Investment Rating - The report maintains a positive outlook on the banking sector, indicating a potential return to a valuation of 1 times net asset value [4][7]. Core Insights - The banking sector has demonstrated steady performance, with a year-to-date revenue growth of 0.8% and a net profit growth of 1.5% for the first nine months of 2025, reflecting a stable regulatory environment supporting bank profitability [10][14]. - The report highlights a shift in focus from scale to balance in credit growth, with banks increasingly pursuing a "quantity-price balance" strategy [4][7]. - The cost of liabilities has improved more significantly than the decline in asset pricing, leading to a stabilization of net interest margins, which is expected to continue into the next year [4][7]. - Asset quality remains stable but shows signs of divergence, particularly with rising risks in small and micro businesses [4][7]. - The report suggests that the current dividend yield of the banking sector has returned to an attractive range, indicating a significant disconnect between stable earnings and stock holdings, which could lead to a value recovery [4][7]. Summary by Sections Performance Overview - The banking sector's performance has been characterized by a steady increase in revenue and profit, with state-owned banks showing better-than-expected stability and regional banks leading in performance [11][12][15]. - The report notes that the revenue growth of state-owned banks has turned positive, with non-interest income contributing significantly to this growth [12][15]. Credit Growth and Strategy - The report indicates a gradual abandonment of scale-driven growth, with banks focusing on achieving a balance between volume and pricing in their lending practices [4][7]. - The credit growth rate for listed banks decreased by 0.3 percentage points to 7.7% in Q3 2025, with state-owned banks maintaining a growth rate of approximately 8.5% [4][7]. Profitability and Asset Quality - The net interest margin for listed banks remained stable at 1.5%, with a slight quarter-on-quarter increase of 3 basis points in Q3 2025 [4][7]. - The overall non-performing loan ratio remained stable at 1.22%, indicating manageable risk levels across the sector [4][7]. Investment Recommendations - The report recommends focusing on leading banks and undervalued regional banks as key investment opportunities, suggesting that the recovery in valuations is supported by stable earnings and attractive dividend yields [4][7].

证券代码：601169 证券简称：北京银行 公告编号：2025-052 北京银行股份有限公司 关于召开 2025 年第三季度业绩说明会的公告 二、说明会召开的时间、地点 本公司董事会及全体董事保证本公告内容不存在任何虚假记载、误导性陈述 或者重大遗漏，并对其内容的真实性、准确性和完整性承担法律责任。 重要内容提示： （网址：https://roadshow.sseinfo.com/） 会议召开方式：上证路演中心网络互动 投资者可于 2025 年 11 月 10 日（星期一）17:00 前将关注的问题 发送至本行邮箱（snow@bankofbeijing.com.cn），本行将在 2025 年第 三季度业绩说明会（以下简称"业绩说明会"）上对投资者普遍关注 的问题进行回答。 一、说明会类型 北京银行股份有限公司（以下简称"本行"）已于 2025 年 10 月 31 日披露 2025 年第三季度报告，为便于广大投资者更全面深入地了 解本行 2025 年第三季度经营成果、财务状况，本行计划于 2025 年 11 月 13 日上午 9:00-10:00 召开 2025 年第三季度业绩说明会，本次业 绩说明会以网络互动 ...

Market Performance - The city commercial bank sector increased by 1.62% on November 4, with Xiamen Bank leading the gains [1] - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 3960.19, down 0.41%, while the Shenzhen Component Index closed at 13175.22, down 1.71% [1] Individual Bank Performance - Xiamen Bank's closing price was 7.52, up 5.92% with a trading volume of 584,400 shares and a transaction value of 4.36 billion [1] - Shanghai Bank closed at 66.6, up 3.20%, with a trading volume of 1,373,200 shares and a transaction value of 1.364 billion [1] - Chongqing Bank closed at 11.20, up 3.13%, with a trading volume of 200,900 shares and a transaction value of 223 million [1] - Other notable banks include Xi'an Bank, Nanjing Bank, and Changsha Bank, with respective increases of 2.05%, 1.85%, and 1.75% [1] Fund Flow Analysis - The city commercial bank sector saw a net inflow of 280 million from main funds, while retail funds experienced a net outflow of 89.43 million [1] - Beijing Bank had a main fund net inflow of 1.47 billion, but retail funds saw a net outflow of 55.81 million [2] - Xiamen Bank recorded a main fund net inflow of 49.44 million, with retail funds experiencing a net outflow of 54.06 million [2]

