（记者 曾健辉） 每经头条（nbdtoutiao）——股民发帖求主力拉涨停，次日竟成真！襄阳轴承涨停迷局背后：平台审核 漏洞与市场操纵疑云发酵 每经AI快讯，美瑞新材发布公告称，2025年12月2日16:00-17:00，美瑞新材接受国联民生证券等投资者 调研，公司董事会秘书兼财务总监都英涛，证券事务代表王越参与接待，并回答了投资者提出的问题。 ...

Core Insights - The 2025 Analyst Conference highlighted the potential for a bull market in A-shares, attracting global capital inflow [1][4] - The military industry is expected to experience a "good start" in 2026, driven by increasing demand and structural opportunities [1][3] Investment Directions - **Aerospace**: Driven by national security and modernization needs, the demand for aircraft and missiles is expected to remain strong, representing a solid growth area within the military sector [1][4] - **Military Trade**: The complex international geopolitical landscape has underscored the rigidity of global defense demand, making military trade exports a significant growth market for competitive domestic military enterprises [1][4] - **Military-Civilian Integration**: The military industry possesses cutting-edge technology with substantial potential for conversion to civilian applications, particularly in emerging sectors like commercial aerospace [2][5] Risks and Considerations - **Major Client Risk**: The domestic military is the primary demand source, and its procurement pace and pricing system significantly impact industry profits. Recent trends show demand growth outpacing military budget increases, leading to potential pricing pressures and challenges in profitability [3][6] - The need for investors to remain rational and closely monitor military procurement policies and pricing dynamics while focusing on the three main investment lines: aerospace, military trade, and military-civilian integration [3][6]

消息面上，据智通财经，在政策引导和产业整合现实需求的双轮驱动下，A股并购重组市场正以惊人速 度扩容，券商投行业务格局随之生变。当下，并购重组既能为券商投行业务收入添增量，亦可能为其他 业务添动能，已从券商投行业务工具箱中的"可选项"变为"优选项"甚至"必选项"。在业内人士看来，我 国并购重组市场规模有望稳步扩大，在这一过程中，券商投行仍须在估值定价、风险识别等方面持续发 力以强化自身市场竞争力。 国泰海通证券表示，中国资本市场处于大发展的周期，股指向上还有很大空间。中国也将在12-2月迎来 政策、流动性、基本面的共振期，市场调整后组合上逐步增加进攻性。看好：1）科技成长。2）大金 融：资本市场改革纵深有望重振风偏，12月风格或攻守易势，推荐：券商/保险。3）消费。 中原证券表示，展望2026年，证券行业较高的经营景气度有望得到进一步延续，券商板块平均估值持续 走低的空间相对有限。预计2025年最后一个交易月券商板块将在当前的相对低位再度构建震荡区间并进 行蓄势整理，以期为来年酝酿新的投资机会。如果券商板块估值进一步下移至1.30倍上方，仍是再度布 局券商板块的良机，积极保持对政策面、市场面以及券商板块的持续关 ...

导读：在森峰激光主动终止创业板IPO近十个月后，随着曹冬、曹文轩二人同时被深交所约谈，其彼时 闯关A股上市失败背后的更多内幕也浮出了水面。森峰激光或许自己也没有想到，其创业板IPO在前期 已"扛"过深交所多达三轮次的审核问询且已顺利通过深交所上市委会议审核一年多时间后，深交所还会 重新对其提起现场督导。 作者：赵 擎@北京 编辑：翟 睿@北京 2025年12月1日，在这个2025年最后一个月的第一个工作日，两名来自国联民生证券的保荐代表人—— 曹冬、曹文轩出现在了位于深圳市福田区深南大道2012号的深交所大楼中，与以往多次来此报送投行项 目材料或参与IPO挂牌仪式不同，二人此行是因在执业过程中因涉相关违规行为被监管层查处而被深交 所上市审核中心约谈。 曹冬、曹文轩二人皆是在国联民生证券中从业长达十余年的资深投行人士。 公开信息显示，曹文轩于2008年7月入职民生证券，并由此拉开了其此后近二十年的券商从业序幕。 2012年，曹文轩正式注册成为一名合格的保荐代表人，并在此后参与和主导了多起IPO项目。 相较于曹文轩，曹冬的从业资历略浅。 在湖南省地方金融管理局官方网站2023年7月19日发布的一篇名为《躬身入局， ...

