Group 1 - China Aluminum's stock price increased by 5.12% to 8.01 CNY per share, with a trading volume of 2.586 billion CNY and a turnover rate of 2.50%, resulting in a total market capitalization of 137.417 billion CNY [1] - The stock has seen a continuous rise for three days, with a cumulative increase of 0.53% during this period [1] - China Aluminum's main business includes exploration and mining of bauxite and coal, production and sales of alumina, primary aluminum, and aluminum alloy products, as well as international trade and logistics [1] Group 2 - New沃 Fund has a significant holding in China Aluminum, with its New沃 Tongying Flexible Allocation Mixed Fund (002564) holding 42,100 shares, accounting for 4.36% of the fund's net value, making it the second-largest holding [2] - The fund has generated a floating profit of approximately 16,400 CNY today, with a total floating profit of 1,684 CNY during the three-day increase [2] - The New沃 Tongying Flexible Allocation Mixed Fund was established on September 22, 2016, and has a current size of 6.8023 million CNY, with a year-to-date return of 11.51% [2] Group 3 - The fund manager of New沃 Tongying Flexible Allocation Mixed Fund is Liu Tengfei, who has been in the position for 3 years and 291 days, managing assets totaling 43.5905 million CNY [3] - During Liu's tenure, the best fund return was 16.73%, while the worst return was -48.15% [3]

Group 1 - China Aluminum's stock price increased by 5.12% to 8.01 CNY per share, with a trading volume of 2.587 billion CNY and a turnover rate of 2.50%, resulting in a total market capitalization of 137.417 billion CNY [1] - The stock has experienced a continuous rise for three days, with a cumulative increase of 0.53% during this period [1] - China Aluminum's main business includes exploration and mining of bauxite and coal, production and sales of alumina, primary aluminum, and aluminum alloy products, as well as international trade and logistics [1] Group 2 - The Qianhai Kaiyuan Multi-Strategy Mixed A Fund (004496) holds China Aluminum as its largest position, having reduced its holdings by 26,600 shares in the second quarter, now holding 953,300 shares, which accounts for 1.51% of the fund's net value [2] - The fund has realized a floating profit of approximately 371,800 CNY today, with a floating profit of 38,100 CNY during the three-day increase [2] - The fund has achieved a year-to-date return of 35.33%, ranking 2,354 out of 8,244 in its category, and a one-year return of 50.24%, ranking 2,305 out of 8,080 [2]

消息面上，9月28日，工业和信息化部等八部门印发《有色金属行业稳增长工作方案（2025—2026 年）》，其中提到，2025—2026年，有色金属行业增加值年均增长5%左右，十种有色金属产量年均增 长1.5%左右，铜、铝、锂等国内资源开发取得积极进展。国海证券认为，短期来看，美联储如期降 息，且仍有进一步降息预期；有色金属行业稳增长工作方案出台，提振行业情绪。下游铝加工环节开工 率仍在持续回升中，库存拐点基本出现，关注"金九银十"旺季机会。民生证券指出，美联储降息落地， 商品供给干扰频发，伴随美国财政货币双宽松，叠加国内"金九银十"旺季需求，工业金属价格有望继续 上行。 有色股早盘活跃，截至发稿，赣锋锂业（002460）(01772)涨6.01%，报39.5港元；中铝国际（601068） (02068)涨4.41%，报2.37港元；招金矿业(01818)涨4.02%，报30.52港元；洛阳钼业（603993）(03993)涨 3.44%，报14.45港元；中国铝业（601600）(02600)涨3.97%，报7.85港元；江西铜业（600362）股份 (00358)涨2.45%，报27.6港元。 ...

Group 1 - The A-share market has seen a strong performance in the non-ferrous metal sector, with stocks such as Bojian New Materials and Vanadium Titanium Co. hitting the 10% daily limit up, while others like Shengda Resources and Yinhai Magnetic Materials rose over 6% [1] - The Ministry of Industry and Information Technology, along with eight other departments, has issued a "Work Plan for Stable Growth in the Non-Ferrous Metal Industry," which includes implementing a new round of mineral exploration strategies and enhancing resource surveys for copper, aluminum, lithium, nickel, cobalt, and tin [1] - The plan aims for an average annual growth of about 5% in the value added of the non-ferrous metal industry from 2025 to 2026 [1] Group 2 - Specific stock performances include: - Bojian New Materials (code: 605376) with a market cap of 15.6 billion and a year-to-date increase of 106.32% [2] - Vanadium Titanium Co. (code: 000629) with a market cap of 28.6 billion and a year-to-date increase of 6.94% [2] - Shengda Resources (code: 000603) with a market cap of 17.2 billion and a year-to-date increase of 108.85% [2] - Yinhai Magnetic Materials (code: 300127) with a market cap of 11.1 billion and a year-to-date increase of 41.62% [2] - Other notable performers include: - Ganfeng Lithium (code: 002460) with a market cap of 116.7 billion and a year-to-date increase of 62.73% [2] - China Aluminum (code: 601600) with a market cap of 134.7 billion and a year-to-date increase of 8.68% [2]

