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中金:欧美缺电叠加国产算力token出海 电力设备企业有望受益
Zhi Tong Cai Jing· 2026-02-26 08:27
根据OpenRouter最新周度token排名数据,中国模型MiniMax/Kimi/智谱/DeepSeek前5占4,国产大模型全 球调用量快速增长。电费可占数据中心运营成本40%。海外面临获电难、电价高等困境,部分欧美地区 2023-2025年平均工业电价较中国可高50%以上。 中金发布研报称,欧美电网设施老旧系统性风险正在提升,持续看好全球开启电力投资大周期。根据 OpenRouter最新周度token排名数据,中国模型MiniMax/Kimi/智谱/DeepSeek前5占4,国产大模型全球调 用量快速增长。互联网大厂加速全球布局,国产模型厂商与全球云服务商形成合作,模型部署在云服务 商的海外节点上,有望利好深度耕耘海外市场、具备海外产能且与互联网厂商形成稳定合作的国内电力 设备企业。 中金主要观点如下: 欧美电网设施老旧,近期暴雪警报频发导致停电风险 2026年1月25日美国超百万户断电,田纳西州、密西西比州断电率超过10%。2月22日,美国11个州发布 暴雪警报,罗得岛州普罗维登斯市市长布雷特.斯迈利表示,由于恶劣天气加剧,预计该州将有约10万 至15万户家庭停电。欧美电网设施老旧的系统性风险正在提升 ...
双融日报-20260226
Huaxin Securities· 2026-02-26 01:26
2026 年 02 月 26 日 双融日报 --鑫融讯 分析师:万蓉 S1050511020001 wanrong@cfsc.com.cn 市场情绪:85 分(过热) 相关研究 ▌ 华鑫市场情绪温度指标:(过热) 华鑫市场情绪温度指标显示,昨日市场情绪综合评分为 85 分,市场情绪处于"过热"。历史市场情绪趋势变化可参 考图表 1 ▌ 热点主题追踪 今日热点主题:机器人、电网设备、化工 1、机器人主题:2026 年春晚堪称机器人"含量"最高的一 届,标志着中国机器人行业正从"炫技"加速迈向"商 用"。舞台上,宇树机器人完成空翻、武术等高动态集群控 制,技术全球领先。随着量产成本下降,一个规模巨大的增 量市场正加速形成。相关标的:三花智控(002050)、卧龙 电驱(600580) 2、电网设备主题:全球 AI 数据中心(AIDC)耗电量巨大, 催生了对高功率、高稳定性变压器等核心电力设备的刚性需 求。目前全球供需严重失衡,美国市场交货周期已长达 127 周。与此同时,国内"十五五"期间,国家电网 4 万亿元的 巨额投资将重点投向特高压、智能化配电网等新型电力系 统,为行业带来了明确的长期订单支撑。相关标的:中 ...
双融日报-20260225
Huaxin Securities· 2026-02-25 01:24
双融日报 --鑫融讯 分析师:万蓉 S1050511020001 wanrong@cfsc.com.cn 市场情绪:87 分(较热) 最近一年大盘走势 资料来源:Wind,华鑫证券研究 -15 -10 -5 0 5 10 15 20 25 (%) 沪深300 相关研究 2026 年 02 月 25 日 ▌ 华鑫市场情绪温度指标:(过热) 华鑫市场情绪温度指标显示,昨日市场情绪综合评分为 87 分,市场情绪处于"过热"。历史市场情绪趋势变化可参 考图表 1 ▌ 热点主题追踪 今日热点主题:机器人、电网设备、化工 1、机器人主题:2026 年春晚堪称机器人"含量"最高的一 届,标志着中国机器人行业正从"炫技"加速迈向"商 用"。舞台上,宇树机器人完成空翻、武术等高动态集群控 制,技术全球领先。随着量产成本下降,一个规模巨大的增 量市场正加速形成。相关标的:三花智控(002050)、卧龙 电驱(600580) 2、电网设备主题:全球 AI 数据中心(AIDC)耗电量巨大, 催生了对高功率、高稳定性变压器等核心电力设备的刚性需 求。目前全球供需严重失衡,美国市场交货周期已长达 127 周。与此同时,国内"十五五"期间 ...
