous, and Xiaocheng Technology have P/E ratios exceeding 100 times, while nine stocks, including Zijin Mining, Chifeng Jilong Gold Mining, and Guizhou Platinum, have P/E ratios below 30 times [1]

中信建投研报认为，美国11月CPI超预期降温，令市场对美联储2026年降息幅度有所上修，黄金、白 银、铂、钯等贵金属价格走强，锡、铜、铝等工业金属亦表现强势。金属价格上涨的背后，一面是充裕 的流动性，另一面是供给的强约束，推动商品价格不断挑战阶段性高点。 黄金需求创季度新高 今年以来，全球贵金属价格走势不平静，其中黄金和白银价格不断创出历史新高，今年11月在广州期货 交易所上市的钯和铂期货近期更是连续大涨。 贵金属价格大幅上涨 本周一（12月22日），全球贵金属主要品种集体上涨，截至17时，伦敦金现上涨近1.7%，盘中创下 4420.47美元/盎司的新高，年初至今上涨超68%；伦敦银现上涨超1.7%，盘中创出69.45美元/盎司的高 位，年初至今上涨近140%；现货铂金、现货钯金当天分别上涨超4%和近2%。 国内贵金属也大幅上涨。钯、铂期货主力合约当天均报收涨停，白银期货主力合约收盘上涨6.06%，年 内涨幅达到116.16%；黄金期货主力合约收盘再次突破100元/克，上涨2.1%，年内涨幅达到62.3%。 受贵金属价格集体上涨影响，A股、港股相关个股亦有明显涨幅。万得贵金属行业指数周一大涨4.2%， 共有3 ...

Group 1 - Precious metals market experienced a significant surge on December 22, 2025, driven by interest rate cut expectations and geopolitical tensions, with gold reaching a new high of $4420 per ounce, marking a year-to-date increase of over 68% [1] - Silver prices soared to $69 per ounce, reflecting a nearly 140% increase for the year, also achieving a historical peak [1] - Platinum prices rose to $2074.1 per ounce, the highest since July 2008, with a year-to-date increase exceeding 127% [1] Group 2 - The A-share precious metals sector was activated, with the precious metals index rising by 4.2%, and notable gains from companies such as Hunan Silver and Xiaocheng Technology, which increased by over 7% [1][2] - Geopolitical tensions, including ongoing conflicts in Ukraine and the Middle East, have enhanced the safe-haven appeal of precious metals [3] - Analysts suggest that the expectation of Federal Reserve interest rate cuts is a core support for rising precious metal prices, with silver showing greater price elasticity compared to gold [4] Group 3 - The strong performance of precious metals is accompanied by robust liquidity and supply constraints, pushing commodity prices to challenge high points [5] - The importance of basic raw materials for economic development is increasingly recognized by various countries, leading to potential tariff measures that could exacerbate regional supply gaps and further drive prices upward [5]

Group 1 - The China Securities Index for gold industry stocks (931238) has seen a strong increase of 3.56%, with significant gains in constituent stocks such as Silver and Nonferrous Metals up by 10.04% and China Gold International up by 7.65% [1] - The gold stock ETF (517520) has risen by 3.42%, with a current price of 2.06 yuan, and has increased over 87% since the beginning of 2025 [1] - The U.S. November CPI was reported at 2.7%, lower than the expected 3.1%, leading to increased expectations for a more accommodative monetary policy from the Federal Reserve [1] Group 2 - Kevin Hassett, a leading candidate for the next Federal Reserve Chair, stated that U.S. core inflation is "at or below target levels," providing ample space for potential interest rate cuts [2] - Analysts from Goldman Sachs noted that declining U.S. interest rates have prompted ETF investors to compete with central banks for limited gold resources, with structural high demand from central banks and cyclical support from Fed rate cuts expected to drive gold prices higher [2] - Industrial performance in the gold mining sector has been strong, with several companies reporting profits exceeding market expectations, and the SSH gold stock index showing that 7 out of the top 10 weighted stocks had a net profit growth rate exceeding 50% [3] Group 3 - The gold stock ETF (517520) aims to track the largest stocks in the gold industry, sharing in the sector's growth while mitigating risks associated with individual stock investments [3] - The top ten weighted stocks in the gold industry index account for 68.26% of the index, with companies like Zijin Mining and Shandong Gold among the leaders [3]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the news is that the spot gold price has surged, breaking its previous record and achieving a year-to-date increase of over 65% due to multiple factors including central bank purchases, geopolitical risks, and market re-evaluations of the Federal Reserve's interest rate cycle [1] Group 2 - The spot gold price reached a new high of $4,381.484, surpassing the previous record set on October 20 [1] - The China Securities Index for gold industry stocks (931238) rose by 3.40%, with significant increases in individual stocks such as Silver and Nonferrous (up 9.85%) and China National Gold (up 7.12%) [1] - The gold stock ETF fund (159322) increased by 3.35%, with a latest price of 1.67 yuan [1] Group 3 - The gold stock ETF fund experienced a turnover of 6.5% and a transaction volume of 6.8171 million yuan [2] - The fund's scale grew by 520.98 million yuan over the past two weeks [2] - The index reflects the performance of 50 large-cap companies involved in gold mining, refining, and sales, with the top ten stocks accounting for 68.26% of the index [2] Group 4 - The top ten weighted stocks in the gold industry index include Zijin Mining, Shandong Gold, and Zhongjin Gold, with Zijin Mining holding the highest weight at 13.06% [3]