Report Industry Investment Rating - The report is bullish on the bond market, predicting that the yield of the 10Y Treasury bond will return to around 1.65% this year, the 30Y Treasury bond to 1.9%, and the 5Y Tier 2 capital bonds of large banks to 1.9% (for bonds without VAT) [74]. Core Viewpoints - The revenue growth rate of the entire A-share market and the net profit growth rate of the parent company are at a low level, indicating that the economic growth rate may have stabilized at a low level but still faces downward pressure. The yield of the 10-year Treasury bond is more closely related to the revenue growth rate of the entire A-share market than the nominal GDP growth rate [1][4]. - The loan growth rate has been declining, and the proportion of loans in the bank's asset side is decreasing. The demand for personal and corporate loans may be weak in the long term, while the scale of government bonds may significantly expand. The asset structure of the banking system may face long-term changes, with the proportion of loans likely to decline significantly [21][24]. - Since the beginning of 2023, the proportion of financial investments of large banks has rebounded, and the growth rate of bond investments has increased. The cost rate of interest-bearing liabilities of listed banks has been decreasing quarter by quarter, and it is expected to further decline in the future [1][49]. - The decline in bank liability costs will support the downward oscillation of bond yields. Given the current economic situation, the rapid decline in bank liability costs, and the loose capital situation, the report is bullish on the bond market [70][74]. Summary by Directory 1. Analyzing Economic and Bank Operating Pressures from the Q3 Reports of the Entire A-share Market - **Economic Insights from the Entire A-share Performance**: The revenue growth rate of the entire A-share market can reflect the nominal GDP growth rate to some extent. The revenue growth rate of the entire A-share market and the 10-year Treasury bond yield have a similar trend. The performance growth rate of the entire A-share market is still under pressure, and the growth rate of the real economy also faces significant pressure [5][6][9]. - **Economic Insights from the Bank Sector Performance**: The performance of the banking sector is closely related to the economy. In recent years, the performance growth of the banking sector has been under significant pressure, and the net interest margin of commercial banks has been continuously declining [11][12][15]. - **Financing Demand from the Entire A-share Liabilities**: Since Q1 2024, the long-term borrowing growth of the entire A-share market (excluding finance, petroleum, and petrochemicals) has almost stagnated, reflecting the weak financing demand of market-oriented enterprises. The social financing growth rate generally leads the nominal GDP growth rate by 1 - 2 quarters, but its guiding role may decline in the future [18][20]. 2. Changes in Bank Asset and Liability Situations - **Declining Loan Growth Rates of Large and Small Banks**: The loan growth rate has significantly declined. The growth of personal housing loans is facing negative growth pressure, which significantly drags down the growth rate of personal loans. The loan growth rates of both large and small banks have declined, and the proportion of loans is also decreasing. In the long term, the asset structure of the banking system may change, with the proportion of loans likely to decline and the proportion of bond investments likely to increase [21][25][36]. - **Decreasing Deposit Proportion on the Liability Side of Large Banks and Stable Deposit Proportion of Small Banks**: The growth of corporate deposits of large banks has slowed down. In recent years, the proportion of deposits on the liability side of large banks has decreased, while the average deposit proportion of listed joint-stock banks has increased [37][48]. 3. Banks with Significant Financial Investment Growth in Q3 2025 - Since the beginning of 2023, the proportion of financial investments of large banks has rebounded. In Q3 2025, the financial investments of some banks, such as ICBC and CCB, increased significantly, while those of a few banks decreased. The financial investment increments of large banks, joint-stock banks, and city and rural commercial banks were all significant, and the bond investment growth rates of the Big Four banks and small and medium-sized banks were also relatively high [49][56][59]. 4. Decrease in Bank Interest-Bearing Liability Costs - In 2025, the decline of the current deposit proportion slowed down. Since the beginning of 2024, the deposit interest payment rate has significantly decreased, and the interest-bearing liability cost rate has been decreasing quarter by quarter. It is expected to further decline in the future [60][63][66]. 5. Investment Recommendations - The decline in bank liability costs will support the downward oscillation of bond yields. In the future, the liability costs of commercial banks are expected to decline year by year, which will drive the yield of the 10-year Treasury bond to decline. Given the current economic situation and the value of government bond allocation, it is recommended that commercial bank self-operated departments increase the allocation of government bonds. The report is bullish on the bond market [70][73][74].

