Group 1 - The A-share market is experiencing increased activity, with the margin trading balance reaching a historical high of 26,047 billion yuan as of January 7, 2026, marking a daily increase of approximately 24.8 billion yuan [1] - Since December 22, 2025, the margin trading balance has accelerated, growing by over 100 billion yuan in just 11 trading days [3] - On January 7, 2026, the margin trading transaction volume reached 3,312 billion yuan, the highest in three months, and has exceeded 3,000 billion yuan for two consecutive trading days [3] Group 2 - The overall trading volume in the A-share market reached 28,800 billion yuan on January 7, 2026, with trading volumes exceeding 28,000 billion yuan for two consecutive days [4] - Several popular A-shares achieved record trading volumes, including LeiKe Defense with 13.23 billion yuan, HaiGe Communication with 12.16 billion yuan, and NanDa Optoelectronics with 10.43 billion yuan, all marking historical highs since their listings [4] - A total of 17 stocks, including Dongfang Fortune, China Ping An, and Ningde Times, have margin trading balances exceeding 10 billion yuan, with four stocks surpassing 20 billion yuan [3]

智通财经APP获悉，摩根大通发表研究报告指出，2025年香港上市的保险股表现优于亚太区同业，其中 国人寿(02628)升87%，跑赢恒指28%的升幅。该行预期，2026年将是主要寿险公司强劲资产负债表、稳 健分销渠道及优化产品组合获得市场认可的一年。中国平安(02318)为该行首选，给予"增持"评级，目 标价上调至100港元。其次为中国人寿(02628)，目标价40港元。 对于非寿险板块，该行维持谨慎立场，对人保(01339)及财险(02328)维持"中性"评级。该行继续偏好H股 多于A股，认为H股具有更有利的风险回报状况，预计H-A股估值差距将会收窄。中国平安(02318)以 2026财年预测市盈率7倍及5%股息率交易，估值吸引。 该行同时将太保(02601)评级由"中性"上调至"增持"，反映其基本面复苏。不过，将新华保险(01336)评 级由"增持"下调至"中性"，主要由于2025年股价强劲上涨后，相对主要寿险公司的准备金质量差距扩 大。 ...

证券研究报告 | 2026年01月07日 2026年01月08日 中国平安（601318.SH） 内外资金共振，核心资产回归——"重估平安"系列之一 |  | 公司研究·公司快评 |  | 非银金融·保险Ⅱ |  投资评级：优于大市（维持） | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 证券分析师： | 孔祥 | 021-60375452 | kongxiang@guosen.com.cn | 执证编码：S0980523060004 | | 证券分析师： | 王京灵 | 0755-22941150 | wangjingling@guosen.com.cn | 执证编码：S0980525070007 | 事项： 2025 年 12 月以来，A 股保险板块实现最高月 20%的涨幅，其中以中国平安为代表的低估值保险个股创下近 四年新高。 国信非银观点：近期以平安为代表的低估值保险板块走强，本质上是政策驱动、宏观变化、基本面、市场 资金等多重因素共振的结果。其一，从外部资金面来看，人民币汇率的升值趋势吸引了外资重新增配中国 核心资产，平安作为流动性好且估值偏低的金融龙头成为核心选择之一 ...

对于非寿险板块，该行维持谨慎立场，对人保(01339)及财险(02328)维持"中性"评级。该行继续偏好H股 多于A股，认为H股具有更有利的风险回报状况，预计H-A股估值差距将会收窄。中国平安(02318)以 2026财年预测市盈率7倍及5%股息率交易，估值吸引。 该行同时将太保(02601)评级由"中性"上调至"增持"，反映其基本面复苏。不过，将新华保险（601336） (01336)评级由"增持"下调至"中性"，主要由于2025年股价强劲上涨后，相对主要寿险公司的准备金质量 差距扩大。 摩根大通发表研究报告指出，2025年香港上市的保险股表现优于亚太区同业，其中国人寿（601628） (02628)升87%，跑赢恒指28%的升幅。该行预期，2026年将是主要寿险公司强劲资产负债表、稳健分销 渠道及优化产品组合获得市场认可的一年。中国平安（601318）(02318)为该行首选，给予"增持"评 级，目标价上调至100港元。其次为中国人寿(02628)，目标价40港元。 ...

