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负债端稳定,存单提价换量压力不大:存单周报(0112-0118)-20260118
Huachuang Securities· 2026-01-18 14:06
1. Report Industry Investment Rating No information provided in the content. 2. Core View of the Report - The pressure on CDs to "increase prices for volume" is relatively controllable, and there's no need to overly worry about banks' liability - side. Despite a significant increase in CD maturities this week and short - term fluctuations in capital prices, CDs did not "increase prices for volume", indicating a strong continuation of long - term bank deposits after maturity. The current capital frictions are mainly short - term, such as new share subscriptions on the Beijing Stock Exchange and delayed reverse repurchase placements. The central bank actively smoothed out capital fluctuations, and CDs are expected to fluctuate around 1.65% with limited price - increasing pressure [2][46]. 3. Summary According to the Table of Contents Supply: Net financing declines, and the term structure lengthens - This week (January 12 - January 18), CD issuance was 553.58 billion yuan, with a net financing of - 254.88 billion yuan (compared to - 153.30 billion yuan from January 5 - January 11). The issuance proportion of state - owned banks decreased from 19% to 18%, while that of joint - stock banks increased from 11% to 14%, city commercial banks from 44% to 57%, and rural commercial banks from 7% to 9%. The 1M CD issuance proportion dropped from 26% to 8%, while the 3M, 6M, and 9M proportions increased. The weighted issuance term of CDs lengthened to 7.70 months (previously 7.45 months) [2][5]. - Next week (January 19 - January 25), the maturity scale will decline to 681.57 billion yuan, a weekly reduction of 123.80 billion yuan. Maturities are mainly concentrated in state - owned, joint - stock, and city commercial banks. In terms of term, the 3M, 6M, and 1Y CDs have higher maturity amounts, at 163.34 billion yuan, 174.02 billion yuan, and 266.28 billion yuan respectively [2][5]. Demand: Small and medium - sized banks and insurance companies are the main secondary - market allocators, and the primary - market subscription rates vary - In the secondary market, large - scale banks had a net purchase of 26.76 billion yuan this week, small and medium - sized banks had a net purchase of 97.621 billion yuan, wealth management shifted from a net sale of 2.412 billion yuan to a net purchase of 10.777 billion yuan, and money market funds' net sales increased from 57.166 billion yuan to 137.391 billion yuan [2][14]. - In the primary market, the overall market subscription rate (15DMA) decreased from 88% to 87%. Among different institutions, the subscription rate of city commercial banks increased from 81% to 82%, that of joint - stock banks decreased from 89% to 84%, and that of state - owned banks remained at 91% [2][14]. Valuation: The primary - market pricing of CDs shows a divergent trend, and most of the secondary - market pricing declines - In primary - market pricing, the weighted issuance rate of 1Y state - owned bank CDs remained around 1.62%. Specifically, the 1M variety decreased by 9bp, the 3M increased by 3bp, the 6M increased by 1bp, and the 9M and 1Y remained unchanged. The 1Y - 3M term spread of joint - stock banks decreased by 5bp, at the 9% historical quantile. The 1Y credit spread between city commercial banks and joint - stock banks widened from 8.88BP to 9.46BP, at around the 12% quantile, while that between rural commercial banks and joint - stock banks narrowed from 16.17BP to 7.33BP, also around the 12% quantile [2][17]. - In secondary - market yields, most yields of AAA - rated CDs declined. The 1M, 6M, 9M, and 1Y varieties each decreased by 1BP compared to last week, the 3M remained unchanged, and the 1Y remained at the 2% historical quantile since 2019. The 1Y - 3M term spread of AAA - rated CDs remained at the 11% historical quantile [2][29]. Comparison: The spread between CDs and treasury bonds widens - The spread between the 1Y AAA - rated CD yield and the DR007:15DMA capital spread narrowed from 12.32BP to 8.91BP, and the spread with the R007:15DMA capital spread narrowed from 1.56BP to - 0.52BP. The 1Y treasury bond yield decreased by 4.63BP, and the spread between CDs and treasury bonds widened from 34.38BP to 38.26BP, with the quantile rising to around 39%. The spread between CDs and China Development Bank bonds narrowed from 5.46BP to 3.08BP, with the quantile dropping to around 2%. Additionally, the spread between AAA medium - and short - term commercial paper and CDs widened from 6.13BP to 7.36BP, with the quantile rising to around 34% [2][34].
