Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [5] Core Views - The company achieved a revenue of 55.8 billion yuan in Q1 2025, a year-on-year increase of 14%, with a gross margin of 16% and a net profit of 3.54 billion yuan, reflecting a 59% year-on-year growth [1] - The increase in profit is attributed to comprehensive cost reduction and efficiency improvements, along with a year-on-year increase in production of key products [1] - The company is focusing on resource development and supply security, aiming to enhance its mining capacity and create a self-controlled mineral resource supply chain [2] - The company is advancing its "Two Seas" strategy, with new projects in alumina and electrolytic aluminum contributing to its competitive edge in the industry [3] - The company is expected to achieve net profits of 10.4 billion, 12.6 billion, and 14.9 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with corresponding P/E ratios of 10.7, 8.8, and 7.5 [3] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In Q1 2025, alumina production reached 5.43 million tons, a 4% increase year-on-year, while electrolytic aluminum production was 1.94 million tons, up 9% year-on-year [1] - The average price of electrolytic aluminum in Q1 2025 was 20,400 yuan per ton, a 7.3% increase year-on-year, while alumina averaged 3,833 yuan per ton, a 15.2% increase year-on-year [1] - The company’s revenue for 2023 was 225.3 billion yuan, with a projected revenue of 222.3 billion yuan for 2025 [4] Strategic Initiatives - The company plans to increase its domestic mineral rights exploration and actively participate in the competition for mineral rights in key provinces [2] - New projects include the construction of several alumina and aluminum alloy projects, as well as renewable energy initiatives, with a target of achieving a 45.5% clean energy consumption ratio in electrolytic aluminum production [3] Valuation Metrics - The report provides projected earnings per share (EPS) of 0.60 yuan for 2025, with a net asset return rate of 13.6% [4] - The company’s total market capitalization is approximately 111.17 billion yuan, with a total share count of 17.16 billion shares [5]

证券研究报告 | 季报点评 gszqdatemark 2025 04 25 年 月 日 中国铝业（601600.SH） 25Q1 铝产品"量价齐升"增厚利润，全球铝行业龙头地位稳固 事件：公司于 2025 年 4 月 24 日披露 2025 年一季度业绩公告，实现营收 558 亿元，同比增长 14%，环比减少 12%，毛利率 16%；实现归母净利 35.4 亿元，同比增长 59%，环比增长 5%，净利率 10%。利润增加主要 系公司全方位极致降本增效及主要产品同比增产所致。 铝产品"量价齐升"增厚公司利润空间。1）量，25Q1 氧化铝产量 543 万 吨，同比+4%，环比+1%，销量 168 万吨，同比+12%，环比+6%；电 解铝产量 194 万吨，同比+9%，环比-3%，销量 190 万吨，同比+8%， 环比-5%；煤炭产量 322 万吨，同比+12%，环比-6%；外售电厂发电量 41 亿千瓦时，同比持平，环比-7%。2）价，据 SMM，25Q1 电解铝价格 为 2.04 万元/吨，同比增长 7.3%，环比减少 0.5%；25Q1 氧化铝价格为 3833 元/吨，同比增长 15.2%，环比减少 28.1% ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [1][4][6] Core Views - The company reported Q1 2025 revenue of 55.784 billion RMB, a year-on-year increase of 13.95% but a quarter-on-quarter decrease of 11.86%. The net profit attributable to shareholders was 3.538 billion RMB, up 58.78% year-on-year and up 4.56% quarter-on-quarter. High aluminum prices are expected to support stable company performance [1][4] - Despite a decline in alumina prices impacting profitability, the company managed to maintain a gross margin of 15.86% in Q1 2025, which is an increase of 0.52 percentage points year-on-year but a decrease of 1.33 percentage points quarter-on-quarter. The average price of electrolytic aluminum was 20,400 RMB per ton, up 7.28% year-on-year but down 0.47% quarter-on-quarter [2][3] - The report anticipates that electrolytic aluminum profits will remain high, with the company positioned as a leading integrated player in the aluminum industry, which should help it navigate through market cycles [3][4] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - Q1 2025 revenue was 55.784 billion RMB, with a year-on-year growth of 13.95% and a quarter-on-quarter decline of 11.86%. The net profit attributable to shareholders was 3.538 billion RMB, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 58.78% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 4.56% [1] - The gross margin for Q1 2025 was 15.86%, showing a year-on-year increase of 0.52 percentage points but a quarter-on-quarter decrease of 1.33 percentage points [2] Price and Demand Outlook - The average price of electrolytic aluminum in Q1 2025 was 20,400 RMB per ton, which is a 7.28% increase year-on-year but a 0.47% decrease quarter-on-quarter. The average price of alumina was 3,833 RMB per ton, up 15.16% year-on-year but down 28.09% quarter-on-quarter [2][3] - The report notes that while demand for electrolytic aluminum may weaken in the second and third quarters of 2025, limited supply growth is expected to support high aluminum prices [3] Profit Forecast and Valuation - The report projects net profits for 2025-2027 to be 12.447 billion RMB, 13.867 billion RMB, and 15.080 billion RMB respectively, with adjustments reflecting a decrease of 15.43%, 11.32%, and 19.00% from previous estimates [4][10] - The target price for the company is set at 7.30 RMB, based on a 10x PE ratio for 2025, while the target price for H shares is 4.62 HKD [4][6]