来源：市场资讯 【国联民生海外 | 美股科技行业点评】从全球科技巨头最新财报看AI泡沫论 来源：声鸣海外 Global 报告摘要 事件：芝加哥联储古尔斯比警告AI投资热潮现投机泡沫迹象。芝加哥联邦储备银行行长古尔斯比在 2025年10月讲话中指出AI投资狂热可能已出现过热迹象。 AI泡沫论兴起的主流观点是ROI缺口。头部科技公司CapEx激增而AI收入目前无法跟上。微软、谷歌、 Meta、亚马逊等科技公司每年投入数千亿美元购GPU和建设数据中心。空头认为为了收回这些成本， AI行业每年需要产生数千亿美元的增量收入，然而目前头部AI公司收入体量和CapEx之间有着较大鸿沟 （2025年底OpenAI ARR约200亿美元，Anthropic ARR约90亿美元）。 最新财报情况来看，头部科技公司资本开支加速，云和广告增长强劲。AI投入方面，头部科技公司资 本开支继续加速。头部科技公司2025三季度CapEx环比增长，CapEx合计突破1000亿美元。谷歌和Meta 上修2025年CapEx指引。四家公司均预计2026年CapEx将继续增长。AI产出方面，AI继续赋能头部科技 公司的云、电商、广告等业务。广告方面 ...

Core Viewpoint - The Chicago Federal Reserve President Goolsbee warns of signs of speculative bubbles in the AI investment frenzy, highlighting a significant gap between capital expenditures (CapEx) and AI revenue growth among leading tech companies [3]. Group 1: AI Investment and CapEx Trends - Leading tech companies are experiencing accelerated capital expenditures, with a combined CapEx exceeding $100 billion in Q3 2025, and expectations for continued growth into 2026 [4][7]. - Major companies like Google and Meta have revised their 2025 CapEx guidance upwards, indicating strong investment in AI infrastructure [7]. - The anticipated CapEx for Amazon in 2025 is approximately $125 billion, with expectations for further increases in 2026 [7]. Group 2: AI Revenue Growth and Business Impact - AI is significantly enhancing the cloud, e-commerce, and advertising sectors for leading tech companies, with Meta reporting a 30% increase in Instagram usage and a 14% reduction in cost per lead for advertisers using AI tools [9]. - Microsoft has seen a three-digit percentage increase in commercial orders, with AI functionalities reaching 900 million monthly active users [9]. - Google's AI-related product revenue has surged by over 200% year-on-year, while Amazon's AWS revenue growth has reached its highest level in 11 quarters at 20.2% [9]. Group 3: Concerns Over AI Bubble and ROI - Market concerns regarding an AI bubble stem from the mismatch between accelerating CapEx and lagging revenue recovery, with CapEx serving as a leading indicator [5][11]. - The analysis suggests that as initial CapEx investments materialize, AI revenue is beginning to accelerate, with a focus on the "scissors difference" between AI revenue and depreciation [11][12]. - Key observation points for the future include the transition from infrastructure to application realization, particularly in areas like Google Cloud Platform (GCP), Microsoft Azure, and Amazon AWS [12]. Group 4: Investment Outlook - The outlook for AI remains positive, with expectations of continued revenue acceleration among the top four tech companies, and ongoing improvements in technology and efficiency [6][13]. - The investment community is encouraged to focus on specific companies such as Google, NVIDIA, Broadcom, and LITE as potential beneficiaries of the AI growth trend [6].

Core Viewpoint - The Jiangsu state-owned enterprise reform sector experienced a slight increase of 0.2% on December 1, with Suhao Huihong leading the gains. The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 3914.01, up 0.65%, while the Shenzhen Component Index closed at 13146.72, up 1.25% [1]. Group 1: Stock Performance - Suhao Huihong (600981) closed at 3.39, with a significant increase of 10.06%, and a trading volume of 1.6251 million shares, amounting to a transaction value of 515 million yuan [1]. - Zhongsheng Gaoke (002778) also saw a rise of 10.00%, closing at 24.09, with a trading volume of 38,600 shares and a transaction value of 92.1486 million yuan [1]. - Happiness Blue Ocean (300528) increased by 8.25%, closing at 23.88, with a trading volume of 501,800 shares and a transaction value of 1.202 billion yuan [1]. Group 2: Capital Flow - The Jiangsu state-owned enterprise reform sector experienced a net outflow of 56.16 million yuan from main funds, while retail investors saw a net inflow of 25.39 million yuan [2]. - Main funds showed a significant net inflow in Suhao Huihong (600981) of 63.38 million yuan, representing 12.30% of the total, despite a net outflow of 67.48 million yuan from retail investors [3]. - Happiness Blue Ocean (300528) had a net inflow of 61.16 million yuan from main funds, but also faced a net outflow of 72.62 million yuan from retail investors [3].