华源晨会精粹20260224-20260224
Hua Yuan Zheng Quan· 2026-02-24 12:18
Group 1: Solid-State Battery Industry - The global solid-state battery industry is expected to achieve GWh-level mass production by 2027, driven by collaborative innovation in materials, processes, and equipment [5][6][7] - The solid-state battery supply chain is evolving towards a "materials-equipment-manufacturing-application" collaborative innovation model, with key advancements in electrolyte film formation processes impacting ionic conductivity [6][7] - The global solid-state battery equipment market is projected to reach 120 billion yuan by 2026, with significant demand for new equipment such as dry electrode preparation and isostatic pressing [7][8] Group 2: AI Applications and Media Consumption - The 2026 Spring Festival has become a battleground for major AI companies to showcase their technological capabilities, integrating AI deeply into program production and real-time interactions [10][11] - The focus of domestic AI large models has shifted from general capabilities to native agent capabilities, emphasizing task planning and multi-modal technology breakthroughs [10][11] - The gaming sector during the Spring Festival saw a preference for high DAU games, particularly in the MOBA and FPS genres, with Tencent's games dominating the market [11][12] Group 3: Energy Sector and Coal Market - In 2025, the State Grid's total bidding amount reached 89.4 billion yuan, doubling that of 2022 and increasing by 27% compared to 2024, indicating strong growth in the energy sector [14][15] - The coal market experienced unexpected inventory reductions before the Spring Festival, leading to optimistic coal prices post-holiday, supported by favorable supply conditions [16] - The release of the national unified electricity market policy aims to establish a market-oriented mechanism centered on supply and demand, emphasizing sustainability [17][18] Group 4: New Consumption Trends - The 2026 Spring Festival saw a significant increase in travel and consumption, with cross-regional passenger flow expected to reach 9.5 billion, a 5.32% increase from 2025 [19][20] - The beauty sector showed signs of recovery during the off-peak season, with a notable increase in sales, particularly in the makeup category, driven by festive consumption [22][23] - The overall retail and catering sales during the Spring Festival increased by 8.6% compared to the previous year, reflecting a vibrant consumer market [21][22]
中国电气装备集团旗下的7家上市企业在细分领域的专业优势明显!
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2026-02-24 05:57
Core Viewpoint - China Electrical Equipment Group Co., Ltd. is a key state-owned enterprise responsible for domestic power equipment replacement and energy transition, formed through the restructuring of several companies in 2021 [1] Group 1: Company Overview - China Electrical Equipment Group is headquartered in Shanghai and includes seven listed companies, covering the entire industrial chain in the power transmission and distribution equipment sector [1] - The group plays a significant role in national strategic tasks such as the localization of power equipment and the transition to clean and low-carbon energy [1] Group 2: Key Companies - China XD Electric (stock code: 601179) specializes in R&D and manufacturing of high, ultra-high, and extra-high voltage transmission and distribution equipment, being the only domestic company capable of producing complete sets of transmission and transformation equipment [3] - XJ Electric (stock code: 000400) is a leader in extra-high voltage converter valves and DC control protection systems, with a market share exceeding 40% for converter valves and 30-40% for control protection systems [5] - Pinggao Group (stock code: 600312) is a leading enterprise in the extra-high voltage AC switch sector, focusing on the R&D and manufacturing of gas-insulated switchgear (GIS) across voltage levels from 500kV to 1100kV [7] - Baoguang Co., Ltd. (stock code: 600379) is a leading manufacturer of vacuum circuit breakers and has a global market share of 23.5%-32.7% in vacuum interrupters, exporting to over 40 countries [9] - Xihua Institute (stock code: 688334) is the only national third-party testing and certification institution in the high-voltage electrical field, providing unique advantages in technical authority and standard-setting [11] - Baobian Electric (stock code: 600550) specializes in high-voltage, large-capacity transformers, with a strong market presence in the ultra-high voltage and nuclear power sectors [13] - Hongsheng Huayuan (stock code: 601096) focuses on the R&D, production, and sales of transmission line towers, covering all voltage levels including extra-high voltage [14] Group 3: Industry Position and Potential - The seven listed companies under China Electrical Equipment Group are industry leaders, with China XD Electric having the highest market capitalization and revenue [16] - XJ Electric is recognized for its strong supporting capabilities in the power equipment sector, while Pinggao Group is a key player in the high-voltage switch industry [16] - Baobian Electric is one of the largest specialized manufacturers of transmission and transformation equipment in China, indicating a robust industrial cluster with significant growth potential in the context of power grid construction cycles [16]
