Group 1: Financial Performance - In Q1 2025, the company achieved operating revenue of 2.407 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 29.85%, but a quarter-on-quarter decrease of 14.12% [1] - The net profit attributable to shareholders was 483 million yuan, representing a year-on-year growth of 141.10% and a quarter-on-quarter decline of 26.66% [1] - The company's gold production was 3.34 tons, a year-on-year decrease of 6.89%, while sales volume was 3.33 tons, down 7.04% year-on-year [1] Group 2: Cost and Margin Analysis - The sales price of gold was 658.44 yuan per gram, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 40.25% [1] - The gross profit margin for Q1 2025 was 46.42%, up 12.96 percentage points year-on-year, but down 1.59 percentage points quarter-on-quarter [1] - The company's sales cost for gold was 355.09 yuan per gram, an increase of 11.51% year-on-year, while the all-in sustaining cost was 349.09 yuan per gram, up 28.09% year-on-year [2] Group 3: Strategic Developments - The company successfully listed on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange on March 10, 2025, raising approximately 2.676 billion HKD in net funds [3] - This listing marks a significant step in the company's internationalization strategy and enhances its core competitiveness [3] Group 4: Future Outlook - The company forecasts net profits attributable to shareholders for 2025-2027 to be 2.592 billion, 2.984 billion, and 3.364 billion yuan, representing year-on-year growth rates of 46.89%, 15.14%, and 12.73% respectively [4] - The expected EPS for the same period is projected to be 1.36, 1.57, and 1.77 yuan per share, with corresponding P/E ratios of 19.9, 17.3, and 15.3 times [4]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, indicating an expected relative increase in stock price of over 20% compared to the benchmark index within the next six months [6][13]. Core Views - The company's Q1 2025 net profit attributable to shareholders reached 483 million yuan, representing a year-on-year increase of 141%. This growth is attributed to a significant rise in gold prices [3]. - The company's Q1 gold production and sales volume both decreased by 7% year-on-year, totaling 3.34 tons and 3.33 tons respectively. This decline is considered normal as the company focuses on increasing mining efforts for future expansion [4]. - The sales cost of gold increased to 355.09 yuan/g in Q1 2025, up from 300.51 yuan/g in Q1 2024. The increase in costs is primarily due to higher costs at the Jin Xing Vasa mine [5]. - The company expects to achieve its annual production and sales target of 16.70 tons of gold, with no adjustments made to this guidance despite the Q1 decline [4]. - Profit forecasts for 2025-2027 indicate a steady increase in net profit, with estimates of 3.28 billion yuan, 3.87 billion yuan, and 4.26 billion yuan respectively, reflecting year-on-year growth rates of 86.02%, 17.94%, and 10.01% [6][9]. Financial Summary - As of the latest report, the company's total market capitalization is 50.7 billion yuan, with a total share capital of 1.9 billion shares [2]. - The company's earnings per share (EPS) for 2025 is projected to be 1.76 yuan, with a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 15.20 [9][12]. - The company's debt-to-asset ratio stands at 47.3%, indicating a moderate level of leverage [2][12].

证券研究报告：有色金属 | 公司点评报告 发布时间：2025-04-29 股票投资评级 资料来源：聚源，中邮证券研究所 公司基本情况 | 最新收盘价（元） | 26.68 | | --- | --- | | 总股本/流通股本（亿股）19.00 | / 16.64 | | 总市值/流通市值（亿元）507 | / 444 | | 52 周内最高/最低价 | 31.30 / 15.61 | | 资产负债率(%) | 47.3% | | 市盈率 | 24.93 | | 第一大股东 | 李金阳 | 研究所 分析师:李帅华 SAC 登记编号:S1340522060001 Email:lishuaihua@cnpsec.com 研究助理:杨丰源 SAC 登记编号:S1340124050015 Email:yangfengyuan@cnpsec.com 赤峰黄金(600988) 25 年一季报点评：静待瓦萨成本企稳，金价上行 公司业绩释放有望加速 l 25 年 Q1 归母净利润 4.83 亿元，同比+141% 公司发布 2025 年一季报，受益黄金价格同比大幅上行，公司业 绩释放出色：营业收入 24.07 亿元，同比增长 3 ...

