Industry Overview Upstream - International crude oil prices are fluctuating at a low level, and PTA prices are falling [2] Midstream - PX operating rate is increasing, and coal consumption of power plants is decreasing [3] Downstream - The sales of commercial housing in second - and third - tier cities are picking up, and the number of international flights is declining [4] Zhongguan Event Overview Production Industry - In the first half of 2025, BYD led in terms of revenue and net profit among listed car companies, while GAC Group's data were at the bottom and it turned from profit to loss. Many car companies saw revenue growth, with BYD and Geely hitting record highs, but only BYD maintained profit growth, and its automotive gross margin dropped by two percentage points [1] - The Ministry of Commerce ruled that US optical fiber producers and exporters circumvented anti - dumping measures on non - dispersion - shifted single - mode optical fibers from the US by changing trade patterns [1] Service Industry - The joint working group of the Ministry of Finance and the People's Bank of China held a meeting, affirming the achievements since its establishment last year and discussing topics such as financial market operation, government bond issuance management, etc. They believe that the coordinated efforts of fiscal and monetary policies provide support for the economy [1] Key Industry Price Indicators | Industry Name | Indicator Name | Frequency | Unit | Update Time | Value | YoY | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | Agriculture | Spot price: Corn | Daily | Yuan/ton | 9/3 | 2302.9 | 0.00% | | | Spot price: Eggs | Daily | Yuan/kg | 9/3 | | | | | Spot price: Palm oil | Daily | Yuan/ton | 9/3 | 9492.0 | - 0.77% | | | Spot price: Cotton | Daily | Yuan/ton | 9/3 | 15460.2 | 0.82% | | | Average wholesale price: Pork | Daily | Yuan/kg | 9/3 | 20.0 | 0.60% | | | Spot price: Copper | Daily | Yuan/ton | 9/3 | 80360.0 | 0.97% | | | Spot price: Zinc | Daily | Yuan/ton | 9/3 | 22220.0 | - 0.20% | | Non - ferrous metals | Spot price: Aluminum | Daily | Yuan/ton | 9/3 | 20743.3 | - 0.22% | | | Spot price: Nickel | Daily | Yuan/ton | 9/3 | 123333.3 | 1.12% | | | Spot price: Aluminum | Daily | Yuan/ton | 9/3 | 16825.0 | - 0.07% | | | Spot price: Rebar | Daily | Yuan/ton | 9/3 | 3154.5 | - 2.67% | | Ferrous metals | Spot price: Iron ore | Daily | Yuan/ton | 9/3 | 782.3 | - 0.92% | | | Spot price: Wire rod | Daily | Yuan/ton | 9/3 | 3322.5 | - 1.99% | | | Spot price: Glass | Daily | Yuan/square meter | 9/3 | 13.9 | 0.00% | | Non - metals | Spot price: Natural rubber | Daily | Yuan/ton | 9/3 | 15050.0 | 0.95% | | | China Plastics City price index | Daily | - | 9/3 | 802.4 | - 0.18% | | Energy | Spot price: WTI crude oil | Daily | US dollars/barrel | 9/3 | 65.6 | 3.70% | | | Spot price: Brent crude oil | Daily | US dollars/barrel | 9/3 | 69.1 | 2.86% | | | Spot price: Liquefied natural gas | Daily | Yuan/ton | 9/3 | 3892.0 | - 1.32% | | | Coal price: Coal | Daily | Yuan/ton | 9/3 | 782.0 | - 0.13% | | Chemical industry | Spot price: PTA | Daily | Yuan/ton | 9/3 | 4749.5 | - 3.34% | | | Spot price: Polyethylene | Daily | Yuan/ton | 9/3 | 7425.0 | - 0.36% | | | Spot price: Urea | Daily | Yuan/ton | 9/3 | 1712.5 | 0.29% | | | Spot price: Soda ash | Daily | Yuan/ton | 9/3 | 1262.5 | - 2.13% | | Real estate | Cement price index: National | Daily | - | 9/3 | 129.3 | - 0.55% | | | Building materials composite index | Daily | Points | 9/3 | 113.1 | - 1.53% | | | Concrete price index: National index | Daily | Points | 9/3 | 92.9 | - 0.14% | [38]