大能源行业2026年第7周周报(20260222):2025国网招标总结煤炭去库超预期-20260224
Hua Yuan Zheng Quan· 2026-02-24 01:42
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the utility industry is "Positive" (maintained) [1] Core Insights - The report highlights that the total bidding amount for the State Grid in 2025 reached 89.4 billion yuan, which is more than double that of 2022 and represents a 27% increase compared to 2024, indicating a faster growth rate [3][4] - The report emphasizes the expected fixed asset investment of 4 trillion yuan during the 14th Five-Year Plan, which is approximately 40% higher than the previous plan, supporting future revenue growth for power equipment companies [4][33] Summary by Sections State Grid Bidding Summary - In 2025, the State Grid's total bidding amount was 89.4 billion yuan, exceeding 2022's amount by over two times and growing by 27% from 2024 [3][12] - The top seven equipment categories by bidding amount included switchgear, transformers, cables and accessories, relay protection, communication network equipment, and reactors, with most categories showing year-on-year increases in bidding amounts [3][12][14] Coal Market Insights - The average operating rate of coal mines from New Year's Day to before the Spring Festival was at a low level compared to the past three years, indicating a tight supply situation [5][33] - The report suggests a positive outlook for coal prices post-holiday due to favorable supply conditions [5][33] Power Market Reforms - The release of the "National Unified Power Market System Implementation Opinions" document is seen as a significant step in power market reform, emphasizing marketization and fairness while ensuring supply security [6][7] - The report recommends several companies for investment, including Guiguan Power, Longyuan Power, and China Resources Power, highlighting their dividend yields and growth potential [7] Equipment Company Performance - Among listed companies, China Xidian, Pinggao Electric, and Siyi Electric ranked as the top three in bidding amounts, with Siyi Electric showing nearly 80% growth compared to 2024 [14][19] - The report indicates that the bidding amounts for transformers and combination electrical devices are expected to grow significantly, with a high concentration of market share among leading companies [19][21][28]
变压器全球告急短缺加剧,印度无奈承认:离了中国,电力缺口补不上
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2026-02-23 18:15
2026年2月18日,路透社曝出了一则让市场意外的消息。 印度政府官员透露,新德里已经开始放松对购买中国设备的限制,允许国有电力和煤炭企业在无需 政府审批的情况下,有限度地从中国采购关键设备。 这是自2020年边境冲突以来的首次实质性松动,一举为中国企业敞开了规模高达7000亿至7500亿美元 的印度政府采购市场。 一名印度官员的解释很直白:这次豁免是出于"国家利益",因为继续阻止中国产品进口,将直接损害印度的制造能力。 一个由高级官员组成的小组已经批 准了相关豁免措施,正式命令预计很快发布。 政府部门面临设备短缺和项目延误,已多次提出放宽中国产品准入的要求。 五年了,印度终于承认了一个残酷的现实:想替代中国制造,却必须先买中国设备。 这个曾经在边境冲突后对中国电力设备设下重重关卡的国家,如今主 动打开了政府采购的大门。 不是外交姿态的调整,不是关系缓和的信号,而是一个简单的算术题,未来三年,印度输电项目的变压器和电抗器缺口高达 40%。 没有这些"电力心脏",新建的工业园区运转不起来,规划的数据中心接不上电,承接全球制造业转移的雄心被卡在了最后一公里。 产业现实面前, 政治意愿不得不低头。 印度电力部门的内 ...
未知机构:国金电新电网设备大涨国内海外多维共振20260212上午电-20260213
未知机构· 2026-02-13 02:25
Summary of Key Points from Conference Call Industry Overview - The conference call discusses the electric grid equipment industry, highlighting significant growth driven by multiple factors including government policies and technological advancements in AI [1][2]. Core Insights and Arguments - Electric grid equipment has seen a surge in demand, primarily due to: 1. The release of a prospectus by Si Yuan Electric for its Hong Kong IPO 2. The State Council's issuance of the "Implementation Opinions on Improving the National Unified Electricity Market System" 3. Continuous advancements in AI technology impacting the electricity sector [1] - In North America, the logic of AI-related electricity shortages is becoming clearer, with demand consistently exceeding expectations. This is compounded by rigid supply capacities and delays in production expansions by major overseas manufacturers. By 2030, there is projected to be a 10% shortage of electric transformers in Europe and North America [1]. - Domestic companies are expected to benefit from the overflow of overseas orders, with leading firms in international markets likely to continue outperforming expectations [1]. Investment Recommendations - The call provides specific investment suggestions based on the anticipated growth in the electric grid sector: 1. High-voltage equipment exports and components: Si Yuan Electric, TBEA, Huaming Equipment, etc. 2. Domestic ultra-high voltage and main grid: Pinggao Electric, China XD Electric, XJ Electric, Guodian NARI, etc. 3. Companies focused on the electricity market: Guoneng Rixin, Oriental Electronics, etc. [2]. Additional Important Content - The "14th Five-Year Plan" outlines a total investment of 5 trillion yuan, establishing a foundation for long-term high prosperity in the domestic electricity market [2]. - The goal is to fully establish a national unified electricity market system by 2035, promoting the participation of various power sources from the "Shagehuang" renewable energy base in the electricity market [2].
中国西电(601179.SH):不涉及太空光伏业务
Ge Long Hui· 2026-02-12 09:02
格隆汇2月12日丨中国西电(601179.SH)在投资者互动平台表示,公司不涉及太空光伏业务。 (原标题:中国西电(601179.SH):不涉及太空光伏业务) ...