每经AI快讯，12月22日，现货黄金再创历史新高，港股黄金股震荡走强，灵宝黄金、中国黄金国际涨 超7%，山东黄金、赤峰黄金涨近5%。 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Positive" investment rating for the non-ferrous and steel industry [5]. Core Insights - The phenomenon of gold, copper, aluminum, and iron equities lagging behind commodity prices is expected to change, with market expectations for mid-term price increases strengthening as commodity prices reach new highs [7][11]. - The gold sector is anticipated to benefit from rising commodity prices and inflation expectations due to a decline in non-farm employment, which has increased the likelihood of interest rate cuts [7][11]. - The copper sector is viewed positively due to the demand for traditional power grid upgrades, which is expected to support copper consumption and create a supply-demand imbalance favoring copper prices [12]. - The aluminum sector is expected to see price increases following the closure of the Mozal aluminum plant and the high copper-aluminum price ratio, which is likely to drive demand for aluminum as a substitute for copper [13]. - The steel sector is poised to benefit from the introduction of export license management for certain steel products, which may encourage a shift towards higher value-added product exports [14]. Summary by Sections Steel Market Overview - Supply and demand fundamentals are weak in the off-season, but steel profitability is showing signs of recovery [15]. - Iron output has slightly decreased, while steel demand has shown marginal improvement, with rebar consumption increasing by 2.73% week-on-week [20]. - Overall steel prices have seen a slight increase, with the rebar price rising to 3345 CNY/ton, reflecting a week-on-week increase of 0.87% [33]. New Energy Metals - Lithium carbonate production in November 2025 saw a significant year-on-year increase of 84.78%, indicating strong supply growth in the new energy sector [37]. - The demand for new energy vehicles remains robust, with production and sales of new energy passenger cars in October 2025 showing year-on-year growth of 19.94% and 18.65%, respectively [41]. Price Trends - The report notes a general increase in metal prices, with lithium and cobalt prices rising significantly, while nickel prices have shown mixed trends [46].

Core Viewpoint - The A-share market is experiencing a collective rise, with the non-ferrous metals sector leading the gains, particularly highlighted by the significant increase in the Huabao ETF [1][10]. Group 1: Market Performance - On December 22, the A-share major indices collectively rose, with the non-ferrous metals sector showing the highest gains, particularly the Huabao ETF which saw a jump of 2.15% [1][10]. - The Huabao ETF's current price is close to its listing high of 0.958 yuan, indicating strong market interest [1][10]. Group 2: Sector Leaders - In the non-ferrous metals sector, leading companies such as Hailiang Co. and Baiyin Nonferrous Metals surged over 6%, while Zijin Mining rose more than 4% [3][12]. - Gold sector leaders including Zhongjin Gold and Chifeng Jilong Gold also saw increases exceeding 3% [3][12]. Group 3: Industry Fundamentals - The non-ferrous metals industry is characterized by a clear trend of upstream strength over midstream and downstream, driven by rising commodity prices and structural growth in downstream demand [5][14]. - In the first three quarters, 141 listed companies in the non-ferrous sector achieved a total revenue of 2.82 trillion yuan, marking a year-on-year growth of 9.3%, with net profit increasing by 41.55% to 151.29 billion yuan [5][14]. Group 4: Policy Outlook - The policy direction for the non-ferrous metals industry emphasizes high-quality development, with a target of an average annual growth of 5% in value-added output by 2026 [5][14]. - The "Stable Growth" initiative is a key focus, with plans for the production of ten types of non-ferrous metals to grow by 1.5% annually and recycled metal production to exceed 20 million tons [5][14]. Group 5: Future Projections - Analysts predict that non-ferrous and precious metals will be at the forefront of the upward trend in 2026, with gold prices potentially challenging the historical high of $5,000 per ounce [5][14]. - Citigroup forecasts that copper prices will continue to rise in 2026, supported by improving fundamentals and macroeconomic conditions [5][14]. Group 6: Investment Strategy - A diversified investment approach through the Huabao ETF, which covers various non-ferrous metals including copper, aluminum, gold, rare earths, and lithium, is recommended to mitigate risks [7][15]. - This strategy allows investors to capture the overall sector performance while reducing exposure to individual metal price fluctuations [7][15].

国际银价突破67美元/盎司 受到多种因素带动，今年以来国际白银价格不断刷新价格高位。截至12月19日收盘，伦敦银现价格突破 67美元/盎司，当日涨幅2.44%，再创历史新高，年内累计涨幅达到132.11%，是同期伦敦金现涨幅的2倍 以上。 白银作为催化剂、导电触电材料以及抗微生物剂等，被广泛应用在电子、可再生能源以及医疗卫生等工 业主要增长领域。白银最重要的特性在于它的高导电性，这一特性对许多行业至关重要：它能提高太阳 能电池板的能量转换效率；加快数据中心的数据处理速度；还能让电动汽车实现快速充电和高效电力传 输。 据央视网，业内分析来看，本轮银价上涨是供需格局失衡、美联储连续降息，以及全球资金集中涌入等 因素共同作用的产物。 世界白银协会最近发布的报告显示，受全球对电动汽车和人工智能(AI)数据中心的投资拉动，工业领域 的白银需求在过去4年增加约18%，而工业用途约占白银总需求的50%。该机构预计，2025年全球矿山 仅能生产约8.13亿盎司的白银，较2021年产量略低。此外，全球资产大量涌入以白银为支撑的交易所交 易产品，进一步强化银价上涨趋势。 （原标题：历史罕见，601088，千亿级重大收购！一路狂飙 ...