Core Insights - The article highlights the strong performance of the non-ferrous metal sector, particularly the increase in the price of copper and aluminum, driven by supply disruptions and demand recovery [1][2] Group 1: Market Performance - The non-ferrous metal ETF showed a stable performance with a 1.5% increase in price and a transaction volume of 1.4755 million yuan, bringing the fund's total size to 303 million yuan [1] - Key stocks such as Baiyin Nonferrous, Guiyan Platinum, and Xingye Silver Tin saw significant gains of 3.6%, 3.23%, and 2.92% respectively, while Shenghe Resources experienced a decline of 1.41% [1] Group 2: Supply and Demand Dynamics - The Grasberg copper mine, the second largest globally, has halted production due to an accident, leading Freeport to project a significant decrease in copper sales by Q4 2025 and a potential 35% drop in production in 2026, exacerbating supply tightness [1] - The aluminum sector is witnessing a positive trend with successful technological advancements in aluminum alloy materials for automotive applications, recognized by high-end clients like BMW and Mercedes, which is expected to drive industry transformation [1] Group 3: Price Outlook - Tianfeng Securities indicates a bullish sentiment in the copper market, with prices expected to continue rising due to supply-demand dynamics and a favorable outlook for aluminum prices supported by inventory reductions and seasonal demand [1][2] - The cobalt sector is facing increased prices due to export bans and quota policies from the Democratic Republic of Congo, leading to a tightening of raw material supply [2]

Core Viewpoint - The Ministry of Industry and Information Technology, along with seven other departments, has issued a "Work Plan for Stable Growth in the Nonferrous Metal Industry (2025-2026)", aiming to address structural issues and promote sustainable growth in the industry [1][2]. Group 1: Industry Goals and Objectives - The work plan sets a target for the nonferrous metal industry to achieve an average annual value-added growth of around 5% from 2025 to 2026 [2]. - It aims for an average annual production growth of 1.5% for ten types of nonferrous metals, with significant progress in domestic resource development for copper, aluminum, and lithium [2]. - The plan includes a target to exceed 20 million tons in the production of recycled metals and to enhance the supply capacity of high-end products [2]. Group 2: Key Initiatives - The work plan outlines ten initiatives focusing on resource conservation, supply optimization, transformation promotion, consumption expansion, and cooperation strengthening [2]. - It emphasizes efficient resource utilization and the implementation of a new round of exploration strategies, particularly for copper, aluminum, lithium, nickel, cobalt, and tin [2][3]. - The plan supports the development of green and efficient mining technologies for low-grade and complex ores, as well as the comprehensive utilization of waste nonferrous metals and emerging solid waste [2]. Group 3: Industry Challenges and Responses - The nonferrous metal industry faces structural challenges, including insufficient domestic supply of key metals like copper and aluminum, despite having some advantages in resource endowment and extraction [3]. - Companies like China Aluminum Corporation are expected to actively participate in the new exploration strategy, enhancing resource investigation and accelerating new mine construction [3]. - The work plan also stresses the importance of maintaining a dynamic balance between total supply and demand, avoiding irrational behaviors in the new energy mineral sector, and promoting strategic cooperation across the industry chain [4].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" recommendation for several companies in the non-ferrous metals sector, including Zijin Mining, Luoyang Molybdenum, and Huayou Cobalt [4][6][7]. Core Views - The report highlights that industrial metal prices are expected to continue rising due to supply disruptions and seasonal demand in China during the "Golden September and Silver October" period [2][3]. - The report emphasizes the positive outlook for energy metals like lithium and cobalt, driven by strong demand from the energy storage and electric vehicle sectors [3]. - Precious metals are anticipated to reach new highs due to increased safe-haven demand amid geopolitical uncertainties and expectations of further interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve [4][71]. Summary by Sections Industrial Metals - Copper prices are supported by supply disruptions from the Grasberg copper mine in Indonesia, which has been shut down due to a mining accident, leading to a significant reduction in expected output [2][39]. - Aluminum demand is recovering as downstream processing companies increase their operating rates, with a notable rise in pre-holiday stockpiling [2][22]. - Zinc prices are fluctuating due to mixed signals from macroeconomic indicators and supply-demand dynamics, with a slight decrease in domestic consumption observed [45][46]. Energy Metals - The report notes that cobalt supply is tightening due to regulatory changes in the Democratic Republic of Congo, which has implemented a quota system, leading to price increases [3]. - Lithium demand remains robust, particularly in the context of energy storage and electric vehicles, with expectations of a balanced supply-demand situation [3]. Precious Metals - Gold and silver prices have surged, driven by expectations of interest rate cuts and ongoing geopolitical tensions, with gold prices reaching historical highs [4][71]. - The report suggests that central bank purchases of gold and a weakening dollar will continue to support gold prices in the medium to long term [4]. Key Companies and Their Forecasts - Zijin Mining: EPS forecast for 2024A is 1.21 CNY, with a PE ratio of 23, rated as "Buy" [4]. - Luoyang Molybdenum: EPS forecast for 2024A is 0.63 CNY, with a PE ratio of 22, rated as "Buy" [4]. - Huayou Cobalt: EPS forecast for 2024A is 2.50 CNY, with a PE ratio of 23, rated as "Buy" [4].

