南财智讯1月5日电，永杰新材公告，全资子公司浙江永杰铝业有限公司与中国铝业股份有限公司连城分 公司签订《扁锭销售合同》，约定自2026年1月1日至2026年12月31日期间，每月向对方采购产品，全年 预计采购量约10.00万吨，按市场价格估算，合同期内预计总金额超过20.00亿元，具体数量及金额以实 际订单为准，按批次结算。本次交易无需提交公司董事会或股东会审议。合同履行可能受宏观政策、市 场环境等不可抗力影响，存在不能或部分不能履约的风险。 ...

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the articles highlights the growth in China's aluminum alloy production, with a reported output of 1.74 million tons in November 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 17% [1] - Cumulative aluminum alloy production from January to November 2025 reached 17.456 million tons, showing a cumulative growth of 15.8% [1] - The articles reference a strategic analysis report by Zhiyan Consulting, which outlines the market operation pattern and prospects of the aluminum alloy industry in China from 2026 to 2032 [1] Group 2 - The data source for the production statistics is the National Bureau of Statistics, with the information compiled by Zhiyan Consulting [2] - Zhiyan Consulting is recognized as a leading industry consulting firm in China, specializing in in-depth industry research reports, business plans, feasibility studies, and customized services [2] - The firm emphasizes its commitment to providing comprehensive industry solutions to empower investment decisions through professional insights and market intelligence [2]

有色ETF基金紧密跟踪国证有色金属行业指数，国证有色金属行业指数参照国证行业分类标准，选取归 属于有色金属行业的规模和流动性突出的50只证券作为样本，反映了沪深北交易所有色金属行业上市公 司的整体收益表现，向市场提供细分行业的指数化投资标的。 数据显示，截至2025年12月31日，国证有色金属行业指数(399395)前十大权重股分别为紫金矿业 (601899)、洛阳钼业(603993)、北方稀土(600111)、华友钴业(603799)、中国铝业(601600)、赣锋锂业 (002460)、云铝股份(000807)、山东黄金(600547)、中金黄金(600489)、天齐锂业(002466)，前十大权重 股合计占比51.65%。 截至2026年1月5日 10:10，国证有色金属行业指数(399395)上涨0.90%，成分股中国铝业(601600)上涨 5.40%，铂科新材(300811)上涨5.19%，中孚实业(600595)上涨4.71%，兴业银锡(000426)上涨4.69%，神 火股份(000933)上涨3.71%。有色ETF基金(159880)上涨0.87%， 冲击3连涨。最新价报1.97元。 周一金 ...

1月5日，商品价格继续走高，现货白银突破76美元/盎司，日内涨超4%。沪铝主力合约跳空高开，目前涨幅超 4%，刷新2021年10月以来新高。 受此提振，贵金属、工业金属双双大涨，湖南白银涨超9%，中国铝业、兴业银锡、白银有色、西部黄金、云 铝股份等跟涨。有色矿业ETF招商（159690）涨1.63%，行情数据显示，近6个交易日，该ETF获资金连续净流 入约2900万元， 续扩大，产能利用率保持高位。 值得关注的是，彭博大宗商品指数将调整，时间于1月8日起的五日展期窗口内操作。 长江证券分析认为，彭博大宗商品指数调整或短期压制贵金属价格，鉴于贵金属此前已大幅上涨，被动跟踪基 金可能会抛售部分合约，以匹配新的权重配置。展望2026年一季度，通胀与流动性共振窗口并未改变，银领衔 贵金属继续上涨趋势延续，权益端或可逢调增配。 工业金属方面，该机构认为，降息预期与美国囤铜共振，铜铝春季攻势或前置，商品短期强势，中长期经济底 部+供需结构优化，铜铝商品弹性可期。周期视角，铜铝板块低估值适逢年底年初之际险资增配概率较大，板 块春季行情值得期待且有望提前。价值视角，铜铝权益价值或终将重估。 有色矿业ETF招商（159690） ...

每经AI快讯，铝业股涨幅居前。截至发稿，中国铝业(02600.HK)涨5.3%，报13.32港元；南山铝业国际 (02610.HK)涨2.9%，报51.1港元；中国宏桥(01378.HK)涨2.82%，报34.98港元。 ...

铝业股涨幅居前，截至发稿，中国铝业（601600）(02600)涨5.3%，报13.32港元；南山铝业（600219） 国际(02610)涨2.9%，报51.1港元；中国宏桥(01378)涨2.82%，报34.98港元。 华闻期货认为，2025年1-11月份我国氧化铝累计产量为8190万吨，累计同比+7.44%，上半年成本压力下 氧化铝企业一度出现集中减产现象，但随着成本下移及利润修复，下半年国内氧化铝行业运行产能重回 高位。从新增产能来看，2026年国内外仍有大量氧化铝产能待释放，预计国内新增产能约1500万吨，主 要在广西、河北两省，海外新增产能约750万吨，主要集中在印度。 消息面上，海外供应减少扰动担忧持续推升铝价，上周五外盘铝价再创新高，LME三月期铝价涨0.8% 至3021美元/吨。新湖期货表示，短期市场仍受宏观情绪波动影响，投机氛围较浓，铝价或高位震荡。 国金证券指出，展望2026年，预计成本下降红利将延续，中国产能天花板将至+电力制约带来供应端紧 约束，低库存+需求多元有望超预期，看好电解铝高盈利继续扩张。 ...