大额存单利率跌入“0字头”
第一财经· 2026-01-18 08:53
Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the significant decline in large-denomination certificate of deposit (CD) interest rates, with many banks offering rates below 1% for one-year and shorter products, while a substantial amount of deposits, approximately 75 trillion yuan, is set to mature in 2026, leading to a "deposit migration" trend among savers [3][10]. Group 1: Interest Rate Trends - Large-denomination CD rates are rapidly entering the "0% era," with most banks' new one-year and shorter products falling below 1%, and three-year rates generally below 2% [3][4]. - The trend towards shorter-term products is evident, with five-year options nearly disappearing, and some banks raising minimum deposit requirements to 1 million yuan [4][6]. - The average interest rates for various terms have dropped significantly, with the average rate for three-month deposits at 0.944% and one-year deposits at 1.277% as of September 2025 [8]. Group 2: Deposit Maturity and Migration - An estimated 75 trillion yuan of residential fixed-term deposits will mature in 2026, with a notable increase in the amount maturing compared to 2025 [10][11]. - Many savers are opting to transfer their funds from large banks to smaller banks, which typically offer slightly higher rates, rather than moving to equity markets [11][12]. - Younger savers are creatively splitting their deposits among different banks to take advantage of promotional offers, likening it to a game [12]. Group 3: Bank Strategies to Retain Deposits - In response to the pressure of deposit outflows, banks are launching various initiatives to retain funds, including temporarily raising interest rates to around 2% and enhancing customer service through personalized strategies [13][14]. - Some banks are offering promotional products with rates above 2% to attract new customers, while others are implementing pre-reminder mechanisms and tailored renewal plans for existing customers [16][17]. - The focus has shifted from merely selling products to deepening customer relationships and providing precise recommendations based on competitive analysis of deposit rates [17].
工行黑龙江省分行助力龙江冰雪“冷资源”释放“热效应”
Zhong Guo Jin Rong Xin Xi Wang· 2026-01-17 09:19
Core Viewpoint - The signing of a comprehensive strategic cooperation agreement between the Bank of China Heilongjiang Branch and Yabuli Sunshine Resort aims to enhance financial support for the ice and snow tourism industry in Heilongjiang, leveraging its unique natural resources to drive high-quality economic development [2] Group 1: Strategic Cooperation - The agreement was signed on January 15, 2026, with the support of the Heilongjiang Provincial Department of Culture and Tourism [2] - The cooperation focuses on transforming "cold resources" into a "hot economy" through financial empowerment [2] Group 2: Financial Services - The Bank of China Heilongjiang Branch aims to create a multi-level, widely covered, and sustainable financial service system for the ice and snow industry [2] - The cooperation will provide targeted financing support for cultural experience projects in the ice and snow culture sector [2] - Comprehensive financial solutions will be offered for the entire lifecycle needs of smart scenic area construction and operational upgrades in the ice and snow tourism sector [2]
中国工商银行申请外汇挂单交易撮合方法专利,解决逐条数据比对效率较低问题
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2026-01-17 04:14
Group 1 - The core point of the article is that the Industrial and Commercial Bank of China (ICBC) has applied for a patent related to a foreign exchange order matching method and device, indicating its focus on financial technology innovation [1] - The patent application was filed on September 2025, with the publication number CN121329644A, highlighting the company's ongoing efforts in enhancing its technological capabilities in the financial sector [1] - The described method aims to improve the efficiency of foreign exchange trading by addressing the low efficiency of traditional data comparison methods in matching trades [1] Group 2 - ICBC was established in 1985 and is headquartered in Beijing, primarily engaged in monetary financial services [2] - The company has a registered capital of approximately 35.64 billion RMB and has made investments in 28 enterprises, showcasing its active role in the market [2] - ICBC has participated in 5,000 bidding projects and holds a significant number of intellectual property assets, including 976 trademark records and 5,000 patent records [2]
一箱难求!银行“古早”业务突然火了,保管箱为何“爆单”?
