Core Viewpoint - The primary investment opportunity identified is in resource commodities, particularly precious metals, which have shown strong performance in terms of returns and Sharpe ratios since November of last year [1]. Group 1: Market Dynamics - Precious metals like silver, copper, and gold have led global asset performance, with a significant acceleration in their market activity observed in the past few weeks [1]. - The market is currently pricing in a medium to long-term supply-demand imbalance and expectations of a weaker dollar, with short-term catalysts being the anticipated easing of monetary and fiscal policies [1][3]. - The Reserve Management Purchase (RMP) program introduced in December is believed to have a more substantial impact on liquidity than initially recognized, contributing to a new bullish trend in commodities [1]. Group 2: Comparative Asset Analysis - Other major asset classes face specific concerns: U.S. equities are at risk of over-investment due to AI capital expenditures diverging from returns on invested capital; European equities are hindered by economic weakness and slow fiscal policy implementation; Japanese equities struggle with conflicting monetary and fiscal policies; emerging markets are affected by tariff uncertainties and a slowing weak dollar narrative [2]. - In the bond market, increased government debt issuance due to fiscal expansion is expected to suppress bond prices, while oil prices lack upward momentum due to an oversupply situation [2]. Group 3: Short-term and Mid-term Outlook - In the short term, liquidity improvements and expectations of monetary easing are driving commodity price increases, with an estimated $600 billion liquidity boost expected from RMP and TGA releases [3]. - The market anticipates potential interest rate cuts and even a return to quantitative easing, although this is contingent on economic data trends [3]. - Mid-term demand for resources is expected to grow significantly, particularly in sectors like renewable energy and electric vehicles, with copper demand projected to increase by over 20% by 2030 compared to 2024 levels [4]. Group 4: Long-term Trends - A prolonged weak dollar environment is anticipated, which will support commodity prices as the U.S. economic growth potential faces constraints [5]. - Geopolitical tensions are expected to exacerbate resource competition, leading to supply-side disruptions as countries increase their strategic reserves of various metals [5].

香港联交所最新数据显示，1月7日，易方达基金管理有限公司减持国联民生(01456)150.3万股，每股作 价5.4958港元，总金额约为826.02万港元。减持后最新持股数目约为5229万股，最新持股比例为 11.81%。 ...

智通财经APP获悉，香港联交所最新数据显示，1月7日，易方达基金管理有限公司减持国联民生 (01456)150.3万股，每股作价5.4958港元，总金额约为826.02万港元。减持后最新持股数目约为5229万 股，最新持股比例为11.81%。 ...

Industry Dynamics - The education industry is experiencing a "three-dimensional resonance" with marginal policy improvements, supply clearing, and demand release, shifting the investment logic from policy-driven to performance-driven, with low relative valuations and potential for a "Davis double play" in performance and valuation under policy support [1] - On January 7, the Minister of Education met with the Singaporean Minister of Education, emphasizing cooperation in foundational and interdisciplinary subjects, encouraging top universities to conduct joint research in life sciences, brain sciences, and artificial intelligence, and promoting international technology transfer and talent cultivation [2] - The National Education Work Conference held on January 8 outlined key tasks for educational reform, focusing on nurturing talent for the party and the country, prioritizing basic education, optimizing higher education structure, enhancing education's support for technology and talent, accelerating vocational education development, and promoting high-level educational openness [2] - On January 9, the Ministry of Education released two industry standards to advance the national education digitalization strategy, improve education data management, and regulate the use of interactive smart teaching terminals [2] Industry Performance - The education sector outperformed the CSI 300 index during the week of January 5 to January 9, with the CITIC Education Index rising by 5.89%, compared to the CSI 300's increase of 2.79% and the Shanghai Composite Index's rise of 3.82%, marking a 3.10 percentage point outperformance [4] Company Performance - The top three performing stocks in the A-share education sector for the week were Borui Communication (+30.97%), Huatu Shanding (+18.67%), and China High-Tech (+14.17%), while the bottom three were *ST Guohua (+0.81%), Qinsun Shares (-0.97%), and ST Kaiyuan (-2.63%) [5] Company Dynamics - Action Education announced a share repurchase plan of no less than 20 million and no more than 25 million yuan, with the first repurchase occurring on January 6, amounting to 4.64123 million yuan for 110,800 shares at an average price of 41.72 yuan [6] - Kede Education's controlling shareholder transferred 77.584267 million shares (23.5716% of total shares) to Huaxin Future and Dongfang International Asset Management, making Huaxin Future the new controlling shareholder and changing the actual controller to Zhou Qichao [6]