Core Points - Beijing Bank (601169) announced a temporary suspension of its large and small payment systems due to an internal system upgrade scheduled for November 6, 2025, from 00:30 to 01:00 [1] - During the suspension, cross-bank receipt services will be affected, while cross-bank payment services can still be conducted through personal mobile banking and online banking features [1] - Customers are advised to make necessary arrangements for their fund usage in advance to mitigate any inconvenience caused by the system downtime [1]

Market Overview - The Shanghai Composite Index rose by 0.55% on November 3, with 22 out of 28 sectors experiencing gains, led by the media and coal industries, which increased by 3.12% and 2.52% respectively [1] - The banking sector also saw an increase of 1.33% [1] - Conversely, the non-ferrous metals and home appliance sectors faced declines of 1.21% and 0.66% respectively [1] Capital Flow Analysis - The main capital flow showed a net outflow of 23.944 billion yuan across the two markets, with 9 sectors experiencing net inflows [1] - The media sector led the net inflow with 2.031 billion yuan, followed by the banking sector with a net inflow of 1.831 billion yuan [1] Banking Sector Performance - The banking sector had 42 listed stocks, with 40 stocks rising and only 2 declining [2] - Among the stocks, 26 experienced net inflows, with 8 stocks seeing inflows exceeding 100 million yuan, led by China Merchants Bank with a net inflow of 452 million yuan [2] - Other notable inflows included Everbright Bank and Bank of Communications, with net inflows of 175 million yuan and 133 million yuan respectively [2] Individual Bank Performance - The top performers in the banking sector based on capital flow included: - China Merchants Bank: +2.20%, 452.42 million yuan inflow - Everbright Bank: +2.10%, 174.96 million yuan inflow - Bank of Communications: +1.25%, 133.27 million yuan inflow [2][3] - The banks with the highest net outflows included: - Guiyang Bank: -70.75 million yuan - Suzhou Bank: -38.44 million yuan - Zhejiang Commercial Bank: -34.48 million yuan [2][3]

Core Insights - The recent disclosure evaluation results for listed banks in China for the 2024-2025 period show that all listed banks received ratings of B or above, with 22 banks rated A, indicating a strong performance in information disclosure [1] Summary by Category Overall Ratings - All listed banks achieved a rating of B or higher, with 22 banks rated A, reflecting consistent performance compared to the previous year [1] - Only six banks experienced rating changes, with five banks improving their ratings and one bank, Shanghai Bank, experiencing a downgrade [1] Banks with Rating Changes - The following banks improved their ratings: - Zhangjiagang Bank - Hangzhou Bank - Huaxia Bank - Everbright Bank - Zhejiang Commercial Bank [1] - Shanghai Bank was the only bank to see a downgrade in its rating [1] Detailed Ratings - A selection of banks and their ratings includes: - Ping An Bank: A - Ningbo Bank: A - Agricultural Bank of China: A - Industrial and Commercial Bank of China: A - Shanghai Bank: B (downgraded) [2]