Group 1 - As of April 28, a total of 495 stocks in the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets have experienced net outflows of main funds for five consecutive days or more [1] - The stock with the longest consecutive net outflow is Gao Meng New Materials, with 17 days, followed by *ST Jiu You with 16 days [1] - The largest total net outflow amount is from Light Media, with a cumulative net outflow of 2.024 billion yuan over five days [1] Group 2 - China Duty Free has seen a cumulative net outflow of 1.803 billion yuan over 13 days, ranking second in total outflow [1] - The stock with the highest net outflow ratio relative to trading volume is *ST Longyu, which has seen a 26.28% decline over the past six days [1] - The table lists various stocks with their respective net outflow days, amounts, ratios, and cumulative price changes, indicating a trend of declining stock prices among those with significant net outflows [1][2] Group 3 - The gold stock ETF (product code: 159562) tracks the CSI Hong Kong and Shanghai Gold Industry Stock Index and has seen a 1.39% decline over the past five days [4] - The ETF has a price-to-earnings ratio of 19.23 times and has experienced a net inflow of 3.337 million yuan, with the latest share count increasing by 1 million to 430 million [4]

Core Viewpoint - The report indicates that the A-share non-ferrous metal industry is experiencing a renewed interest from actively managed equity funds, particularly in gold and copper sectors, driven by external economic factors and a favorable outlook for gold prices [1][5]. Group 1: Fund Holdings Analysis - In Q1 2025, actively managed equity funds increased their holdings in the A-share non-ferrous metal industry, with the market value of heavy holdings rising to 2.18% of total stock investments, up from 1.76% in Q4 2024, marking a 0.42 percentage point increase after two consecutive quarters of reduction [2]. - The main focus of fund replenishment in Q1 2025 was on the gold and copper sectors, with respective market value proportions of 0.44% and 0.85% of total fund stock investments, reflecting increases of 0.18 percentage points for gold and 0.18 percentage points for copper compared to Q4 2024 [3]. Group 2: Concentration of Holdings - The concentration of holdings in the A-share non-ferrous metal industry increased, with the top 10 stocks accounting for 73.23% of the total market value of heavy holdings, up 3 percentage points from the previous quarter [4]. - The top stocks held by actively managed equity funds in the non-ferrous metal sector include Zijin Mining, Yun Aluminum, Shandong Gold, and others, with notable increases in holdings for companies like Zhongfu Industrial and Chuangjiang New Materials [4]. Group 3: Market Outlook and Recommendations - The report suggests that the ongoing U.S. tariff increases and the resulting economic uncertainties may lead to a sustained rise in gold prices, which are expected to stabilize around $3,000 per ounce, thereby enhancing the performance and cash flow of gold companies [1][5]. - There is significant room for increased holdings in the A-share gold sector, as current positions remain below the high levels seen in the first three quarters of 2024, indicating potential for further investment [5]. - The report recommends focusing on stocks such as Chifeng Jilong Gold Mining, Shandong Gold, and others in the gold sector, as well as high-dividend, low-valuation leaders in the copper and aluminum sectors like Zijin Mining and China Aluminum for medium to long-term investment [5].

中国银河近日发布有色金属行业周报：字节发布多款Agent工具，美团发布AI招聘，多 家AIDC公司宣布扩容2025年4月22日，字节跳动旗下火山引擎发布Agent Devops体系、AI数 据湖服务，帮助垂直领域企业加速Agent开发和运维；4月24日，美团发布AI招聘，岗位类别 包括AI基础设施、智能交互、大模型基座、视觉智能、智能产品等，致力于打造一款Native AI Agent产品。光环新网和宝信软件先后发布公告，拟投资建设天津宝坻三期项目和宝之华 北基地A4A5A6楼项目，反映出AIDC需求逐步提升。 以下为研究报告摘要： 市场行情回顾：截止到4月25日周五收市：本周上证指数+0.56%，报3295.06点；沪深 300指数+0.38%，报3786.99点；SW有色金属行业指数+1.50%，报4641点。分子行业来看， 本周有色金属行业5个二级子行业中，工业金属、贵金属、小金属、能源金属、金属新材料 较上周变动幅度分别为+2.35%、-2.52%、+1.21%、+2.93%、+1.04%。 重点金属价格数据：本周上期所铜、铝、锌、铅、镍、锡分别收于77,440元/吨、20,030 元/吨、22,75 ...