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Accumulate" rating for both A-shares and H-shares of GAC Group, with current prices at 7.67 CNY and 3.38 HKD respectively [5]. Core Views - GAC Group's performance in the first half of 2025 is under pressure, with total revenue declining by 8.0% year-on-year to 42.17 billion CNY, and a net loss attributable to shareholders of 2.54 billion CNY, compared to a profit of 1.52 billion CNY in the first half of 2024 [1]. - The decline in performance is attributed to intensified industry competition, a drop in sales of self-owned brands, and increased promotional expenditures [1]. - GAC Toyota's sales have rebounded, with total sales in the first half of 2025 down by 12.5% year-on-year to 755,000 units, while GAC Honda's sales have shown a positive trend [2]. - The company is focusing on revitalizing its self-owned brands and enhancing its "technology + ecology" strategy, including new model launches and partnerships with tech firms like Huawei [3]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In 1H25, GAC Group's total operating revenue decreased by 8.0% to 42.17 billion CNY, with a net profit attributable to shareholders turning negative at -2.54 billion CNY [1]. - The gross margin fell by 7.7 percentage points to -1.7% [1]. Sales and Market Position - Total sales for GAC Group in 1H25 were down 12.5% to 755,000 units, with GAC Honda's sales increasing by 1.7% year-on-year [2]. - GAC Toyota's new electric SUV has achieved significant sales success, indicating a positive shift in the joint venture's performance [2]. Strategic Initiatives - GAC Group is launching new models to rejuvenate its self-owned brands, including the introduction of new electric vehicles and a partnership with Huawei for high-end smart electric vehicles [3]. - The company is also expanding its energy ecosystem, with over 1,600 charging stations and plans for further international expansion [3]. Profit Forecasts - The report revises the net profit forecasts for 2025, 2026, and 2027 to -1.975 billion CNY, 80 million CNY, and 961 million CNY respectively, reflecting the ongoing transformation period for both joint ventures and self-owned brands [3].

Core Viewpoint - GAC Group has reported significant financial losses in the first half of 2025, with a notable decline in both revenue and net profit, primarily due to falling sales across its main brands and poor strategic decisions [1][2][4]. Financial Performance - In the first half of 2025, GAC Group achieved revenue of 42.61 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 7.9%, and a net profit of -2.54 billion yuan, representing a decline of 267.4% [1]. - The second quarter revenue was 22.73 billion yuan, also down 7.9% year-on-year, with a net profit of -1.87 billion yuan, worsening from a profit of 300 million yuan in the same quarter of 2024 [1][3]. Sales Performance - GAC Group's total sales for the first half of 2025 reached 755,000 units, a year-on-year decline of 12.5%. Notably, GAC Honda, GAC Trumpchi, and GAC Aion saw sales drop by 25.6%, 22.6%, and 14.0% respectively [2]. - GAC Toyota was the only brand to show a slight increase in sales, up 2.6% [2]. Profitability Issues - The gross profit margin for GAC Group fell to -3.4% in the second quarter, a decrease of 10 percentage points year-on-year, while the half-year gross margin dropped to -1.7% [3]. Research and Development - GAC Group's R&D expense ratio has remained low, between 1% and 2%, indicating that a significant portion of R&D investments is not accounted for in current expenses [4][5]. - Despite high R&D spending historically, the company has faced multiple strategic missteps, particularly in the electric vehicle sector, leading to a delayed transition to electrification and smart technology [5]. Strategic Decisions - GAC Group's previous decision to terminate its partnership with Huawei has been criticized, especially as competitors who maintained such collaborations have seen success [6]. - The company has recently announced a renewed partnership with Huawei to establish a new automotive brand, but market skepticism remains regarding the potential success of this initiative [6]. Leadership Changes - The recent leadership change, with Feng Xingya taking over from Zeng Qinghong, raises questions about the company's ability to reverse its current downward trend [6].