2025年第二次临时股东会决议公告 股票代码：601600 股票简称：中国铝业 公告编号：临2025-025 中国铝业股份有限公司 本公司董事会及全体董事保证本公告内容不存在任何虚假记载、误导性陈述或 者重大遗漏，并对其内容的真实性、准确性和完整性承担法律责任。 重要内容提示： 本次会议是否有否决议案：无 一、会议召开和出席情况 | 1．出席会议的股东和代理人人数 | 3,620 | | --- | --- | | 其中：A 股股东人数 | 3,619 | | 境外上市外资股股东人数（H 股） | 1 | | 2．出席会议的股东所持有表决权的股份总数（股） | 3,326,171,349 | | 其中：A 股股东持有股份总数 | 2,277,413,435 | | 境外上市外资股股东持有股份总数（H 股） | 1,048,757,914 | | 3．出席会议的股东所持有表决权股份数占公司有表决权股份 总数的比例（%） | 28.89 | | 其中：A 股股东持股占股份总数的比例（%） | 19.78 | | 境外上市外资股股东持股占股份总数的比例（%） | 9.11 | （四）表决方式是否符合《公司法》及《公 ...

股票代码：601600 股票简称：中国铝业 公告编号：临2025-026 中国铝业股份有限公司 第八届董事会第三十三次会议决议公告 本公司董事会及全体董事保证本公告内容不存在任何虚假记载、误导性陈述或 者重大遗漏，并对其内容的真实性、准确性和完整性承担个别及连带责任。 上述报告具体内容请见公司同日披露于上海证券交易所网站（www.sse.com.cn） 的《中国铝业股份有限公司2025年第一季度报告》。 议案表决情况：有权表决票数8票，同意8票，反对0票，弃权0票。 二、关于公司拟投资建设北方沿海绿色新材料项目及设立全资子公司的议案 为推进公司"两海"战略，优化氧化铝产业布局，经审议，董事会批准公司在 辽宁省大连市太平湾合作创新区新建2×150万吨/年氧化铝生产线，项目总投资预计 约人民币79.42亿元。为建设运营该项目，董事会批准公司以货币资金出资设立全资 子公司中铝（大连）铝业有限公司（暂定名，以公司登记机关最终核准的名称为 准），注册资本金为项目总投资的40%，预计约人民币31.70亿元。 同时，董事会同意授权公司董事长或董事长授权的其他人士具体负责组织上述 项目建设及设立全资子公司的一切事宜及签署一切 ...