A-share market liquidity and flows, continued below. January 7, 2026 09:00 PM GMT China Equity Strategy | Asia Pacific Positions of Active Long-only Managers in China/HK Foreign inflows into Chinese equities accelerate to US$3.5bn in December, driven by US$4.4bn of inflows from passive funds and US$0.9bn of outflows from active funds. Foreign funds added their UW to China slightly in November. Key Takeaways Foreign-domiciled long-only fund flows: | M | | | | --- | --- | --- | | | | Foundation | | January 7, ...

（文章来源：每日经济新闻） 非银金融概念股走弱，华泰证券、广发证券跌超3%，中国平安、国泰海通、中国太保、中国人寿跌超2%。 有券商表示，2025年券商板块基本面持续改善，但板块整体"滞涨"，当前估值显著低估；展望2026年，券商ROE有望重回上升通道，预计 两融余额与衍生品业务将成为券商加杠杆主方向，头部券商并购重组提速，行业集中度有望提升。 保险方面，负债端开门红表现亮眼，头部险企凭借产品结构优化和市场集中度优势，为全年业绩增长奠定良好基础。与此同时，资产端弹 性持续显现，一方面，市场春季躁动有望带动险企投资收益改善，进一步提振利润预期；另一方面，去年一季度低基数效应有望放大今年 业绩同比增速。负债端与资产端双重利好共振，强化了保险板块的估值修复动力。 受盘面影响，证券保险相关ETF跌约2%。 | 代码 | 类型 名称 | 现价 | 涨跌 涨跌幅 ▲ | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 512070 主 证券保险ETF易方达 | | 0.962 | -0.023 -2.34% | | 513090 跨 | 香港证券ETF易方达 T+0 | 2.160 | -0.049 -2.22% ...

Core Viewpoint - Ping An Life has disclosed that it will increase its stake in Agricultural Bank of China H-shares to 20% by December 30, 2025, triggering a mandatory disclosure under Hong Kong market rules [1] Group 1: Investment Activities - This marks the fourth time Ping An Life has increased its stake in Agricultural Bank H-shares, having previously surpassed 5%, 10%, and 15% in February, May, and August 2025 respectively [4] - In 2025, Ping An Life also acquired 7.169 million shares of Postal Savings Bank H-shares, raising its stake to 5.01%, and subsequently increased its holdings to 10% and 15% in May and August [6] - Additionally, Ping An Life made multiple acquisitions of China Merchants Bank H-shares throughout 2025, surpassing 5%, 10%, 15%, and 20% in January, March, June, and December respectively [6] Group 2: Industry Trends - The enthusiasm for insurance capital to acquire shares has surged, with a total of 35 instances of share acquisitions in 2025, the highest since 2016 [5] - The preference for bank stocks among insurance companies is attributed to their average dividend yield exceeding 5%, which is significantly higher than the cost of liabilities (approximately 2% to 2.5%) [7] - The new financial instrument standards allow high-dividend bank stocks to be classified as FVOCI assets, reducing profit statement volatility [7] Group 3: Future Outlook - The trend of insurance capital actively acquiring shares is expected to continue into 2026, driven by low interest rates and the need for stable returns [8][10] - Analysts suggest that the motivations behind these acquisitions can be categorized into two types: one focused on stable dividend cash flows and the other on investing in mature, monopolistic enterprises with solid ROE [9][10] - The stock prices of major insurance companies have seen significant increases in 2025, with gains of 46.02% for New China Life, 35.87% for Ping An, and others [10]