Core Viewpoint - The automotive industry is experiencing overall growth, but GAC Group has reported significant declines in both revenue and profit, leading to the largest half-year loss in its history [1][4]. Financial Performance - In the first half of 2025, GAC Group achieved total revenue of 42.61 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 7.9%, and a net profit of -2.54 billion yuan, a decline of 267.4% [2][4]. - GAC Group's second-quarter revenue was 22.73 billion yuan, also down 7.9% year-on-year, with a net profit of -1.87 billion yuan, marking a significant acceleration in losses compared to previous periods [4][6]. Sales Performance - GAC Group's total sales in the first half of the year were 755,000 units, a year-on-year decline of 12.5%, with major brands like GAC Honda and GAC Trumpchi experiencing significant drops in sales [6][9]. - The sales of GAC's main brands, except for GAC Toyota, which saw a slight increase of 2.6%, have all declined, contributing to the overall poor performance [6]. Margin Analysis - The sales gross margin for GAC Group fell to -3.4% in the second quarter, a decrease of 10 percentage points year-on-year, with the half-year gross margin also dropping to -1.7% [6][9]. Research and Development - GAC Group's R&D expense ratio has remained low at 1%-2%, indicating that a significant portion of R&D investments is not accounted for in current expenses, which raises concerns about the sustainability of its operations [7][9]. - Despite high R&D spending historically, GAC Group has faced operational challenges due to strategic missteps, particularly in the electric vehicle sector [9][10]. Strategic Decisions - GAC Group's decision to terminate its partnership with Huawei has been criticized, especially as competitors who maintained such collaborations have seen success [10]. - The company has recently announced a renewed partnership with Huawei to establish a new automotive venture, but market skepticism remains regarding the potential success of this initiative [10].

Core Viewpoint - The automotive sector is experiencing significant growth, with several companies reporting record sales and increased institutional investment in their stocks. Group 1: Company Announcements and Stock Performance - Dongxin Co., Ltd. announced a stock suspension due to abnormal trading fluctuations, with a cumulative stock increase of 207.85% since July 29 [1][4] - The company plans to invest approximately 5 billion RMB in Shanghai Lishuan, acquiring about 35.87% of its equity [4] - The average stock price of automotive companies has risen by 8.47% this year, with Qianli Technology showing the highest increase of 53.86% [7] Group 2: Sales Data and Market Trends - Several new energy vehicle companies, including Xiaopeng Motors and Li Auto, reported record monthly delivery numbers in August [5] - Leap Motor achieved a delivery volume of 57,100 units in August, a year-on-year increase of over 88% [5] - Chery Group sold 242,700 vehicles in August, with exports reaching 129,500 units, marking a 32.3% year-on-year increase [6] Group 3: Institutional Investment - In the second quarter, 80% of automotive concept stocks saw increased institutional holdings, with 13 stocks showing a rise of over 1 percentage point [10] - Notable companies with increased institutional holdings include Foton Motor, Jianghuai Automobile, and China National Heavy Duty Truck [10][11] - Foton Motor's stock price increased by 11.16%, while Jianghuai Automobile's stock rose by 41.89% this year [11]

Core Insights - The automotive industry in China is experiencing intensified price wars and a collective commitment from 17 companies to reduce supplier payment terms to no more than 60 days to alleviate cash flow pressures on component manufacturers [2][4][8] Group 1: Industry Overview - The first half of 2025 saw a significant increase in accounts payable turnover days among major automotive companies, with an average of 187.97 days, up from 175.75 days at the end of 2024, indicating a trend of extended payment periods [4][6] - Out of 18 major passenger car manufacturers, 12 experienced an increase in payment terms, while only 6 managed to shorten them, highlighting a broader industry trend towards longer payment cycles [4][5] Group 2: Company-Specific Changes - Among the companies, Xpeng Motors had the most significant reduction in accounts payable turnover days, decreasing by 63 days to 170 days, while Seres saw the largest increase, with a rise of 101 days to 266 days [5][6] - BYD's accounts payable turnover days increased by 15 days to 142 days, while NIO's increased by 23 days to 220 days, reflecting a common trend of extended payment terms across the industry [6][12] Group 3: Cash Flow and Financial Health - The cash reserves of many companies are insufficient to cover their accounts payable, with only Jiangling Motors and Haima Automotive having cash reserves that exceed their payables [10][11] - Companies like BYD and Geely are facing significant cash shortfalls, with BYD having a deficit of 805.86 million and Geely 462.61 million, indicating a critical cash flow challenge in meeting supplier payments [11][12] - The shift to a 60-day payment term has led to increased cash flow pressures, as companies like Li Auto reported a negative free cash flow of 38 million, exacerbating their financial strain [9][10]

