Core Viewpoint - The traditional metal resources are becoming a new lifeline amid the technological wave and energy transition, with challenges in supply for non-ferrous metals and potential long-term turning points in the sector [1] Group 1: Tin Market Insights - AI servers consume significantly more tin than traditional servers, leading to an increase in tin demand, with an expected annual growth rate of 44.5% in global tin consumption from 2025 to 2030 [2] - Limited new supply capacity for tin in the medium to long term, combined with growth in emerging fields like AI and robotics, as well as steady growth in electric vehicles and photovoltaics, supports a bullish long-term outlook for tin prices [2] Group 2: Precious Metals Outlook - The precious metals sector is currently at the lower end of historical valuation, indicating potential for sustained recovery, with recommendations to focus on companies like Shandong Gold, Zhaojin Mining, and others [3] - The gold-silver ratio is currently high and is expected to converge, suggesting a focus on silver investments [3] - Future investments in power grids and growth in AI data centers, along with relatively inelastic copper supply, are likely to elevate copper price levels [3] Group 3: Copper Investment Opportunities - Global copper supply is expected to face long-term constraints due to insufficient capital expenditure in mining, which may limit supply growth [4] - Anticipated interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve could catalyze a new upward cycle in copper prices, making the copper sector an attractive investment opportunity [4] - Recommended companies include Zijin Mining, Luoyang Molybdenum, and others [4] Group 4: Cobalt Market Dynamics - The implementation of export quotas for cobalt from the Democratic Republic of Congo is expected to reduce exports by over 100,000 tons in the next two years, leading to an estimated market shortage of about 30,000 tons in 2024 [5] - The tightening supply in the cobalt market is likely to maintain high price levels, with potential for further increases [5] Group 5: Overall Non-Ferrous Metals Sector - Despite market reactions, there remains investment space in the non-ferrous metals sector, primarily driven by expectations of further interest rate cuts from the Federal Reserve, which could boost prices [6] - Precious and industrial metals are sensitive to global interest rate environments, indicating potential for price increases [6] - The current valuation of the non-ferrous metals sector in Hong Kong shows an advantage over A-shares [6]

Core Insights - The precious metals sector experienced a decline of 3.04% on October 16, with Western Gold leading the drop [1] - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 3916.23, up 0.1%, while the Shenzhen Component Index closed at 13086.41, down 0.25% [1] Precious Metals Sector Performance - Hunan Silver (002716) closed at 7.71, up 1.58% with a trading volume of 2.8426 million shares and a turnover of 22.26 million yuan [1] - Western Gold (601069) led the decline, closing at 32.09, down 6.20% with a trading volume of 406,800 shares and a turnover of 1.331 billion yuan [2] - Shandong Gold (600547) closed at 39.87, down 4.39% with a trading volume of 737,100 shares and a turnover of 3.001 billion yuan [2] Capital Flow Analysis - The precious metals sector saw a net outflow of 1.199 billion yuan from institutional investors, while retail investors contributed a net inflow of 878 million yuan [2][3] - Major stocks like Hunan Gold (002155) and Western Gold (601069) experienced significant net outflows of 1.61 billion yuan and 1.72 billion yuan respectively from institutional investors [3]

Core Viewpoint - Gold stocks experienced a morning surge followed by a decline in the afternoon, indicating volatility in the market for gold-related equities [2] Company Performance - Chifeng Jilong Gold Mining (06693.HK) saw a decrease of 3.73%, trading at 32.546 HKD [2] - Zhenfeng Gold (01815.HK) dropped by 3.39%, with shares priced at 2.28 HKD [2] - Tongguan Gold (00340.HK) fell by 3.12%, currently at 3.11 HKD [2] - Shandong Gold Mining (01787.HK) declined by 1.5%, trading at 38.1 HKD [2]

