Email：sunying@zts.com.cn 新疆煤化工正当其时，关注产业链三大投资方向 执业证书编号：S0740519070002 执业证书编号：S0740521120003 Email：nielei@zts.com.cn 分析师：曹惠 执业证书编号：S0740525030003 Email：caohui@zts.com.cn | 上市公司数 | 431 | | --- | --- | | 行业总市值(亿元) | 34,285.67 | | 行业流通市值(亿元) | 30,578.75 | 1、《重视涨价和民爆机遇；关注关 税豁免受益品种》2025-04-27 2、《重视新疆西藏民爆机遇；石英 坩埚内层砂进口价上涨》2025-04-20 3、《稳市场举措持续发力，新材料 国产替代加速》2025-04-13 基础化工 证券研究报告/行业专题报告 2025 年 05 月 09 日 | 评级： | 增持（维持） | | 重点公司基本状况 | | | | | | | | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | - ...

| 建筑央企 | 净利润 | 同比 | 营业收入 | 同比 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 中国建筑 | 150.13 | 0.60% | 5553.42 | 1.10% | | 中国中铁 | 60.25 | -19.46% | 2485.64 | -6.21% | | 中国交建 | 54.67 | -10.98% | 1546.44 | -12.58% | | 中国铁建 | 51.51 | -14.51% | 2567.62 | -6.61% | | 中国电建 | 26.36 | -12.03% | 1425.60 | 1.61% | | 中国能建 | 16.12 | 8.83% | 1003.71 | 3.05% | | 刘母国母 | 16.07 | -40.00% | 1222.72 | -18.46% | | 中国化学 | 14.45 | 18.77% | 444.99 | -0.98% | | 中国核建 | 5.51 | -1.01% | 295.49 | 1.77% | | | | 注:制图/刘昱汶 数据来源:根据上市公司公告整理 | | | 华夏时报（ww ...

Core Viewpoint - China National Chemical Engineering Co., Ltd. (China Chemical) is actively aligning with national strategies to enhance high-quality development, focusing on value creation and risk management while aiming for a stronger brand image and investor returns [2][3]. Group 1: Financial Performance - In 2024, China Chemical achieved an operating revenue of 185.84 billion yuan, representing a year-on-year growth of 4.20% [2]. - The net profit attributable to shareholders for 2024 was 5.688 billion yuan, with a year-on-year increase of 4.82%, indicating continuous optimization of profitability [2]. - In the first quarter of 2025, the company reported a net profit of 1.445 billion yuan, showing a significant year-on-year growth of 18.77%, reflecting improved operational quality [2]. Group 2: Strategic Initiatives - China Chemical is implementing a "dual-driven" model of technological and management innovation, which has led to profit growth significantly outpacing revenue growth [3]. - The company's overseas business has increased to over 30%, and new material industrialization projects are entering a phase of concentrated returns, indicating a strategic shift towards international markets and emerging sectors [3]. - The strategic layout is expected to translate into tangible performance drivers, helping China Chemical move towards its goal of becoming a globally competitive first-class enterprise [3].

行业报告 | 行业专题研究 建筑装饰 证券研究报告 24 年业绩承压下滑，25 年板块基本面有望迎来修复 24 年营收、利润承压下滑，净利率及周转率拖累 ROE 提升 24 年 CS 建筑板块实现营收 86997 亿元，同比-4.1%，实现归母净利润 1689 亿元，同比-14.4%，营收增速同比下降 11.8pct，业绩增速同比下降 21.4pct。 利润增速慢于营收增速主要系费用率上升、减值损失增加、周转率均小幅下 滑。24 年 ROE（摊薄）6.5%，同比下降 1.49pct。25Q1 建筑板块营收/归母 同比-6%/-8.4%。25Q1 建筑板块或受一季度开复工慢于去年农历同期，项目 落地进度放缓影响，展望 Q2 以及下半年，新增专项债发行提速、资金到位 加快，考虑到关税态势下外需面临的较大压力，内需刺激政策有望进一步发 力，加速推动实物工作量落地，建筑公司基本面或将迎来修复。 毛利率小幅改善，费用率&减值损失同比增长，全年 CFO 净流入大幅减少 24 年 CS 建筑板块整体毛利率 10.96%，同比改善 0.05pct，净利率 2.44%，同 比下降 0.29pct，一方面反映出建筑行业整体提质增 ...