Core Viewpoint - GAC Haobo's debut of the A800, a smart flagship sedan developed in collaboration with Huawei, marks a significant step in GAC Group's ambition to penetrate the high-end smart electric vehicle market, showcasing advanced technologies and a strategic partnership with Huawei [2][3][4]. Group 1: Product Features and Technology - The Haobo A800 features Huawei's latest intelligent driving system, HUAWEI ADS 4, which utilizes AI to enhance scenario data density by 1000 times, and the HarmonySpace 5 cockpit, transforming user interaction from passive to proactive [3][4]. - The A800 is a mid-large sedan with dimensions of 5130mm in length, 1966mm in width, and 1500mm in height, targeting competition with models like the Xiaojie S9 and NIO ET7 [4]. - The vehicle includes innovative design elements such as a three-sided flip headlight and a unique H-shaped front and side profile, enhancing its visual appeal [3]. Group 2: Strategic Positioning and Market Competition - GAC Group's strategy involves positioning Haobo to compete directly with other high-end brands while also navigating potential competition with the newly established Huawei-powered brand, Huawang [4][5]. - Huawang, launched in March 2023, aims to focus on high-end smart electric vehicles, with plans to release its first model by 2026, indicating a strategic shift in GAC's approach to the electric vehicle market [5][6]. Group 3: GAC Group's Support and Strategic Initiatives - GAC Group has committed to providing unlimited resources to Haobo, including top-tier human, material, and financial support, to establish it as a leading high-end brand in China [7][8]. - The company has initiated a three-year strategic transformation plan called "Panyu Action," aiming for its self-owned brands to account for 60% of total sales by 2027, with significant reforms already underway [7][8]. - Haobo has been prioritized within GAC's brand structure, receiving dedicated resources and support to enhance its market presence and customer engagement strategies [8][9].

Core Viewpoint - GAC Haobo's A800, a flagship smart sedan developed in collaboration with Huawei, showcases advanced technology and aims to compete in the high-end electric vehicle market, reflecting GAC Group's strategic shift towards high-end brands [2][3][4]. Product Features - The A800 features Huawei's latest intelligent driving system, HUAWEI ADS 4, and HarmonySpace 5, enhancing its smart capabilities and user interaction [3]. - The vehicle dimensions are 5130mm in length, 1966mm in width, and 1500mm in height, with a wheelbase of 3020mm, positioning it as a mid-to-large sedan [4]. - Unique design elements include a 6-meter light strip and a world-first three-sided flip headlight, contributing to its distinctive appearance [4]. Market Positioning - The A800 targets competition against models like the Xiaojie S9, Zhijie S7, and NIO ET7, while also potentially competing with the new Huawei-backed brand, Huawang [4][5]. - Huawang, established in March 2023, focuses on high-end smart electric vehicles and is set to launch its first model in 2026, indicating a strategic alignment with GAC and Huawei [4][5]. Strategic Support - GAC Group has committed to providing unlimited resources to support Haobo, aiming to establish it as a leading high-end brand in China [6][7]. - The company has implemented a three-year strategic transformation plan, "Panyu Action," to enhance its autonomous brand presence and achieve a target of 60% of total sales from self-owned brands by 2027 [6]. Organizational Changes - Haobo has been separated from GAC Aion and is now one of GAC Group's three main self-owned brands, receiving dedicated resources and support for its development [5][7]. - The company has adopted a transparent pricing strategy and expanded its dealership network significantly, enhancing customer engagement and satisfaction [8]. Future Outlook - GAC Group plans to prioritize the latest technological advancements in Haobo vehicles, ensuring that cutting-edge innovations are first introduced in this brand [8].