Livestock Industry - The Ministry of Agriculture and Rural Affairs emphasizes strict implementation of capacity control measures in the pig farming industry, including reducing the breeding sow inventory and controlling the weight of pigs for slaughter [1] - As of the end of October 2025, the breeding sow inventory was reported at 39.9 million heads, a decrease of 450,000 heads from September, indicating a significant decline in the national sow inventory [1] - The report predicts that the breeding sow inventory in the pig industry is expected to continue declining in the first half of 2026 [1] Beef Cattle Farming - The beef cattle farming industry is similar to the pig farming industry, characterized by low concentration and significant information asymmetry, which may lead to substantial price elasticity and expectation differences due to prolonged losses and capacity reduction [2] - There is a strong correlation between beef and raw milk prices over the long term, and when beef prices rise, dairy farms may sell dairy cows as fattening cattle, reducing the supply of raw milk and creating a linkage effect between meat and milk prices [2] Poultry Farming - The introduction of grandparent chickens is gradually recovering, maintaining high levels of inventory, with no significant signs of reduction in the short term [3] - As of the 48th week of 2025, the inventory of parent stock chickens was reported at 1.3417 million, at a historical high, with parent stock chick sales reaching a record high of 2.0059 million sets [3] Agricultural Products - For palm oil, the forecast for 2026 indicates that aging trees and reduced rainfall in production areas may hinder sustained high output, with demand being a major driver of prices [4] - The total national sugar production for the 2025/26 season is estimated to reach 11.7 million tons, with a narrowing supply-demand gap and increased imports leading to a short-term easing of domestic supply [4] New Planting - The price of cordyceps has remained high due to supply constraints, and achieving large-scale, low-cost, high-quality production requires ongoing investment in research and development [5] - Companies like Zhongxing Junye are increasing their focus on artificial cordyceps cultivation, indicating potential growth opportunities [5] Investment Recommendations - For pig farming, companies to watch include Muyuan Foods, Wens Foodstuff Group, Dekang Agriculture, and Tiankang Biological [6] - For beef farming, recommended companies include Youran Agriculture, Modern Farming, and Bright Food Group [6] - In new planting, attention is suggested for Zhongxing Junye, Hualv Biological, and Xue Rong Biological [6]

Core Insights - The U.S. tech bubble from 1995 to 2000 was driven by technological advancements, macroeconomic changes, regulatory relaxation, and monetary policy adjustments, providing valuable lessons for today's market [1] Group 1: Formation of the Bubble - The bubble was fueled by multiple core drivers, including the internet revolution that significantly increased U.S. labor productivity and a macroeconomic environment that maintained resilience during the 1997-1998 overseas crisis [1][2] - The 1996 Telecommunications Act created a unified internet market, while relaxed financial regulations encouraged mixed operations, contributing to the bubble's formation [1][2] - The monetary policy under Alan Greenspan was initially flexible and technology-friendly from 1995 to 1999, only shifting to a restrictive stance in 2000 to curb stock market overheating [1][2] Group 2: Evolution of the Bubble - The bubble's evolution can be divided into three phases: - 1995-1997 marked the prologue, with the IPO of Netscape in 1995 igniting a tech IPO boom and a balanced market development [2][31] - 1998-1999 saw an investment climax, with capital flowing into the U.S. due to overseas turmoil and the Federal Reserve's emergency rate cuts, leading to a surge in tech stocks [2][42] - The bubble burst in 2000 due to multiple factors, including continuous rate hikes by the Federal Reserve, cash flow crises in internet companies, and the Microsoft antitrust case, resulting in a significant drop in the Nasdaq index [2][42] Group 3: Underlying Logic of the Bubble - The core logic behind the bubble is evident: loose liquidity and responsive monetary policy formed the foundation, while the profit-seeking nature of capitalism and regulatory relaxation acted as the driving force [2][3] - Uncontrolled leverage expansion, driven by credit descent, was crucial in pushing the bubble to extremes, with stock option incentives and lax accounting rules contributing to capital inflation [2][3] Group 4: Lessons Learned - The essence of technological progress is productivity improvement, and excessive capital investment during periods of enthusiasm can hinder efficiency gains [3] - Investors should be cautious of narratives detached from fundamentals, emphasizing cash flow and real profitability [3] - Regulatory frameworks must balance innovation and risk to prevent excessive leverage, while monetary policy should consider multiple objectives and carefully manage liquidity adjustments [3]