券商中国· 2026-01-16 23:38
所谓保管箱服务,其全称为保管箱租赁服务,是银行以出租保管箱形式,代租用人保管贵重物品、有价证券及文件等财物的一项服务业务。券商中国记者从已使用 多年银行保管箱服务的人士处了解到,通常会将重要合同等文件放在保管箱中,"以前也放过金条,在银行买的金条不开封直接就放进去了。" 记者走访多家银行网点发现,目前北京地区保管箱"一箱难求"的情况较为普遍。 "我们这儿现在已经有40多位客户在排队了,但去年只有1位退箱,所以目前也就不再接受新的排队。"工商银行某支行营业部工作人员对记者表示。 近期,银行保管箱"一箱难求"引发关注。券商中国记者近日走访或致电工商银行、农业银行、中国银行、招商银行、民生银行、兴业银行在北京地区的多家分支机 构,仅中国银行一家支行仍有空箱,其余网点均需排队等待或因排队人数过多而不再新增预约。 从排队等待人数来看, 少则三四人,多则三四十人 ;至于等待时长,多数网点工作人员表示无法给出准确时点,因为这一业务已存续很长时间,客户大多为存量 客户,只能等待每年自然退租、腾出空箱;而腾退本身又具有比较强的主观性,因此无法给出明确判断。 "一箱难求"情况普遍 "一般其他网点没有(空箱)了,才会再到我们这儿来 ...
并购市场需求旺盛 贷款投放密集落地
Zhong Guo Jing Ying Bao· 2026-01-16 20:35
Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article highlights the increasing activity in the domestic merger and acquisition (M&A) market, driven by a series of supportive policies from regulatory authorities, particularly the new guidelines on M&A loans issued by the National Financial Regulatory Administration [1][2][3] - The new M&A loan management regulations allow for a higher proportion of controlling M&A loans in the transaction price, increasing the limit from 60% to 70%, and extending the loan term from seven years to ten years, thereby facilitating financing for M&A transactions [3][4] - The implementation of these regulations has led to a rapid increase in M&A loan projects being approved and disbursed by various commercial banks within a short period, indicating a positive market response to the new policies [2][3][4] Group 2 - The new regulations specifically include minority stake acquisitions in the scope of M&A loans, which aligns with current industrial upgrade needs and is expected to promote industrial integration and high-quality economic development [4][7] - Several banks, including Industrial and Commercial Bank of China and Agricultural Bank of China, have successfully issued the first M&A loans under the new regulations, demonstrating proactive engagement with local enterprises to meet their financing needs [4][5][6] - The regulatory environment is further supported by multiple government departments encouraging industrial mergers and acquisitions, particularly in technology sectors such as electronics and biomedicine, which are seeing increased M&A activity [8][9]
财通周期优选混合型证券投资基金基金份额发售公告
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2026-01-16 19:05
Group 1 - The fund is named "Caitong Cycle Optimal Mixed Securities Investment Fund" and is classified as a mixed securities investment fund [13] - The fund's initial share price is set at 1.00 RMB per share [14] - The fund aims to achieve long-term stable appreciation of assets while strictly controlling risks [14] Group 2 - The fund will be publicly offered from January 27, 2026, to February 9, 2026, with a maximum fundraising period of three months [21] - The minimum initial subscription amount for individual investors at the direct sales center is 50,000 RMB, while subsequent subscriptions require a minimum of 1,000 RMB [27] - Investors can subscribe multiple times during the fundraising period, but once accepted, subscription applications cannot be withdrawn [29] Group 3 - The fund will be managed by Caitong Fund Management Co., Ltd., and the custodian will be Industrial and Commercial Bank of China [1] - The fund is open to individual investors, institutional investors, qualified foreign investors, and other investors permitted by laws and regulations [15] - The fund will not open direct sales channels for subscriptions initially, and any future changes will be announced on the fund manager's website [2] Group 4 - The fund's investment strategy includes a focus on stocks, with a target allocation of 60%-95% of its assets in equities [6] - The fund can invest in stocks listed on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange under the Stock Connect program, which may involve specific risks [7] - The fund's investment scope includes stocks from the Sci-Tech Innovation Board, which may face liquidity risks due to stricter investor suitability management [8]
银行“古早”业务焕新机,保管箱“一箱难求”为哪般?