Summary of China Chemical's Conference Call Company Overview - China Chemical is a leading global chemical engineering service provider, holding the top position in service volume and project quantity worldwide. The company has designed and constructed approximately 90% of China's chemical projects, 70% of petrochemical projects, and 30% of refining projects, showcasing its strong project undertaking capabilities [2][3][5]. Core Insights and Arguments - **Financial Performance**: In Q1 2024, China Chemical reported total revenue of 447 billion yuan, a slight decrease of 1% year-on-year, while net profit attributable to shareholders increased by 19% to 14.4 billion yuan, indicating strong resilience in a challenging market environment [2][6]. - **Cash Flow Strength**: The company has maintained positive operating cash flow for nearly a decade, exceeding 80 billion yuan in the last two years, which is higher than net profit attributable to shareholders. This reflects strong project management and cash recovery capabilities [2][5]. - **International Revenue Growth**: From 2015 to 2024, overseas revenue grew from 12.1 billion yuan to 46.2 billion yuan, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 16%. The overseas gross margin has steadily increased, reaching 10.5% in 2024, enhancing the quality of performance growth [2][5]. - **Strategic Transformation**: Since 2021, the company has accelerated its transformation by implementing the "Two Business" strategy, focusing on industrial project development through independent research, joint research, and mergers and acquisitions [2][4]. Industry Dynamics - **Macroeconomic Environment**: The domestic macroeconomic environment is expected to be relatively loose, with increased fiscal support and relaxed real estate policies, which may boost downstream capital expenditure and potentially raise chemical prices, benefiting China Chemical's core business [2][8]. - **Capital Expenditure Trends**: The chemical industry has experienced a decline in fixed asset investment growth, but sectors such as rubber, plastic products, and chemical fibers are showing signs of recovery. Coal chemical projects in Xinjiang, with disclosed amounts exceeding 800 billion yuan, are expected to peak in construction in the coming years, presenting opportunities for the company [3][9][10]. - **Demand for Carbon Reduction**: Under the dual carbon goals, the demand for carbon reduction and efficiency improvement has become a significant source of incremental demand in the industry, with a broad potential market for technological upgrades [11]. Future Outlook - **Order Situation**: The company has seen stable growth in new and existing orders in 2024, with significant improvements in new orders in March. The coal chemical sector is a key area of focus, with strong capabilities to undertake projects in this field [10]. - **Valuation and Profitability**: The current valuation of China Chemical is positioned moderately high among state-owned enterprises, with a projected PE ratio of approximately 7.1 times for 2025 and a PB ratio of only 0.72, indicating substantial room for valuation recovery [19]. Additional Important Insights - **Technological Advancements**: The company is actively developing high-barrier projects such as the adiponitrile project, which is expected to fill domestic import gaps and challenge the oligopoly of foreign enterprises [3][14]. - **New Material Projects**: China Chemical has several notable projects in the chemical industry, including aerogel and biodegradable plastics, which reflect its technological and experiential accumulation over the years [15][17]. - **Market Competitiveness**: The domestic adiponitrile market has been heavily reliant on imports, but with increased production capacity, the company aims to reduce dependency and enhance competitiveness against foreign firms [14][18].

行业报告 | 行业专题研究 建筑装饰 证券研究报告 24 年业绩承压下滑，25 年板块基本面有望迎来修复 24 年营收、利润承压下滑，净利率及周转率拖累 ROE 提升 24 年 CS 建筑板块实现营收 86997 亿元，同比-4.1%，实现归母净利润 1689 亿元，同比-14.4%，营收增速同比下降 11.8pct，业绩增速同比下降 21.4pct。 利润增速慢于营收增速主要系费用率上升、减值损失增加、周转率均小幅下 滑。24 年 ROE（摊薄）6.5%，同比下降 1.49pct。25Q1 建筑板块营收/归母 同比-6%/-8.4%。25Q1 建筑板块或受一季度开复工慢于去年农历同期，项目 落地进度放缓影响，展望 Q2 以及下半年，新增专项债发行提速、资金到位 加快，考虑到关税态势下外需面临的较大压力，内需刺激政策有望进一步发 力，加速推动实物工作量落地，建筑公司基本面或将迎来修复。 毛利率小幅改善，费用率&减值损失同比增长，全年 CFO 净流入大幅减少 24 年 CS 建筑板块整体毛利率 10.96%，同比改善 0.05pct，净利率 2.44%，同 比下降 0.29pct，一方面反映出建筑行业整体提质增 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company with a target price of 9.03 RMB [8][9]. Core Insights - The company reported a significant increase in profitability, with a revenue of 186.6 billion RMB in 2024, a year-on-year growth of 4.14%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 5.7 billion RMB, up 4.82% year-on-year [1]. - The company experienced a decline in revenue in Q1 2025, with a revenue of 44.7 billion RMB, down 1.15% year-on-year, but the net profit for the same period increased by 18.8% year-on-year [1]. - New orders signed in 2024 increased by 12.3% year-on-year, with overseas projects contributing significantly to this growth [1]. Revenue and Profitability - The company achieved revenue of 519 billion RMB in Q4 2024, representing a year-on-year increase of 9.12%, while Q1 2025 saw a revenue of 447 billion RMB, reflecting a slight decline [1]. - The gross profit margin for 2024 was reported at 10.5%, an increase of 0.65 percentage points year-on-year, with Q4 2024 and Q1 2025 gross margins at 12.8% and 9.3%, respectively [2][3]. - The company’s net profit margin improved to 3.1% in 2024, up 0.02 percentage points year-on-year, and further increased to 3.2% in Q1 2025 [3]. Cash Flow Management - Operating cash flow for 2024 was 8.7 billion RMB, a decrease of 0.4 billion RMB year-on-year, primarily due to increased cash outflows related to guarantees and advances [4]. - In Q1 2025, the operating cash flow turned negative at -15.1 billion RMB, with a cash collection to payment ratio of 90%/113% [4]. Earnings Forecast and Valuation - The company’s net profit forecasts for 2025-2027 have been adjusted to 6.1 billion RMB, 6.5 billion RMB, and 6.8 billion RMB, respectively, reflecting a downward revision of 4% to 5% [5]. - The report assigns a price-to-earnings ratio (P/E) of 9x for 2025, leading to a target price adjustment to 9.03 RMB [5].