Core Insights - The report discusses the dual nature of the OCI (Other Comprehensive Income) option in the context of the tax adjustments for insurance companies transitioning to new accounting standards, indicating that the impact on cash flow from tax retroactivity is limited [3][4][6]. Summary by Sections Tax Adjustment Overview - The Ministry of Finance and the State Administration of Taxation issued a notice regarding the tax treatment for the transition to new insurance contract standards, effective from 2026, allowing companies to smooth out tax differences over five years [3][6]. - The overall impact of this tax adjustment on listed insurance companies is deemed limited, as most have already implemented the new standards since early 2023 [3][4]. Profitability and Tax Rates - Listed insurance companies have seen record high profits, with pre-tax profits in the first three quarters of 2025 exceeding the total for 2024, while actual tax rates have remained low, indicating a disconnect between tax obligations and operational performance [4][5]. - The average effective tax rates from 2020 to Q3 2025 were 10%, 8%, -1%, -6%, 12%, and 17%, with some companies reporting negative tax rates in certain years [4]. Impact of New Accounting Standards - The core difference in profits under the old and new accounting standards is attributed to the 750 curve, which has declined, affecting net profit levels, particularly for life insurance companies [5]. - The new standards provide an OCI option that mitigates the impact of interest rate declines on net profit, but it also removes the tax shield previously available under the old standards [5]. Cash Flow Implications - The tax adjustments are expected to have a minimal impact on operating cash flows, with the average effect on listed insurance companies estimated at 2.27%, while companies like Xinhua and China Life may experience a more significant impact of around 14% [6]. - The choice of how to account for retained earnings from the new standards will influence the actual cash flow effects, with options to either include them in the taxable income for 2026 or spread them over five years [6]. Investment Recommendations - The report suggests monitoring major listed insurance companies such as China Life, Ping An, China Pacific Insurance, Xinhua Insurance, and China Property & Casualty Insurance for potential investment opportunities [7].

按照现在的股价走势，平安股价创新高、重新站上80元，是极大概率的。 实际上现在平安面对的，并不都是好局。例如最近与华夏幸福的纷争，正如火如荼。平安作为华夏幸福的 重要股东兼大债权人，此前深度参与债务重组，但 2025 年华夏幸福债务重组推进不及预期，双方分歧扩 大。华夏幸福打算预重整，平安质疑其程序合规性，于是便起诉了华夏幸福。这个风险敞口依然上百亿的 烂摊子，依然没能得到很好的解决。 出品 | 妙投APP 作者 | 刘国辉 编辑 | 关雪菁 头图 | AI制图 2026开年两个交易日，中国平安股价接连大涨，已经站稳70元以上，市值突破了1.3万亿元。创下自2021 年3月以来的股价新高，较2020年11月创造的历史高点82.60元（前复权价格），还有不到10%的距离。而 较2022年10月28.54元的低点，已经上涨160%。 "珍惜80元以下的中国平安"。 2021年牛市末尾，一些价值投资者提出这样的高论。这话在接下来的三年里被证伪了，曾经爬上80元股 价的平安，在2021年后经历了股价腰斩。不过时至今日，这一判断又变得有道理了。 2025年，中国平安股价也整体表现不错，尤其是四季度更为出彩，股价较三季度 ...

Core Insights - The emergence of embodied intelligent robots is accelerating their penetration into various application scenarios, highlighting the need for insurance coverage as these devices become more prevalent in public spaces [1][3] - Major insurance companies have begun to develop specialized insurance products for robots, covering property damage, third-party liability, and product quality risks, thereby establishing a risk management framework for their commercial use [1][2] Group 1: Insurance Product Development - Leading insurance companies have launched products that cover core risks such as robot body damage and third-party liability, with coverage limits reaching several hundred thousand yuan per unit [2] - The insurance for robot body damage operates on a "full coverage" logic similar to auto insurance, encompassing various scenarios including operational errors and cyber-attacks [2] - Third-party liability insurance includes coverage for design defects, external interaction module failures, and accidents during use, with flexible terms for different stakeholders [2][6] Group 2: Market Demand and Trends - The commercialization of embodied intelligent robots is driving a surge in insurance demand, with predictions that the robot leasing market could reach 10 billion yuan by 2026 [3][4] - The insurance landscape is evolving to address new risks associated with robots, extending coverage from basic operational errors to include disaster incidents and transportation damage [4][5] Group 3: Challenges in Insurance Services - The insurance sector faces challenges in data accumulation, with confidentiality of core technology data raising the bar for risk assessment [6] - The mismatch between the flexible needs of startup robot manufacturers and traditional insurance models creates barriers to product innovation and implementation [6] - The current conservative pricing of insurance products is attributed to a lack of real data, necessitating ongoing adjustments as more operational and risk data becomes available [7]