Zheng Quan Shi Bao· 2026-01-16 14:28
Core Insights - The demand for bank safe deposit boxes has surged, leading to a situation where they are difficult to obtain, with many banks in Beijing reporting long waiting lists and limited availability [1][2][6] Group 1: Current Situation - Many banks, including Industrial and Commercial Bank of China (ICBC), Agricultural Bank of China, and China Bank, have reported that they are no longer accepting new reservations for safe deposit boxes due to high demand [1][2] - The waiting lists for safe deposit boxes can range from a few people to over 40, with some banks unable to provide an estimated waiting time due to the unpredictable nature of box availability [1][2][3] - China Bank is the only institution currently offering a limited number of available boxes, but customers must meet a minimum asset requirement of 1 million yuan [3] Group 2: Historical Context - The safe deposit box service in China has its origins in the early 20th century, introduced by modern commercial banks as a means to store valuable items securely [5] - The service has been a longstanding part of banking operations, with many branches reporting that they have not seen significant turnover in box rentals, contributing to the current scarcity [4][6] Group 3: Market Dynamics - The current shortage of safe deposit boxes is attributed to a mismatch between high demand and limited supply, driven by increased interest in physical assets like gold and important documents amid low interest rates and market volatility [6][8] - Banks face challenges in expanding this service due to the need for specialized physical space and high security costs, which limits their incentive to increase supply [6][8] Group 4: Customer Segmentation - Some banks are offering expedited access to safe deposit boxes for high-net-worth clients, indicating a trend towards prioritizing services for wealthier customers [8] - Banks are using the scarcity of safe deposit boxes as a means to attract and retain high-end clients, suggesting that the service may evolve into a more exclusive offering rather than a widely available one [8]
工商银行取得系统防御能力提升专利
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2026-01-16 09:28
Group 1 - The core point of the article is that the Industrial and Commercial Bank of China (ICBC) has obtained a patent for a method and device aimed at enhancing system defense capabilities, with the patent granted under announcement number CN118264445B and the application date being March 2024 [1] - ICBC was established in 1985 and is headquartered in Beijing, primarily engaged in monetary financial services [1] - The registered capital of ICBC is approximately 35.64 billion RMB [1] Group 2 - According to data from Tianyancha, ICBC has made investments in 28 companies and has participated in 5,000 bidding projects [1] - The bank holds 976 trademark registrations and 5,000 patent records, along with 79 administrative licenses [1]
银行业“10万亿俱乐部”扩容至10家,陈国汪详解大中小银行划分标准
Jin Rong Jie· 2026-01-16 09:09
Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the articles highlights that both Pudong Development Bank and CITIC Bank have successfully surpassed the 10 trillion yuan asset threshold, expanding the "10 trillion asset club" in China's banking industry to 10 members, which includes six major state-owned banks and four national joint-stock banks [1] - The total asset scale of the 10 banks now accounts for 60% of the entire banking industry, indicating a growing concentration of resources among leading institutions [1] - Chen Guowang, director of the Financial Industry Research Institute, noted that the significant changes in asset scale among banks have created a clear disparity with the classification standards established in 2015, which need to be updated to better reflect the current industry landscape [2] Group 2 - The classification standards for banks, established in 2015, categorize institutions based on asset size, but the threshold for large banks is no longer applicable as multiple institutions have surpassed the 10 trillion yuan mark [2] - The current classification includes various types of banks, such as policy banks, state-owned commercial banks, joint-stock banks, urban commercial banks, rural small banks, and private banks, indicating a diverse banking landscape [2] - Chen Guowang suggests that the asset scale classification standards should be revised to adapt to the new developments in the banking industry [2]