北京金诚同达律师事务所 法律意见书 金证法意[2025]字 0424 第 0297 号 中国铝业股份有限公司 二〇二五年第二次临时股东会的 关于 北京市建国门外大街1号国贸大厦A座十层 100004 电话：010-5706 8585 传真：010-8515 0267 金诚同达律师事务所 法律意见书 关于中国铝业股份有限公司 二〇二五年第二次临时股东会的 法律意见书 金证法意[2025]字 0424 第 0297 号 致：中国铝业股份有限公司 受中国铝业股份有限公司（以下简称"中国铝业"或"公司"）聘请和北京 金诚同达律师事务所（以下简称"本所"）委派，本所律师出席中国铝业二〇二 五年第二次临时股东会并对会议的相关事项出具法律意见书。 根据《中华人民共和国证券法》（以下简称"《证券法》"）、《中华人民 共和国公司法》（以下简称"《公司法》"）、《上市公司股东会规则》（以下 简称"《股东会规则》"）、《律师事务所从事证券法律业务管理办法》《律师 事务所证券法律业务执业规则（试行）》等法律、法规和规范性文件的要求以及 《中国铝业股份有限公司章程》（以下简称"《公司章程》"）的规定，在会议 召开前和召开过程中，本所律 ...

Financial Performance - The company's operating revenue for Q1 2025 reached CNY 55,783,601, an increase of 13.95% compared to CNY 48,955,678 in the same period last year[3] - Net profit attributable to shareholders was CNY 3,537,681, reflecting a significant increase of 58.78% from CNY 2,230,265 year-on-year[3] - Basic and diluted earnings per share both increased to CNY 0.207, representing a growth of 59.23% compared to CNY 0.130 in the same quarter last year[3] - Net profit for Q1 2025 was RMB 5,471,301 thousand, up 35.3% from RMB 4,046,300 thousand in Q1 2024[17] - Operating profit for Q1 2025 was RMB 6,483,983 thousand, representing a 36.7% increase from RMB 4,742,726 thousand in Q1 2024[17] - The total comprehensive income attributable to the parent company for Q1 2025 was CNY 3,537,377 thousand, compared to CNY 2,222,713 thousand in Q1 2024, an increase of 59.3%[18] Cash Flow - The net cash flow from operating activities was CNY 6,259,774, up 75.06% from CNY 3,578,062 in the previous year[3] - The net cash flow from operating activities for Q1 2025 was CNY 6,259,774 thousand, compared to CNY 3,575,862 thousand in Q1 2024, indicating an increase of 75.0%[20] - In Q1 2025, the cash inflow from operating activities was CNY 7,922,097 thousand, a 34% increase from CNY 5,916,806 thousand in Q1 2024[28] - The net cash flow from operating activities decreased to CNY 1,101,399 thousand in Q1 2025, down 21% from CNY 1,393,430 thousand in Q1 2024[28] - Cash inflow from investment activities was CNY 1,020,134 thousand in Q1 2025, significantly lower than CNY 6,830,551 thousand in Q1 2024[28] - The net cash flow from investment activities was negative at CNY -338,296 thousand in Q1 2025, compared to a positive CNY 2,728,496 thousand in Q1 2024[28] - Cash inflow from financing activities increased to CNY 5,990,000 thousand in Q1 2025, up 72% from CNY 3,490,000 thousand in Q1 2024[28] - The net cash flow from financing activities improved to CNY -52,541 thousand in Q1 2025, compared to CNY -4,596,204 thousand in Q1 2024[28] Assets and Liabilities - Total assets at the end of the reporting period were CNY 226,128,953, a 4.74% increase from CNY 215,895,530 at the end of the previous year[4] - Current assets increased to RMB 69,538,139 thousand as of March 31, 2025, from RMB 59,051,122 thousand at the end of 2024, marking a rise of 17.7%[14] - Total liabilities as of March 31, 2025, were RMB 108,388,767 thousand, up from RMB 103,854,787 thousand at the end of 2024, indicating a growth of 4.9%[15] - The company's total liabilities as of March 31, 2025, were CNY 81,811,075 thousand, up from CNY 78,729,409 thousand at the end of 2024, indicating an increase of 2.6%[24] - The total equity attributable to shareholders of the parent company increased to RMB 73,227,737 thousand as of March 31, 2025, from RMB 69,191,321 thousand at the end of 2024, reflecting a growth of 5.9%[15] Production and Sales - The production of metallurgical-grade alumina was 448,000 tons, up 5.41% from 425,000 tons in Q1 2024[8] - The sales volume of self-produced metallurgical-grade alumina reached 168,000 tons, an increase of 12.00% compared to 150,000 tons in the same period last year[8] - The production of aluminum (including alloys) was 194,000 tons, reflecting an 8.99% increase from 178,000 tons year-on-year[8] Research and Development - Research and development expenses for Q1 2025 were RMB 365,228 thousand, down 36.4% from RMB 574,176 thousand in Q1 2024[17] - The company’s research and development expenses for Q1 2025 were CNY 24,074 thousand, a decrease from CNY 103,125 thousand in Q1 2024, reflecting a reduction of 76.7%[26] Investments - The company reported an investment income of RMB 454,470 thousand in Q1 2025, significantly higher than RMB 85,664 thousand in Q1 2024[17] - The company acquired part of the billet business from China Aluminum Group High-end Manufacturing Co., which is classified as a business combination under common control[4]