港交所消息：9月22日， 贝莱德 持有的 中国铝业 H股多头头寸从5.95%增至6.45%。 ...

Group 1: Market Performance - The liquidity of the Rare Earth ETF managed by Jiashi has a turnover rate of 6.47% with a transaction volume of 529 million yuan [3] - Over the past month, the average daily transaction volume of the Rare Earth ETF reached 505 million yuan, ranking first among comparable funds [3] - The fund's scale increased by 1.716 billion yuan in the last month, also ranking first among comparable funds [3] - The number of shares for the Rare Earth ETF increased by 90.5 million shares this month, leading among comparable funds [3] - In the last 18 trading days, the fund attracted a total of 454 million yuan [3] - The net value of the Rare Earth ETF has risen by 105.55% over the past year, placing it in the top 11.10% among index equity funds [3] Group 2: Industry Outlook - The implementation of the "Rare Earth Management Regulations" in October 2024 will strengthen industry control, while the interim measures for total quantity control of rare earth mining and smelting will further tighten supply [4] - Leading companies like Northern Rare Earth will gain enhanced pricing power due to these regulations [4] - The rare earth industry is entering a new era of high-quality and standardized development, driven by growing demand from sectors such as electric vehicles, air conditioning, and consumer electronics [4] - The supply-demand gap for praseodymium and neodymium oxide is expected to reach 5.8% and 4.6% in 2025 and 2026, respectively, indicating a potential upward trend in price [4] - The performance of the rare earth industry chain is expected to improve quarter by quarter in the second half of the year, highlighting strategic allocation value [4] Group 3: Key Stocks - The top ten weighted stocks in the CSI Rare Earth Industry Index account for 62.15% of the index, with Northern Rare Earth and China Rare Earth being the top two [3] - Notable stock performances include Northern Rare Earth with a rise of 2.47% and China Rare Earth with an increase of 1.16% [6] - Investors can also access rare earth investment opportunities through the Rare Earth ETF Jiashi connecting fund (011036) [6]

Group 1 - Freeport announced force majeure due to an Indonesian mining accident, expecting a 4% year-on-year decline in copper sales for Q3 2025, with Q4 nearly stagnant. The global copper increment from the top 18 mines is projected to drop from 430,000 tons to 160,000 tons, exacerbating supply-demand conflicts and driving up copper-related stocks [1] - U.S. Antimony received a $245 million exclusive supply contract from the Pentagon, planning to increase production capacity from 2,000 tons to 6,000 tons, strengthening the supply-demand support logic for the antimony sector and boosting market sentiment [1] - Overproduction of coal in Shanxi and other regions may be restricted by the new Anti-Unfair Competition Law, with tight supply expectations pushing coking coal prices up to 1,700-1,800 yuan per ton [1] Group 2 - As of September 25, the non-ferrous ETF fund (159880.SZ) rose by 2.22%, and its related index, the Guozheng Non-Ferrous Index (399395.SZ), increased by 2.07%. Among major constituent stocks, Northern Copper Industry rose by 10.01%, Luoyang Molybdenum by 9.67%, and Tongling Nonferrous Metals by 8.35% [1] - HuLong Securities noted that in the context of increased macro uncertainty, precious metals maintain a trend of rising volume and price. Their non-ferrous metal industry report indicates that Zijin Mining (601899.SH) received an "overweight" rating, with a projected PE of 15 times for 2025 [1] - According to Everbright Securities' weekly report, cobalt prices have risen across the board, with a week-on-week increase of 1.13% for cobalt sulfate. Additionally, polysilicon prices have risen for two consecutive months, with a week-on-week increase of 4.0% for photovoltaic-grade polysilicon, reflecting changes in the supply-demand structure in certain non-ferrous metal segments [1]