Core Viewpoint - The report highlights a significant outflow of main capital from various stocks in the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets, with 387 stocks experiencing net outflows for five consecutive days or more, indicating potential investment risks in these companies [1][2][3][4]. Group 1: Main Capital Outflow Statistics - The stock with the longest continuous net outflow is Dameng Data, with 23 days of outflows [1]. - Daqin Railway follows with 20 days of net outflows, totaling 2.711 billion yuan [1]. - The total net outflow for Daqin Railway over 20 days is the highest at 2.711 billion yuan, while Xiechuang Data has a net outflow of 1.914 billion yuan over five days [1][2]. Group 2: Stocks with Significant Outflows - The top stocks by net outflow duration include: - Daqin Railway: 20 days, 2.711 billion yuan, 18.68% of trading volume, -6.22% cumulative change [1]. - Dameng Data: 23 days, 0.503 billion yuan, 7.58% of trading volume, 14.15% cumulative change [2]. - Haima Automobile: 12 days, 1.626 billion yuan, 8.26% of trading volume, -18.59% cumulative change [1]. Group 3: Other Notable Stocks - Other stocks with notable outflows include: - Wuzhou Xinchun: 5 days, 1.574 billion yuan, 5.24% of trading volume, 11.62% cumulative change [1]. - Dongshan Precision: 6 days, 1.512 billion yuan, 6.91% of trading volume, -6.80% cumulative change [1]. - Shengtai Electronics: 10 days, 1.377 billion yuan, 8.47% of trading volume, -8.71% cumulative change [1].

■ 保荐代表人：周巍 阙雯磊 国联民生证券承销保荐有限公司 2026年1月7日 ...

Core Insights - Wealth management capability is becoming a key factor for high-quality development in investment banking [1][2] - The transition from traditional debt and equity business to trading and ultimately to the integration of wealth management and financial technology is emphasized [1] - Current issues in China's securities industry include a lack of wealth management services, insufficient depth in buy-side advisory, and low client trust [1] Industry Analysis - The evolution of international investment banks, exemplified by Goldman Sachs, highlights the importance of wealth management for long-term competitiveness [1] - There is a need for diversified products and multi-strategy trading tools to meet the growing asset allocation and stable appreciation demands of residents [1] - The industry faces challenges such as single trading strategies and severe product homogeneity [1] Strategic Recommendations - The transformation towards buy-side advisory is seen as an inevitable direction for the industry [1][2] - In a low-interest-rate environment, asset allocation should leverage diversified products and strategies to enhance risk resistance and yield stability [1] - The positive impact of quantitative trading and algorithmic technology on market liquidity and efficiency should be recognized, promoting a "finance for good" development philosophy [1]

登录新浪财经APP 搜索【信披】查看更多考评等级 保荐代表人： 周栋 何义豪 国联民生证券承销保荐有限公司 2026年1月6日 国联民生证券承销保荐有限公司 关于山东南山智尚科技股份有限公司 2025年度持续督导培训情况的报告 根据《证券发行上市保荐业务管理办法》《深圳证券交易所上市公司自律监管指引第13号——保荐业 务》《深圳证券交易所上市公司自律监管指引第2号——创业板上市公司规范运作》《深圳证券交易所 创业板股票上市规则》等有关规定的要求，作为山东南山智尚科技股份有限公司（以下简称"南山智 尚"或"公司"）向特定对象发行股票并在创业板上市的保荐机构，国联民生证券承销保荐有限公司（以 下简称"保荐机构"）于2025年12月23日对南山智尚董事、高级管理人员及其他相关人员等进行了2025年 度持续督导现场培训。 本次培训通过演示培训讲义、解读法规条文及案例分析等形式进行，重点对2025年修订的法律法规如上 市公司治理准则、上市公司募集资金监管规则等及近年来典型违规处罚案例等方面进行了阐述分析。 二、培训对象 南山智尚接受培训的人员为公司董事、高级管理人员及其他相关人员等。 三、培训效果 保荐机构认为，通过本 ...