Market Overview - On December 1, the securities sector rose by 0.44% compared to the previous trading day, with Guolian Minsheng leading the gains [1] - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 3914.01, up 0.65%, while the Shenzhen Component Index closed at 13146.72, up 1.25% [1] Individual Stock Performance - Guolian Minsheng (601456) closed at 10.54, with a gain of 3.03% and a trading volume of 720,300 shares, amounting to a transaction value of 760 million [1] - Other notable gainers included: - Zhuhai Dream Travel (601211) at 19.62, up 2.40% [1] - Changjiang Securities (000783) at 8.12, up 2.27% [1] - Conversely, Tianfeng Securities (601162) saw a significant decline of 7.66%, closing at 4.46 with a trading volume of 6,572,300 shares [2] - Dongfang Caifu (300059) decreased by 1.32%, closing at 23.09 with a transaction value of 7.102 billion [2] Capital Flow Analysis - The securities sector experienced a net outflow of 1.852 billion from institutional investors, while retail investors saw a net inflow of 1.846 billion [2] - Notable capital flows included: - Guolian Minsheng had a net inflow of 25.68 million from institutional investors, but a net outflow of 52.52 million from retail investors [3] - Xinyang Securities (601377) had a net inflow of 14.65 million from institutional investors, with retail investors contributing a net inflow of 363.22 million [3]

Core Insights - HuaiBei is positioning itself as a "demonstration city for green transformation" and a "national important new comprehensive energy base" focusing on the new energy materials and high-end fine chemicals industry [1] Industry Development - HuaiBei has identified the new energy materials and high-end fine chemicals industry as a core driver for transformation, leveraging strategic opportunities from the Yangtze River Delta integration and the rise of central regions [2] - The city has attracted over 50 leading enterprises, achieving an annual production capacity of 900,000 tons of methanol, 600,000 tons of ethanol, and over 2.6 million tons of various chemical products [2] Infrastructure and Support - The Linhuan Chemical Park is central to the industrial development, offering comprehensive support including talent policies, integrated facilities, optimized pricing mechanisms, and a high-standard wastewater treatment system [2] - The park has become a competitive chemical park during the 14th Five-Year Plan, with a safety risk level rated as D [2] Innovation and Technology - HuaiBei is focusing on integrating technological and industrial innovation, with a significant investment of 370 million yuan in a technology innovation accelerator that serves as a key link from "laboratory" to "production line" [4] - The park currently hosts 18 provincial innovation platforms, 18 national high-tech enterprises, and has accumulated 613 utility model patents and 200 invention patents [4] Policy Incentives - HuaiBei has introduced a series of targeted incentive measures for the manufacturing sector, including rewards for companies achieving certain revenue milestones and support for newly completed projects exceeding 500 million yuan in fixed assets [5] Future Development Plans - The industrial development blueprint for HuaiBei includes a focus on the methanol industry chain, with plans to expand into five key sub-sectors: new energy materials, functional additives, electronic chemicals, pharmaceutical intermediates, and new chemical materials [6] - The goal is to achieve a revenue of over 50 billion yuan by 2030, with significant market potential in silicon-carbon anodes for new energy batteries estimated at nearly 30 billion yuan [6] Strategic Recommendations - HuaiBei should accelerate energy structure optimization and process re-engineering, exploring coupling development paths with green electricity and green hydrogen, as well as the feasibility of coupling with biomass resources and bio-based chemicals [7]

Core Viewpoint - The home appliance industry demonstrated resilience during the Double Eleven shopping festival, supported by policy measures and structural benefits, indicating a positive outlook for demand and growth in the sector [1][2][3] Group 1: Market Performance - The home appliance sector achieved resilient growth during Double Eleven, driven by promotional discounts and the recovery of policy funding, which is expected to support demand for essential appliances and structural upgrades [1] - Major brands like Midea and Haier maintained strong performance, with Midea's COLMO product line seeing over 40% growth in bundled sales, and Haier achieving sales exceeding 4 billion yuan [1] - The trend of younger consumers engaging with home appliances is notable, with Midea's growth in this demographic exceeding 50% and Haier's Z generation growth at 38% [1] Group 2: Export Trends - The home appliance export market is showing signs of improvement, with leading companies experiencing a rebound in overseas business despite high baseline pressures [2] - Positive developments in US-China trade negotiations and ongoing global capacity expansion are expected to enhance the ability of leading companies to manage trade risks and improve profit margins in overseas markets [2] Group 3: Investment Outlook - The home appliance industry is rated as "stronger than the market," with limited pressure on domestic sales and a gradual recovery expected in exports [3] - The sector's valuation has returned to historical lows, presenting investment opportunities, particularly in leading companies such as Midea, Haier, Hisense, and Gree, which are noted for their competitive pricing and strong market positions [3] - Emerging categories like robotic vacuum cleaners are anticipated to have significant growth potential, further enhancing the investment appeal of the sector [3]