赤峰黄金（600988.SH）2025 年一季报点评 金价上行，利润同比大幅增长 2025 年 04 月 28 日 ➢ 事件：公司发布 2025 年一季报。2025 年第一季度公司实现营业收入 24.07 亿元，同比增长 29.85%，环比下降 14.12%；归母净利润 4.83 亿元，同比增长 141.10%，环比下降 26.66%；扣非归母净利润 4.88 亿元，同比增长 138.59%， 环比下降 26.25%。业绩符合我们预期。 ➢ 点评：产量略微下降，瓦萨矿山成本上升明显。量：2025 年一季度公司矿 产金产量 3.3 吨，同比下降 6.89%，主要是海外矿山一季度入选品位下降所致； 销售量 3.3 吨，同比下降 7.04%。 电解铜产量 1263 吨，同比增长 0.32%；铜 精粉产量 607 吨，同比增长 111.03%；铅精粉产量 722 吨，同比增长 38.61%； 锌精粉产量 4223 吨，同比增长 93.18%；钼精粉产量 174 吨，同比增长 23.01%。 价：2025 年一季度矿产金销售单价 658 元/克，同比增长 40.25%；电解铜销售 单价 68703 元/吨，同比增长 1 ...

Group 1 - The gold market is experiencing intense volatility, indicating a critical turning point for gold assets [1] - Fund managers are showing divergent strategies regarding gold stocks, with some significantly reducing their positions while others continue to buy [1][2] - The investment strategy debate around gold is quietly unfolding, reflecting differing views on its future performance [2] Group 2 - Dong Chen, a fund manager, has shifted from heavily investing in gold stocks to completely exiting them, replacing them with stocks from other sectors [2] - In contrast, Yuan Weide from China Europe Fund has aggressively bought into gold stocks, making significant additions to his portfolio [3] - The divergence in fund managers' strategies highlights the complexity of gold pricing logic and suggests potential increased volatility in the gold market [3]

Investment Rating - The industry maintains an "Accumulate" rating [5] Core Views - The gold market is expected to enter a consolidation phase in the short term, while still possessing upward momentum in the medium term. Recent price fluctuations are attributed to easing tariff policies and profit-taking by bullish investors. Concerns about the sustainability of central bank gold purchases are also noted [1][36] - For industrial metals, copper is seeing a recovery in prices due to increased downstream operating rates and a significant drop in inventories. The market sentiment has improved following the easing of tariff tensions, although uncertainties from trade conflicts remain [2] - In the energy metals sector, lithium production is being constrained by cost pressures, leading to a reduction in operational rates. The market is closely monitoring inventory levels for signs of a turning point [3] Summary by Sections Weekly Data Tracking - The non-ferrous metal sector has generally seen an increase in prices this week, with specific metals experiencing varied price movements [12][18] - The overall non-ferrous metal index rose by 1.5%, with energy metals up by 2.9% and precious metals down by 2.5% [18] Industrial Metals - **Copper**: Downstream operating rates have improved, and global copper inventories have decreased significantly to 641,000 tons, down by 55,000 tons week-on-week. The market anticipates a price recovery due to increased demand and tight supply conditions [2] - **Aluminum**: The easing of U.S. tariff policies is expected to support aluminum prices in the short term, despite an increase in production capacity [2] Energy Metals - **Lithium**: The production of lithium salts is being curtailed due to rising costs, with current production rates at 45%. The market is awaiting a potential inventory turning point [3] - **Silicon Metal**: High inventory levels are limiting price increases, with current social inventory at 602,000 tons. The market remains in a loose supply-demand balance [3] Key Stocks - Recommended stocks include Zijin Mining, Shandong Gold, and Chalco, all rated as "Buy" with projected earnings per share (EPS) growth [7]

Group 1 - The "national team" has increased holdings in hard technology, domestic demand, and financial insurance sectors while reducing positions in multiple energy stocks during Q1 2025 [1][2] - Over 2,400 A-share listed companies have disclosed their Q1 2025 reports, with more than 360 companies showing "national team" as a major shareholder [1] - The most significantly increased stock by the "national team" is China Ping An, with an additional 252 million shares acquired in Q1 2025, totaling 1.471 billion shares held [1] Group 2 - The "national team" has notably reduced holdings in the energy sector, with China Aluminum seeing a decrease of over 50 million shares, and other companies like Chifeng Gold and Shenhuo Co. also experiencing significant reductions [2] - Insurance funds are focusing on key industries related to national livelihood, with the Honghu Fund, initiated by China Life and Xinhua Insurance, achieving a good performance with investments totaling 50 billion yuan [2][3] - The second batch of long-term investment trials for insurance funds was approved, expanding the total scale from 500 billion yuan to 1.62 trillion yuan, with eight insurance companies participating [3] Group 3 - The Honghu Fund has increased its stake in Shaanxi Coal and has become a significant shareholder, holding over 116 million shares as of Q1 2025 [3][4] - The Honghu Fund also entered the top ten shareholders of China Telecom and holds 76.174 million shares, maintaining its position in Q1 2025 [4] - Insurance companies have mirrored the "national team's" strategy by reducing energy stock holdings while increasing positions in key sectors [5]