Group 1 - A total of 34 listed companies announced share buybacks, increases, and related loan information during the week of April 14 to April 20 [1] - China Aluminum's controlling shareholder, Chalco Group, obtained a commitment letter for a special loan of up to 1.8 billion yuan for stock buybacks, having already increased its stake by approximately 400 million yuan [1] - China Railway announced it secured a commitment letter for a special loan of up to 1.6 billion yuan for share repurchase [1] Group 2 - Companies such as AVIC Heavy Machinery and Lingyi Technology plan to repurchase shares with loan amounts ranging from 200 million to 400 million yuan [3] - The controlling shareholder of Xiaogoods City received a commitment letter for a 900 million yuan increase in shareholding [3] - Other companies like Junsheng Electronics and China Electric Research also announced plans for share increases with loan commitments of 90 million yuan and 80 million to 160 million yuan respectively [3]

最近看到诺奖得主罗伯特·默顿的一句话："决定生活质量的不是资产规模，而是现金流的稳定性。"这句话在投资领域似乎也同样成立。 四月以来，外部关税规则"跳跃"，使得市场不确定性不断升高，很多板块都坐起了"过山车"。在这种"颠簸"下应运而生的新一批现金流指数ETF，直接聚焦 能创造"真金白银"的企业，已经是很多朋友穿越波动与周期的秘籍。 比如中证现金流全收益指数，就有着震荡市斩获40%年收益的硬核战绩！ 当市场重新定义价值锚点，自由现金流策略有三大制胜逻辑： 1.穿越财务表象，锁定真实盈利能力 净利润可能被会计手法美化，但自由现金流以实实在在的现金收支为基准。 中证全指自由现金流指数（932365）严格筛选近三年经营活动现金流持续为正、自由现金流率（自由现金流/企业价值）前100的优质企业，并且剔除金融地 产等杠杆依赖型行业，直击企业"造血能力"本质。 2. 双重收益引擎：高股息打底+成长性突围 | 证券代码 | 证券名称 | 中证一级行业分类 | 中证二级行业分类 | 权重(%) | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 601088 | 中国神华 | 能源 | 能源 | 10.92 ...

本报告导读： 2025 年Q1，公司有效减少电解铝和氧化铝价格环比下滑影响，预计实现归母净利润34-36 亿元（同比 +53%至63%、环比+0.49%至6.40%），公司扩产项目稳步推进，同时不断强化资源战略，一体化优势将 日益凸显。 投资要点： 维持"增持" 评级。2025 年 Q1 公司预计实现归母净利润 34-36 亿元（同比+53%至63%、环比+0.49%至 6.40%），电解铝供给偏刚，价格中枢有望上移，我们调整公司2025-2026 年EPS 分别为0.8/0.92（原为 0.65/0.79）元，新增2027 年预测EPS 为1.10 元。参考同行业，并考虑公司是行业龙头企业，给予公司 2025 年11 倍PE，上调目标价至8.8 元（原为8.45 元），维持"增持"评级。 公司不断强化资源战略，提升原料保障水平。随着国内铝土矿资源日益稀缺，对外依赖逐步加深，铝土 矿供应偏紧或时有发生。公司拥有丰富的铝土矿储备，海内外资源量约27 亿吨（2024 年新增资源量 7355 万吨），保障度较高。未来，公司将继续拓展海外资源合作，加速推进几内亚博法南部矿区资源 的后续建设和北部矿区的开发，同时研究其 ...