Regulatory Dynamics - Five banks were fined a total of over 200 million yuan for various violations, with China Bank fined 97.9 million yuan for issues in governance and loan management [1] - The Central Bank's Zhejiang branch imposed fines exceeding 16 million yuan on six banks, affecting 25 responsible individuals, with penalties ranging from 7,500 to 100,000 yuan [1] Insurance Industry - The total fines in the insurance industry exceeded 300 million yuan in the first three quarters of 2025, marking a year-on-year increase of 9.64%, with 86 individuals banned from the industry [2] - In Q3 2025, the insurance sector saw 632 penalties totaling 134 million yuan, with a significant rise in the number of penalties and institutions involved compared to the previous year [2] Industry Dynamics - The six major state-owned banks reported their Q3 results, with Industrial and Commercial Bank of China achieving a revenue of 610.97 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 1.98% [2] - Agricultural Bank of China reported a revenue of 550.77 billion yuan, up 1.87%, while Bank of China and China Construction Bank also showed modest growth in revenue and net profit [2] Corporate Developments - China Pacific Insurance reported a net profit of 45.7 billion yuan in the first three quarters of 2025, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 19.3% [9] - The appointment of Zhao Guid as vice president of Industrial and Commercial Bank of China was announced, highlighting his extensive experience in digital transformation and financial technology [6] - Yibin Bank announced a change in leadership, appointing Guo Hua as the new president after the resignation of Jiang Lin [7] - China Life and New China Life reported significant net profit growth rates of 91.5% and 88.2% respectively in Q3 2025, driven by substantial investment income [5]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" rating for Beijing Bank [1] Core Views - Beijing Bank's performance shows a short-term decline in revenue growth, with a year-on-year decrease of 1.08% for Q1-Q3 2025, while net profit attributable to shareholders increased by 0.26% [5] - The bank's interest income grew by 1.79% year-on-year, driven by scale expansion, although the annualized net interest margin decreased by 2 basis points to 1.26% [5] - The bank's total loans increased by 7.38% year-to-date, with corporate loans growing by 11.98%, particularly in technology finance and green finance [5] - Non-interest income decreased by 9.22% year-on-year, primarily due to fluctuations in investment income, while fee income from wealth management grew by over 10% [5] - The asset quality remains stable, with a non-performing loan ratio of 1.29% and a provision coverage ratio of 195.79% [5] - The bank's digital transformation strategy is expected to enhance its retail financial services and maintain strong deposit acquisition capabilities [5] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - Revenue for Q1-Q3 2025 decreased by 1.08% year-on-year, while net profit increased by 0.26% [5] - The annualized return on equity (ROE) was 9.86%, down by 0.79 percentage points [5] - Q3 revenue and net profit saw declines of 5.71% and 1.85% year-on-year, respectively [5] Loan and Deposit Growth - Total loans increased by 7.38% year-to-date, with corporate loans up by 11.98% [5] - Retail loans grew by 1.99%, with a focus on high-quality residential mortgage projects [5] - Deposits increased by 7.60% year-to-date, with personal deposits showing strong growth of 12.53% [5] Non-Interest Income and Wealth Management - Non-interest income fell by 9.22% year-on-year, while fee income from wealth management grew by 16.91% [5] - The bank's assets under management (AUM) increased by 9.44% year-to-date, with significant contributions from high-net-worth clients [5] Asset Quality and Capital Adequacy - The non-performing loan ratio stood at 1.29%, with a provision coverage ratio of 195.79% [5] - The core Tier 1 capital adequacy ratio was 8.44%, reflecting a slight decrease [5] Investment Outlook - The bank's focus on digital transformation and retail banking is expected to drive future growth [5] - The projected book value per share (BVPS) for 2025 is 13.30 yuan, with corresponding price-to-book (PB) ratios of 0.42X [5]

Investment Rating - The report indicates a cautious outlook on the credit growth rate, suggesting a shift towards quality improvement, with expectations for a recovery in corporate loan increments by 2026 [5][9]. Core Insights - Credit growth is expected to slow significantly starting in 2024, but the decline in growth rate is anticipated to moderate by 2026, with corporate loans likely to see a year-on-year increase [7][9]. - The relationship between credit growth and economic growth is weakening, emphasizing the need to optimize credit structure and reduce idle financial resources [9]. - The report highlights that the banking sector's total asset growth will outpace loan growth in 2025, driven by government bond supply and fiscal policies [9]. Summary by Sections Credit Growth Forecast - New RMB loans are projected at 21.3 trillion, 23.6 trillion, and 18.9 trillion yuan for 2022, 2023, and 2024 respectively, with a further estimate of 14.7 trillion yuan for the first three quarters of 2025 [9]. - For 2026, new loans are expected to be between 17.2 trillion and 17.7 trillion yuan, corresponding to a growth rate of 6.3% to 6.5% [9]. Loan Composition - In 2023, the total RMB loans are expected to reach 237.59 trillion yuan, with a year-on-year growth rate of 10.6% [8]. - Retail loans are projected to grow from 80.10 trillion yuan in 2023 to 82.84 trillion yuan in 2024, reflecting a growth rate decline from 5.7% to 3.4% [8]. - Corporate loans are anticipated to increase from 157.07 trillion yuan in 2023 to 171.01 trillion yuan in 2024, with a growth rate of 12.7% [8]. Regional Performance - Regions such as Jiangsu, Zhejiang, Sichuan, and Shandong are expected to continue outperforming the national average in loan growth due to strong economic performance and support from new policy financial tools [12]. Banking Sector Dynamics - The report notes that state-owned banks are expected to maintain a competitive edge due to lower funding costs and capital injections from the Ministry of Finance [12]. - The net interest margin is in a downward trend, but the rate of decline is expected to slow starting in 2025, with some smaller banks potentially stabilizing their margins by 2026 [13][17]. Asset Quality - As of Q2 2025, the non-performing loan (NPL) ratio for listed banks is reported at 1.25%, indicating a stable asset quality despite pressures on retail credit [37]. - The report emphasizes that while retail loan NPLs have increased since 2021, corporate loan clearances have improved significantly, providing a buffer against retail risks [37].