Core Insights - Chifeng Jilong Gold Mining Co., Ltd. has seen a significant increase in stock price, with a year-to-date rise of 108.48% and a recent market capitalization of 61.21 billion yuan [1][2] - The company primarily engages in gold and non-ferrous metal mining, with gold accounting for 90.03% of its main business revenue [2] - For the first half of 2025, the company reported a revenue of 5.27 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 25.64%, and a net profit of 1.11 billion yuan, up 55.79% year-on-year [2] Stock Performance - On October 16, the stock price increased by 2.09%, reaching 32.21 yuan per share, with a trading volume of 294 million yuan and a turnover rate of 0.55% [1] - The stock has experienced a net inflow of 13.14 million yuan from major funds, with significant buying and selling activities recorded [1] Shareholder Information - As of June 30, 2025, the number of shareholders increased by 54.60% to 121,100, with no change in the average circulating shares per person [2][3] - The top ten circulating shareholders include Hong Kong Central Clearing Limited and Southern CSI 500 ETF, with notable changes in their holdings [3]

据甘肃省自然资源厅获悉，甘肃省玉门市前红泉—黑山北滩地区新发现一处大型金矿，新增金资源量超40吨，规模相当于两个大型金矿的资源量。 此次发现的前红泉金矿，是在基础地质调查工作基础上，通过大比例尺地球化学勘探手段逐步勘查发现的大型金矿。该成果对甘肃北山南带寻找与韧性剪切 带相关的金矿具有重要指导意义，尤其在勘查方法选择、找矿思路梳理及方向研判等方面，为同类区域的金矿勘查提供了可借鉴的实践经验。 据央视新闻，15日，纽约商品交易所黄金期货市场交投最活跃的2025年12月黄金期价一度超过每盎司4200美元，创历史新高。 今日金价 更新于2025年10月15日 09:57:31 数据显示，国际金价今年以来的涨幅已超过50%。黄金是典型的避险资产。分析认为，美国政府停摆、法国政局动荡、美日等国的经济隐忧以及持续的地缘 冲突等多重因素叠加，共同推动了市场对黄金的避险需求。 10月15日，国内金饰价格上涨。老庙黄金足金饰品价格为1235元/克，周大福足金（饰品、工艺品类）价格为1235元/克，六福珠宝足金首饰价格为1235元/ 克。 CHOW TAI FOOK 周 大 福 全部商品 婚嫁 CTF for YOU定制 企业业 ...

证券之星消息，10月15日贵金属板块较上一交易日上涨0.56%，招金黄金领涨。当日上证指数报收于3912.21，上涨1.22%。深证成指报收于 13118.75，上涨1.73%。贵金属板块个股涨跌见下表： | 代码 | 名称 | 收盘价 | 涨跌幅 | 成交量(手) | 成交额(元) | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 000506 | 指全黄金 | 14.60 | 10.02% | 82.79万 | 11.62 | | 6009888 | 赤峰黄金 | 31.55 | 3.17% | 77.09万 | 24.13 | | 300139 | 院程科技 | 29.05 | 2.11% | 47.00万 | 13.64 | | 002155 | 湖南黄金 | 23.72 | 1.80% | 74.07万 | 17.43 | | 600489 | 中全黄金 | 25.20 | 1.78% | 129.47万 | 32.24 | | 000975 | 山金国际 | 24.20 | 1.64% | 44.92万 | 10.81 | | 002237 | 恒邦股份 | 15 ...

Group 1 - The gold sector experienced a rebound in the afternoon on October 15, with significant gains observed in various companies [2] - Zhaojin Mining reached its daily limit increase, indicating strong market interest [2] - Other companies such as Shengton Mining, Zijin Mining, Pengxin Resources, Chifeng Jilong Gold, and Yuguang Gold Lead also saw their stock prices rise in response [2]