Core Insights - GAC has launched its new "Xingyuan Range Extender" technology, with the first model, the Haobo HL Range Extender version, priced between 269,800 to 299,800 yuan [1][2] - The "Xingyuan Range Extender" technology features high efficiency, energy-saving, quiet operation, and AI energy management [1] Technology Highlights - The "Xingyuan Range Extender" electric drive module has reduced its size by 80% and achieves a maximum efficiency of 99% [1] - The power density of the drive motor reaches 17.29 kW/kg under a 1000V high-voltage platform, certified by China Automotive Research [1] - In terms of fuel consumption, the range extender achieves as low as 3.3L/100km for A-class sedans and 5.3L/100km for large SUVs under CLTC conditions [1] AI Energy Management - The energy management system can plan energy control strategies based on traffic congestion and charging station availability, adjusting power according to user driving habits [1] - This results in a 15% improvement in overall fuel efficiency, a 15% increase in pure electric range, and over 30% in seamless engine start-stop operation [1] Vehicle Specifications - The Haobo HL Range Extender version is equipped with a 60kWh CATL battery, offering a class-leading pure electric range of 350km and a comprehensive range of 1369km [3] - It features the latest Qualcomm Snapdragon 8295P chip for voice assistant capabilities and advanced driver assistance with laser radar and NVIDIA Orin-X chip [3] - The vehicle's chassis has been upgraded with a front double-wishbone and rear five-link independent suspension, along with dual-chamber air springs and intelligent dampers for enhanced handling and comfort [3] Future Applications - The "Xingyuan Range Extender" technology will be applied to future models across GAC's Haobo, GAC Trumpchi, and GAC Aion brands to meet diverse user needs [3]

Group 1: BYD - In August, BYD's total vehicle sales reached 373,600 units, remaining stable compared to 373,100 units in the same month last year [3][5] - BYD's overseas sales of passenger cars and pickups reached 80,464 units in August, marking a significant year-on-year increase of 146.4% [7][3] - Cumulatively, BYD sold 2,863,900 units from January to August, with overseas sales accounting for 630,700 units [3] Group 2: SAIC Motor - SAIC Motor achieved a total vehicle sales of 363,000 units in August, representing a year-on-year growth of 41% and a month-on-month increase of 7.7% [11] - The sales of SAIC's self-owned brands reached 232,000 units, up 49.5% year-on-year, with passenger vehicle sales hitting 75,000 units, a 78.5% increase [11] - In the first eight months, SAIC's total vehicle sales reached 2,753,000 units, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 17.9% [13] Group 3: FAW Group - FAW Group's total vehicle sales surpassed 277,800 units in August, with a year-on-year increase of 3.7% [15] - The sales of FAW's self-owned brands exceeded 77,000 units, growing by 15.3% year-on-year, while self-owned new energy vehicle sales reached 34,800 units, up 66.9% [15] Group 4: Geely Automobile - Geely's passenger vehicle sales reached 250,200 units in August, marking a year-on-year increase of 38% [18] - New energy vehicle sales for Geely reached 147,300 units in August, a remarkable growth of 95% year-on-year, with a penetration rate of 59% [18][19] - Cumulatively, Geely sold 1,897,100 units from January to August, achieving a year-on-year growth of 47% [19] Group 5: Chery Group - Chery Group's total vehicle sales in August reached 242,700 units, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 14.6% [25] - Chery's new energy vehicle sales reached 71,200 units in August, up 53.1% year-on-year [28] - Chery achieved a record export of 129,500 units in August, a 32.3% increase year-on-year [28] Group 6: Changan Automobile - Changan's total vehicle sales reached 233,000 units in August, with new energy vehicle sales hitting 88,000 units, a year-on-year increase of 80% [30] - The overseas sales reached 56,000 units, marking a year-on-year growth of 23% [30] Group 7: BAIC Group - BAIC Group's total vehicle sales exceeded 135,000 units in August, with a year-on-year increase of 3.3% [35] - The sales of BAIC's self-owned brands surpassed 83,000 units, growing by 24.5% year-on-year [35] Group 8: Great Wall Motors - Great Wall Motors achieved a record sales of 115,600 units in August, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 22.33% [39] - New energy vehicle sales reached 37,500 units, up 50.92% year-on-year [40] Group 9: Dongfeng Motor - Dongfeng's subsidiary, Yipai Technology, sold 29,100 units in August, marking a year-on-year increase of 62.39% [42] - Another subsidiary, Lantu, delivered 13,500 units in August, a significant year-on-year growth of 119% [42] Group 10: GAC Group - GAC Aion's sales reached 27,000 units in August, achieving a slight month-on-month increase [46]