Group 1 - The report indicates that geopolitical tensions, particularly the U.S. actions in Venezuela, are expected to boost oil and gold prices, while the impact on equity assets is manageable. Attention should be paid to the Federal Reserve chair nomination, liquidity, and the CES conference, with U.S. stocks showing signs of recovery. [4][12][13] - Domestic PMI for December showed a significant rebound, driven by new subsidies, major projects, and proactive real estate policies. The report anticipates a positive start for A-shares, supported by policy initiatives, increased capital inflow, and technological catalysts. [4][18][19] - The report emphasizes a focus on technology and cyclical industries, particularly in sectors like commercial aerospace, robotics, AI, and semiconductors, as well as lithium batteries, non-ferrous metals, and chemicals. [4][20] Group 2 - The report lists the top ten stocks for January, including companies from various sectors such as electronics, automotive, and healthcare, with no specific ranking provided. [5][10] - Semiconductor company SMIC (688981.SH) is highlighted as a leader in integrated circuit manufacturing, with a projected revenue growth from 574.77 billion to 742.45 billion from 2024 to 2026, reflecting its critical role in the industry. [21][22] - Tianfu Communication (300394.SZ) is noted for its strong revenue growth driven by high-speed optical module demand, with a forecasted revenue increase from 57.33 billion to 106.87 billion from 2025 to 2027. [23][26] - New energy company Haopeng Technology (001283.SZ) is focusing on AI applications and has begun mass production of AI-related products, with projected net profits increasing from 2.47 billion to 5.50 billion from 2025 to 2027. [44][46] - Zhongmin Resources (002738.SZ) is expanding its lithium salt production capacity and has significant projects underway, with revenue expectations of 56.91 billion to 97.27 billion from 2024 to 2026. [48][52] - China Aluminum (601600.SH) reported a revenue increase of 13.95% in Q1 2025, with a focus on improving cash flow and reducing debt levels, indicating a strong operational performance. [54][56]

[Table_Page] 投资策略周报|有色金属 证券研究报告 [Table_Title] 金属及金属新材料行业周报 降息预期交易继续 [Table_Gr ade] 行业评级 买入 前次评级 买入 报告日期 2026-01-04 [分析师： Table_Author]宫帅 SAC 执证号：S0260518070003 SFC CE No. BOB672 010-59136660 gongshuai@gf.com.cn 分析师： 王乐 SAC 执证号：S0260523050004 021-38003617 wangle@gf.com.cn 分析师： 陈琪玮 SAC 执证号：S0260524040003 SFC CE No. BTE650 021-38003631 chenqiwei@gf.com.cn 请注意，王乐并非香港证券及期货事务监察委员会的注册 -4% 16% 35% 55% 74% 94% 01/25 03/25 05/25 08/25 10/25 12/25 有色金属 沪深300 持牌人，不可在香港从事受监管活动。 工业金属与钢铁：内需预期有望改善，工业金属价格或高位运行。铜 铝：25 年 12 月 ...

Group 1 - The report highlights that industrial metal prices have shown a significant upward trend, particularly for copper and tin, which are constrained by supply issues. Prices have gradually increased throughout the year, with copper reaching a historical high [14][15][39]. - The overall performance of the non-ferrous metal sector has been impressive, with a year-to-date weighted average increase of 100.46% as of December 11, 2025, outperforming major indices like the Shanghai Composite and CSI 300 [26][33]. - The macroeconomic environment is expected to remain favorable for industrial metals in 2026, with continued liquidity support from the U.S. Federal Reserve's interest rate cuts and domestic policies aimed at boosting demand [39][10]. Group 2 - The report identifies AI and energy storage as significant drivers of marginal demand growth for copper and aluminum, with substantial capital expenditures from major cloud service providers expected to continue [45][58]. - For copper, the demand from AI data centers is projected to add approximately 26.8 thousand tons to total copper demand in 2026, driven by increased infrastructure investments [58][59]. - In the aluminum sector, while demand growth is anticipated, it is expected to be more limited compared to copper, with projected aluminum demand from data centers reaching around 78 thousand tons globally by 2026 [64][66]. Group 3 - The supply side for copper remains constrained due to ongoing production cuts and delays in new mining projects, which are expected to exacerbate structural shortages in the market [42][43]. - The aluminum market is facing a rigid supply ceiling domestically, with limited growth in production capacity and risks of shutdowns due to high electricity costs [43][44]. - The report recommends several companies with strong growth potential in the copper sector, including Shengtun Mining, Zangge Mining, and Zijin Mining, as well as companies in the aluminum sector like China Aluminum and China Hongqiao [11][39].

Core Viewpoint - The aluminum industry in China is experiencing a slight decline in production, with a reported decrease in output for November 2025 and a marginal cumulative decline for the year [1]. Group 1: Industry Overview - In November 2025, China's aluminum production was 5.93 million tons, reflecting a year-on-year decrease of 0.4% [1]. - From January to November 2025, the cumulative aluminum production in China reached 61.51 million tons, showing a slight decline of 0.1% compared to the previous year [1]. Group 2: Companies Involved - Listed companies in the aluminum sector include China Aluminum (601600), Yun Aluminum (000807), Shenhuo Co. (000933), Jiaozuo Wanfang (000612), and Nanshan Aluminum (600219) [1]. Group 3: Market Research - Zhiyan Consulting has released a report titled "2026-2032 China Aluminum Material Industry Market Development Potential and Investment Risk Forecast Report," indicating ongoing research and analysis in the sector [1].