Market Overview - On October 15, A-shares opened slightly higher, initially dipped into the red, and then quickly rebounded, with all three major indices turning positive by the time of reporting [2][3]. - The Shanghai Composite Index rose by 0.24%, the Shenzhen Component Index increased by 0.17%, and the ChiNext Index gained 0.09% [3]. Sector Performance - The retail, beauty care, building materials, and non-ferrous metals sectors saw collective gains, while e-commerce, cement manufacturing, and cybersecurity stocks were active [3][4]. - The defense sector underperformed, with stocks related to photolithography machines and photovoltaic inverters declining [3][5]. Notable Stocks - In the e-commerce sector, stocks like Pinduoduo and JD Health saw increases of 1.93% and 3.39%, respectively [4][6]. - The building materials sector experienced a surge, with Yao Pi Glass and Jianlang Hardware rising by 9.98% and 6.94%, respectively [10]. - In the non-ferrous metals sector, Shenghe Resources hit the daily limit with a 10% increase, while other gold-related stocks also performed well [8][9]. Software Sector Activity - The domestic software sector was active, with stocks like Jiuqi Software and Geer Software reaching their daily limits, increasing by 10.03% and 10% respectively [11][12]. - New Kai Lai's subsidiary launched two EDA design software products at the Bay Area Semiconductor Industry Expo, achieving a 30% performance improvement over industry benchmarks [12]. Defense and Photolithography Sector Decline - The defense and military sector saw significant declines, with North China Long Dragon dropping over 10% and several other stocks experiencing substantial losses [14][15]. - Photolithography-related stocks collectively fell, with companies like Xinlai Materials and Guolin Technology seeing declines of over 10% [16]. Company-Specific News - Ruiyi Group's stock hit the daily limit down, falling by 9.98% to 5.23 CNY per share after the company received a notice of investigation from the China Securities Regulatory Commission for suspected information disclosure violations [19][20].

行 业 及 产 业 有色金属 2025 年 10 月 14 日 金融属性与供需共振，有色板块业 行 业 研 究 / 行 业 点 评 看好 —— 有色金属行业 2025 年三季度业绩前瞻 相关研究 证 券 研 究 报 告 证券分析师 研究支持 郭中耀 A0230124070003 guozy@swsresearch.com 联系人 郭中耀 (8621)23297818× guozy@swsresearch.com 郭中伟 A0230524120004 guozw@swsresearch.com 马焰明 A0230523090003 maym@swsresearch.com 陈松涛 A0230523090002 chenst@swsresearch.com 本研究报告仅通过邮件提供给 中庚基金 使用。1 2025 三季度业绩前瞻： ⚫ 我们对重点公司 2025 三季度业绩进行预测，2025 年前三季度业绩同比增速在 50%以上的有紫金 矿业、洛阳钼业、山东黄金、赤峰黄金、中金黄金、山金国际、株冶集团、湖南黄金、金诚信、 金力永磁，同比增速在 20-50%区间的有华友钴业、宝钢股份、南钢股份、华菱钢铁、久立特材， ...

作者 | 深鹏 数据支持 | 勾股大数据（www.gogudata.com） 在连续创出历史新高后，午后金价出现回落。 不过，也有国际大投行调高了金价预期。 美国银行与法国兴业银行的分析师，不约而同地发表的最新的，关于2026年的金价目标：5000美元！ 今年以来，不断有国际大投行调高金价目标，其中不少已经应验。 现货黄金今日最高也一度达到4179美元/盎司，续创历史新高，年内累涨超1500美元，涨幅超56%。 A股黄金ETF华夏(518850)、黄金股ETF(159562)早盘飙涨，黄金ETF华夏收盘净值创新高，黄金股ETF盘中净值创新高。 尽管午后回落了，但在避险情绪、降息周期延续、美元信用风险、央行持续购金等因素助推下，黄金市场正在上演一场波澜壮阔的大涨行情。 黄金股ETF(159562)年内涨超94%，黄金ETF华夏(518850)年内涨超51%。 01 抢"金" 尽管今天金价冲高回落，但拉长时间看，2025年以来，国际黄金确实走出了独立上升曲线，其相对收益也超过了传统股债资产。 美银和法兴的最新观点，又会否成黄金新的价格之"锚"呢？ 这一轮上涨行情的本质，可以认为是市场定价逻辑的根本性变迁：黄金正从 ...