点击注册小程序 查看完整报告 特别申明： 本订阅号中所涉及的证券研究信息由光大证券研究所编写，仅面向光大证券专业投资者客户，用作新媒体形势下研究 信息和研究观点的沟通交流。非光大证券专业投资者客户，请勿订阅、接收或使用本订阅号中的任何信息。本订阅号 难以设置访问权限，若给您造成不便，敬请谅解。光大证券研究所不会因关注、收到或阅读本订阅号推送内容而视相 关人员为光大证券的客户。 今 日 聚 焦 【滨江集团（002244.SZ）】区域深耕优势显著，财务稳健现金充裕——2024年报及2025年一季报点 2024年，公司实现营业总收入691.52亿元，同比下降1.83%（其中房地产销售688.76亿元，同比下降 1.83%）；实现归母净利润25.46亿元，同比提升0.66%。2025年一季度，公司实现营业总收入225.08元， 同比增长64.27%；实现归母净利润9.76亿元，同比增长47.88%。 （何缅南） 2025-05-04 您可点击今日推送内容的第1条查看 【中国化学（601117.SH）】实业板块增长亮眼，盈利能力持续提升——2024年年报及2025年一季报点评 公司发布24年年报及25年一季报,24年公 ...

点击注册小程序 查看完整报告 特别申明： 本订阅号中所涉及的证券研究信息由光大证券研究所编写，仅面向光大证券专业投资者客户，用作新媒体形势下研究 信息和研究观点的沟通交流。非光大证券专业投资者客户，请勿订阅、接收或使用本订阅号中的任何信息。本订阅号 难以设置访问权限，若给您造成不便，敬请谅解。光大证券研究所不会因关注、收到或阅读本订阅号推送内容而视相 关人员为光大证券的客户。 报告摘要 24年公司毛利率/净利率为10.1%/3.4%,同比+0.70/+0.01pct，其中化学工程/基础设施/环境治理/实业及新材 料/现代服务业毛利率分别为10.7%/6.2%/11.1%/7.5%/12.8%，同比+0.8/-0.9/-0.3/-0.5/+3.8pcts。受汇兑损失 增加影响，24年公司财务费用率提升明显，随着公司规模的扩大，管理费用率也有所上行，销售/管理/财 务/研发费用率为0.3%/1.9%/0.1%/3.5%,同比-0.01/+0.24/+0.21/+0.06pcts。25Q1年公司毛利率/净利率为 9.3%/3.6%,同比+1.29/+0.58pcts，销售/管理/财务/研发费用率为0.2%/2.2% ...

行业报告 | 行业研究周报 建筑装饰 证券研究报告 风险提示：基建&地产投资超预期下行；央企、国企改革提效进度不及预期； 关税影响超预期。 本周 CS 建筑下跌 1.46%，跑赢沪深 300 板块 0.71pct，AI、机器人、算力相 关概念标的涨幅居前。从刚刚过去的财报季来看，25Q1 建筑板块营收、归 母净利润继续承压下滑，但专业工程领域钢结构板块收入实现 7.3%的正增 长、化工工程板块归母净利润增速为+7.4%，Q1 专业工程板块经营较为稳 健。近期资金面、基建高频数据和建筑公司新签订单均印证基建景气度在 持续修复，考虑到关税态势下财政政策有望进一步发力，加速推动实物工 作量落地。建议重点关注中西部基建及顺周期专业工程板块的投资机会， 新兴业务板块关注与算力、AI、洁净室等相关的投资标的，主题层面建议 继续关注西南水电相关品种。 24FY&25Q1 营收/归母承压，静待后续财政发力推动板块业绩修复 从刚刚过去的财报季来看，24 年 CS 建筑板块实现营收同比-4.1%，归母净 利润同比-14.4%，受地产行业下行和地方财政偏紧影响营收、归母均承压下 滑。25Q1 建筑板块营收同比-6%、归母净利润同比 ...